AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Selvaag Bolig ASA

Investor Presentation May 20, 2020

3741_rns_2020-05-20_74188963-2a5e-4891-80ea-12878e78b716.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Oslo, 20 May 2020 Rolf Thorsen, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO

Q1 2020

COVID-19 update

Operational and financial update

Market

Outlook and summary

Highlights Q1 2020

  • · Strong operational results considering few deliveries
  • · Good sales, but impacted by COVID-19 towards the end of the quarter
  • · Urban Property transaction completed, additional dividend of NOK 22 per share

Completed, ongoing and upcoming projects

Key financials Q1 2020 - excluding effects from UP transaction

* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. Excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m in Q1 2020 ** EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies

Sales value and units sold

Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures

Rolling sales value and units sold

Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures *Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales

Agenda

Highlights and sales

COVID-19 update

Operational and financial update

Market

Outlook and summary

COVID-effects in Q1 2020

  • · Limited operational impact
  • · Limited impact on total sales
  • · Selvaag took immediate actions
  • Prioritizing the safety of employees, customers and partners
  • Minimizing risks
  • Preparing for operational adjustments if necessary
  • Securing cash flow and liquidity

Agenda

Highlights and sales

COVID-19 update

Operational and financial update

Market

Outlook and summary

Construction starts and completions

Construction starts and completions per quarter

Note: Number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures

Units under construction and completions

· Q1 2020: 76% of units under construction sold by Q1 2020

· Q1 2020: 92% of construction volume in Greater Oslo Area*

Note: Sales value and number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures * Includes: Oslo, Lørenskog, Follo, Tønsberg, Asker

Proforma figures including proportionate share of JV

* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. Excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m. Difference compared to reported EBITDA is due to interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in JVs.

Income statement highlights Q1 2020 (IFRS)

*Adjusted EBITDA margins of 56.1% excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m

Revenues and adjusted EBITDA margin* (IFRS) NOK million 1 035 1 414 56%

* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. Excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m

· 114 units delivered (29)

· Revenues NOK 209m (109)

  • Units delivered NOK 196m (93)

  • Other revenues NOK 13m (16)

· Project costs NOK 134m (70)

  • Of which NOK 7m is interest (3)

· Other costs NOK 54m (60)

  • Salaries, sales and marketing

· Adjusted EBITDA* NOK 117m (-9)

  • Adjusted for financial expenses included in project costs

· EBITDA* NOK 110m (-12)

· EPS in the quarter NOK 12.08 (-0.16)

Income statement highlights Q1 2020 (NGAAP)

* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP) Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies

Cash flow development Q1 2020

771 2 055 Net change in Dividends paid to equity holders of

Selvaag Bolig ASA Cash and cash equivalents at 31 March 2020

NOK million

Note: Amounts below NOK 65m are excluded from the cash flow overview

  • · Cash flow from operations positive at NOK 1 183m mainly explained settlement of land in UP transaction
  • · Cash flow from investment activities positive at NOK 220m due to settlements of JV in UP transaction
  • · Cash flow from financing activities negative at NOK 1 810 mainly due to additional dividends after UP transaction

Balance sheet highlights Q1 2020

Balance sheet composition

Assets Equity and Liabilities

NOK million
·
Book value of equity NOK 26.2 per share
7 000
-
Equity ratio of 40.4%
6 000
·
Changes from Q4 2019:
5 000 Non-current assets
-
Inventories increased by NOK 417m
4 000
-
Cash decreased by NOK 407m
-
Trade receivables increased by NOK 3m
3 000
·
Prepayments from customers represents
2 000
NOK 297m of other current non-interest
bearing liabilities
1 000 Cash
0

Inventories (property) Q1 2020

Q1 20 vs Q4 19 Inventory value development

NOK million

  • · Land value is up NOK 41m
  • · Work in progress up NOK 422m
  • Due to few deliveries from fully owned projects
  • · Finished goods down NOK 47m
  • · UP transaction completed in Q1, land bank reduction in Q4 due to reclassifications from land to assets held for sale

