Earnings Release • Aug 15, 2018
Earnings Release
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Oslo 15 August 2018 Olav H. Selvaag, acting CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
Q2 2018 H1 2018
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs
** EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies
Competitive housing offering only targeting selected growth regions
Efficient and flexible cost structure, no in-house construction
Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet
Large, actively-managed land bank
NOK million
Units
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
*Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales **Columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales
Units
117 441
Note: EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs
NOK million
Note: EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP) Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies
3 229
Operating revenues EBITDA margin
Note: Amounts below NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
Share buy back and share program for employees Dividends paid to equity holders of Selvaag Bolig ASA Cash and cash equivalents at 30 June 2018
▪ Cash flow from operations negative at NOK 139m mainly explained by units delivered in June and payment in July
| ▪ | Book value decreased by NOK 0.6 | NOK million | |
|---|---|---|---|
| to NOK 30.4 per share | 7 000 | ||
| Paid dividend of NOK 1.80 per share ▪ |
6 000 | Non-current assets | |
| Equity ratio 41.9% ▪ |
|||
| ▪ | Changes from Q1 2018: | 5 000 | |
| Inventories decreased by NOK 128m ▪ |
4 000 | ||
| Trade receivables increased by NOK 390m ▪ |
3 000 | Current assets | |
| Cash increased by NOK 94m ▪ |
2 000 | ||
| ▪ | Prepayments from customer's accounts for NOK 356m of other current non |
1 000 | |
| interest-bearing liabilities | 0 | Cash | |
Non-current liabilities
Loan facility 1 NOK 500 million revolving credit facility from DNB maturing in 2022 2 NOK 150 million working capital facility from DNB maturing in 2018 3 Land loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions 4 Construction loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions
| Drawn at 30 Jun. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 0 | 3.40% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 1 225 |
2.00% - 2.50% |
| 1 530 | 1.75% - 2.60% |
Total Q1 2018 net interest-bearing debt NOK 2 019 million
NOK million
19
FINANCIAL UPDATE
Accumulated dividend per share since IPO in June 2012
NOK million
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)
21
Operational update
Financial update
*Greater Oslo = Oslo and Akershus Source: Statistics Norway (medium alternative)
MARKET
Source: Statistics Norway (medium alternative)
24
Source: NyAnalyse, Prognosesenteret, Oslo kommune, Statistics Norway (SSB)
Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90
Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition
Forecasted housing need of 4 500 units per year until 2023
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
▪ On average ~ 1 400 newbuild units are added to the second-hand market in Oslo (based on ~ 2 800 completed newbuild units)
▪ Completion of 3 650 newbuild units in 2018 will add ~ 1 800 units to the second hand market in Oslo
▪ The additional ~ 400 units in 2018 will have a limited effect on secondhand market in Oslo
Units
Second-hand sales generated from newbuild completions in an average year
2 450 1 390 1 600 Supplied to the market Sold Available end of Q2 H1 2017 (Oslo) H1 2018 (Oslo) 650 710 1 910 Supplied to the market Sold Available end of Q2 At 14 August 2018 New homes (not built) available for sale ▪ Oslo: ~ 1 680 units 45% of total inventory ▪ Bergen: ~ 1 030 55% of total inventory ▪ Trondheim: ~ 1 020 50% of total inventory ▪ Stavanger: ~ 260 30% of total inventory
* Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi and Eiendom Norge
MARKET
Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Next event: 3 rd quarter 2018 14 November 2018
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent
Dividend policy
SHARE INFORMATION
Source: Oslo Børs
| $\%$ sha |
|---|
| 53.5% |
| 6.2% |
| $3.0\%$ |
| $2.2\%$ |
| 1.7% |
| 1.6% |
| 1.5% |
| $1.4\%$ |
| $1.0\%$ |
| 1.0% |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.8\%$ |
| $0.7\%$ |
| 0.6% |
| $0.6\%$ |
| 0.6% |
| $0.6\%$ |
| 0.6% |
| $0.5\%$ |
| $0.5\%$ |
| 79.6% |
| 20.4% |
| 00.0% |
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| LANDSFORSAKRINGAR FASTIGHETSFOND | 5 828 788 | 6.2% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc. *) | 2 817 590 | 3.0% |
| PARETO AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 596 366 | 1.7% |
| HOLBERG NORGE | 1 459 238 | 1.6% |
| SEB PRIME SOLUTIONS SISSENER CANOP | 1 450 000 | 1.5% |
| SELVAAG BOLIG ASA **) | 1 307 577 | 1.4% |
| FLPS - GL S-M SUB |
946 000 | 1.0% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) | 911 459 | 1.0% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 800 000 | 0.9% |
| Baard Schumann | 777 127 | 0.8% |
| REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHI | 657 218 | 0.7% |
| Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft *) | 595 735 | 0.6% |
| MSIP Equity | 588 867 | 0.6% |
| STOREBRAND NORGE I VERDIPAPIRFOND | 588 364 | 0.6% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) | 567 959 | 0.6% |
| BANAN II AS | 555 190 | 0.6% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) | 480 101 | 0.5% |
| SPARHANS AS | 476 221 | 0.5% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 74 649 511 | 79.6% |
| Other shareholders | 19 116 177 | 20.4% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en
** The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2016 | Q4 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| NOK million | NOK million | NOK million |
Note: Joint ventures and land options not included in the valuation
Geographical spread
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 30 June 2018. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~6 100 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~5 600 and purchasing options for ~500 units.
