Investor Presentation • May 20, 2020
Investor Presentation
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Oslo, 20 May 2020 Rolf Thorsen, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
COVID-19 update
Operational and financial update
Market
Outlook and summary
Completed, ongoing and upcoming projects
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. Excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m in Q1 2020 ** EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures *Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales
Highlights and sales
Operational and financial update
Market
Outlook and summary
Highlights and sales
COVID-19 update
Operational and financial update
Market
Outlook and summary
Note: Number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
· Q1 2020: 92% of construction volume in Greater Oslo Area*
Note: Sales value and number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures * Includes: Oslo, Lørenskog, Follo, Tønsberg, Asker
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. Excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m. Difference compared to reported EBITDA is due to interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in JVs.
*Adjusted EBITDA margins of 56.1% excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. Excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m
· 114 units delivered (29)
· Revenues NOK 209m (109)
Units delivered NOK 196m (93)
Other revenues NOK 13m (16)
· Project costs NOK 134m (70)
· Other costs NOK 54m (60)
· Adjusted EBITDA* NOK 117m (-9)
· EBITDA* NOK 110m (-12)
· EPS in the quarter NOK 12.08 (-0.16)
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP) Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies
Selvaag Bolig ASA Cash and cash equivalents at 31 March 2020
NOK million
Note: Amounts below NOK 65m are excluded from the cash flow overview
| NOK million | ||
|---|---|---|
| · Book value of equity NOK 26.2 per share |
7 000 | |
| - Equity ratio of 40.4% |
6 000 | |
| · Changes from Q4 2019: |
5 000 | Non-current assets |
| - Inventories increased by NOK 417m |
4 000 | |
| - Cash decreased by NOK 407m |
||
| - Trade receivables increased by NOK 3m |
3 000 | |
| · Prepayments from customers represents |
2 000 | |
| NOK 297m of other current non-interest bearing liabilities |
1 000 | Cash |
| 0 | ||
NOK million
Note: UP transaction completed in Q12020. Land bank reduction of NOK 657 million booked
| Loan facility | Drawn at 31 March. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin* |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Construction loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
1 359 | 1.75% - 2.60% |
| 2 | Land loans Urban Property** | 864 | 3.75%*** |
| 3 | Land loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
294 | 2.00% - 2.50% |
| 4 | NOK 150 million revolving credit facility from DNB maturing in 2022 |
0 | 3.40% |
| 5 | NOK 150 million working capital facility from DNB maturing in 2020 |
0 | 2.00% |
| Total Q1 2020 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 746 million |
Total Q4 2019 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 075 million
NOK million
* Margin to 3m NIBOR
** Repurchase agreements portfolio B
*** + 2.00% fee at property repurchase
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)
Net income Return on equity
Q1 2020 Net income excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m Q1 2020 Net income including Other gains of NOK 1 029m
* Assuming flat market development
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
NOK million
** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs
Highlights and sales
Covid-19 update
Operational and financial update
Market
Outlook and summary
23
Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: Prognosesenteret, Forecasted housing need: Røisland Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90
Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger
* Adjusted for temporary withdrawals or cancellations during the period
