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Kongsberg Automotive

Investor Presentation Apr 26, 2020

3648_iss_2020-04-26_6fd18d10-158d-48b9-821e-e59628167db6.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Kongsberg Automotive Update to Investor Presentation

April 27, 2020

Kongsberg Automotive

Forward-Looking Statements

This presentation contains certain "forward-looking statements". These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks, uncertainty and changes in circumstances, which may cause actual results, performance, financial condition or achievements to differ materially from anticipated results, performance, financial condition or achievements. All statements contained herein that are not clearly historical in nature are forward-looking and the words "anticipate," "believe," "expect," "estimate," "plan," and similar expressions are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have no intention and are under no obligation to update or alter (and expressly disclaim any such intention or obligation to do so) our forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by law. The forward-looking statements in this presentation include statements addressing our future financial condition and operating results. Examples of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include, among others, business, economic, competitive and regulatory risks, such as conditions affecting demand for products, particularly in the automotive industries; competition and pricing pressure; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices; natural disasters and political, economic and military instability in countries in which we operate; developments in the credit markets; future goodwill impairment; compliance with current and future environmental and other laws and regulations; and the possible effects on us of changes in tax laws, tax treaties and other legislation. More detailed information about these and other factors is set forth in the 2019 Kongsberg Automotive Annual Report and the Kongsberg Automotive Quarterly Reports.

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Kongsberg Automotive Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.

Non-IFRS Measures

Where we have used non-IFRS financial measures, reconciliations to the most comparable IFRS measure are provided, along with a disclosure on the usefulness of the non-IFRS measure, in the annual report.

Update to the Investor presentation based on recent events

  • Since initiating the roadshow and publishing the investor presentation, there are some recent events that deserve an update to the investor presentation:
    • April revenues are firming up at slightly higher levels than assumed under all the scenarios (Low, medium and High).
    • We have succeeded in being approved for and have received government grants from various countries
    • We have made good progress in the negotiations for the non-equity based liquidity sources.
  • The combination of the above factors obviously has some favorable effects on our expected liquidity need under the various scenarios for 2020 and 2021.
    • These effects are outlined on the following slides.
  • We are particularly satisfied with the revenue development in April as they come as a confirmation that the OEMs are slowly, but securely, restarting their operations. This is compatible with what we hear from our customers.

Revenue Update – based on MTD April performance

▪ Fundamentally speaking, no changes have been made to the "High case". For the Medium and Low cases. Revenues have been adjusted in April, May, June and (only for "Low case" July).

No changes have been made to 2021
--- -----------------------------------
Revenues High case Medium Case Low case
2019 (for reference) €1,161 million €1,161 million €1,161 million
2020 € 914.6 million €877.9 million €818.2 million
This assumes shutdowns as we currently This assumes shutdowns as we currently This assumes shutdowns as we currently
experience through April with a quick ramp up experience through April with a slow ramp up in experience through May with a slow ramp up in
in the first two weeks of May. May and the first week of June. June and the first week of July.
2021 €1,091 million €1,068 million €1,043 million
This assumes 2021 revenue levels of around This assumes 2021 revenue levels of around This assumes 2021 revenue levels of around
6% less than in 2019. 8% less than in 2019. 10% less than in 2019.
  • The revenue adjustments have been made on the basis of April MTD (month to date) shipments/invoices that have been generated. As of Saturday April 25th, we had already surpassed the anticipated revenue levels in the previous investor presentation.
  • The main reason for this is the timed ramp up we are already seeing from various OEMs. This means that the month with the worst anticipated revenue effects from the widespread shutdowns, April, will have a revenue shortfall vs. 2019 of 68%, rather than the 73% shortfall previously assumed.
  • The changes made to the revenue assumptions in this update are summarized below..
Medium case - Revenues vs. 2019 Apr 2020 May 2020 June 2020 Jul 2020 Aug 2020 Sep 2020 Oct 2020 Nov 2020 Dec 2020
Previous Presentation -73% -66% -40% -16% -14% -11% -9% -9% -9%
Updated presentation -68% -63% -37% -16% -14% -11% -9% -9% -9%
Δ to old assumptions in % points 4% 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low case - Revenues vs. 2019 Apr 2020 May 2020 June 2020 Jul 2020 Aug 2020 Sep 2020 Oct 2020 Nov 2020 Dec 2020
Previous Presentation -73% -74% -65% -39% -16% -15% -11% -9% -9%
Updated presentation -68% -69% -61% -36% -16% -15% -11% -9% -9%

