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Aker BP

Investor Presentation Oct 22, 2019

3528_rns_2019-10-22_e1ee9a77-c546-4990-9e74-ecdc686b688a.pdf

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Third quarter 2019

Aker BP ASA

22 October 2019

Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document. Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document. Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

AKER BP Third quarter 2019 highlights

Field developments on track

  • Johan Sverdrup on stream 5 October
  • Ærfugl, Valhall Flank West and Skogul on track

Strong operational performance

  • High production efficiency
  • Delayed stimulation program at Valhall

Exploration success

  • Two discoveries in the Skarv area
  • Frosk test producer on stream
Key figures Q3-19 Q2-19 Q3-18*
Production mboepd 146.1 127.3 150.6
Sales mboepd 143.3 140.7 148.3
Realized liquids price USD/bbl 62.0 69.3 74.6
Realized gas price USD/scm 0.16 0.16 0.30
Total income USDm 723 785 966
EBITDA USDm 480 522 698
Operating profit USDm 196 354 509
Net profit (loss) USDm (43) 62 116
Effective tax rate USDm 130 % 77 % 74 %
EPS USD (0.12) 0.17 0.32
DPS USD 0.52 0.52 0.31

AKER BP The Johan Sverdrup achievement

Below budget – ahead of schedule

Operator: Main contractors phase 1:

Production overview OPERATIONAL REVIEW

Net production, mboepd

Production efficiency

Alvheim OPERATIONAL REVIEW

  • Frosk test production started
  • Skogul on track for first oil in Q1-2020
  • Maturing new infill targets
  • Swift action to repair Mid-Water Arch

OPERATIONAL REVIEW Valhall

Preparing for new growth

  • Valhall Flank West approaching first oil
  • Drilling campaign ongoing at Valhall WP
  • Stimulation program slightly behind plan

OPERATIONAL REVIEW Ivar Aasen

  • Strong operational performance
  • New wells on stream
  • Continued digital innovation
  • Follow-up and monitoring of discharge permits

OPERATIONAL REVIEW Skarv

  • Strong operational performance
  • Ærfugl development on track
  • Adding resources through exploration

OPERATIONAL REVIEW Exploration success in the Skarv area

OPERATIONAL REVIEW Ula

  • Drilling campaign has started
  • Tambar multi-phase pump a digital success story
  • Progressing long-term area strategy

Using data to create more value IMPROVEMENT

Examples

Better production performance assessment

Best Day

performance
Challenge: repeat peak performance every day
Solution: use advanced visualization and analytics to explain
differences in performance

Production engineers at Alvheim
and Valhall
now have better
insight on how to repeat best day performance

Reduced CO2 emissions intensity at Skarv

  • Challenge: continue to reduce emissions and cost
  • Solution: Reduced export pressure and reduced energy use in the FPSO gas cleaning process
  • Reduced CO2 emissions intensity of approx. 0.4 kg/boe with associated annual cost savings of NOK 11 million

Energy

optimisation

OPERATIONAL REVIEW NOAKA

Significant resource base

  • Recoverable resources ~700 mmboe1) (average WI >60%)
  • Planning for Liatårnet appraisal in H1 2020

New infrastructure is needed

  • Many accumulations with various hydrocarbon types
  • Further exploration potential

Aker BP favours a central processing hub (PQ)

  • Highest value creation and resource utilisation
  • Capacity for future discoveries

