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Kongsberg Automotive

Investor Presentation Aug 6, 2020

3648_rns_2020-08-06_af9a6d64-c905-4f18-8583-d3b15aff7e73.pdf

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Kongsberg Automotive

Second quarter 2020

Kongsberg Automotive

Forward-Looking Statements and Non-IFRS Measures

Forward-Looking Statements

This presentation contains certain "forward-looking statements". These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks, uncertainty and changes in circumstances, which may cause actual results, performance, financial condition or achievements to differ materially from anticipated results, performance, financial condition or achievements. All statements contained herein that are not clearly historical in nature are forward-looking and the words "anticipate," "believe," "expect," "estimate," "plan," and similar expressions are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have no intention and are under no obligation to update or alter (and expressly disclaim any such intention or obligation to do so) our forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by law. The forward-looking statements in this presentation include statements addressing our future financial condition and operating results. Examples of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include, among others, business, economic, competitive and regulatory risks, such as conditions affecting demand for products, particularly in the automotive industries; competition and pricing pressure; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices; natural disasters and political, economic and military instability in countries in which we operate; developments in the credit markets; future goodwill impairment; compliance with current and future environmental and other laws and regulations; and the possible effects on us of changes in tax laws, tax treaties and other legislation. More detailed information about these and other factors is set forth in the 2019 Kongsberg Automotive Annual Report, Kongsberg Automotive Quarterly Reports and various investor presentations published in conjunction with the 2020 capital increase.

Non-IFRS Measures

Where we have used non-IFRS financial measures, reconciliations to the most comparable IFRS measure are provided, along with a disclosure on the usefulness of the non-IFRS measure, in this presentation.

Key topics Q2 2020


Revenues
declined
strongly
by
MEUR
140
(-48
%)
YoY
to
MEUR
154,
including
negative
currency
translation
effects
of
MEUR
3.9.
The
downturn
in
Q2
2020
is
wholly
driven
by
Corona
virus
pandemic
related
shortfalls
in
sales
volume
in
European
and
North
American
KA
plants:
Sales
Revenues
in
Europe
and
in
the
Americas
declined
by
around
56%
YoY
and
57%
respectively.

Revenues
in
China
increased
by
around
25%
YoY,
attributable
to
the
quick
recovery
from
the
Corona
virus
pandemic
effects
and
KA
market
share
gains
in
that
market.

Revenues
in
all
KA
global
locations
ramped
up
quicker
than
originally
expected
during
the
month
of
June
2020,
reaching
a
level
of
almost
75%
of
June
2019
levels.

Despite
great
uncertainty
around
future
customer
demand,
we
were
awarded
new
business
totaling
MEUR
43
on
an
annualized
basis,
corresponding
to
MEUR
160
in
expected
lifetime
revenues
during
Q2
2020.
Performance
Adj.
EBIT
was
proportionate
to
the
reduced
revenue
levels
and
amounted
to
MEUR
-33
which
was
MEUR
54
lower
than
in
Q2
2019.
There
were
no
significant
translational
FX
impacts.
The
Adj.
EBIT
Q2
2020
figure
excludes
impairment
losses
of
MEUR
83
triggered
by
the
effects
the
Corona
virus
pandemic
has
on
the
current
business
outlook.

The
free
cash
flow
was
MEUR
-14
for
the
quarter

The
Capital
Increase
contributed
MEUR
63
(private
placement)

We
repaid
our
entire
RCF
outstanding
balance

Our
liquidity
reserve
amounted
to
MEUR
126
including
the
entire
available
RCF
line.
Cash Flow
Our
usable
liquidity
reserve
amounted
to
MEUR
112
including
only
the
RCF
amount
that
we
can
draw
before
subjecting
ourselves
to
covenant
testing.

