AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Hunter Group ASA

Investor Presentation Mar 6, 2020

3626_rns_2020-03-06_ea78b988-45bb-4c28-a886-d8f89f4dc505.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Fourth quarter 2019 presentation 6 March 2019

Save a tree – presentation can be found at www.huntergroup.no

CERTAIN STATEMENTS INCLUDED IN THIS DOCUMENT CONTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN HUNTER GROUP'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH HUNTER GROUP BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND HUNTER GROUP'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT HUNTER GROUP WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND HUNTER GROUP UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES. IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN HUNTER GROUP'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN HUNTER GROUP'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR HUNTER GROUP'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS.

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.

Apollo Asset Ltd. Other shareholders ~29% ~71% Indicator AS* 100% Hunter GroupASA Oslo Axess ("HUNT") 100% Hunter Tankers AS *Limited activities Future opportunities?

4x VLCCs on the water 3x VLCC delivering Q2-Q3 '20

Company overview Top 10 shareholders (as of 5 March 2020)

Investor Shares
(m)
Ownership
APOLLO
ASSET
LIMITED
168 29.1%
SONGA 50 8.6%
SUNDT
AS
46 7.9%
SWAP
INVEST
AS
16 2.7%
BNP
PARIBAS
SECURITIES
SERVICES
15 2.6%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET
DNB
SMB
9 1.6%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET
FONDSFINANS
NORGE
8 1.3%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET
NORDEA
KAPITAL
7 1.2%
NORDNET
LIVSFORSIKRING
AS
6 1.0%
HALVORSENS
FABRIKK
AS
6 1.0%
Sum
10
top
328 57.0%
Total 575 43.0%
  • Owns 7x ECO scrubber-fitted VLCC newbuilds from DSME, ordered for avg. all-in price of ~\$86m
  • Sister vessel recently sold for \$106m
  • Superior access to cargo flow provided by Tankers International, the world's largest VLCC pool
  • Quality and bespoke technical management services provided by OSM in Arendal

Key events

  • Took delivery of Hunter Saga and Hunter Laga, 40 and 80 days ahead of schedule, respectively, significantly improving Q4 earnings power
  • Completed the sale of H.No. 5457 for \$98m, resulting in gain of \$12.3m and positive cash effect of \$46.1m
  • Secured a \$220 million takeout loan for the remaining four vessels with 275bps margin and 16-year repayment profile
  • Fourth quarter daily pool revenues of \$66,600
  • As of 28 February 2020, 70% of available pool days had been booked at an average TCE of approx. \$88,300
Q4 2019 financial highlights
Operating days 231
Pool days 181
Revenue \$24.4m
Pool revenue \$12.0m
Gain on sale \$12.3m
Operating expenses 3.4m
Opex
incl. insurance
1.4m
Cash based G&A 0.2m
"Start-up" voyage expenses 1.97m
Net income \$16.1m
Yard instalments \$120m
Remaining capex \$269m
Cash balance \$52.5m
Interest-bearing debt \$180.0m
  • All four deliveries so far taken place ahead of original schedule
  • Hunter Atla: 37 days
  • Hunter Saga: 40 days
  • Hunter Laga: 80 days
  • Hunter Freya: 18 days

Increasing earnings power by a combined 175 days

~Equal to worldscale 30-35 on benchmark AG-East route

Avg. fully delivered CBE

Hunter Freya fuel savings vs. benchmark VLCC (\$/day)

  • Quoted VLCC dayrates are on the basis of a 10-year old "benchmark" vessel
  • 2010-built vessels were ordered in a market environment where fuel efficiency was less important
  • Hence, dayrates for modern scrubber-equipped VLCCs are higher

Avg consumption: 45 tons HSFO per day 60 tons of VLSFO per day

Hunter Freya "Benchmark" 2010 built w.o. scrubber

Expect rebound from recent market weakness

So far in 2020 What to expect going forward

  • 41 new vessels absorbed in market
  • 15 newbuildings so far in 2020
  • 26 Cosco VLCCs reentered the fleet
  • Seasonal weakness with Lunar new year and refinery maintenance
  • Coronavirus causing drop in Chinese oil demand of 3-5mbd
  • 87% reduction in road travel post lunar new year
  • 83% reduction in rail travel " -
  • 77% air travel " -