Note: UP transaction completed in Q12020. Land bank reduction of NOK 657 million booked

Debt structure

Loan facility Drawn
at 31
March.
(NOKm)
Interest
rate
margin*
1 Construction loan facilities from
a range of Nordic credit institutions
1 359 1.75% -
2.60%
2 Land loans Urban Property** 864 3.75%***
3 Land loan facilities from a range of
Nordic credit institutions
294 2.00% -
2.50%
4 NOK 150 million revolving credit
facility from DNB maturing in 2022
0 3.40%
5 NOK 150 million working capital
facility from DNB maturing in
2020
0 2.00%
Total Q1 2020 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 746 million

Total Q4 2019 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 075 million

Interest-bearing debt at 31 March 2020

NOK million

* Margin to 3m NIBOR

** Repurchase agreements portfolio B

*** + 2.00% fee at property repurchase

* Repurchase agreements portfolio B

Return on equity (IFRS)

12 months rolling net income (NOKm) ROE (%)

* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA

** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)

12 months rolling net income (NOKm) ROE (%)

Net income Return on equity

Q1 2020 Net income excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m Q1 2020 Net income including Other gains of NOK 1 029m

Margin development through project stages*

* Assuming flat market development

* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)

Project margin development

NOK million

** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs

Agenda

Highlights and sales

Covid-19 update

Operational and financial update

Market

Outlook and summary

Estimated completions in Oslo well below forecasted need

23

Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: Prognosesenteret, Forecasted housing need: Røisland Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90

Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing

Newbuild market update

Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger

Newbuild market update

Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger

* Adjusted for temporary withdrawals or cancellations during the period

Oslo second-hand market update

Bergen second-hand market update

Trondheim second-hand market update

Stavanger second-hand market update

Regional price* development 1 Jan – 30 April, 2007-20

Bergen

7% 3% 9% 6% 8% 6% 8% 5% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 6% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Trondheim

Stavanger area

Regional price* development April 2007-20

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: Eiendom Norge * Nominal price change

Agenda

Highlights and sales Covid-19 update Operational and financial update Market Summary and outlook

Outlook

· Short term uncertainty · Interest rates at all time low · Easing of home loan regulations · Extensive social security network · Norway in re-opening mode areas - Urbanization - Immigration

Year to date Short term Longer term

· Population growth well above country average in SBO focus

· Long term housing need unaffected

  • · Normal market conditions entering 2020
  • · Market sentiment impacted by COVID-19

* Source: Norges Bank

** Source: Statistics Norway

  • · Urban developer
  • · With large projects
  • · In growth areas

Addressing long term housing need

  • · Strong operational results considering few deliveries
  • · Good sales, but impacted by COVID-19 towards the end of the quarter
  • · Urban Property transaction completed, additional dividend of NOK 22 per share

Summary

Thank you for your attention – follow us online!

Next event: 2 nd quarter 2020 18 August 2020

Appendix

Price development Norway and selected regions (2005-19)

Price development (rebased 01/01/05)

Source: Eiendomsverdi

* Stavanger area includes: Randaberg, Sandnes, Sola, Stavanger

Increasing share of population growth in Oslo and Akershus

Share of total population in Oslo and Akershus Share of total population growth in Oslo and Akershus

Source: Statistics Norway

Selvaag Bolig's ambition is to pay high and stable dividends to its owners.

The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.

The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent

Dividend policy

Share performance since IPO in June 2012

Source: Oslo Børs

Earnings and dividend per share since IPO

  • · FY 2019 EPS of NOK 7.04 (6.14)
  • · FY 2019 DPS of NOK 3.50 (4.50)
  • H1 2019 DPS of NOK 2.00
  • H2 2019 DPS of NOK 1.50
  • · 2020 additional DPS of NOK 22.00

  • Dividend per share

Accumulated dividend and earnings per share

* Additional dividend of NOK 22 per share paid out 3 February 2020

Return on equity (IFRS)