Total
cash
flow
for
the
quarter
was
MEUR
49
including
the
complete
RCF
repayment
and
currency
effects.
Gearing
The
adjusted
gearing
ratio
(NIBD/Adj.
EBITDA)
deteriorated
from
3.0X
in
Q2-19
to
6.1X
in
Q2
2020,
again
mainly
driven
by
the
effects
of
the
Corona
virus
pandemic.
3

The Corona virus and its impact on the automotive industry

  • The corona virus (Corona) has impacted the automotive industry significantly.
    • The Corona outbreak started in China slightly before the Chinese new year vacation (February 2020).
      • This led to shutdowns in China extending beyond the normal new year shut down periods.
      • Due to very strict and effective measures, China has returned to somewhat normal automotive operations in early April ramping up production volumes significantly.
    • As we all have since learned, the economic impact outside of China has been much stronger as the Corona virus has spread rapidly throughout the world.
    • North America and Europe effectively shut down from mid/late March through April and into May followed by a strong ramp up in June and July.
      • Although the supply chains in the automotive industry are very global, complex, and intertwined, the ramp up has gone unexpectedly well.
    • There are still uncertainties as to what the "new normal" will look like from a market perspective:
      • Although Corona virus infection rates have generally declined in KA's main markets, there are still local spikes in Europe and regional outbreaks in North America, the consequences of which are unknown.
      • Especially in North America, where the recovery rate has been the highest, the vehicle inventory was much depleted during the lockdown period. The strong North American production recovery reflects to a large degree the "refilling" of the vehicle inventory at dealers. To what extent the vehicles that are currently produced in North America reflect vehicles sold is unknown.
      • Particularly in Europe, there seems to be a solid recovery in the heavy-duty truck market where many of our customers are optimistic for the second half of 2020.

Impact of the Corona virus

on Kongsberg Automotive – an update

  • During the last weeks of Q1 2020, KA took quick action in order to counter what we saw as the likely outcome of the Corona Virus pandemic. This included:
    • Reductions in employment (discontinuing agency workers, furloughs, short-time work, "permitteringer") of more than ⅔ of our work force,
    • Stringent working capital measures including "crisis management" of material inflows from suppliers,
    • Development of market scenarios and financial models to estimate liquidity needs.
  • This was followed by action plans for the improvement of KA's liquidity consisting mainly of the following:
    • Capital Increase: MNOK 1,000 through a private placement and subsequent offering Completed
    • Increase in the RCF from MEUR 50 to MEUR 70 and in the utilization rate of our revolving credit facility (RCF) from 40% to 80% without subjecting KA to covenant testing leading to an increase in the liquidity of MEUR 36 - Completed
    • Initiation of a factoring program that would create a better balance between Accounts Payables and Receivables for up to MEUR 60 – Under Negotiation
  • Following these measures, Kongsberg Automotive believes it is fully funded through 2021 under our current market assumptions.
    • A second wave of the Corona Virus pandemic could of course impact this position. However, we believe we have significant buffers to cover for additional negative Corona Virus pandemic effects.
    • Compared to our competition, Kongsberg Automotive has acted faster and with larger measures than most of our competitors. This should improve our competitive positioning going forward.
    • We have already seen some small effects of this as we have been able to pick up some smaller programs from competitors that have entered into financial difficulties following the outbreak of the Corona Virus pandemic.
  • Due to the impact the Corona Virus pandemic has had and is expected to continue to have, we completed an impairment test for the entire company using reduced end market demand assumptions. Not surprisingly, since some of our business units were "tight" at the 2019 year-end impairment test, this led to a significant non-cash impairment charge of MEUR 83.
    • 5 ▪ The impairment charge has been booked outside of adjusted EBIT in order to easier compare operational performance.

