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Awilco LNG

Investor Presentation May 10, 2019

3548_rns_2019-05-10_bf1c1b76-d155-4294-a4a0-89b80032ec9d.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q1 2019

Jon Skule Storheill

Øyvind Ryssdal

10 May 2019

www.awilcolng.no

Disclaimer

This presentation may include certain forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections regarding the intent, opinion, belief, various assumptions or current expectations of Awilco LNG (the "Company") and it's management with respect to, among other things, (i) goals and strategies, (ii) evaluation of the Company's markets, competition and competitive position, and (iii) anticipated future performance and trends which may be expressed or implied by financial or other information or statements contained herein.

All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address activities and events that will, should, could or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Words such as "may," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "intend," "forecast," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "propose," "potential," "continue" or the negative of these terms and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements.

These forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future, some of which are beyond our control and difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements, and no representation is made as to the accuracy of these. Among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are: changes in LNG transportation market trends; changes in the supply and demand for LNG; changes in trading patterns; changes in applicable maintenance and regulatory standards; changes in applicable regulations and laws; technological developments affecting gas and LNG demand; political events affecting production and consumption of LNG; changes in the financial stability of clients of the Company; the Company's ability to secure employment for available vessels and newbuildings on order; increases in the Company's cost base; failure by yards to comply with delivery schedules; changes to vessels' useful lives and residual values; the Company's ability to obtain financing of the newbuildings and lastly unpredictable or unknown factors with material adverse effects on forward-looking statements.

Neither the receipt of this presentation by any person, nor any information contained herein, constitutes, or shall be relied upon as constituting, any advice relating to the future performance of the Company. Each person should make their own independent assessment of the merits of the Company and its business and should consult their own professional advisors. The information and opinions contained in this presentation relate only as of the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice. Neither the Board of Directors of the Company or the Company and it's management make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of this presentation or of the information contained herein and none of such parties shall have any liability for the information contained in, or any omissions from, this presentation, nor for any of the written, electronic or oral communications transmitted to the recipient in the course of the recipient's own investigation and evaluation of the Company or its business. Unless legally required, the Company assumes no responsibility or obligation to update publicly or review any of the forward-looking statements contained herein, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Company overview

Awilco LNG is a fully integrated pure play LNG transportation provider, owning and operating LNG vessels. The Company owns two 2013 built 156,000 cbm TFDE membrane LNG vessels, WilForce and WilPride. Awilco LNG is listed on Oslo Axess under the ticker code ALNG.

1. Highlights

    1. Financials Q1
    1. Market update
    1. Summary

1 st quarter 2019 highlights

Net freight income MUSD 8.4 MUSD 10.4 in Q4 2018
EBITDA MUSD 5.0 MUSD 7.1 in Q4 2018
Net profit/(loss) MUSD (3.4) MUSD (1.2) in Q4 2018
  • Utilisation 90 % compared to 84 % previous quarter (excluding DD off-hire)
  • TCE* USD 46,200 pd (USD 62,900 pd in Q4 2018), current CBE** of USD ~58,000 pd
  • Consolidation initiative with other ship owners developing, timing and outcome uncertain

*TCE: net freight income divided by the number of calendar days minus off-hire days

**CBE: All-in cash break even in USD per day including operating expenses, administration expenses, dry-docking and financing costs (estimated)

1.
Highlights
2.
Financials Q1
3.
Market update
  1. Summary

Q1 2019 income statement

USD million Q1'19 Q4'18 2018
Freight income 9.4 11.1 40.0
Voyage
related
expenses
(1.0) (0.7) (5.1)
Net freight
income
8.4 10.4 34.8
Other
income
0.9 - 4.0
Operating expenses (3.3) (1.9) (12.5)
Administration
expenses
(1.0) (1.4) (3.9)
EBITDA 5.0 7.1 22.4
Depreciation (3.3) (3.2) (13.0)
Net finance (5.1) (5.1) (20.9)
Profit/(loss) before
tax
(3.4) (1.2) (11.4)
Tax - - -
Profit/(loss) (3.4) (1.2) (11.4)

Q1 2019 financial position

USD million 31.03.19 31.12.18
Vessels 358.9 362.1
Total non-current
assets
358.9 362.1
Trade receivables 1.6 2.7
Other
short
term assets
6.8 6.1
Cash 18.7 22.5
Total current
assets
27.1 31.4
Total assets 386.0 393.6
Total equity 112.2 115.6
Long-term
interest
bearing
debt
- -
Other
non-current
liabilities
0.3 0.3
Non-current
liabilities
0.3 0.3
Short-term interest
bearing
debt
265.9 266.7
Other
current
liabilities
7.5 10.9
Total current
liabilities
273.4 277.6
Total equity
and liabilities
386.0 393.6