Further developments:

Government grants, progress in negotiations with non-equity based liquidity sources

  • Late in the week of April 21st, we succeeded in being approved for and have received government grants from various countries. The amount granted amounts to €2.3 million, most of which has already been paid to us.
    • This has been reflected as income in the following financial update slide.
  • During the last weeks, we have made good progress in the negotiations for the factoring programs in North America and Europe and other non equity based sources of liquidity.
  • We now estimate with a high level of confidence that we will be able to execute a combined North American/European factoring program in the amount of at least € 60 million.
  • Consequently, we have updated our "Potentially likely sources of Funds " table as illustrated below:
Potentially likely sources of Funds in € 000:
Capital raise Gross amount: 90,000-110,000 95,000 expenses deducted,
middle of range selected
Government loan Program (CH + smaller amounts from others) 3,000 potential for more
Loan backed with Guarantor Assets 17,250 under negotiation -
term sheet stage
Supply Chain financing net 7,900 under negotiation
Factoring NA 40,000 under negotiation –
term sheet stage
Factoring EMEA 20,000 following NA -
term sheet stage
Total "likely" Funding sources 183,150
  • Note that the Capital raise amount has been changed to a level which we believe will fully and adequately fund Kongsberg Automotive through 2020 and 2021. For further background, see the next slide.
  • The Government loan programs represent additional funding we believe we will receive.
  • With the anticipated Capital Raise of €90-110 million, we believe we will be fully funded for the Corona related downturn and the following expected recession, according to the model parameters.

KPI and liquidity need impact for Kongsberg Automotive

▪ The below table provides the updated expected liquidity needs from the High and Medium cases:

(Euro 000) 2020 Medium 2021 Medium 2020 Low 2021 Low
Revenues 887,884 1,068,169 832,508 1,043,000
EBITDA 4,441 81,721 -19,530 72,642
EBITDA% 0.5% 7.7% -2.3% 7.0%
Adj. EBIT -47,946 26,099 -71,917 17,020
Adj EBIT % -5.4% 2.4% -8.6% 1.6%
Net Income -88,178 -421 -112,149 -9,501
EBITDA 4,441 81,721 -19,530 72,642
Δ Net Working Capital 12,000 15,000 9,000 21,000
Capex -63,000 -58,000 -61,000 -55,000
Taxes & Interest -25,000 -25,000 -25,000 -25,000
Other non CF EBITDA items incl IFRS 16 -28,000 -20,000 -28,000 -20,000
Cash Flow (all in) -99,559 -6,279 -124,530 -6,358
Highest cumulative liquidity need in period -90,000 -109,000 -116,000 -129,000
  • With reference to the previous investor presentation, the anticipated "Highest cumulative liquidity needs in period" were: (Euro 000) 2020 Medium 2021 Medium 2020 Low 2021 Low Highest cumulative liquidity need in period -100,000 -116,000 -126,000 -136,000
  • In other words, the "Highest cumulative liquidity needs in period" declined by around € 10 million in 2020 and € 7 million in 2021.
  • This leads us to revise the estimates originally made in order to fully fund the Corona related downturn and the following expected recession, according to the model parameters. According to the new parameters, based on April MTD figures, we believe we need to secure additional liquidity of around €120-145 million.
  • In combination with the improved funding and government support compared to the original case, this leads us to estimate the need for funding through the capital raise to be €90-110 million.
  • Compared to the "Potentially likely sources of Funds" from the previous slide, this leads to a liquidity safety buffer of around €30-40 million.
  • Compared to the previous investor presentation, our overall liquidity need has been reduced from €150 million to €140 million driven by the improved business sentiment and the receipt of government grants. At the same time, we have progressed in the negotiations for the factoring and other arrangements.
  • In total, this leads to a slightly lower overall liquidity need of which a smaller share needs to be funded by equity compared to the previous investor presentation.

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