Q4 2018 results and market update
Disclaimer
All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Certain such forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "believe", "may", "will", "should", "would be", "expect" or "anticipate" or similar expressions, or the negative thereof, or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation as anticipated, believed or expected. Prosafe does not intend, and does not assume any obligation to update any industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this presentation to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.
Highlights
- Financial results
- Business & Operations
- Outlook
- Summary
Recent highlights – Q4 2018
Income statement
| (Unaudited figures in USD million) |
Q4 18 |
Q4 17 |
| Operating revenues |
74 |
77 |
| Operating expenses |
(45) |
(35) |
| Operating results before depreciation |
29 |
42 |
| Depreciation |
(29) |
(27) |
| Impairment |
(1) |
35 |
| Operating profit/(loss) |
(1) |
50 |
| Interest income |
1 |
0 |
| Interest expenses |
(16) |
(19) |
| Other financial items |
(11) |
11 |
| Net financial items |
(26) |
(7) |
| Profit (Loss) before taxes |
(27) |
43 |
| Taxes |
1 |
(3) |
| Net Profit (Loss) |
(26) |
40 |
|
|
|
| EPS |
(0.3) |
0.6 |
| Diluted EPS |
(0.3) |
0.5 |
- Highest quarterly fleet utilisation since Q3 2015 at 63% (Q4 2017: 36.1%).
- Lower operating revenues despite higher utilisation due to lower average dayrates – approx. USD 125k in 2018 vs approx. USD 230k in 2017.
- Higher operating expenses mainly driven by higher fleet utilisation and specifically more units in operation, the mobilisation cost of ca. USD 3 million relating to Safe Concordia's return to the Brazil market, and USD 2.7 million of non-recurring costs
- EBITDA of USD 29 million was negatively impacted by lower average day rates.
- Net financial items of USD 26 million largely from fair value adjustment on rate swaps and caps (Q4 2017: USD 7 million negative)
Balance sheet
| (Unaudited figures in USD million) |
31.12.18 |
30.09.18 |
31.12.17 |
|
|
|
|
| Vessels |
1,423 |
1,451 |
1,527 |
| New builds |
126 |
126 |
125 |
| Other non-current assets |
10 |
16 |
11 |
| Total non-current assets |
1,559 |
1,593 |
1,663 |
| Cash and deposits |
140 |
266 |
232 |
| Other current assets |
38 |
48 |
52 |
| Total current assets |
178 |
314 |
284 |
| Total assets |
1,737 |
1,907 |
1,947 |
|
|
|
|
| Total equity |
400 |
423 |
498 |
| Interest-free long-term liabilities |
19 |
34 |
58 |
| Interest-bearing long-term debt |
1,199 |
1,372 |
1,329 |
| Total long-term liabilities |
1,217 |
1,406 |
1,387 |
| Other interest-free current liabilities |
75 |
60 |
44 |
| Current portion of long-term debt |
45 |
19 |
19 |
| Total current liabilities |
120 |
78 |
63 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
1,737 |
1,907 |
1,947 |
| Key figures: |
|
|
|
| Working capital |
59 |
236 |
221 |
| Liquidity reserve |
277 |
266 |
232 |
| Interest-bearing debt |
1,243 |
1,390 |
1,348 |
| Net interest-bearing debt |
1,103 |
1,124 |
1,116 |
| Book equity ratio |
23% |
22% |
26% |
- Total assets of ca. USD 1.7 billion
- Reduced cash balance due to repayment of USD 137 million into committed Revolving Credit Facility (RCF) for optimal cash management . Liquidity reserve per Q4 2018 remains strong at USD 277 million
- Long term debt balance decreased mainly as a result of the repayment of USD 137 million into the RCF
- The increase in current debt was mainly due to reclassification of the remaining COSCO seller's credit balance from "long term" to "short term'
-
Book equity at 23%
-
Highlights
- Financial results
- Business & Operations
- Outlook
- Summary
Prosafe - Transformed and repositioned
Modernized the fleet Financing flexibility |
o Add three versatile units with global reach o 50% of the fleet will be less than 4 years old o th Safe Astoria scrapped – 6 vessel scrapped since 2016 o Limited debt service and interest expenses in the years to come o Covenant relief & maturity extension option |
| Positioned for next phase |
