Investor Presentation • Feb 13, 2019
Investor Presentation
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Oslo 13 February 2019 Olav H. Selvaag, acting CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
Earnings per share Dividend per share
NOK million
Units
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Units
Note: EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs
FINANCIAL UPDATE
NOK million
Operating revenues Adjusted EBITDA margin
FINANCIAL UPDATE
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP) Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies
Note: Amounts below NOK 15m are excluded from the cash flow overview
CF from investment
Net change in
borrowings
Cash and cash equivalents at 31 December 2018
| Book value of equity increased by ▪ |
NOK million | |
|---|---|---|
| NOK 4.20 to NOK 33.20 per share | 7 000 | |
| Equity ratio 48.0% ▪ |
6 000 | Non-current assets |
| Changes from Q3 2018: ▪ |
5 000 | |
| Inventories decreased by NOK 638m ▪ Trade receivables decreased by NOK 14m ▪ |
4 000 | |
| Cash increased by NOK 235m ▪ |
3 000 | Current assets |
| Prepayments from customer's accounts ▪ |
2 000 | |
| for NOK 201m of other current non interest-bearing liabilities |
1 000 | |
| 0 | Cash | |
Assets Equity and Liabilities
Current liabilities
Non-current liabilities
NOK million
| Loan facility | Drawn at 31 Dec. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NOK 500 million revolving credit facility from DNB maturing in 2022 |
0 | 3.40% |
| 2 | NOK 150 million working capital facility from DNB maturing in 2019 |
0 | 2.00% |
| 3 | Land loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
1 356 |
2.00% - 2.50% |
| 4 | Construction loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
960 | 1.75% - 2.60% |
Total Q3 2018 net interest-bearing debt NOK 2 273 million
NOK million
NOK million
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)
Earnings per share Dividend per share
FINANCIAL UPDATE
21
Land bank development
Market
Note: Joint ventures and land options not included in the valuation
▪ Delivery in accordance with expectations
Delivery to customers
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs
Geographical spread
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 December 2018. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~5 600 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~5 100 and purchasing options for ~500 units.
Selected upcoming projects in Oslo Metropolitan Area
27
• Oslo Metropolitan Area • ~ 1 000 units • Sales start: Q1 2019
31
Source: Statistics Norway
*Greater Oslo = Oslo and Akershus Source: Statistics Norway (medium alternative)
Share of total population in Oslo and Akershus Share of population growth in Oslo and Akershus
Source: Ny Analyse, Oslo kommune, Statistics Norway (SSB), Prognosesenteret (Forecasted housing need)
34 Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing
Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90
* Only 800 units zoned for housing in 2018
Number of units completed in Oslo, 2006-2018
Forecasted housing need of 4 500 units per year until 2023 (medium alternative)
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Ny Analyse and Selvaag Bolig
Source: Røisland
New homes (not built) available for sale
Source: Finn.no
* Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi and Eiendom Norge
Price increase of 2.8% year to date Price increase of 5.3% year to date Price increase of 3.9% year to date
▪ Record high deliveries yielding strong quarterly and annual IFRS results
▪ Dividend proposal of NOK 2.50 per share for H2'18 - NOK 4.50 for FY 2018
▪ External land bank valuation of NOK 3.2bn vs. book value of NOK 1.6bn
Next event: 1 st quarter 2019 15 May 2019
Peers
Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent
APPENDIX
Accumulated dividend per share since IPO in June 2012
Source: Oslo Børs
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en
** The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| LANDSFORSAKRINGAR FASTIGHETSFOND | 5 653 788 | 6.0% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc. *) | 2 744 671 | 2.9% |
| PARETO INVEST AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| SEB PRIME SOLUTIONS SISSENER CANOP | 1 600 000 | 1.7% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 596 366 | 1.7% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) | 1 006 629 | 1.1% |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London *) | 966 761 | 1.0% |
| FLPS - GL S-M SUB | 940 800 | 1.0% |
| HOLBERG NORGE | 936 553 | 1.0% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 846 619 | 0.9% |
| SELVAAG BOLIG ASA **) | 837 068 | 0.9% |
| Baard Schumann | 777 127 | 0.8% |
| J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A. *) | 774 862 | 0.8% |
| BANAN II AS | 600 000 | 0.6% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) | 590 520 | 0.6% |
| STOREBRAND NORGE I VERDIPAPIRFOND | 581 069 | 0.6% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. International | 579 538 | 0.6% |
| SPARHANS AS | 476 221 | 0.5% |
| GEMSCO AS | 460 400 | 0.5% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 74 214 703 | 79.1% |
| Other shareholders | 19 550 985 | 20.9% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
▪ Target 100% sale at delivery
▪ Delivery in accordance with expectations
Delivery to customers
▪ Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
▪ SBO is in charge of the zoning process
▪ Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
▪ The median valuation is used as purchase price
▪ Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
▪ 10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
▪ Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
▪ Project costs are secured before construction starts
