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Elmera Group ASA

Investor Presentation Feb 14, 2019

3591_rns_2019-02-14_ea1a14d7-525e-40ea-ae97-2722d7f4b972.pdf

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Q4 2018 PRESENTATION

Rolf Barmen (CEO) Birte Strander (CFO)

Oslo, 14th February

Q4 2018 HIGHLIGHTS

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Highlights fourth quarter 2018

Strong performance in a competitive quarter


Adjusted net revenue was NOK 304.6m, +15% YoY
---------------------------------------------------- --
  • Adjusted EBIT increased +12% YoY and was NOK 107.1m
  • +14% YoY growth in deliveries, of which 2% organic

Quarter over quarter growth:

  • Consumer & Business: +8,687
  • Extended Alliance: -59
  • Mobile Subscriptions: +4,763
  • The Oppdal and Etne acquisitions successfully implemented during Q4 2018
  • Gross revenue increasing +55% YoY, reflecting volume growth (+9%) and significantly higher elspot prices than last year (+56%)1
Key Highlights
2
# of deliveries (end of period)
Net change in # of deliveries
604 973 8 687
Increase of 14 % YoY Of which org. growth: 2 108
Volume sold 3 Gross revenue
3 961 GWh NOK
2 179,1m
Increase of 9 % YoY Increase of
55 %
YoY
2 Net revenue (adj.) 4 K6 4
EBIT (adj.)
NOK 304,6m NOK
107,1m
9 Increase of 15 % YoY
K7
35 %
Adj. EBIT margin (this q.)
EPS (reported) K13NIBD (cash)
NOK
0,68
(NOK 131,2m)
Increase of 5 % YoY K19NIBD/LTM EBITDA:
-0,27

Sources: Company information

  • 1) Arithmetic average difference in Nordpool's daily system prices in NOK between Q4 2018 and Q4 2017
  • 2) Number of deliveries excl. Extended Alliance deliveries. Number of deliveries incl. Extended Alliance deliveries: 638,437
  • 3) Not including Alliance volume. Volume turnover for alliance partners Q4 2018: 1,358 GWh

4) Adj. Net revenue and EBIT are reported figures adjusted for any estimate deviations on sales and distribution of electricity related to previous reporting periods and unallocated items (incl. unrealised gains and losses on financial derivatives, depreciations from acquisitions and non-recurring cost/revenue)

| Quarterly Presentation | Q4 2018

BUSINESS REVIEW

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Market development

Key highlights in Q4 2018

  • Increasing prices throughout the fourth quarter
  • Q4 2018 elspot prices 56% higher than in Q4 20171
  • Warmer than normal weather in three out of three months2
  • October: +0.5°C above normal
  • November: +3.7°C above normal
  • December: +2.2°C above normal
  • NVE figures for Q3 shows an increasing churn in both the Consumer and Business segment

Weekly elspot prices (NOK/kWh)3

Sources:

  • 1) Arithmetic average difference in Nordpool's daily system prices in NOK between Q4 2018 and Q4 2017
  • 2) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports
  • 3) Weekly system prices in NOK from Nordpool
  • 4) Figures from the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy directorate

Segment development - Consumer

Key highlights in Q4 2018

  • Strong organic development quarter over quarter
  • Net additions in Q4 2018 were 9.460, of which 3.698 organic
    • The deliveries from Oppdal and Etne acquisitions included as of Q4 2018, amounting to 5,762 deliveries
  • Volume growth of 7% YoY driven by growth in # of deliveries
  • Avg. volume per delivery decreasing -5% YoY 3,959 kWh in Q4 2018 vs. 4,184 kWh in Q4 2017

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

# of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

| Quarterly Presentation | Q4 2018

Segment development - Business

  • Decrease in deliveries driven by loss of tender contract - limited financial impact
  • Net additions in Q4 2018 were -773
    • The deliveries from Oppdal and Etne acquisitions included as of Q4 2018, amounting to 817 deliveries
  • Volume growth of 12% YoY driven by growth in # of deliveries
  • Avg. volume per delivery decreasing -9% YoY 24,771 kWh in Q4 2018 vs. 27,250 kWh in Q4 2017