12 months rolling net income (IFRS)* and return on equity**

* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA

** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA)

*** Q1 2020 12 months rolling net income including Other gains of NOK 1 208.7 million

Largest shareholders at 31 March 2020

* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en

Shareholder # of shares % share
SELVAAG AS 50 180 087 53.5%
LANDSFORSAKRINGAR FASTIGHETSFOND 8 356 652 8.9%
Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc. *) 2 664 220 2.8%
State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) 2 568 454 2.7%
PARETO INVEST AS 2 008 605 2.1%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBAK 1 397 062 1.5%
J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A. *) 1 211 153 1.3%
MUSTAD INDUSTRIER AS 700 000 0.7%
Landkreditt Utbytte 700 000 0.7%
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. *) 634 500 0.7%
BANAN II AS 600 000 0.6%
HOLTA INVEST AS 591 002 0.6%
BARCLAYS CAPITAL SEC. LTD FIRM 582 741 0.6%
SPARHANS AS 547 221 0.6%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA SPAR 528 300 0.6%
SANDEN AS 518 186 0.6%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA NORGE 446 300 0.5%
TMAM EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE SEC 429 581 0.5%
Morgan Stanley & Co. International 422 908 0.5%
VERDIPAPIRFONDET HOLBERG NORGE 400 000 0.4%
Total 20 largest shareholders 75 486 972 80.5%
Other shareholders 18 278 716 19.5%
Total number of shares 93 765 688 100.0%

Positioned to realize large projects in Norway's four largest growing urban areas

  • · Acquire the right mix of zoned and un-zoned land in suitable locations
  • · Land acquisitions in defined core areas in co-operation with Urban Property
  • · High degree of site utilization and strategic land development
  • · Substantial land bank to accommodate targets/growth in core areas
  • · Good infrastructure and public transport
  • · Joint ventures (JVs)

Land bank exposure

Trondheim 369 units

Geographical spread

Stockholm 125 units

Greater-Oslo 9 704 units

Stavanger 1 004 units

Bergen 741 units

Land-bank strategy

Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 March 2020. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~6 500 residential units.

Land bank in Oslo and Greater Oslo

Lørenskog 2 213 units Lørenskog Stasjonsby 724 units Skårer bolig 901 units LSV 300 units Luhrtoppen 288 units

2 213 units

Oslo South 315 units Gjertsrud Stensrud 315 units

Follo/Østfold 1 869 units Langhus 255 units Solberg 154 units Ski 75 units Grenseveien 385 units Fredrikstad 1000 units

Lillestrøm

Bjerke 1 000 units

Land bank in Stavanger area

*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures

Land bank in Bergen, Trondheim and Stockholm

Substantial portfolio for development

Total land bank portfolio at 31 March 2020

Units

Land bank book value vs. external valuation year end

Note: Joint ventures and land options not included in the valuation

Income statement IFRS

Q1 2019 2019
109.2 3 368.8
(69.5) (2 279.5)
(56.7) (274.1)
5.6 62.2
(11.5) 877.5
(3.3) (12.7)
(14.8) 864.7
(5.8) (10.7)
(20.6) 854.0
5.3 (199.5)
(15.2) 654.5
(15.2) 6.
Income statement IFRS
(figures in NOK million) Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Total operating revenues 209.1 109.2 3 368.8
Project expenses (133.9) (69.5) (2 279.5)
Other operating expenses (51.6) (56.7) (274.1)
Associated companies and joint ventures 86.7 5.6 62.2
EBITDA 110.3 (11.5) 877.5
Depreciation and amortisation (2.5) (3.3) (12.7)
Other gains (loss) 1 028.7 - -
EBIT 1 136.4 (14.8) 864.7
Net financial expenses 0.1 (5.8) (10.7)
Profit/(loss) before taxes 1 136.5 (20.6) 854.0
Income taxes (7.5) 5.3 (199.5)
Net income 1 129.0 (15.2) 654.5

Net income for the period attributable to:

Non-controlling interests - - - Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA 1 129.0 (15.2) 654.5

