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Elmera Group ASA

Investor Presentation Nov 14, 2019

3591_rns_2019-11-14_01e651f3-0ae0-4b10-b2bf-3e52b43badda.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q3 2019 PRESENTATION

Rolf Barmen (CEO) Birte Strander (CFO)

Oslo, 14th November

Q3 2019 HIGHLIGHTS

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Highlights third quarter 2019

Continued growth in net revenue and EBIT

  • Net revenue growth across all segments driven by both margin improvements and volume growth
  • Strong development with an accelerating growth in number of mobile subscribers (+51% YoY). Highest quarterly growth since the launch in Q2 2017
  • Fjordkraft on top in EPSI's customer satisfaction survey for mobile subscribers in the consumer market in 2019
    • Also awarded for best call centre across all industries in September
  • Successful acquisition of Vesterålskraft Strøm AS. Transaction completed 1 July 2019
Key Highlights
1
# of deliveries (end of period)
Δ in # of deliveries (QoQ)
619 455 11 892
Increase of
4 %
YoY
Of which org. growth
2 487
2
Volume sold
Gross revenue
2 307 GWh NOK
1 101.6m
Increase of
3 %
YoY
Decrease of
-17 %
YoY
3
Net revenue (adj.)
2
3
EBIT (adj.)
K6
NOK
259.3m
NOK
63.0m
Increase of
14 %
YoY
9
Increase of
8 %
YoY
K7
Basic EPS (reported) K13NIBD (cash)
NOK
0.32
(NOK 492.6m)
Increase of
30 %
YoY
K19NIBD/LTM EBITDA:
-0.84

Sources: Company information

  • 1) Number of deliveries excl. Extended Alliance deliveries. Number of deliveries incl. Extended Alliance deliveries: 651,488
  • 2) Not including Alliance volume. Volume turnover for alliance partners Q3 2019: 677 GWh

3) Adj. Net revenue and EBIT are reported figures adjusted for any estimate deviations on sales and distribution of electricity related to previous reporting periods, special items, unrealised gains and losses on financial derivatives and depreciations from acquisitions

Launch of "Klimahub" – a climate neutrality database for businesses

  • A nation-wide database with information about a firm's climate actions and focus
  • Includes an easy-to-use solution for businesses to calculate and register their CO2 emissions and climate actions
  • Fjordkraft offers counselling and CO2 quotas for businesses to become climate neutral
  • Builds upon Fjordkraft's "Klimanjaro" initiative that was awarded the UN Climate Action Award
  • www.klimahub.no

BUSINESS REVIEW

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Market development

Key highlights in Q3 2019

  • Increase in elspot prices during the first part of the quarter, then fairly stable throughout August and September
  • Temperatures warmer than normal in the quarter in three out of three months, while two out of three months were colder than last year1
    • July: +1.3°C above normal (3.0°C colder than 2018)
    • August: +1.7°C above normal (1.1°C warmer than 2018)
    • September: +0.7°C above normal (0.8°C colder than 2018)
  • NVE has stopped publishing their quarterly market churn reports following the implementation of Elhub. The next report is scheduled to H1 2020

Weekly elspot prices (NOK/kWh)2

Sources:

  • 1) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports
  • 2) Weekly system prices in NOK from Nordpool, forward prices from Montel

Segment development - Consumer

Key highlights in Q3 2019

  • Positive development driven by both acquisition and organic growth
    • Net additions in Q3 2019 were 9,973, of which 2,274 organically
    • Strong underlying organic growth in the quarter with 5,410 deliveries, while a downward adjustment of 3,136 deliveries stems from the revision of an externally operated customer portfolio
  • Volume growth of 9% YoY, with increase in avg. consumption being the main driver for the growth
    • Avg. volume per delivery increasing 6% YoY 2,296 kWh in Q3 2019 vs. 2,166 kWh in Q3 2018
  • Updated app with improved user interface and functionality

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

# of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

Volume (GWh)

Segment development - Business

  • Positive development driven by both acquisition and organic growth
    • Net additions in Q3 2019 were 1,919, which of 213 organically
  • Volume decrease 4% YoY driven by decrease in avg. consumption per delivery
    • Avg. volume per delivery decreasing -4% YoY 14,113 kWh in Q3 2019 vs. 14,693 kWh in Q3 2018