Q1 2019 cash flow

USD
million
Q1'19 Q4'18 2018
Cash Flows
from Operating Activities:
Profit/(loss) before
taxes
(3.4) (1.2) (11.4)
Income taxes
paid
- - -
Interest
and borrowing
costs
expensed
5.2 5.4 21.5
Depreciation,
amortisation and
impairment
3.3 3.2 13.0
Trade receivables, inventory
and other
short
term assets
0.5 4.3 (2.2)
Accounts payable,
accrued
exp. and deferred
revenue
(5.1) (2.9) 5.7
Net cash provided
by / (used in) operating activities
0.5 8.8 26.5
Cash Flows
from Investing
Activities:
Investment in vessels
/ sale of
vessels
- (4.4) (11.2)
Net cash provided
by / (used in) investing
activities
- (4.4) (11.2)
Cash Flows
from Financing
Activities:
Repayment
of
borrowings
(1.1) (1.0) (2.7)
Interest
and borrowing
costs
paid
(5.0) (5.1) (19.1)
Net cash provided
by / (used in) financing
activities
(6.0) (6.2) (21.8)
Net changes
in cash and cash equivalents
(5.6) (1.8) (6.4)
Cash and cash equivalents
at start of
period
24.3 24.3 29.0
Cash and cash equivalents
at end of
period
18.7 22.5 22.5
  1. Highlights

  2. Financials Q1

  3. Market update

  4. Summary

Spot rates

USD/DAY

  • Assessed rates bottomed in mid-April around USD 36,500 pd
  • Normal seasonal pattern, although higher volatility
  • Average headline assessed rate USD 56,400 pd in Q1 2019 vs USD 66,800 in Q1 2018

Source: Fearnley LNG

LNG trade

• 27 MTPA of new production capacity started in Q4 2018 and ramping up in Q1

  • Mild winter in Far East reducing demand although still healthy growth in China at 21 % y-o-y
  • Europe the "LNG sink", current prices competitive with pipeline gas and coal

Source: Clarksons Platou, Energy Aspects

US LNG

  • In spite of China 10 % tariff on US LNG from Aug 2018, about 40 % of cargoes headed to Far East last three quarters*
    • Primarily term volumes
  • US to China:
    • 2019: 3 %
    • 2018: 8 %
    • 2017: 16 %

Source: Fearnley LNG, Reuters

* Discharge date

  • SB spot vs JKM spread widening last month
  • Same thing happened exactly one year ago
    • Cheniere fixed abt 15 vessels

LNG fleet and orderbook

  • 13 vessels delivered year to date, 26 further vessels scheduled
  • Total fleet 492 vessels > 100' cbm
    • Orderbook is 107 LNGC or 22 %, 15 orders year to date
    • ~20 % of the fleet is «Commercially challenged» (smaller/less efficient), of these 16 laid up, 2 recycled in 2019 (3 in 2018)

Source: Fearnley LNG

Gas is clean and flexible

ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY CONSUMPTION

  • Gas provides flexibility in an energy mix with intermittent renewables
  • Gas demand grows at double the rate of total global energy demand
  • Natural gas overtakes coal in 2030 and at par with oil in 2040

Source: Energy outlooks from BP, Shell and IEA

LNG supply and demand 2040

  • Global LNG supplies expand rapidly, led by US
  • Demand growth centres around China and Asia in general
  • LNG trade more than doubles towards 2040

Source: Energy outlooks from BP and IEA

  1. Highlights

  2. Financials Q1

  3. Market update

  4. Summary

Summary

  • ➢ Despite weak start to 2019 fundamentals are expected to improve
    • ─ 9 % annual growth in LNG production
    • ─ 7 % annual fleet growth (excluding phase out)
    • ─ US supply and Asian demand to improve ton-miles
  • ➢ Mid- and long-term demand for LNG transportation remains strong
    • ─ Gas is cheap, abundantly available, environmentally friendly and flexible
    • ─ Growing gas demand will trigger further FIDs in 2019 and beyond
    • ─ ~20 % of the sailing fleet is smaller and inefficient
    • ─ LNG as a marine fuel reduces GHG emissions and local pollutants
  • ➢ Awilco LNG
    • ─ Pure play integrated LNG transportation company with excellent commercial and operational track record in a segment with high barriers to entry
    • ─ Consolidation high on the agenda
    • ─ Actively pursuing refinancing
  • ➢ Awilco LNG is well positioned for the improving market

A Fully Integrated Pure Play LNG Transportation Provider

Jon Skule Storheill

CEO Mobile: +47 -9134 4356 E -mail: [email protected]

Øyvind Ryssdal CFO Mobile: +47 -920 14 029 E -mail: [email protected]

www.awilcolng.no

  • 20 -

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