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

Key highlights in Q4 2018 # of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

| Quarterly Presentation | Q4 2018

New Growth Initiatives

  • The organic growth in mobile subscribers continues
  • Growth of 4,763 subscribers in Q4 2018
  • Continued positive development in mobile margins
  • 16% YoY Alliance volume growth
  • Flat development in Extended Alliance (-59 deliveries), as Statnett's Elhub project prevents implementation of new partners until 1 May 2019

Key highlights in Q4 2018 # of Mobile subscribers1 ('000)

Sources: Company information

1) Number of mobile subscribers at the end of the period

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Birte Strander (CFO)

Continued growth in adj. net revenue

Change in adj. net revenue (NOKm) Adj. net revenue LTM (NOKm)

  • Adjusted net revenue increased +15% YoY
  • Net revenue growth driven by the Consumer and Business segments
  • ~ 40/60 split between improved margins and volume growth1
  • Variable products positively affected in Q4 by the price drop at the end of Q3, however partly offset by increasing prices throughout Q4
  • LTM adjusted net revenue increasing with +18% YoY
  • ~ 40/60 split between improved margins and volume growth1
  • 1 pp of the increase is related to New Growth Initiatives

Sources: Company information

1) New Growth Initiatives figures are excluded from the calculations, as high volumes with very low margins distorts the analysis

Solid adj. EBIT performance

Change in adj. EBIT (NOKm)

Adj. EBIT LTM (NOKm)

  • 12% increase in adjusted EBIT YoY
  • EBIT adj. improvement mainly driven by the Business segment
  • Adj. OPEX increase YoY mainly in the consumer segment, driven by sales and marketing costs, customer service costs and other variable costs
  • All time high adj. EBIT LTM, with a YoY increase of 10%
  • Positive development in adj. LTM EBIT margin with a flat trend over the last three quarters

Sources: Company information

Adj. net revenue and adj. EBIT by segment – quarterly

  • Increase in adj. net revenue driven ~50/50 by improved margins and volume growth
  • 5 pp adj. EBIT margin contraction YoY

  • Volume growth accounting for ~60% of the adj. net revenue improvement

  • 6 pp adj. EBIT margin improvement YoY, driven by scale and net revenue growth

  • Adj. net revenue growth driven by Mobile

  • Continued positive development in mobile margins - reduced data cost from Telenor with a positive impact
  • YoY adj. EBIT improvement driven by Mobile

Sources: Company information

Net working capital increasing from last quarter

Net working capital1 (NOKm)

  • Net working capital (NWC) increased by 49 NOKm from last quarter due to seasonally higher volume. Prices decrease 5%2 from Q3 to Q4
  • NWC is increasing 109 NOKm YoY, driven by volume growth (+9%)3 and higher prices (+56%)2
  • Capitalised sales commissions increasing 4 NOKm from last quarter, driven by increased sales activity in Q4

Sources: Company information

1) NWC includes the following items from current assets: Inventories, intangible assets, trade receivables, derivative financial instruments and other current assets (that is, all current assets in the balance sheet except cash and cash equivalents); and the following items from current liabilities; trade payables, current income tax liabilities, derivative financial instruments, social security and other taxes and other current liabilities excl. 55.6 NOKm in short-term interest bearing debt

  • 2) Average of daily system prices in NOK
  • 3) Volume sold in the Consumer and Business segments

| Quarterly Presentation | Q4 2018

Flat development in net cash position

Change in net debt Q-o-Q (NOKm)

  • Net cash position of 131 NOKm at the end of Q4 18. A change of 2 NOKm from Q3 18
  • Net working capital increased by 49 NOKm
  • Strong underlying cash generation
  • Purchase of 24 NOKm related to Oppdal and Etne acquisitions financed through available cash
  • "Non-cash NWC elements and other items" primarily related to change in tax liability

Sources: Company information

| Quarterly Presentation | Q4 2018

1) OpFCF defined as EBITDA adj. less CAPEX excl. M&A and payments to obtain contract assets

2) Non-cash NWC relates to items included in "change in NWC" that are not affecting NIBD. Other includes interest, tax, change in long-term receivables, proceeds from non-current receivables, proceeds from other long-term liabilities and adjustments made on EBITDA.

