Q3 2019
Jon André Løkke Chief Executive Officer
This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Nel ASA and Nel ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Nel's businesses, raw material prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although Nel ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. Nel ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither Nel ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared in connection with the Q3 release on 7 November 2019. Information contained within will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
The Nel shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
-
- Q3 highlights
-
- Nel in brief
-
- Key developments
-
- Capacity expansion
-
- Industry updates
-
- Summary/outlook
-
- Q&A
Q3 highlights
Financial results and financing
- Revenues of NOK 149 million in Q3'19, compared to NOK 116 million in Q3'18
- All time high, 28% growth q-o-q
- In line with company outlook
- All-time high pipeline of tenders and projects across segments
- Solid order backlog of NOK 575 million (all time high) at end of Q3'19
- Up ~58% y-o-y
- Adjusted EBITDA of negative NOK 17.9 million
- Cash balance of NOK 651 million (Q3'18: 434)
Operations and sales
- Launched new product, the A1000 alkaline electrolyser
- Closed agreements with Everfuel and signed an exclusive sales and service agreement
- Proposed for USD 2 million funding on project for fueling of Heavy-Duty hydrogen vehicles with Nikola
- Agreement with Yara to develop a green and efficient ammonia and fertilizer production based on a next generation pressurized alkaline electrolyser
- PO for two H2Station® hydrogen fueling stations in Korea, EUR ~2.7 million
- Secured new manufacturing location in Herøya Industrial Park, allowing for more than 1 GW/year capacity
- Contract for delivery of a 3.5 MW alkaline electrolyser, ~USD 4 million
- Awarded grant from Enova of NOK 9.3 million for development of an advanced pilot production line for electrolysers
| (NOK million) |
2019 Q3 Adj* |
2019 Q3 |
2018 Q3 |
2019 Q2 |
2018 |
2017 |
| Operating revenue |
148.9 |
148.9 |
116.0 |
122.5 |
489.0 |
302.2 |
| Total operating expenses |
186.3 |
197.3 |
182.2 |
228.7 |
685.1 |
419.4 |
| EBITDA |
-17.9 |
-28.9 |
-53.3 |
-72.6 |
-131.6 |
-77.4 |
| EBIT |
-37.4 |
-48.4 |
-66.3 |
-90.7 |
-196.1 |
-117.2 |
| Pre-tax loss |
-23.2 |
-35.3 |
-67.4 |
-94.7 |
-197.5 |
-124.4 |
| Net loss |
-21.4 |
-33.4 |
-65.5 |
-92.8 |
-189.0 |
-52.4 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities |
-31.2 |
-31.2 |
-37.4 |
-81.4 |
-142.6 |
-113.0 |
| Cash balance at end of period** |
651.0 |
651.0 |
434.1 |
697.7 |
349.7 |
295.0 |
* Non-recurring and ramp-up costs of NOK 11.0 million has been booked in the quarter.
Mainly related to start-up costs of the activities in South Korea and California, ramp-up activities related to factory expansion at Herøya and legal costs. In addition, non-cash costs related to the group's share option program of NOK 2.8 million was booked in the quarter.
Nel in brief
- Pure play hydrogen technology company listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange (NEL.OSE) w/~23,000 shareholders
- Manufacturing facilities in Norway, Denmark, and U.S., and a global sales network
- World's largest electrolyser manufacturer, with >3 500 units delivered in 80+ countries since 1927
- World leading manufacturer of hydrogen fueling stations, with ~50 H2Station® solutions delivered to 9 countries
Alkaline and PEM electrolysers
Converting water and electricity to hydrogen and oxygen – for industry, mobility and energy purposes
Compact hydrogen fueling stations
Hydrogen fueling stations capable of fueling any kind of vehicle. World's most compact – simple to integrate with other fuels & standardized
Strong field know-how & manufacturing capacity
Wallingford, USA PEM electrolysers 2 700+ systems delivered Production capacity:
40MW/year
Notodden/Herøya, Norway
Alkaline electrolysers
800+ systems delivered
Production capacity:
40 MW/year
360 MW/year (> 1 GW/year)
Herning, Denmark Hydrogen refuelling stations 50+ stations delivered Production capacity: 300 HRS/year
Key developments
Received additional purchase orders for H2Stations in Korea & invests in HyNet
Key developments
Breakthrough for the Nel hydrogen fueling solutions in the Korean market
- National target in Korea of 310 hydrogen stations by 2022
- Nel Korea has received following purchase orders in 2019:
- 2 H2Station® from Gangwon Technopark (Q1-19, ~2.8 MEUR)
- 6 H2Station® from KOGAS-Tech (Q2-19, ~8 MEUR)
- 2 H2Station® from HyNet (Q3-19, ~2.7 MEUR)
- Nel made investment of ~0.8 MEUR into HyNet, a special purpose company for expanding the Korea's hydrogen infrastructure
- HyNet aims to establish 100 hydrogen stations in Korea by 2022, as a part of the national targets
Nel Korea fully established with local office in Gangnam, Seoul & taking active part in the Korean hydrogen development
Establishes consortium to deploy 600 H2-buses & closes agreements on Everfuel
Key developments
Hydrogen industry leaders establishing consortium to commercialize hydrogen buses in Europe
- Nel, Hexagon Composites, Ballard Power Systems, Ryse Hydrogen, Everfuel and Wrightbus are part of the H2Bus Consortium
