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Prosafe SE

Earnings Release Feb 5, 2019

3718_rns_2019-02-05_9c194986-c31c-46ef-b79c-b104e2291ab7.pdf

Earnings Release

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Q4 2018 results and market update

Disclaimer

All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Certain such forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "believe", "may", "will", "should", "would be", "expect" or "anticipate" or similar expressions, or the negative thereof, or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation as anticipated, believed or expected. Prosafe does not intend, and does not assume any obligation to update any industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this presentation to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

Highlights

  • Financial results
  • Business & Operations
  • Outlook
  • Summary

Recent highlights – Q4 2018

  • Strong utilisation
  • Utilisation of 100% owned vessels in Q4 of 63% (36.1%) the highest utilisation since Q3 2015. Utilisation for the full year 2018 was 47.3% (38.4%)
  • Financial results
  • EBITDA before non-recurring items of USD 31.7 million (USD 29 million reported)
  • Cash flow from operations was USD 25.6 million (USD 44.2 million) and cash balance of USD 140.3 million (USD 231.9 million) with a total liquidity reserve of USD 277.3 million
  • High activity
  • In January, Prosafe came first in Brazil auction. Will mobilize Safe Eurus if contract awarded
  • Safe Concordia commenced contract in Brazil
  • Contract wins for Regalia in 2019 and for Safe Caledonia in 2020
  • Maintenance & Modification activity returning
  • Tender activity continues to pick up

  • Highlights

  • Financial results
  • Business & Operations
  • Outlook
  • Summary

Income statement

(Unaudited figures in USD million) Q4 18 Q4 17
Operating revenues 74 77
Operating expenses (45) (35)
Operating results before depreciation 29 42
Depreciation (29) (27)
Impairment (1) 35
Operating profit/(loss) (1) 50
Interest income 1 0
Interest expenses (16) (19)
Other financial items (11) 11
Net financial items (26) (7)
Profit (Loss) before taxes (27) 43
Taxes 1 (3)
Net Profit (Loss) (26) 40
EPS (0.3) 0.6
Diluted EPS (0.3) 0.5
  • Highest quarterly fleet utilisation since Q3 2015 at 63% (Q4 2017: 36.1%).
  • Lower operating revenues despite higher utilisation due to lower average dayrates – approx. USD 125k in 2018 vs approx. USD 230k in 2017.
  • Higher operating expenses mainly driven by higher fleet utilisation and specifically more units in operation, the mobilisation cost of ca. USD 3 million relating to Safe Concordia's return to the Brazil market, and USD 2.7 million of non-recurring costs
  • EBITDA of USD 29 million was negatively impacted by lower average day rates.
  • Net financial items of USD 26 million largely from fair value adjustment on rate swaps and caps (Q4 2017: USD 7 million negative)

Balance sheet

(Unaudited figures in USD million) 31.12.18 30.09.18 31.12.17
Vessels 1,423 1,451 1,527
New builds 126 126 125
Other non-current assets 10 16 11
Total non-current assets 1,559 1,593 1,663
Cash and deposits 140 266 232
Other current assets 38 48 52
Total current assets 178 314 284
Total assets 1,737 1,907 1,947
Total equity 400 423 498
Interest-free long-term liabilities 19 34 58
Interest-bearing long-term debt 1,199 1,372 1,329
Total long-term liabilities 1,217 1,406 1,387
Other interest-free current liabilities 75 60 44
Current portion of long-term debt 45 19 19
Total current liabilities 120 78 63
Total equity and liabilities 1,737 1,907 1,947
Key figures:
Working capital 59 236 221
Liquidity reserve 277 266 232
Interest-bearing debt 1,243 1,390 1,348
Net interest-bearing debt 1,103 1,124 1,116
Book equity ratio 23% 22% 26%
  • Total assets of ca. USD 1.7 billion
  • Reduced cash balance due to repayment of USD 137 million into committed Revolving Credit Facility (RCF) for optimal cash management . Liquidity reserve per Q4 2018 remains strong at USD 277 million
  • Long term debt balance decreased mainly as a result of the repayment of USD 137 million into the RCF
  • The increase in current debt was mainly due to reclassification of the remaining COSCO seller's credit balance from "long term" to "short term'
  • Book equity at 23%

  • Highlights

  • Financial results
  • Business & Operations
  • Outlook
  • Summary

Prosafe - Transformed and repositioned

Modernized the fleet
Financing flexibility
o
Add three versatile units with global reach
o
50% of the fleet will be less than 4 years old
o
th
Safe Astoria scrapped –
6
vessel scrapped since 2016
o
Limited debt service and interest expenses in the years to come
o
Covenant relief & maturity extension option
Positioned for next phase o
Employment of Cosco vessels –
First in Brazil auction for 3-year
contract
o
Consider opportunities to add further to the fleet
o
Consolidation

