Earnings Release • May 23, 2018
Earnings Release
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Oslo 23 May 2018 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
SBO's units under construction
HIGHLIGHTS
572 NOK million
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs
** EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
NOK million
Units
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
*Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales **Columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales
8
Note: EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP) Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies
Operating revenues EBITDA margin
Note: Amounts below NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
| ▪ | Book value increased by NOK 0.6 | NOK million | |
|---|---|---|---|
| to NOK 31.0 per share | 7 000 | ||
| Equity ratio 45.3% ▪ |
6 000 | Non-current assets | |
| ▪ | Changes from Q4 2017: | 5 000 | |
| Inventories increased by NOK 269m ▪ Trade receivables decreased by NOK 40m ▪ |
4 000 | ||
| Cash decreased by NOK 146m ▪ |
3 000 | Current assets | |
| ▪ | Prepayments from customer's accounts | 2 000 | |
| for NOK 394m of other current non interest-bearing liabilities |
1 000 | ||
| 0 | Cash | ||
Q1 18 vs Q4 17 Inventory value development
Land (undeveloped) Work in progress Finished projects
| Loan facility | Drawn at 31 Mar. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NOK 500 million revolving credit facility from DNB maturing in 2022 |
0 | 3.40% |
| 2 | NOK 150 million working capital facility from DNB maturing in 2018 |
0 | 2.00% |
| 3 | Land loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
1 252 |
2.00% - 2.50% |
| 4 | Construction loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
1 107 | 1.75% - 2.60% |
Total Q4 2017 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 732 million
NOK million
Revolving credit facility from DNB extended to NOK 500 million from NOK 400 million
NOK million
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)
18
Operational update
Financial update
Forecasted annual housing and medium) alternatives
Number of units completed in Akershus, 2006-2017
Newbuild effect on total second-hand market in Oslo
76.5% buying to live
17% buying to rent out
6.5% buying to sell
43% will sell their own home in secondary market before moving into a newbuild unit
2018e 2019e Second-hand sales generated from newbuild completions
Why customers buy newbuilds
Completion of 3 900 newbuild units in 2019 will add ~1 550 units to the secondhand market in Oslo
Prices in NOK per m2
MARKET
NOK million
MARKET
+1.8%
Nominal price increase, April 2018
0.9% Price change in April adjusted for seasonal variations
+2.4%
Nominal price increase, April 2018
-3.8% Price decrease last 12 months
Norway
Oslo
MARKET
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Average monthly %-gap between initial asking price and final sales price, Oslo second-hand market
MARKET
Q1 2017 Q1 2018
* Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
SBO's units under construction
Next event: 2 nd quarter 2018 15 August 2018
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent
Selvaag Bolig's aim is to manage the group's resources so that shareholders secure a return in the form of dividend and the rise in the share price. This return will be competitive with other investments.
The company's goal is to pay dividends twice a year totalling up to 50 per cent of its net profit
Previous dividend policy New dividend policy
SHARE INFORMATION
Source: Oslo Børs
| 53.5% |
|---|
| 5.7% |
| $2.9\%$ |
| 2.2% |
| $2.1\%$ |
| 1.8% |
| 1.7% |
| 1.4% |
| 1.3% |
| 1.2% |
| 1.1% |
| $0.9\%$ |
| 0.9% |
| $0.8\%$ |
| $0.7\%$ |
| $0.7\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| 81.5% |
| 18.5% |
| 100.0% |
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| LANDSFORSAKRINGAR FASTIGHETSFOND | 5 323 017 | 5.7% |
| MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INT. PLC. *) | 2 752 386 | 2.9% |
| PARETO AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| SEB PRIME SOLUTIONS SISSENER CANOP | 2 000 000 | 2.1% |
| HOLBERG NORGE | 1 693 763 | 1.8% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 596 366 | 1.7% |
| SELVAAG BOLIG ASA **) | 1 307 577 | 1.4% |
| FLPS - GL S-M SUB |
1 172 900 | 1.3% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 1 163 564 | 1.2% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 1 000 000 | 1.1% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 860 569 | 0.9% |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP *) | 845 196 | 0.9% |
| BAARD SCHUMANN | 777 127 | 0.8% |
| FIDELITY INT REAL ESTATE FUND | 686 900 | 0.7% |
| REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHI | 657 218 | 0.7% |
| HOLBERG NORDEN | 608 279 | 0.6% |
| STOREBRAND NORGE I VERDIPAPIRFOND | 603 364 | 0.6% |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP *) | 584 637 | 0.6% |
| BANAN II AS | 555 190 | 0.6% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 76 433 764 | 81.5% |
| Other shareholders | 17 331 924 | 18.5% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en
** The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2016 | Q4 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| NOK million | NOK million | NOK million |
Note: Joint ventures and land options not included in the valuation
Geographical spread
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 March 2018. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~6 100 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~5 600 and purchasing options for ~500 units.