- Members are committed to deploying 600 hydrogen fuel cell electric buses, along with supporting infrastructure, in European cities at commercially competitive rates
- Closed agreement with Everfuel as an owner/operator of infrastructure for busses throughout Europe
- Nel minority investor into Everfuel
- Nel signed equipment sales and service contract with Everfuel with a potential value up to EUR 100 million
Nel and Nikola proposed for USD 2 million award
Key developments
Nel and Nikola = Hydrogen @Scale
- Selected by the Department of Energy (DOE) on a proposed USD 2 million funding for continued development of the hydrogen station technology together with Nikola
- Target to further develop the H2Station® technology to better cater for Heavy-Duty vehicles through greater capacity and cost reductions
- Nikola and Nel continue the work to define details in longer-term station roll out plan, hope to return soon with more details
- Nikola currently has 14 000+ trucks in pre-orders
Nikola Two and Nikola fueling station, Photos: Nikola
Signs collaboration agreement with Yara on green fertilizer project
Key developments
Landmark project on green fertilizer initiated
- Project for developing next generation green (renewable) ammonia and fertilizer production supported by the PILOT-E program
- Nel role in project: developing next generation alkaline electrolyser
- Tailored for large scale hydrogen production for industrial applications w/direct connection to renewables
- Development targets: lower unit cost, higher level of flexibility, higher pressure, lower footprint, equal efficiency to current Nel electrolysers
- Electrolyser for pilot plant will have a capacity of ~5MW
- Will supply equal to ~1% of hydrogen needed by Yara at Herøya facility
- Ammonia represents >50% of hydrogen market, currently based on fossil sources significant market opportunity for electrolysis
Jon André Løkke, CEO in Nel and Tove Andersen, EVP Production in Yara signing the collaboration agreement. Photo: Yara
Contract for delivery of a 3.5 MW alkaline electrolyser
Key developments
Delivering electrolyser to large, international energy company
- Scheduled to be installed during 2020
- Contract value of approximately USD 4 million
- More information to follow early 2020
The A1000 atmospheric alkaline electrolyser
Capacity expansion
Secured ideal location for large scale manufacturing at Herøya
Capacity expansion
Alkaline electrolyser manufacturing plant with possibility to grow beyond 1 GW/year
- Herøya secured as location for manufacturing:
- Industrial park w/state-of-the-art infrastructure already in place
- Closer proximity to harbor and Yara
- Initial target capacity: 360 MW/year
- Opportunities for scaling up beyond 1 GW/year in existing facilities
- Notodden continues as main location for remaining functions:
- Technology development, engineering, etc.
- Proximity to leading engineering competence (Notodden, Kongsberg)
Awarded grant for development of more advanced production line at Herøya Capacity expansion
Awarded grant of NOK 9.3 million from Enova for advanced production line
- Nel is establishing the world's largest, automated electrolyser production line (initial target of 360 MW/line)
- Grant awarded for increasing the level of advances made, from concept to full-scale production line
- Engineering/development until end of 2019, potential execution as part of expansion in Herøya
- Fully automated chemical line as well as robot-centers
- New line will significantly reduce production cost, lower energy consumption and further increase electrolyser efficiency
Fully automated chemical line and robot-cells
Industrial Park, in a 15 000m2 building in one of the largest industry parks in Norway
Industry updates
IVECO and Nikola partnering in the European fuel cell Heavy-Duty Truck market
Key developments
CNH new Nikola shareholder following D-round equity raise
- CNH invests USD 250 million in D-round
- Pre-money valuation of USD 3 billion
- IVECO and FPT Industrial, brands of CNH Industrial, will assist in engineering and manufacturing expertise to industrialize Nikola's fuel-cell and battery electric trucks
- Partnership will benefit several trucks, among these Nikola Tre, a European compliant cab-over Heavy-Duty Truck
- Nikola will contribute technologies for a European joint venture with CNH Industrial that will include class-leading fuel-cell expertise
- Nikola plans to leverage IVECO's European sales, service and warranty channels to accelerate access to the European market
Nikola Tre, Photo: Nikola
Strong global Q3 newsflow within hydrogen mobility
Industry updates
1) https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/energy-utilities-mining/publications/pdf/mine-report-2019.pdf
Industry updates
Number of fuel cell electric vehicles are set to grow by 223x by 2030, stations by >10x
- Global numbers of fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV) expected to increase from 11 200 at the end of 2018 to 2.5 million units by 2030 according to IEA (International Energy Agency)
- In addition, a fleet of close to 30 000 forklifts operating in 2018
- China, US. Japan and Korea is currently expected to drive the growth
- Car, bus, truck, delivery vans, etc.