Key highlights in Q3 2019 # of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

| Quarterly Presentation | Q3 2019

New Growth Initiatives

  • Strong development with an accelerating growth in number of mobile subscribers (+51% YoY). Highest quarterly growth since the launch in Q2 2017
    • Growth of 11,177 subscribers in Q3 2019
  • Fjordkraft on top in EPSI's customer satisfaction survey for mobile subscribers in the consumer market in 2019
  • 5% YoY Alliance volume decrease YoY, as Vesterålskraft is now included in the Consumer and Business segments
  • One new Extended Alliance partner implemented in the quarter, comprising ~6,200 deliveries
    • 10,000 electricity deliveries and 8,000 broadband deliveries signed this quarter, with expected start-up in 2020

Key highlights in Q3 2019 # of Mobile subscribers1 ('000)

Volume Alliance (GWh)

Sources: Company information

1) Number of mobile subscribers at the end of the period

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Birte Strander (CFO)

Net revenue improvement across all segments

  • Several different factors contributing to the adj. net revenue improvement both margin improvements and volume growth affecting positively
  • Last twelve months adj. net revenue improvement ~ 75/25 split between improved margins and volume growth1 YoY

Sources: Company information

1) New Growth Initiatives figures are excluded from the calculations, as high volumes with very low margins distorts the analysis

Continued increase in EBIT adj.

Change in adj. EBIT (NOKm)

  • EBIT improvement of 5 NOKm driven by the Consumer and Business segments
    • OPEX increase driven by sales and marketing costs, customer service costs and administrative costs
  • Adj. EBIT margin decreasing 2 pp YoY, however adj. EBIT margin LTM is increasing YoY and is stable quarter over quarter

Sources: Company information

Segment overview

  • Increase in adj. net revenue YoY volume growth accounting for ~60% of the increase
  • 2 pp margin contraction driven by sales and marketing, customer service and administrative costs

  • Increase in adj. net revenue is driven by improved margins, primarily from value added services
  • 1 pp margin contraction driven by sales and marketing costs and decrease in avg. volume per delivery

  • Adj. net revenue improvement driven ~60/40 between Mobile and Alliance
  • Loss of revenue following the VKS acquisition affecting the NGI segment
  • FY expectations in line with guiding

Sources: Company information

Decreasing and negative NWC driven by seasonally lower volume, positive effect from el. cert and operational improvements

Net working capital1 (NOKm)

  • Net working capital (NWC) is decreasing by 187 NOKm from last quarter, driven by seasonally lower volumes and positive effect from el. certificates
    • Volume decrease 14% from last quarter2
    • Prices decrease 1%3 from Q2 2019 to Q3 2019
    • Positive effect from post-payment practice of el certificates throughout the year
    • Continuous improvements in the invoicing process is also contributing positively to the development
  • The increase in capitalised commission expense is driven by increased sales activity across all segments

Sources: Company information

  • 1) NWC includes the following items from current assets: Inventories, intangible assets, trade receivables, derivative financial instruments and other current assets (that is, all current assets in the balance sheet except cash and cash equivalents); and the following items from current liabilities; trade payables, current income tax liabilities, derivative financial instruments, social security and other taxes and other current liabilities excl. 55.6 NOKm in short-term interest bearing debt
  • 2) Volume sold in the Consumer and Business segments
  • 3) Average of daily system prices in NOK

| Quarterly Presentation | Q3 2019

Strong underlying cash generation – cash position positively affected by seasonality

Change in net cash Q-o-Q (NOKm)

Sources: Company information

1) OpFCF defined as EBITDA adj. less CAPEX excl. M&A and payments to obtain contract assets

2) Non-cash NWC relates to items included in "change in NWC" that are not affecting net cash position. Other includes interest, tax, change in long-term receivables, proceeds from non-current receivables, proceeds from other long-term liabilities, share based payment expense, change in post-employment liabilities, payment of lease liability and adjustments made on EBITDA.

| Quarterly Presentation | Q3 2019

Outlook

Revised net revenue growth targets for Group and Consumer

Group

Targeting high-single digit net revenue growth on an organic basis
Targeting a stable EBIT margin on an organic basis
Ambition to act as a consolidator in a fragmented market
Revised in Q3 2019: Net revenue growth
expected to be somewhat higher than
targeted for 2019
Growth
Targeting mid-single digit net revenue growth on an organic basis
Revised in Q3 2019: Expected to be
higher than targeted for 2019
Consumer

EBIT
Targeted to gradually go down towards a sustainable level of slightly above 30% on an organic basis, driven by increased
margin
competition
Growth
Targeting around double digit net revenue growth on an organic basis
Business EBIT

Targeted to increase to above 55% on an organic basis, driven by scale effects
margin
New
growth
initiatives

