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Aker BP

Earnings Release Feb 6, 2019

3528_rns_2019-02-06_90c4894a-4a5b-4e27-9981-6a577460fbf5.pdf

Earnings Release

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Fourth Quarter 2018

Aker BP ASA

Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO David Torvik Tønne, CFO 6 February 2019

Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document. Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

AKER BP 2018 Highlights

AKER BP Fourth quarter 2018 highlights

Operations

  • Production increased to 156 mboepd
  • New wells on stream at Alvheim and Valhall
  • Field developments on track

Finance

  • Adj. EBITDA USD 667 million1)
  • Dividend USD 0.31 per share
  • Net debt reduced to USD 1.97 billion

Business development

  • Acquisitions of King Lear and Total portfolio completed
  • Hess tax loss refunded
Key figures Q4-18 Q4-17 2018 2017
Production mboepd 155.7 135.6 155.7 138.8
Realized oil price USD/bbl 64.3 64.6 71.9 56.2
Realized gas price USD/scm 0.30 0.26 0.29 0.21
Total income USDm 886 726 3 750 2 563
Operating profit USDm 403 305 1 775 1 556
Profit before taxes USDm 359 248 1 805 811
Net profit USDm 54 34 476 275
Effective tax rate USDm 85% 86% 74% 66%
EPS USD 0.15 0.10 1.32 0.81
DPS USD 0.31 0.19 1.25 0.74

Discovery at Froskelår EXPLORATION

Growing the Alvheim area resource base

Preliminary results

  • Oil and gas
  • Within pre-drill range of 45-153 mmboe
  • May straddle UK-Norway border

Drilling operation ongoing

  • Coring and data acquisition
  • Horisontal sidetrack

Way forward

  • Drill test producer on Frosk also testing Froskelår NE
  • Rumpetroll exploration well
  • Concept studies based on results

OPERATIONS Record production and high regularity

Production per hub, mboepd

Production efficiency per hub

NCS DRILLING EFFICIENCY Leading drilling performance

Exploration wells by operator 2018

FIELD DEVELOPMENTS ON TRACK Improvement program showing tangible results

Example: Valhall Flank West

Benchmark Current estimate

LEAN MINDSET Reducing cost, waste and emissions

CO2 emissions intensity1)

kg CO2 per boe produced (2017)

The world's first offshore lifeboat with electric propulsion

  • Latest design of BMW Li-ion batteries
  • Successful Factory Acceptance Test performed in January 2019
  • 50 % cost reduction on regular inspection and maintenance

Digitalization demonstrating its value in production optimization DIGITALIZATION GAINING MOMENTUM Optimizing production with artificial intelligence

Examples


Chalk influx a challenge at Valhall
Chalk influx
prediction

By using machine learning on production data from
the Cognite
data platform (CDP) the chalk influx
can be predicted and well breakdown deferrals can
be avoided

Dynamic modelling of max flow

  • Multiphase flow meters on 3rd party separator at Alvheim need to be calibrated monthly. During the calibration the fixed limit of the Alvheim separator becomes a constraint, and production is deferred
  • New tool reduce deferrals by providing live optimized production limits based on current fluid conditions

STRATEGIC ALLIANCES Alliances established as a key pillar in improvement agenda Reshaping the value chain with alliances

Growing the resource base in 2018 OPERATIONAL REVIEW

Development in 2P reserves (mmboe) Development in 2C contingent resources (mmboe)

EXPLORATION 2018 exploration highlights

Value creation from 2018 exploration

120-280

USD million1)

Frosk oil discovery

~50

mmboe (gross)

APA 2018 awards

21 new licences (11 operated)

1) Estimated NPV10 of Frosk and Gekko discoveries (oil price range USD 50-70 per barrel)

Gekko appraisal

~40

mmboe (gross)