FULL YEAR 2018

Birte Strander (CFO)

Group performance stronger than expected

  • Both successful M&A transactions and product margin improvement contributing to 18% growth in adj. net revenue
  • Well above targeted, also adjusted for positive M&A effects
  • 1 pp of the increase is related to New Growth Initiatives
    • ~50/50 contribution from Alliance and Mobile, driven by customer growth and margin improvements in the Mobile offering
  • All time high adj. EBIT improvement driven by the Business segment
  • Adj. EBIT margin better than expected, reaching a sustainable level of 36%

Adj. net revenue and adj. EBIT by segment – Full Year

| Quarterly Presentation | Q4 2018

3) Implies an EBIT margin within the specified range, depending on interpretation

• EBIT margin stronger than targeted, driven by net revenue performance

Sources: Company information 1) 2018 figures are not audited 2) All targets are on an organic basis

Performance vs financial targets1

Targets Status
Group

Ambition to act as a consolidator in a fragmented market

Three acquisitions in 2018
Acquisition # of
deliveries
Purchase
price
Expected annual
synergies 2018
Expected annual
synergies 2019
Status
TrønderEnergi
Marked
~61,200 278 NOKm >5 NOKm >15 NOKm
Oppdal
Everk
~5,200 18 NOKm ~1 NOKm
Synergies realized as expected in
2018

Well on track in 2019
Etne
Kraftlag
~1,600 Confidential
(at seller's request)
~0,5 NOKm

Targeted to be in the area of NOK 35 –
40m annually on an organic basis over the next three
Cap.ex.

In line with targets (34 NOKm)
years

Attractive and increasing dividend
Dividend

Target pay-out ratio of at least 80% (based on adjusted net income)

Proposed dividend of 2.2 NOK per
share2,3

1) Base line for the financial targets is adjusted 2017 financials

2) Subject to approval at the annual general meeting

3) How the dividend is calculated:

[(Adjusted EBIT + net finance)*(1-average tax rate) – amortisation of acquisition debt]*pay-out ratio

[(390 NOKm+5 NOKm)*(1-23.6%)-27.8 NOKm]*83.9%=229.9 NOKm, equivalent of a DPS of 2.2 NOK

Appendix

PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT

Summary reported financials

NOK million Q4 2018 Q4 2017
Gross revenue 2 179,1 1 409,9
Cost of sales -1 871,6 -1 151,7
Net revenue 307,5 258,2
Personnel expenses -64,7 -60,6
Other operating expenses -103,5 -92,5
Operating expenses -168,2 -153,1
Other gains and losses, net -2,7 9,6
EBITDA 136,6 114,7
Depreciation & amortization -44,9 -28,4
Operating profit (EBIT) 91,7 86,3
Net financials 0,4 2,9
Profit / loss before taxes 92,1 89,2
Taxes -20,7 -21,0
Profit / loss for the period 71,4 68,2
Basic earnings per share (in NOK) 0,68 0,65
Diluted earnings per share (in NOK) 0,68 0,65

ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation

NOK in thousands Q4 2018 Q4 2017 FY 2018 FY 2017
Adjusted operating profit (before unallocated and estimate deviations) 107 106 95 507 390 142 355 730
Adjustment: (Positive)/negative estimate deviations previous year 1) 2 857 -6 171 5 449 -12 156
Other gains & losses 2) -2 682 9 571 -10 578 7 884
Special items 3) -2 233 -12 176 -21 755 -27 002
Depreciation of acquisitions 4) -13 333 -426 -36 375 -1 834
Operating profit 91 714 86 305 326 883 322 620
Interest income 3 497 2 631 15 178 11 801
Interest expense -1 598 -13 -4 927 -175
Other financial items, net -1 501 274 -5 277 -2 779
Profit/(loss) before tax 92 112 89 197 331 858 331 467
3) Special items consists of one-time items as follows:
NOK in thousands Q4 2018 Q4 2017 FY 2018 FY 2017
Special items incurred specific to:
- the process of listing the company on Oslo Stock Exchange - -12 176 -11 323 -12 176
- acquisition related costs -1 935 - -11 643 -
- the launch of new products and services - - - -14 826
- compensatory damages - - 4 080 -
- legal costs related to the compensatory damages above - - -460 -
- strategic costs related to markets abroad -298 - -2 409 -
Non-recurring -2 233 -12 176 -21 755 -27 002

EBIT adjustments

The following adjustments are made to the reported EBIT, in order to give a better representation of underlying performance:

1) Estimate deviations from previous years:

A large proportion of the Group's final settlement of sales and distribution of electricity is made after the Group has finalised its financial statements. At the date of reporting, the Group recognises electricity revenue and the associated cost of sales based on a best estimate approach. Thus, any estimate deviation related to the previous reporting period is recognised in the following reporting period. Management is of the opinion that the underlying operating profit in the reporting period should be adjusted for such estimate deviations related to previous reporting periods.