Modern scrubber equipped vessels bottomed at ~\$30,000day

  • Chinese coronavirus situation under control, and people are returning to work
  • 3.5 trillion yuan (\$505bn) Chinese stimulus pledged so far
  • 7 out of 31 provincial governments
  • Will lead to catch-up effect to regain lost activity
  • 103 VLCCs scheduled for scrubber retrofits
  • Low fleet growth and a high number of older vessels are cash flow negative in current environment
  • No new vessel orders due to regulatory uncertainty around future decarbonization requirements

All time low orderbook and non-existent new ordering

38 26 36 36 29 31 19 28 39 53 58 65 49 31 23 21 47 50 39 68 15 -28 -26 -34 -28 -3 -1 -3 -9 -13 -6 -16 -18 -7 -1 -2 -10 -31 -4 34 21 7 -45 -65 -101 -13 Fleet overview * VLCC equivalents basis 45 days for scrubber installation • LNG dual fuel VLCCs currently priced with \$15-20m premium 4 2 2 3 4 3 7 3 6 -12 -10 -11 -13 -11 -9 -6 -5 -6 -3 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Deliveries Scrubber offhire (monthly equivalents)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Delivered Scrapped Orderbook Scrap candidates (cumulative) Scrubber offhire (VLCC equivalents)

  • 801 VLCCs currently on the water
  • All time low orderbook of ~7.7%, with 62 VLCCs
  • 101 VLCCs turning 20 years old or more by 2022, equal to 12.6% of current fleet

  • 103 VLCCs scheduled for scrubber retrofit in 2020, equal to 13 VLCC years assuming 45 days in drydock

  • Limited new orders due to uncertainty around decarbonization requirements

Rem. 2020 deliveries and scrubber offhire*

Requires seaborne transportation

+2.4mbd North America OPEC +0.7mbd Latin America +0.4mbd North Sea -1.0mbd OPEC RT = 120 days 30 VLs per 0.5mbd RT = ~110 days 28 VLs per +0.5mbpd RT = 80 days 20 VLs per 0.5mbd 130 30 25 -20 RT = 45 days (10 VLs per 0.5mbd)

US/MEG/NS oil production growth 2020-21 and VLCCs required

Implied pricing per VLCC
close
Last
NOK 3
5
USDNOK x 9
3
Shares
(fully
dil)*
Million 592
Market
cap
USDm 223
Cash " 53
other*
Net
" 12
bearing
debt
Interest
" 180
Remaining
capex
" 269
EV " 608
VLCCs # 7
Implied
value
per VLCC
USDm 87

* Adj. for warrants/options

FMV \$103.5 avg. two brokers

Quarters Year
date
to
(Unaudited
figures
in
USD
1
000)
Q4
2019
Q4
2018
Note 12/31/2019 12/31/2018
Continuing
operations
Revenues
Pool
revenues
12,026 0 8 12,026 0
Other
income
97 52 5,
7
378 52
Net
gain
on sale
of
assets
12,308 0 12,308 0
Total
Revenues
24,431 52 24,712 52
Operating
expenses
Vessel
operating
expenses
1,442 0 1,442 0
Voyage
expenses
1,968 0 1 1,968 0
Depreciation
and
amortisation
expense
1,886 0 1,
7,
8
1,915 0
General
and
administrative
expenses
410 506 4 1,113 2,816
Total
operating
expenses
5,706 506 6,438 2,816
(loss)
Operating
profit
continuing
operations
18,726 -454 18,274 -2,765
Net
interest
expense
-2,559 314 8 -2,465 874
other
financial
items
Net
-59 1,321 144 2,406
financial
(loss)
Net
income
-2,618 1,635 -2,321 3,280
Profit
(loss)
before
from
continuing
operations
taxes
16,107 1,180 15,953 515
Tax
on ordinary
result
0 76 0 -374
profit
(loss)
from
continuing
operations
Net
16,107 1,256 15,953 142
Discontinued
operations
profit
(loss)
from
discontinued
operations
Net
0 0 0 -4,410
Net
profit
(loss)
16,107 1,256 15,953 -4,268