▪ Delivery in accordance with expectations
Delivery to customers
▪ Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
▪ SBO is in charge of the zoning process
▪ Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
▪ The median valuation is used as purchase price
▪ Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
▪ 10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
▪ Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
▪ Project costs are secured before construction starts
Competitive housing offering, targeting growth regions
Efficient and flexible cost structure
Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet
Large, actively-managed land bank
| (figures in NOK million) | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 863.6 | 1 134.6 | 3 228.8 |
| Project expenses | (646.3) | (840.5) | (2 432.8) |
| Other operating expenses | (71.7) | (59.0) | (234.7) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | - | - |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | 16.4 | (9.8) | (13.6) |
| EBITDA | 162.0 | 225.4 | 547.7 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (0.9) | (1.0) | (4.1) |
| EBIT | 161.0 | 224.4 | 543.7 |
| Net financial expenses | (8.3) | (23.0) | (39.9) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 152.7 | 201.4 | 503.8 |
| Income taxes | (36.8) | (55.1) | (102.7) |
| Net income | 115.8 | 146.3 | 401.1 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||
| Non-controlling interests | (0.1) | (0.0) | 0.1 |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
115.9 | 146.3 | 401.0 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | (139.2) | 539.5 | 303.2 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (1.6) | (72.1) | (114.1) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 234.5 | (500.8) | (589.8) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
93.7 339.5 433.2 |
(33.4) 374.5 341.1 |
(400.6) 886.2 485.6 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 9.6 | 9.4 | 11.4 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 308.8 | 280.9 | 316.2 |
| Other non -current assets |
358.2 | 354.9 | 337.0 |
| Total non -current assets |
1 060.0 | 1 028.5 | 1 048.1 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 784.8 | 4 618.5 | 4 643.9 |
| - Land |
1 899.5 | 1 672.4 | 1 938.1 |
| - Work in progress |
2 757.5 | 2 761.3 | 2 501.7 |
| - Finished goods |
127.7 | 184.7 | 204.2 |
| Other current receivables | 547.0 | 203.1 | 174.5 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 433.2 | 341.1 | 485.6 |
| Total current assets | 5 765.0 | 5 162.6 | 5 304.0 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 824.9 | 6 191.2 | 6 352.0 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 2 850.9 | 2 774.1 | 2 848.7 |
| Non -controlling interests |
9.3 | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| Total equity | 2 860.3 | 2 783.5 | 2 858.1 |
| Non -current interest -bearing liabilities |
2 172.1 | 2 062.7 | 1 836.8 |
| Other non -current non interest -bearing liabilities |
147.2 | 167.6 | 152.9 |
| Total non -current liabilities |
2 319.3 | 2 230.3 | 1 989.7 |
| Current interest -bearing liabilities |
583.1 | 207.1 | 380.6 |
| Other current non interest -bearing liabilities |
1 062.3 | 970.2 | 1 123.5 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 645.4 | 1 177.3 | 1 504.2 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 824.9 | 6 191.2 | 6 352.0 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 30.4 per share
Units
4 900
| Q2 17 | Q3 17 | Q4 17 | Q1 18 | Q2 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 165 | 178 | 168 | 185 | 181 |
| Number of construction starts | 318 | 77 | 217 | 102 | 234 |
| Number of units completed | 210 | 81 | 336 | 54 | 242 |
| Number of units delivered | 222 | 75 | 355 | 59 | 243 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 586 | 1 582 | 1 463 | 1 511 | 1 503 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 78% | 78% | 73% | 73% | 72% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 24 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 18 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 7 074 | 7 047 | 6 994 | 7 032 | 7 076 |
| Number of employees | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 95 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | ||||
| Operating revenues | 851.7 | 11.9 | 863.6 | |
| Project expenses | (645.9) | (0.4) | (646.3) | |
| Other operating expenses |
(12.5) | (59.2) | (71.7) | |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | 16.4 | - | 16.4 | |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - | |
| EBITDA | 209.7 | (47.7) | 162.0 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 652.6 | 11.9 | 664.5 |
| Project expenses | (447.2) | (0.4) | (447.6) |
| Other operating expenses | (12.5) | (59.2) | (71.7) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 192.9 | (47.7) | 145.2 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Untis sold net Units sold gross
MARKET
Note: In 2017 Greater Oslo had 23% of housing completions in Norway Source: Statistics Norway
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)
Source: Statistics Norway
60
MARKET
Source: OECD, Prognosesenteret
Household debt in % of net disposable income (2015) Homeownership rate (2016)
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