2) Other gains and losses, net:

Consist of gains and losses on derivative financial instruments associated with the purchase and sale of electricity.

3) Non-recurring items:

Non-recurring one-time items. These are described in the table on the following page.

4) Depreciation of acquisitions:

Depreciation related to customer portfolios and acquisitions of companies. The Group has decided to report the operating profit of the segments adjusted for depreciation of acquisitions, as this, in the Group's opinion, better represents underlying performance. In order to accommodate this, historically reported figures have been adjusted accordingly.

BALANCE SHEET

Summary reported financials

NOK million Q3 18 Q4 17
Intangible assets 200,0 82,1 117,9
PP&E 4,1 3,6 0,6
Goodwill 155,8 - 155,8
Financial assets 20,1 14,2 5,9
Other non-current assets 149,9 137,5 12,4
Total non-current assets 529,9 237,4 292,5
Trade receivables 2 006,3 1 364,5 641,8
Derivative financial instruments 463,6 113,4 350,2
Other current assets 66,9 44,0 22,8
Cash and cash equivalents 381,4 363,2 18,2
Total current assets 2 918,2 1 885,2 1 033,0
Total assets 3 448,2 2 122,6 1 325,6
Total equity 871,0 716,3 154,7
Net employee defined benefit liabilities 79,3 73,7 5,6
Interest-bearing long term debt 194,6 - 194,6
Deferred tax liabilities 20,8 12,9 7,9
Other provisions 0,8 - 0,8
Total non-current liabilities 295,6 86,7 208,9
Trade payables 1 100,2 726,6 373,6
Overdraft facilities - - -
Current income tax liabilities 94,2 71,2 23,0
Derivative financial instruments 455,4 95,4 360,0
Social security and other taxes 57,5 50,1 7,4
Other current liabilities 574,2 376,3 197,9
Total current liabilities 2 281,6 1 319,6 961,9
Equity and liabilities 3 448,2 2 122,6 1 325,6

CASH FLOW

Summary reported financials

NOK million Q4 2018 Q4 2017 ∆ YoY
EBITDA 136,6 114,7 22,0
Other non-cash adjustments 2,5 1,6 0,9
Change in fair value of financial instruments 2,7 -9,6 12,3
Changes in working capital, etc. -85,8 -122,2 36,4
Cash from operating activities 56,1 -15,4 71,5
Interest paid -0,3 -0,0 -0,3
Interest received 3,5 2,6 0,9
Income tax paid -3,0 11,6 -14,6
Net cash from operating activities 56,3 -1,2 57,5
Purchases of property, plant and equipment -0,5 - -0,5
Purchase of intangible assets -33,2 -13,7 -19,5
Payments to obtain a contract (contract assets) -28,2 -30,8 2,5
Net cash outflow on aquisition of subsidiares 3,6 - 3,6
Proceeds from non-current receivables -0,2 -0,1 -0,1
Net cash used in investing activities -58,5 -44,6 -13,9
Proceeds from borrowings -13,9 - -13,9
Net (outflow)/proceeds from change in overdraft facilities - - -
Dividends - - -
Net cash used in financing activities -13,9 - -13,9
Net change in cash and cash equivalents -16,1 -45,8 29,7
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning 397,5 409,0 -11,5
Cash and cash equivalents at end 381,4 363,2 18,2

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts but forward-looking statements with respect to Fjordkraft's expectations and plans, strategy, management's objectives, future performance, costs, revenue, earnings and other trend information. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Fjordkraft.

All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to Fjordkraft on the date hereof. All written or oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Fjordkraft, any Fjordkraft employees or representatives acting on Fjordkraft's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Fjordkraft undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the date hereof.

For more information: Fjordkraft's Investor Relations Morten A. W. Opdal +47 970 62 526 [email protected]

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