o Employment of Cosco vessels – First in Brazil auction for 3-year contract o Consider opportunities to add further to the fleet |
|
o Consolidation |
Fleet status: Contracts, wins and extensions
Fixtures Q4 2018
UKCS surge in MMO
- High demand in recent years driven by major hook up and commissioning activity, although transition to MMO going forward
- Turnaround and life-time extensions expected to drive significand demand in the next 5 years
- 2020 Forties pipeline maintenance shutdown is triggering activity on production hubs
- 1990's installed platforms primarily are calling for high shares of MMO demand due to 'lean design'
- Significant interest from 13 operators to grow UKCS portfolio
- Production decline from 2025 will stimulate extended oil recovery and exploration activity
Norwegian Shelf – positive activity indications
- Anticipated demand driven primarily by maintenance requirements linked to lifetime extension
- Entrance of new operators like in the UK could be a positive factor supporting this type of activity
- Optimism warranted for the longer term
Key Brazil developments
- Prosafe came first in Brazil auction. Will mobilize Safe Eurus if contract awarded
- Even upon conclusion of the tenders, contracted supply considered insufficient to meet Petrobras' near/ medium term demand
- Petrobras offshore MMO spending forecast to exceed US\$3.5 billion in 2020 – the first time this threshold will be exceeded
- IOC's will also drive demand, with Equinor anticipated to have requirements over the existing contracted units based on committed and forecasted spending increase
IOC offshore spending increase
Source: Rystad Energy
Indicative re Prosafe's newbuild COSCO units *
Mexico – Indicators pointing to activity growth from 2020
- Average age of offshore facilities in Mexico is over 25 years
- Over 50% of infrastructure weight was installed prior to 1991
- New President 'AMLO' focus on increasing production by 800,000 bpd to 2.6m bpd
- Increase in production will have a USD 20 billion price tag
- Free cash flow increasing since 2016
- Budget stabilizing growth next?
- Tenders ongoing in other segments e.g drilling
Offshore facilities by installation year (topside weight)
Source: Rystad Energy / Prosafe
Tender activity significantly increased in 2018
Demand has finally started to materialize on the back of strong market fundamentals
* Not including TSV
Source: Prosafe SE
Order backlog
- Prosafe's firm backlog was USD 209 million per end Q4 2018
- Awarded 41% and 76%, respectively, of global and North Sea contracts' bid for last 6 years
Prospects & tendering – 3 year lookout
- 13 tenders ongoing for 2019 through 2021
- 12 tenders with commencement dates in 2019
- 21 North Sea prospects with high probability of going to tender next 3 years
- 11 prospects with high probability of going to tender within Americas
- Longer term tenders materialised outside the North Sea
- Tender activity at a high level
Global opportunities Tendering activity – 3 year profile
Source: Prosafe
- Highlights
- Financial results
- Business & Operations
- Outlook
Summary
Summary
- Highest quarterly utilisation since Q3 2015
- High activity
- Maintenance & Modification activity returning
- Prosafe came first in Brazil auction. Will mobilize Safe Eurus if contract awarded
- Safe Concordia commenced contract in Brazil
- Contract wins for Regalia in 2019 and for Safe Caledonia in 2020
- Tender activity continues to pick up
- Dayrates anticipated to continue to improve following activity increase from 2020
- Consolidation / fleet enhancement remains on the agenda
Appendix
Operating revenue
| (USD million) |
Q4 18 |
Q3 18 |
Q4 17 |
12M 18 |
12M 17 |
2017 |
| Charter income |
59.3 |
54.5 |
70.6 |
260.6 |
256.1 |
256.1 |
| Other income (incl amortization of fees) |
14.8 |
19.1 |
6.1 |
70.2 |
26.9 |
26.9 |
| Total |
74.1 |
73.6 |
76.7 |
330.8 |
283.0 |
283.0 |
* Q4 18 other income includes IFRS 15 revenue adjustment of USD 1.8 million; 12M 18 other income includes IFRS 15 revenue adjustment of USD 24.5 million