EXPLORATION 2019 exploration program

License Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Est.
spud
Pre-drill
mmboe
Status
PL869 Froskelår Main Aker BP 60 % Q1 45
-
153
Discovery
60-130 mmboe
PL857 Gjøkåsen Equinor 20 % Q1 26
-
1427
Dry
PL033 Hod Deep West Aker BP 90 % Q1 2
-
22
Dry
PL869 Froskelår NE Aker BP 60 % Q2 7
23
-
Discovery
2-10 mmboe
PL916 JK Aker BP 40 % Q2 100
-
420
Dry
PL814 Freke-Garm Aker BP 40 % Q2 16
81
-
Dry
PL777 Hornet Aker BP 40 % Q2 14
137
-
Dry
PL502 Klaff Equinor 22 % Q2 50
372
-
Non-commercial
discovery
PL869 Rumpetroll Aker BP 60 % Q2 45
148
-
Non-commercial
discovery
PL442 Liatårnet Aker BP 90 % Q2 39
331
-
Discovery
80-200 mmboe
PL762 Vågar Aker BP 20 % Q3 63
130
-
Dry
PL986 Nipa Aker BP 30 % Q3 35
115
-
Dry
PL942 Ørn Equinor 30 % Q3 8
40
-
Discovery
50-88 mmboe
PL838 Shrek PGNIG 30 % Q3 10
22
-
Discovery 19-38 mmboe
PL782S Busta Conoco 20 % Q3 54
199
-
Currently
drilling
PL019C Kark Aker BP 60 % Q3 15
48
-
Currently
drilling
PL1008 Nidhogg Aker BP 60 % Q4 26
70
-

EXPLORATION A leading explorer on the NCS

Net discovered since 2016 by company (mmboe)

Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (NPD), Aker BP analysis (Petoro not included)

Financial review

FINANCIAL REVIEW Oil and gas sales

Income statement FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2018*
Total operating income 723 785 966
Production costs 167 198 170
Other
operating expenses
6 4 4
EBITDAX 550 583 791
Exploration expenses 70 60 94
EBITDA 480 522 698
Depreciation 206 168 189
Impairment losses 78 - -
Operating profit (EBIT) 196 354 509
Net financial
items
(53) (86) (58)
Profit/loss before taxes 143 268 451
Tax (+) / Tax income (-) 186 206 335
Net profit/loss (43) 62 116
EPS (USD) (0.12) 0.17 0.32

FINANCIAL REVIEW Reconciliation of tax expense

Effective tax for Q3-2019 (USD million)

"Other items" vs. forex changes, quarterly since 2016

Statement of financial position FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million

Assets 30.09.19 30.06.19 31.12.18* Equity and liabilities 30.09.19 30.06.19 31.12.18*
Goodwill 1,713 1,791 1,860 Equity 2,444 2,664 2,977
Other intangible
assets
2,571 2,522 2,433 Other provisions for liabilities
incl.
P&A (long)
2,543 2,560 2,581
Property, plant
and equipment
6,614 6,300 5,746 Deferred
tax
2,279 1,991 1,753
Right-of-use asset 215 239 Bonds and bank debt 2,940 2,635 2,018
Receivables and other assets 609 522 614 Lease debt 341 375
Calculated
tax receivables
- 17 11 Other current liabilities incl. P&A 985 829 828
Cash and
cash equivalents
5 102 45 Tax payable 195 439 552
Total
Assets
11,727 11,493 10,709 Total
Equity and liabilities
11,727 11,493 10,709

Cash flow – third quarter 2019 FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million

Tax payments FINANCIAL REVIEW

USD million

The instalments for 2019 are converted from NOK to USD using an exchange rate of 8.5. The amounts payable in 2020 will be adjusted based on actual income for FY2019.

FINANCIAL REVIEW Guidance summary

Actual per 2019-9M Updated 2019 guidance1)
Production2) 144 mboepd ~155 mboepd
(previous 155-160 mboepd)
Capex3) USD 1161 million USD 1.6-1.7 billion
Exploration spend USD 422 million USD ~550 million
Abandonment spend USD 99 million USD ~100 million
Production cost per boe4) USD 13.5 USD ~12.5
Dividends USD 562.5
million
USD 750 million

23 1) 2019 guidance is based on a USDNOK assumption of 8.5 3) Excl. capitalized interest, incl. payments on lease debt 4) Per produced boe. Excl. costs related to Alvheim MWA pending insurance recovery

AKER BP Priorities ahead

Safe and efficient operations

Excellent project execution

Keep momentum on improvement agenda

Leverage technology to drive value creation

Start up of new fields and wells

Mature discoveries

Grow

Improve

Execute

24

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