Bergen
7% 3% 9% 6% 8% 6% 8% 5% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 6% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Trondheim
Stavanger area
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Eiendom Norge * Nominal price change
Highlights and sales Covid-19 update Operational and financial update Market Summary and outlook
· Short term uncertainty · Interest rates at all time low · Easing of home loan regulations · Extensive social security network · Norway in re-opening mode areas - Urbanization - Immigration
· Population growth well above country average in SBO focus
· Long term housing need unaffected
* Source: Norges Bank
** Source: Statistics Norway
Next event: 2 nd quarter 2020 18 August 2020
Source: Eiendomsverdi
* Stavanger area includes: Randaberg, Sandnes, Sola, Stavanger
Share of total population in Oslo and Akershus Share of total population growth in Oslo and Akershus
Source: Statistics Norway
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent
Source: Oslo Børs
· 2020 additional DPS of NOK 22.00
Dividend per share
* Additional dividend of NOK 22 per share paid out 3 February 2020
12 months rolling net income (IFRS)* and return on equity**
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)
*** Q1 2020 12 months rolling net income including Other gains of NOK 1 208.7 million
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| LANDSFORSAKRINGAR FASTIGHETSFOND | 8 356 652 | 8.9% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc. *) | 2 664 220 | 2.8% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) | 2 568 454 | 2.7% |
| PARETO INVEST AS | 2 008 605 | 2.1% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBAK | 1 397 062 | 1.5% |
| J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A. *) | 1 211 153 | 1.3% |
| MUSTAD INDUSTRIER AS | 700 000 | 0.7% |
| Landkreditt Utbytte | 700 000 | 0.7% |
| Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. *) | 634 500 | 0.7% |
| BANAN II AS | 600 000 | 0.6% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 591 002 | 0.6% |
| BARCLAYS CAPITAL SEC. LTD FIRM | 582 741 | 0.6% |
| SPARHANS AS | 547 221 | 0.6% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA SPAR | 528 300 | 0.6% |
| SANDEN AS | 518 186 | 0.6% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA NORGE | 446 300 | 0.5% |
| TMAM EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE SEC | 429 581 | 0.5% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. International | 422 908 | 0.5% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET HOLBERG NORGE | 400 000 | 0.4% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 75 486 972 | 80.5% |
| Other shareholders | 18 278 716 | 19.5% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
Trondheim 369 units
Geographical spread
Stockholm 125 units
Greater-Oslo 9 704 units
Stavanger 1 004 units
Bergen 741 units
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 March 2020. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~6 500 residential units.
Lørenskog 2 213 units Lørenskog Stasjonsby 724 units Skårer bolig 901 units LSV 300 units Luhrtoppen 288 units
2 213 units
Oslo South 315 units Gjertsrud Stensrud 315 units
Follo/Østfold 1 869 units Langhus 255 units Solberg 154 units Ski 75 units Grenseveien 385 units Fredrikstad 1000 units
Lillestrøm
Bjerke 1 000 units
*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Units
Note: Joint ventures and land options not included in the valuation
| Q1 2019 | 2019 |
|---|---|
| 109.2 | 3 368.8 |
| (69.5) | (2 279.5) |
| (56.7) | (274.1) |
| 5.6 | 62.2 |
| (11.5) | 877.5 |
| (3.3) | (12.7) |
| (14.8) | 864.7 |
| (5.8) | (10.7) |
| (20.6) | 854.0 |
| 5.3 | (199.5) |
| (15.2) | 654.5 |
| (15.2) | 6. |
|---|---|
| Income statement IFRS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | 2019 |
| Total operating revenues | 209.1 | 109.2 | 3 368.8 |
| Project expenses | (133.9) | (69.5) | (2 279.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (51.6) | (56.7) | (274.1) |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | 86.7 | 5.6 | 62.2 |