Competitive housing offering, targeting growth regions
Efficient and flexible cost structure
Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet
Large, actively-managed land bank
| (figures in NOK million) | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 1 624.7 | 1 258.8 | 3 342.1 | 3 228.8 |
| Project expenses | (1 127.4) | (982.9) | (2 421.6) | (2 432.8) |
| Other operating expenses | (82.1) | (65.1) | (268.1) | (234.7) |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | 56.8 | 3.7 | 101.8 | (13.6) |
| EBITDA | 471.992 | 214.486 | 754.187 | 547.737 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (0.9) | (1.0) | (3.7) | (4.1) |
| EBIT | 471.1 | 213.5 | 750.5 | 543.7 |
| Net financial expenses | (2.1) | (2.6) | (18.0) | (39.9) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 469.0 | 210.9 | 732.5 | 503.8 |
| Income taxes | (105.7) | (48.7) | (165.6) | (102.7) |
| Net income | 363.2 | 162.2 | 566.8 | 401.1 |
| Non-controlling interests | (0.0) | (0.0) | (0.1) | 0.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 363.3 | 162.2 | 566.9 | 401.0 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 675.1 | 506.3 | 427.0 | 303.2 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (59.2) | 29.6 | 20.6 | (114.1) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (381.0) | (289.5) | (276.1) | (589.8) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 234.9 | 246.4 | 171.5 | (400.6) |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period | 422.1 | 239.1 | 485.6 | 886.2 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 657.0 | 485.6 | 657.0 | 485.6 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 33.1 per share
| (figures in NOK million) | Q4 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q3 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 8.6 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 415.3 | 305.2 | 307.6 |
| Other non-current assets | 445.4 | 348.3 | 372.1 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 252.6 | 1 046.3 | 1 071.5 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 306.3 | 4 944.8 | 4 778.8 |
| - Land | 1 600.3 | 1 905.9 | 1 682.4 |
| - Work in progress | 2 539.8 | 2 942.4 | 2 866.5 |
| - Finished goods | 166.2 | 96.5 | 229.9 |
| Other current receivables | 275.2 | 257.6 | 247.9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 657.0 | 422.1 | 239.1 |
| Total current assets | 5 238.5 | 5 624.5 | 5 265.8 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 491.1 | 6 670.8 | 6 337.4 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 3 106.8 | 2 722.3 | 2 679.2 |
| Non-controlling interests | 9.4 | 9.3 | 9.4 |
| Total equity | 3 116.1 | 2 731.7 | 2 688.7 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 795.8 | 1 897.1 | 1 923.0 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 148.2 | 147.2 | 167.5 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1 944.0 | 2 044.3 | 2 090.4 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 520.5 | 797.9 | 573.7 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 910.4 | 1 097.0 | 984.6 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 430.9 | 1 894.9 | 1 558.3 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 491.1 | 6 670.8 | 6 337.4 |
Units
| Q4 17 | Q1 18 | Q2 18 | Q3 18 | Q4 18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 168 | 185 | 181 | 182 | 148 |
| Number of construction starts | 217 | 102 | 234 | 102 | 402 |
| Number of units completed | 336 | 54 | 242 | 117 | 441 |
| Number of units delivered | 355 | 59 | 243 | 126 | 421 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 463 | 1 511 | 1 503 | 1 488 | 1 449 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 73 % | 73 % | 72 % | 74 % | 66 % |
| Number of completed unsold units | 23 | 19 | 18 | 12 | 26 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 6 994 | 7 032 | 7 076 | 6 908 | 6 712 |
| Number of employees | 100 | 100 | 95 | 91 | 91 |
| Property | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | development | Other | Total |
| Operating revenues | 1 018.4 | 14.4 | 1 032.8 |
| Project expenses | (754.9) | (0.3) | (755.2) |
| Other operating expenses | (23.3) | (58.7) | (82.1) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 240.1 | (44.6) | 195.5 |
| Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting. | |||
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 1 610.2 | 14.4 | 1 624.7 |
| Project expenses | (1 127.0) | (0.3) | (1 127.4) |
| Other operating expenses | (23.3) | (58.7) | (82.1) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies | |||
| and joint ventures | 56.8 | - | 56.8 |
| EBITDA | 516.6 | (44.6) | 472.0 |
| Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies |
| Property | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | development | Other | Total |
| Operating revenues | 2 928.7 | 46.1 | 2 974.8 |
| Project expenses | (2 093.6) | (0.7) | (2 094.3) |
| Other operating expenses | (64.4) | (203.7) | (268.1) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 770.7 | (158.3) | 612.4 |
| Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting. | |||
| IFRS EBITDA full year per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 3 296.0 | 46.1 | 3 342.1 |
| Project expenses | (2 421.0) | (0.7) | (2 421.6) |
| Other operating expenses | (64.4) | (203.7) | (268.1) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies | |||
| and joint ventures | 101.8 | - | 101.8 |
| EBITDA | 912.5 | (158.3) | 754.2 |
| Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies |
APPENDIX
Sales value of sold units (net) Sales value of sold units (gross)
APPENDIX
Untis sold net Units sold gross
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)
Household debt in % of net disposable income (2015) Homeownership rate (2016)
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