Fleet status: Contracts, wins and extensions

Fixtures Q4 2018

  • Safe Caledonia 80 days firm award with a 30-day option with a major oil and gas operator, UKCS. Ability to substitute the vessel with another from within the fleet; Summer 2020
  • Regalia 60 days firm award with a 30-day option with a major oil and gas operator, UKCS; Summer 2019

  • Highlights

  • Financial results
  • Business & Operations
  • Outlook
  • Summary

UKCS surge in MMO

  • High demand in recent years driven by major hook up and commissioning activity, although transition to MMO going forward
  • Turnaround and life-time extensions expected to drive significand demand in the next 5 years
  • 2020 Forties pipeline maintenance shutdown is triggering activity on production hubs
  • 1990's installed platforms primarily are calling for high shares of MMO demand due to 'lean design'
  • Significant interest from 13 operators to grow UKCS portfolio
  • Production decline from 2025 will stimulate extended oil recovery and exploration activity

Norwegian Shelf – positive activity indications

  • Anticipated demand driven primarily by maintenance requirements linked to lifetime extension
  • Entrance of new operators like in the UK could be a positive factor supporting this type of activity
  • Optimism warranted for the longer term

Key Brazil developments

  • Prosafe came first in Brazil auction. Will mobilize Safe Eurus if contract awarded
  • Even upon conclusion of the tenders, contracted supply considered insufficient to meet Petrobras' near/ medium term demand
  • Petrobras offshore MMO spending forecast to exceed US\$3.5 billion in 2020 – the first time this threshold will be exceeded
  • IOC's will also drive demand, with Equinor anticipated to have requirements over the existing contracted units based on committed and forecasted spending increase

IOC offshore spending increase

Source: Rystad Energy

Indicative re Prosafe's newbuild COSCO units *

  • Very competitive cash break-even

  • Illustration shows minimum cash cost elements with COSCO financing package (assuming indicative USD 40k/day OPEX)

  • Significantly lower cash break even rates than with a conventional debt financing structure
  • The delivery of Safe Vega and Safe Nova would increase the margin with 22.5 bps each (45 bps in total) of the USD 1.3 billion facility and/or issuing of warrants (see lender chapter)
  • Assuming no interest applies under the yard financing

Mexico – Indicators pointing to activity growth from 2020

  • Average age of offshore facilities in Mexico is over 25 years
  • Over 50% of infrastructure weight was installed prior to 1991
  • New President 'AMLO' focus on increasing production by 800,000 bpd to 2.6m bpd
  • Increase in production will have a USD 20 billion price tag
  • Free cash flow increasing since 2016
  • Budget stabilizing growth next?
  • Tenders ongoing in other segments e.g drilling

Offshore facilities by installation year (topside weight)

Source: Rystad Energy / Prosafe

Tender activity significantly increased in 2018

Demand has finally started to materialize on the back of strong market fundamentals

* Not including TSV

Source: Prosafe SE

Order backlog

  • Prosafe's firm backlog was USD 209 million per end Q4 2018
  • Awarded 41% and 76%, respectively, of global and North Sea contracts' bid for last 6 years

Prospects & tendering – 3 year lookout

  • 13 tenders ongoing for 2019 through 2021
  • 12 tenders with commencement dates in 2019
  • 21 North Sea prospects with high probability of going to tender next 3 years
  • 11 prospects with high probability of going to tender within Americas
  • Longer term tenders materialised outside the North Sea
  • Tender activity at a high level

Global opportunities Tendering activity – 3 year profile

Source: Prosafe

  • Highlights
  • Financial results
  • Business & Operations
  • Outlook

Summary

Summary

  • Highest quarterly utilisation since Q3 2015
  • High activity
  • Maintenance & Modification activity returning
  • Prosafe came first in Brazil auction. Will mobilize Safe Eurus if contract awarded
  • Safe Concordia commenced contract in Brazil
  • Contract wins for Regalia in 2019 and for Safe Caledonia in 2020
  • Tender activity continues to pick up
  • Dayrates anticipated to continue to improve following activity increase from 2020
  • Consolidation / fleet enhancement remains on the agenda

Appendix

Operating revenue

(USD million) Q4 18 Q3 18 Q4 17 12M 18 12M 17 2017
Charter income 59.3 54.5 70.6 260.6 256.1 256.1
Other income (incl amortization of fees) 14.8 19.1 6.1 70.2 26.9 26.9
Total 74.1 73.6 76.7 330.8 283.0 283.0

* Q4 18 other income includes IFRS 15 revenue adjustment of USD 1.8 million; 12M 18 other income includes IFRS 15 revenue adjustment of USD 24.5 million

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