| EBITDA | 110.3 | (11.5) | 877.5 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (2.5) | (3.3) | (12.7) |
| Other gains (loss) | 1 028.7 | - | - |
| EBIT | 1 136.4 | (14.8) | 864.7 |
| Net financial expenses | 0.1 | (5.8) | (10.7) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 1 136.5 | (20.6) | 854.0 |
| Income taxes | (7.5) | 5.3 | (199.5) |
| Net income | 1 129.0 | (15.2) | 654.5 |
Non-controlling interests - - - Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA 1 129.0 (15.2) 654.5
| Q1 2019 | 2019 |
|---|---|
| 383.4 | 383.4 |
| 7.6 | 5.6 |
| 398.9 | 430.3 |
| 482.2 | 280.4 |
| 1 272.0 | 1 099.6 |
| 4 6 1 4.9 | 3 636.7 |
| 1 590.7 | 1 0 2 0.8 |
| 2922.8 | 2 433.2 |
| 101.4 | 182.6 |
| 131.5 | 133.3 |
| 565.0 | 1 178.7 |
| 5 311.4 | 5812.8 |
| 6 583.5 | 6 912.4 |
| 3 0 9 1 .5 | 3 3 7 4 . 2 |
| 7.9 | 7.9 |
| 3 099.4 | 3 3 8 2 . 1 |
| 1942.8 197.7 |
1 092.3 124.2 |
| 2 140.5 | 1 216.5 |
| 618.1 | 1 161.0 |
| 725.5 | 1094.8 |
| 1 343.6 | 2 255.8 |
| 6 583.5 | 6 854.4 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 5.5 | 7.6 | 5.6 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 512.2 | 398.9 | 430.3 |
| Other non-current assets | 249.7 | 482.2 | 280.4 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 150.8 | 1 272.0 | 1 099.6 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 053.9 | 4 614.9 | 3 636.7 |
| - Land | 1 062.5 | 1 590.7 | 1 020.8 |
| - Land held for sale | |||
| - Work in progress | 2 855.1 | 2 922.8 | 2 433.2 |
| - Finished goods | 136.4 | 101.4 | 182.6 |
| Other current receivables | 126.5 | 131.5 | 133.3 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 771.3 | 565.0 | 1 178.7 |
| Assets held for sale | - | - | - |
| Total current assets | 4 951.8 | 5 311.4 | 5 812.8 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 102.5 | 6 583.5 | 6 912.4 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA* | 2 459.4 | 3 091.5 | 3 374.2 |
| Non-controlling interests | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
| Total equity | 2 467.2 | 3 099.4 | 3 382.1 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 171.5 | 1 942.8 | 1 092.3 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 148.1 | 197.7 | 124.2 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1 319.6 | 2 140.5 | 1 216.5 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 345.8 | 618.1 | 1 161.0 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 969.9 | 725.5 | 1 094.8 |
| Total current liabilities | 2 315.7 | 1 343.6 | 2 255.8 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 102.5 | 6 583.5 | 6 854.4 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK per share 26.23
| Q1 2019 | 2019 |
|---|---|
| (358.1) | 985.9 |
| 39.7 | 64.1 |
| 226.4 | (528.4) |
| (92.0) | 521.7 |
| 657.0 | 657.0 |
| 565.0 | 178.7 |
| Cash flow statement | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | 2019 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 1 182.6 | (358.1) | 985.9 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | 220.2 | 39.7 | 64.1 |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (1 810.1) | 226.4 | (528.4) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (407.3) | (92.0) | 521.7 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period | 1 178.7 | 657.0 | 657.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 771.3 | 565.0 | 1 178.7 |
| Q1 19 | Q2 19 | Q3 19 | Q4 19 | Q1 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 243 | 210 | 159 | 140 | 164 |
| Number of construction starts | 97 | 311 | 174 | 248 | 15 |
| Number of units completed | 12 | 307 | 203 | 254 | 89 |
| Number of units delivered | 29 | 246 | 243 | 214 | 114 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 534 | 1 538 | 1 510 | 1 504 | 1 431 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 70 % | 71 % | 72 % | 70 % | 76 % |
| Number of completed unsold units | 13 | 48 | 34 | 56 | 37 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 7 097 | 7 039 | 7 192 | 7 155 | 6 742 |
| Number of employees | 91 | 91 | 91 | 87 | 87 |
| Q1 20 |