EXPLORATION 2019 exploration program

License Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Pre-drill
mmboe
PL869 Froskelår Main Aker BP 60% 45
-153
PL869 Froskelår NE Aker BP 60% 7
-23
PL869 Rumpetroll Aker BP 60% 45
-148
PL033 Hod Deep West Aker BP 90% 2
-22
PL916 JK Aker BP 40% 100
-420
PL857 Gjøkåsen Equinor 20% 26
-1427
PL782S Busta ConocoPhillips 20% 54
-199
PL942 Ørn Equinor 30% 8
-40
PL777 Hornet Aker BP 40% 14
-137
PL814 Freke-Garm Aker BP 40% 16
-81
PL502 Klaff Equinor 22% 50
-372
PL762 Vågar Aker BP 20% 62
-128
PL019C Kark Aker BP 60% 15
-48
PL838 Shrek PGNIG 30% 10
-22
TBD NOAKA area Aker BP

Currently drilling

Planned to be drilled in 2019

AKER BP New members of Executive Management Team

Lene Landøy, SVP Strategy & Business Development

Lene Landøy (born 1979) comes from the position of VP Strategy, Portfolio and Analysis and has been with the company since January 2017. Landøy has a master's degree in finance, from NHH Norwegian School of Economics / University of California Los Angeles (UCLA). She also holds a master's degree in international finance from the Skema Business School in France. Prior to joining Aker BP, she led Equinor's business development unit on the Norwegian shelf.

David Tønne, Chief Financial Officer

David Tønne (born 1985) comes from the position of VP Corporate Controlling in Aker BP and has been with the company since January 2017. Tønne holds a master's degree in finance from NHH Norwegian School of Economics. Prior to Aker BP, he worked for seven years in The Boston Consulting Group's Oil and Gas team.

Financial review

FINANCIAL REVIEW 2018 financial highlights

USD million

Statement of income FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2017 2018 2017
Total operating income 886 1,000 726 3,750 2,563
Production costs 187 165 147 689 523
Other
operating expenses
8 4 14 17 28
EBITDAX 692 830 565 3,044 2,012
Exploration expenses 72 94 56 296 226
EBITDA 619 736 509 2,748 1,786
Depreciation 196 189 183 752 727
Impairment losses 20 - 21 20 52
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 403 548 305 1975 1,007
Net financial
items
(44) (58) (57) (171) (196)
Profit/loss before taxes 359 490 248 1,805 811
Tax (+) / Tax income (-) 305 365 214 1,328 536
Net profit/loss 54 125 34 476 275
EPS (USD) 0.15 0.35 0.10 1.32 0.81

Statement of financial position FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million

Assets 31.12.18 30.09.18 31.12.17
Goodwill 1,860 1,860 1,860
Other intangible
assets
2,433 1,979 1,982
Property, plant
and equipment
5,746 6,039 5,582
Receivables and other assets 681 752 775
Calculated
tax receivables (short)
11 1,607 1,586
Cash and
cash equivalents
45 127 233
Total
Assets
10,777 12,364 12,019
Equity and liabilities 31.12.18 30.09.18 31.12.17
Equity 2,990 3,083 2,989
Other provisions for liabilities incl.
P&A (long)
2,581 3,024 2,942
Deferred
tax
1,800 1,671 1,307
Bonds 1,110 1,122 622
Bank debt 908 1,853 2,767
Other current liabilities incl. P&A 835 857 1,041
Tax payable 552 754 351
Total
Equity and liabilities
10,777 12,364 12,019

Fourth quarter cash flow FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million

Tax payments FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million

21 1) Estimated current tax on income for fiscal year 2019 at various oil price scenarios, assuming USDNOK 8.5. Excluding potential payments related to uncertain tax cases.

FINANCIAL REVIEW Guidance summary

2018 guidance 2018 actual 2019 guidance1)
Production 155-160 mboepd 155.7 mboepd 155-160 mboepd
Capex USD 1.25 billion USD 1.20 billion USD 1.6 billion
Exploration spend USD 400 million USD 359 million USD 500 million
Abandonment spend USD 250 million USD 243 million USD 150 million
Production cost per boe USD ~12 USD 12.1 USD ~12.5
Dividends USD 450 million USD 450 million USD 750 million

Concluding remarks

AKER BP Priorities ahead

e
t
u
c
e
x
E

Safe and efficient
operations

Excellent
project
execution
e
v
o
r
p
m
I

Lead the
digital
transformation

Reorganize
value
chains
with
alliances

Apply
new
technology to drive value
creation
w
o
r
G

High exploration
activity

Maturing resources
to reserves

Dividend plan (USD million)

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