Balance sheet

Q1 2019 2019
383.4 383.4
7.6 5.6
398.9 430.3
482.2 280.4
1 272.0 1 099.6
4 6 1 4.9 3 636.7
1 590.7 1 0 2 0.8
2922.8 2 433.2
101.4 182.6
131.5 133.3
565.0 1 178.7
5 311.4 5812.8
6 583.5 6 912.4
3 0 9 1 .5 3 3 7 4 . 2
7.9 7.9
3 099.4 3 3 8 2 . 1
1942.8
197.7
1 092.3
124.2
2 140.5 1 216.5
618.1 1 161.0
725.5 1094.8
1 343.6 2 255.8
6 583.5 6 854.4
(figures in NOK million) Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Intangible assets 383.4 383.4 383.4
Property, plant and equipment 5.5 7.6 5.6
Investments in associated companies and joint ventures 512.2 398.9 430.3
Other non-current assets 249.7 482.2 280.4
Total non-current assets 1 150.8 1 272.0 1 099.6
Inventories (property) 4 053.9 4 614.9 3 636.7
- Land 1 062.5 1 590.7 1 020.8
- Land held for sale
- Work in progress 2 855.1 2 922.8 2 433.2
- Finished goods 136.4 101.4 182.6
Other current receivables 126.5 131.5 133.3
Cash and cash equivalents 771.3 565.0 1 178.7
Assets held for sale - - -
Total current assets 4 951.8 5 311.4 5 812.8
TOTAL ASSETS 6 102.5 6 583.5 6 912.4
Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA* 2 459.4 3 091.5 3 374.2
Non-controlling interests 7.9 7.9 7.9
Total equity 2 467.2 3 099.4 3 382.1
Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 1 171.5 1 942.8 1 092.3
Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities 148.1 197.7 124.2
Total non-current liabilities 1 319.6 2 140.5 1 216.5
Current interest-bearing liabilities 1 345.8 618.1 1 161.0
Other current non interest-bearing liabilities 969.9 725.5 1 094.8
Total current liabilities 2 315.7 1 343.6 2 255.8
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 6 102.5 6 583.5 6 854.4

* Corresponding to a book value of NOK per share 26.23

Cash flow statement

Q1 2019 2019
(358.1) 985.9
39.7 64.1
226.4 (528.4)
(92.0) 521.7
657.0 657.0
565.0 178.7
Cash flow statement
(figures in NOK million) Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Net cash flow from operating activities 1 182.6 (358.1) 985.9
Net cash flow from investment activities 220.2 39.7 64.1
Net cash flow from financing activities (1 810.1) 226.4 (528.4)
Net change in cash and cash equivalents (407.3) (92.0) 521.7
Cash and cash equivalents at start of period 1 178.7 657.0 657.0
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 771.3 565.0 1 178.7

Operational highlights – key operating figures

Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
Number of units sold 243 210 159 140 164
Number of construction starts 97 311 174 248 15
Number of units completed 12 307 203 254 89
Number of units delivered 29 246 243 214 114
Number of units under construction 1 534 1 538 1 510 1 504 1 431
Proportion of sold units under construction 70 % 71 % 72 % 70 % 76 %
Number of completed unsold units 13 48 34 56 37
Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) 7 097 7 039 7 192 7 155 6 742
Number of employees 91 91 91 87 87
Q1 20
164
15
89
114
1 4 3 1
76 %
37
6 742
87

EBITDA Q1 2020

Property
(figures in NOK million) development Other Total
Operating revenues 744.1 12.2 756.3
Project expenses (542.4) (0.3) (542.6)
Other operating expenses (7.1) (47.1) (54.1)
EBITDA (percentage of completion) 194.7 (35.2) 159.5
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment
Operating revenues 197.0 12.2 209.1
Project expenses (133.6) (0.3) (133.9)
Other operating expenses (4.6) (47.1) (51.6)
Share of income (losses) from associated companies
and joint ventures 86.7 - 86.7
EBITDA 145.4 993.5 1 138.9
Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated
companies