▪ Target 100% sale at delivery
▪ Delivery in accordance with expectations
Delivery to customers
▪ Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
▪ SBO is in charge of the zoning process
▪ Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
▪ The median valuation is used as purchase price
▪ Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
▪ 10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
▪ Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
▪ Project costs are secured before construction starts
Competitive housing offering, targeting growth regions
Efficient and flexible cost structure
Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet
Large, actively-managed land bank
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 380.6 | 456.1 | 3 228.8 |
| Project expenses | (275.9) | (312.0) | (2 432.8) |
| Other operating expenses | (57.4) | (58.0) | (234.7) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | - | - |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | (1.9) | (4.2) | (13.6) |
| EBITDA | 45.4 | 81.8 | 547.7 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (0.9) | (1.1) | (4.1) |
| EBIT | 44.5 | 80.7 | 543.7 |
| Net financial expenses | (3.6) | (9.2) | (39.9) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 40.9 | 71.4 | 503.8 |
| Income taxes | (9.6) | 4.8 | (102.7) |
| Net income | 31.3 | 76.2 | 401.1 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||
| Non-controlling interests | (0.0) | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
31.3 | 76.1 | 401.0 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | (311.7) | (579.2) | 303.2 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | 34.0 | (25.8) | (114.1) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 131.6 | 93.3 | (589.8) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
- (146.1) 485.6 339.5 |
- (511.7) 886.2 374.5 |
- (400.6) 886.2 485.6 |
Intangible assets 383.4 383.4 383.4 Property, plant and equipment 10.5 9.9 11.4 Investments in associated companies and joint ventures 300.3 285.6 316.2 Other non -current assets 318.0 288.8 337.0 Total non -current assets 1 012.2 967.7 1 048.1
Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA 2 902.7 2 741.1 2 848.7 Non -controlling interests 9.4 9.5 9.4 Total equity 2 912.2 2 750.6 2 858.1
Non -current interest Other non -current non interest Total non
Current interest Other current non interest Total current liabilities 1 369.8 1 683.2 1 504.2
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 31.0 per share
Units
balance sheet
| Q1 17 | Q2 17 | Q3 17 | Q4 17 | Q1 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 190 | 165 | 178 | 168 | 185 |
| Number of construction starts | 186 | 318 | 77 | 217 | 102 |
| Number of units completed | 63 | 210 | 81 | 336 | 54 |
| Number of units delivered | 85 | 222 | 75 | 355 | 59 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 479 | 1 586 | 1 582 | 1 463 | 1 511 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 86% | 78% | 78% | 73% | 73% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 32 | 24 | 30 | 23 | 19 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 6 340 | 7 074 | 7 047 | 6 994 | 7 032 |
| Number of employees | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| (34.2) | 45.4 |
|---|---|
| (1.9) | |
| (44.1) | (57.4) |
| (0.1) | (275.9) |
| 10.1 | 380.6 |
| Other | Total |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 370.5 | 10.1 | 380.6 |
| Project expenses | (275.8) | (0.1) | (275.9) |
| Other operating expenses |
(13.3) | (44.1) | (57.4) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | (1.9) | - | (1.9) |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - |
| EBITDA | 79.6 | (34.2) | 45.4 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 561.8 | 10.1 | 571.9 | |
| Project expenses | (397.3) | (0.1) | (397.4) | |
| Other operating expenses | (13.3) | (44.1) | (57.4) | |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 151.3 | (34.2) | 117.1 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Sales value of sold units (net) Sales value of sold units (gross)
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
*Greater Oslo = Oslo and Akershus Source: Statistics Norway, Akershus municipality, Oslo municipality
Greater Oslo medium alternative
Greater Oslo low alternative
Estimated population 2031: (Low) ~ 1.43 million
Source: Statistics Norway
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)
Source: Statistics Norway
MARKET
Household debt in % of net disposable income (2015) Homeownership rate (2016)
Source: Statistics Norway Greater Oslo municipalities include: Ski, Ås, Oppegård, Bærum, Asker, Lørenskog, Skedsmo, Ullensaker
▪ Rapid population growth in Oslo followed by stable development
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