Balance Sheet

(Unaudited
figures
in
USD
000)
1
Note 12/31/2019 9/30/2019 12/31/2018
NON-CURRENT
ASSETS
VLCC
vessels
8 254,234 84,837 0
VLCC
vessels
under
construction
5,
8
79,663 162,387 56,682
Other
tangible
assets
7,
8
217 158 10
Total
tangible
assets
334,114 247,382 56,692
TOTAL
NON-CURRENT
ASSETS
334,114 247,382 56,692
CURRENT
ASSETS
Trade
and
other
receivables
7,351 0 83
Other
short-term
receivables
818 1,217 147
Total
current receivables
8,170 1,217 231
Other
financial
investments
0 0 24,758
Total
other
financial
investments
0 0 24,758
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
6 52,455 9,725 35,001
TOTAL
CURRENT
ASSETS
60,625 10,942 59,990
TOTAL
ASSETS
394,739 258,323 116,681
and
Liabilities
Equity
EQUITY
Share
capital
(575 362 013 shares)
2 82,625 82,625 55,376
Share
premium
2 112,626 112,467 61,123
Other
equity
15,953 0 0
TOTAL
EQUITY
211,204 195,092 116,499
LIABILITIES
Non-current
interest-bearing
debt
7,
8
174,494 58,730 0
Total
non-current liabilities
174,494 58,730 0
Trade
creditors
3,077 552 132
Accrued
public
charges
and
indirect
taxes
15 16 9
Current
portion
of
interest-bearing
debt
8 5,932 1,440 0
Other
current liabilities
4 16 2,492 42
Total
current liabilities
9,040 4,500 182
TOTAL
LIABILITIES
183,534 63,230 182
TOTAL
EQUITY
AND
LIABILITIES
394,739 258,323 116,681

Cash flow

Quarters date
Year
to
(Unaudited
figures
in
USD
1
000)
Q4
2019
Q4
2018
Note 31.12.2019 12/31/2018
Profit
(loss)
before
from
continuing
operations
tax
16,107 807 15,953 142
Profit
(loss)
before
discontinued
operations
tax
0 0 0 -4,410
Profit
(loss)
before
tax
16,107 807 15,953 -4,268
Depreciation 1,886 0 8 1,915 1,126
Gain
on sale
of
VLCC
-12,308 0 5 -12,308 0
Net
write-down
intangible
and
capitalized
assets
grants
0 0 0 2,228
Interest
received
-506 -314 -509 -874
paid
Interest
2,882 0 8 2,974 33
Change
working
capital
in
items
-6,673 116 -4,818 -1,222
cash
flow
from
operating
activities
Net
1,388 609 3,208 -2,977
Investments
in
VLCC
newbuilds
and
PP
&
E
-122,358 -25,683 5,
8
-312,840 -59,672
Sale
of
VLCC
46,136 0 5 46,136 0
Investments
in
other
financial
investments
0 -31,172 0 -81,502
Sale
of
other
financial
investments
0 55,349 24,758 55,349
Net
cash
flow
from
investment
activities
-76,222 -1,507 -241,946 -85,825
received
Interest
506 314 509 874
paid
Interest
-2,882 0 8 -2,974 -33
Proceeds
from
borrowings
financial
institution
120,184 0 8 180,184 -84
Installment
leasing-debt
(IFRS
16)
-19 0 -48 0
Capital
contribution
0 0 2 79,168 92,738
Transaction
capital
contribution
cost
-225 329 2 -647 -1,625
Net
cash
flow
from
financing
activities
117,565 643 256,192 91,870
Total
changes
cash
flow
in
net
42,730 -255 17,454 3,068
effect
on cash
Currency
0 -2,202 0 -2,125
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
beginning
of
period
9,725 37,459 35,001 34,059
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
end
of
period
52,455 35,001 52,455 35,001

Hunter Group ASA Org. nr. 985 955 107

Dronningen 1 0287 Oslo, Norway +47 975 31 227 [email protected]

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.