Targeting substantial growth in number of customers in both Extended Alliance and Mobile
EBIT loss in 2019 targeted lower than 2018. Positive run rate EBIT expected from second half of 2020
Clarified in Q1 2019: Expecting ~25%
improvement in nominal EBIT from
2018 to 2019
Cap.ex. Revised in Q2 2019: Targeted in the area of 50

Targeted to be in the area of NOK 40m annually on an organic basis
NOKm
annually on an organic basis
Leverage
Moderate leverage with variations intra-year due to seasonality in net working capital
Current balance sheet enabling substantial capacity to finance acquisitions
Dividend
Attractive and increasing dividend
Target pay-out ratio of at least 80% of net income, adjusted for certain cash and non-cash items1

1) Adjusted EBIT + net finance – estimated tax – amortisation of acquisition debt

Appendix

18

PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT

Summary reported financials

NOK million Q3 2019 Q3 2018 ∆ YoY
Gross revenue 1 101.6 1 328.5 -226.9
Cost of sales -842.3 -1 101.3 259.0
Net revenue 259.3 227.2 32.2
Personnel expenses -74.6 -58.5 -16.0
Other operating expenses -84.9 -85.7 0.8
Operating expenses -159.4 -144.2 -15.2
Other gains and losses, net -8.4 -4.8 -3.6
EBITDA 91.5 78.1 13.4
Depreciation & amortization -49.0 -43.6 -5.4
Operating profit (EBIT) 42.5 34.5 8.0
Net financials 1.4 1.9 -0.5
Profit / loss before taxes 43.8 36.4 7.5
Taxes -9.9 -10.3 0.4
Profit / loss for the period 33.9 26.0 7.9
Basic earnings per share (in NOK) 0.32 0.25 0.08
Diluted earnings per share (in NOK) 0.32 0.25 0.08

ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation

NOK in thousands Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q3 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2018 FY 2018
Revenue adjusted 1 373 782 1 101 634 1 328 508 5 021 050 4 528 979 6 712 291
Corporate 1) 54 969 - - 54 969 12 879 8 657
Revenue 1 428 751 1 101 634 1 328 508 5 076 019 4 541 858 6 720 948
Direct cost of sales adjusted (1 099 954) (842 307) (1 101 348) (4 109 533) (3 745 722) (5 624 399)
Corporate 1) (45 603) - - (45 603) (6 206) 873
Direct cost of sales -1 145 557 -842 307 -1 101 348 -4 155 137 -3 751 928 -5 623 526
Revenue less direct cost of sales adjusted 273 828 259 327 227 160 911 517 783 257 1 087 893
Corporate 1) 9 366 - - 9 366 6 673 9 529
Revenue less direct cost of sales 283 194 259 327 227 160 920 882 789 930 1 097 422
Total operating expenses adjusted (175 392) (196 359) (168 878) (568 173) (500 220) (697 751)
Special items 2) (1 997) (287) (6 925) (2 284) (23 602) (25 835)
Depreciation of acquisitions 3) (11 009) (11 774) (12 023) (33 785) (23 043) (36 375)
Total operating expenses -188 398 -208 418 -187 826 -604 242 -546 866 -759 961
Other gains and losses 4) (92) (8 427) (4 847) (8 511) (7 896) (10 578)
Operating profit 94 705 42 482 34 487 308 128 235 168 326 883
Interest income 5 553 4 444 4 146 14 879 11 681 15 178
Interest expense lease liability (179) (401) - (772) - -
Interest expense (1 650) (1 633) (1 669) (4 860) (3 329) (4 927)
Other financial items, net (416) (1 057) (596) (2 560) (3 776) (5 277)
Profit/(loss) before tax 98 012 43 835 36 367 314 816 239 744 331 858

1) Corporate consists of estimate deviations previous year and special revenue items. A large proportion of the Group's final settlement of sales and distribution of electricity is made after the Group has finalised its financial statements. At the date of reporting, the Group recognises electricity revenue and the associated cost of sales based on a best estimate approach. Thus, any estimate deviation related to the previous reporting period is recognised in the following reporting period. Management is of the opinion that the underlying operating profit in the reporting period should be adjusted for such estimate deviations related to previous reporting periods, thus the table below also presents the Group's operating profit before such estimate deviations in the line "Operating profit (before unallocated and estimate deviations)".

ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation cont.