Value of units sold - gross and net

Sales value of units sold

Number of units sold - gross and net

Number of units sold

Untis sold net Units sold gross

Norwegian housing market

  • · Low risk for housebuilders
  • Advance sales: banks require that 50-70% of homes are sold before construction starts
  • Binding offers: offer to purchase is a binding sales contract, and requires a minimum 10% cash deposit
  • · High level of home ownership
  • 85% (one of the world's highest)
  • · Economic benefits for home owners
  • 23% of mortgage loan interest payments are tax deductible
  • Transfer stamp duty for new houses is lower than for second-hand homes
  • · Strong population growth
  • Norway's urban areas are among the fastest growing in Europe
  • Good demand for new homes

Total household debt and homeownership

Household debt in % of net disposable income (2019) Homeownership rate (2018)

Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)

Immigration increases demand over time

of years in Norway

Norway – robust economic conditions

Population growth 2020 - 2030e and 2040e Interest rates* 2012 - 2021e

Source: Bloomberg, UN

* Central bank rates

Reduced capital binding in practice, in effect no equity needed in Selvaag Bolig for land

Residential development value chain: cooperation between Selvaag Bolig and Urban Property

Historic general margin development through project stages

* Assuming flat market development

Example project calculations before and after

1 BOOK VALUE OF LAND 2 MARKET VALUE OF LAND 3 LAND OWNED BY URBAN
PROPERTY
Figures for illustration purposes only MNOK % MNOK % MNOK %
Sales revenue 348.5 100.0 % 348.5 100.0% 348.5 100.0%
Construction cost 195.8 56.2 % 195.8 56.2% 195.8 56.2%
Land cost 34.9 10.0 % 69.7 20.0% 85.2 24.4%
Other costs 24.5 7.0 % 24.5 7.0% 24.5 7.0%
Project cost 255.2 73.2 % 290.0 83.2% 305.5 87.7%
Net finance (excluding Urban Property) 11.0 3.2 % 16.8 4.8% 5.3 1.5%
TOTAL REVENUE 348.5 100.0 % 348.5 100.0% 348.5 100.0%
TOTAL COST 266.2 76.4 % 306.8 88.0% 310.9 89.2%
PROFIT 82.3 23.6 % 41.7 12.0 % 37.7 10.8%
Internal rate of return (IRR) 25.0 % 12.2% 28.0%
One-off gain on
owned land
Implications on current land bank Future projects given a flat

market development

2

3

  • 1 Initial project margin and IRR at current structure with book value of land about half of market value
  • Initial project margin and IRR at current structure given land at marked value
  • Initial project margin and IRR with Urban Property as partner and land at marked value (in addition to option premium)

Project margin will somewhat deflate* but higher IRR and less/no equity bound in land

* Assuming flat market development

Balance sheet implications and effects of dividend

Statements of financial position Reported Transaction Pro forma
(figures in MNOK) Q4 2019 Sale Dividend Q4 2019
ASSETS
Investments in associated companies and joint ventures 430 0 0 430
Loans to associated companies and joint ventures 130 -59 0 71
Other non-current assets 741 -143 0 598
Total non-current assets 1 301 -202 0 1 100
Inventory 4 299 -663 0 3 637
Other current receivables 133 0 0 133
Cash and cash equivalents 1 179 1 751 -2 055 875
Total current assets 5 611 1 088 -2 055 4 645
TOTAL ASSETS 6 912 887 -2 055 5 744
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Total equity 3 383 1 043 -2 055 2 371
LIABILITIES
Other non-current non interest-bearing liabiliteies 157 0 0 157
Non-current interest bearing liabilities 1 128 -157 0 971
Total non-current liabilities 1 284 -157 0 1 128
Current interest bearing liabilities 1 169 0 0 1 169
Other current non interest-bearing liabilities 1 076 0 0 1 076
Total current liabilities 2 245 0 0 2 245
Total liabilities 3 530 -157 0 3 373
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 6 912 887 -2 055 5 744
Equity% 49 % 41 %
Dividend per share (NOK) 22,0

· Transaction value NOK 3 360m

· Repayment of debt NOK 1 160m

· Free liquidity from transaction NOK 1 800m

· EO dividend NOK 22 per share

· Pro forma equity down ~NOK 1 000 to NOK 2 364m - Equity ratio 41%, down from 49%

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.