- Growth of FCEV, drives growth in fueling stations
Number of fueling stations globally1
Major new hydrogen initiatives from the leading car manufacturers Industry updates
Hydrogen electric solutions highlighted at Frankfurt and Tokyo motor shows
BMW Hydrogen NEXT, to be launched in 2022 Next generation Toyota MIRAI, to be launched in 2020
Let's compare apples with apples
Industry updates
Due to scaling effects, BEVs and FCEVs will co-exist for a 100% electrification
Batteries cheapest <200km range Hydrogen cheapest >200km range
Technology price & performance = future best case for both technologies
|
Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle |
|
|
Battery Electric Vehicle |
|
|
|
| Fueling time |
3-5 min |
|
|
>40 min. |
|
|
|
Driving range |
1.000km |
600km |
200km |
1.000km |
600km |
200km |
|
H2 tank / battery size |
8kg |
5kg |
1,6kg |
150kWh* |
100kWh |
22kWh |
|
| Base vehicle price* |
€20.000 |
€20.000 |
€20.000 |
€20.000 |
€20.000 |
€20.000 |
|
| Battery, fuel cell & H2 tank cost |
€4.000 |
€3.500 |
€2.400 |
€13.500 |
€9.000 |
€2.000 |
|
| Total vehicle price |
€24.000 |
€23.500 |
€22.400 |
€33.500 |
€29.000 |
€22.000 |
|
*EU CONCAWE C-Segment vehicle Figures rounded for simplicity
55kW fuel cell @ €27/kW - US DOE target 1kWh hybrid battery @ €525/kWh €240/kg H2 storage - US DOE target
€90/kWh battery price - US DOE target *if using today's Model S as reference, would need ~170 kWh
Demand for renewable H2 can trigger a demand for 4 – 16x current global solar & wind capacity
- International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) estimates green hydrogen could translate into 5 - 16% of global energy consumption by 20501,2
- Will need to install ~10-times the amount of wind and solar until 2050 compared to all installations to date
- I.e. 4 16 terawatts (TW) of solar and wind generation capacity to be deployed for hydrogen-based products until 2050 vs.
- Today's total installations of 1 TW of solar and wind power capacity
24
Summary/Outlook
Creating a rapidly growing billion NOK company
Levering on the arising opportunities within energy storage and hydrogen fueling
- Outlook
- Ongoing growth initiatives and focus on long term high value orders will have a negative impact on Nel's ability to deliver positive EBITDA in the short term
- Continued development of state-of-the art safety solutions and processes
- Development of x10 electrolyser factory expansion to support deliveries to Nikola and other customers
- Leveraging the fast-growing Heavy-Duty vehicle opportunities
- Developing next generation electrolyser technology for industrial applications, such as ammonia, refineries, etc.
- Significant tender activities for larger projects for electrolysers and H2Stations
number one by nature
Q&A
IR analytics
Market Cap
NOK (billion)
~9.9
Financial calendar
March 5, 2020,
Investor base
23 000 investors
Top 20 investors own ~50% of the shares
Shares
YTD November 6, 2019
+75%
Daily average turnover of NOK (million)
~140
Analyst coverage
- Jonas Meyer – SB1
- Karl -Johan Molnes –Norne Securities
- Mikkel Nyholt – Carnegie
- Daniel Stenslet – Arctic Securities
Q4 2019 presentation
Roadshow
Brussels - Nov 20, 2019 Stuttgart – Nov 27, 2019 Frankfurt – Nov 27, 2019 Dublin - Nov 28, 2019 London – Dec 12,2019
31