2) Special items consists of one-time items as follows:

NOK in thousands Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q3 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2018 FY 2018
Special items incurred specific to:
- the process of listing the company on Oslo Stock Exchange - - (300) - (11 323) (11 323)
- acquisition related costs and implementation costs (1 997) (287) (4 514) (2 284) (9 708) (11 643)
- legal costs related to the compensatory damages - - - - (460) (460)
- strategic costs related to markets abroad - - (2 111) - (2 111) (2 409)
Special items -1 997 -287 -6 925 -2 284 -23 602 -25 835

3) Depreciation of acquisitions consists of depreciation related to customer portfolios and acquisitions of companies accounted for in intangible assets in the consolidated statement of financial position. The Group has decided to report the operating profit of the segments adjusted for depreciation of acquisitions. In order to accommodate this, historically reported figures have been adjusted accordingly:

NOK in thousands Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q3 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2018 FY 2018
TrønderEnergi Marked acquisition (7 788) (8 188) (10 951) (24 565) (19 826) (30 777)
Oppdal Everk Kraftomsetning acquisition (1 085) (1 085) - (3 256) - (1 306)
Vesterålskraft Strøm acquisition - (758) - (758) - -
Other customer acquisitions (2 136) (1 743) (1 072) (5 206) (3 217) (4 292)
Depreciation of acquisitions -11 009 -11 774 -12 023 -33 785 -23 043 -36 375

4) Other gains and losses, net consist of gains and losses on derivative financial instruments associated with the purchase and sale of electricity.

BALANCE SHEET

Summary reported financials

NOK million Q3 2019 Q3 2018
Intangible assets 194.1 186.6 7.5
PP&E 55.4 4.5 50.9
Goodwill 166.7 155.8 10.8
Financial assets 23.6 18.7 4.9
Other non-current assets 158.8 145.7 13.1
Total non-current assets 598.6 511.3 87.3
Trade receivables 916.2 1 206.4 (290.1)
Derivative financial instruments 91.9 297.0 (205.1)
Other current assets 59.8 73.2 (13.4)
Cash and cash equivalents 701.1 397.5 303.6
Total current assets 1 769.0 1 974.0 (205.0)
Total assets 2 367.6 2 485.3 (117.7)
Total equity 887.5 810.3 77.2
Net employee defined benefit liabilities 84.4 62.2 22.2
Interest-bearing long term debt 152.9 264.1 (111.2)
Interest-bearing long term debt 152.9 264.1 (111.2)
Deferred tax liabilities 15.1 32.9 (17.8)
Other provisions 39.5 1.0 38.6
Total non-current liabilities 291.9 360.1 (68.2)
Trade payables 472.7 620.1 (147.4)
Overdraft facilities - - -
Current income tax liabilities 98.8 68.0 30.8
Derivative financial instruments 93.7 286.1 (192.3)
Social security and other taxes 47.0 14.5 32.5
Other current liabilities 475.9 326.3 149.6
Total current liabilities 1 188.2 1 314.9 (126.7)
Equity and liabilities 2 367.6 2 485.3 (117.7)

CASH FLOW

Summary reported financials

NOK million Q3 2019 Q3 2018 ∆ YoY
EBITDA 91.5 78.1 13.4
Payments to obtain a contract (contract assets) -34.9 -25.7 -9.1
Other non-cash adjustments 6.5 4.8 1.7
Change in fair value of financial instruments 8.4 4.8 3.6
Changes in working capital, etc. 161.8 35.3 126.5
Cash from operating activities 233.3 97.3 136.0
Interest paid -1.6 -1.7 0.1
Interest received 4.4 4.1 0.3
Income tax paid -0.3 -0.4 0.1
Net cash from operating activities 235.9 99.4 136.5
Purchases of property, plant and equipment -1.8 -0.5 -1.3
Purchase of intangible assets -8.1 -7.1 -1.0
Net cash outflow on aquisition of subsidiares -22.1 - -22.1
Proceeds from non-current receivables -1.0 -1.4 0.5
Net cash used in investing activities -32.9 -9.0 -23.9
Proceeds from borrowings -13.9 -13.9 -
Net (outflow)/proceeds from change in overdraft facilities - - -
Dividends - - -
Payment of lease liability -2.6 - -2.6
Net cash used in financing activities -16.5 -13.9 -2.6
Net change in cash and cash equivalents 186.5 76.5 110.0
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning 514.6 321.0 193.6
Cash and cash equivalents at end 701.1 397.5 303.6

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts but forward-looking statements with respect to Fjordkraft's expectations and plans, strategy, management's objectives, future performance, costs, revenue, earnings and other trend information. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Fjordkraft.

All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to Fjordkraft on the date hereof. All written or oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Fjordkraft, any Fjordkraft employees or representatives acting on Fjordkraft's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Fjordkraft undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the date hereof.

For more information: Fjordkraft's Investor Relations Morten A. W. Opdal +47 970 62 526 [email protected]

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