|---|
| 164 |
| 15 |
| 89 |
| 114 |
| 1 4 3 1 |
| 76 % |
| 37 |
| 6 742 |
| 87 |
| Property | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | development | Other | Total |
| Operating revenues | 744.1 | 12.2 | 756.3 |
| Project expenses | (542.4) | (0.3) | (542.6) |
| Other operating expenses | (7.1) | (47.1) | (54.1) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 194.7 | (35.2) | 159.5 |
| Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting. | |||
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 197.0 | 12.2 | 209.1 |
| Project expenses | (133.6) | (0.3) | (133.9) |
| Other operating expenses | (4.6) | (47.1) | (51.6) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies | |||
| and joint ventures | 86.7 | - | 86.7 |
| EBITDA | 145.4 | 993.5 | 1 138.9 |
| Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies |
Untis sold net Units sold gross
Household debt in % of net disposable income (2019) Homeownership rate (2018)
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)
Source: Bloomberg, UN
* Central bank rates
Residential development value chain: cooperation between Selvaag Bolig and Urban Property
* Assuming flat market development
| 1 | BOOK VALUE OF LAND | 2 | MARKET VALUE OF LAND | 3 | LAND OWNED BY URBAN PROPERTY |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figures for illustration purposes only | MNOK | % | MNOK | % | MNOK | % |
| Sales revenue | 348.5 | 100.0 % | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% |
| Construction cost | 195.8 | 56.2 % | 195.8 | 56.2% | 195.8 | 56.2% |
| Land cost | 34.9 | 10.0 % | 69.7 | 20.0% | 85.2 | 24.4% |
| Other costs | 24.5 | 7.0 % | 24.5 | 7.0% | 24.5 | 7.0% |
| Project cost | 255.2 | 73.2 % | 290.0 | 83.2% | 305.5 | 87.7% |
| Net finance (excluding Urban Property) | 11.0 | 3.2 % | 16.8 | 4.8% | 5.3 | 1.5% |
| TOTAL REVENUE | 348.5 | 100.0 % | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% |
| TOTAL COST | 266.2 | 76.4 % | 306.8 | 88.0% | 310.9 | 89.2% |
| PROFIT | 82.3 | 23.6 % | 41.7 | 12.0 % | 37.7 | 10.8% |
| Internal rate of return (IRR) | 25.0 % | 12.2% | 28.0% | |||
| One-off gain on owned land |
Implications on current land bank | Future projects given a flat |
market development
2
3
* Assuming flat market development
| Statements of financial position | Reported | Transaction | Pro forma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in MNOK) | Q4 2019 | Sale | Dividend | Q4 2019 |
| ASSETS | ||||
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 430 | 0 | 0 | 430 |
| Loans to associated companies and joint ventures | 130 | -59 | 0 | 71 |
| Other non-current assets | 741 | -143 | 0 | 598 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 301 | -202 | 0 | 1 100 |
| Inventory | 4 299 | -663 | 0 | 3 637 |
| Other current receivables | 133 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1 179 | 1 751 | -2 055 | 875 |
| Total current assets | 5 611 | 1 088 | -2 055 | 4 645 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 912 | 887 | -2 055 | 5 744 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | ||||
| Total equity | 3 383 | 1 043 | -2 055 | 2 371 |
| LIABILITIES | ||||
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabiliteies | 157 | 0 | 0 | 157 |
| Non-current interest bearing liabilities | 1 128 | -157 | 0 | 971 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1 284 | -157 | 0 | 1 128 |
| Current interest bearing liabilities | 1 169 | 0 | 0 | 1 169 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 1 076 | 0 | 0 | 1 076 |
| Total current liabilities | 2 245 | 0 | 0 | 2 245 |
| Total liabilities | 3 530 | -157 | 0 | 3 373 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 912 | 887 | -2 055 | 5 744 |
| Equity% | 49 % | 41 % | ||
| Dividend per share (NOK) | 22,0 |
· Transaction value NOK 3 360m
· Repayment of debt NOK 1 160m
· Free liquidity from transaction NOK 1 800m
· EO dividend NOK 22 per share
· Pro forma equity down ~NOK 1 000 to NOK 2 364m - Equity ratio 41%, down from 49%
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