The impact of the Corona virus – a revenue/market update

▪ The recovery from the lock down period has been steep and remarkable although the ramp ups, especially in North America started slightly later than originally assumed. Below is a table illustrating the revenue development for Q1, April, May, and June YOY for our China , non-China Off Highway & Industrial and Automotive (HD & LD) businesses:

YOY % Q1 April May June Q2
China -8.4% 28.5% 30.3% 17.1% 25.0%
Off Highw
ay & Industrial
-2.5% -63.4% -48.9% -11.7% -41.4%
Automotive (LD&HD) -17.3% -77.8% -69.8% -25.3% -58.6%
Kongsberg Automotive -14.1% -64.8% -57.8% -18.4% -47.6%
  • As can be seen from the above table:
  • China revenues have developed very strongly in Q2 driven by the quick "Corona recovery" for China and market share gains from Kongsberg Automotive due to launching of new programs and China market share gains.
  • Off Highway and Industrial fell sharply in April and May driven by the complete shutdown of the largest customer followed by a strong recovery in June mostly driven by the largest customer being back to production and struggling "to satisfy end market demand".
  • As expected, the pure automotive channel had the strongest April and May declines followed by a steeper recovery curve than our non-automotive businesses in June, primarily driven by North America.
  • As presented in various investor presentations, we have seen and expect to continue to see dramatic changes to our revenue levels in FY 2020. In the most recent investor presentation (June 26), we estimated that we would be experiencing revenue levels for FY 2020 of MEUR 884 million reflecting a YOY decline of around 24%.
  • Currently, based on updated orders and dialogue with our customers following the last investor presentation, we believe that we will have full year revenues of around MEUR 914, a YOY decrease of around 21%.
    • The below table compares the estimated monthly YoY revenue development with the June 26 assumptions.
YOY Revenue development July August September October November December
Previous Presentation -28% -20% -15% -12% -8% -10%
This (updated) presentation -14% -11% -8% -13% -7% -13%
Δ to old assumptions in % points 14% 9% 7% -1% 1% -3%
  • The above table reflects our current expectations which could change due to Corona virus related and or other economic effects not currently foreseen.
  • For updated P&L effects, please see the summary section.

Revenues and Adjusted EBIT

Q2 2020 revenue and adjusted EBIT were impacted by COVID-19 effects

Revenues including HRAR EBIT adjusted for restructuring and impairment (only Q2 2020) - see details in the quarterly report.

7

EBIT and Net Income

New Business Wins

New business wins – KA Group

Q2 2020 bookings heavily impacted by COVID-19 related market decline

New business wins per quarter (per annum revenues) MEUR

New business wins per quarter (lifetime revenues*) MEUR

New business wins LTM (lifetime revenues*) MEUR

*Lifetime revenue assumptions are based on IHS and LMC production estimates at the time of the booking.

New business wins by segment

New business wins secure future growth in all segments

*Lifetime revenue assumptions are based on IHS and LMC production estimates at the time of the booking.

Book-to-bill performance

High number of new business wins over the last 2 years ensure long term growth

Market Summary

Q2 2020 market summary

The market development in Q2 2020 was heavily impacted by the Corona virus pandemic

Source: IHS Light Vehicle Production Base, June 2020

Global Truck Production, Units in thousands Global Truck Production

Global Passenger Car Production

Production Volumes Q2-20 vs. Q2-19
Europe -62.3% (-3.5m units)
North America -69.1% (-2.9m units)
South America -82.0% (-0.7m units)
China +9.1% (+0.5m units)
APAC w/o China -55.1% (-2.9m units)
RoW -47.2% (-0.2m units)
Total -44.5% (-9.9m units)

Note that Outside of China, the production volumes declined by around 62%

Production Volumes Q2-20 vs. Q2-19
Europe -57.3% (-83k units)
North America -74.2% (-132k units)
South
America
-63.1% (-20k units)
China +1.8% (+7k units)
APAC w/o China -34.3% (-57k units)
RoW -29.5% (-1k units)
Total -32.6% (-286k units)

Note that Outside of China, the production volumes declined by around 60%

Segment Highlights

Segment financials last five quarters

Interior Powertrain & Chassis Specialty Products

Interior

Due to the effects from the Corona virus pandemic, our plants in Europe and North America were shut down through in April and parts of May 2020. Beginning from May 2020, the production was slowly ramped up as lockdown measures were ceased. Variable and fixed costs were strictly controlled and adjusted to reduced sales level.

The Chinese production output exceeded the revenue levels in Q2 2019.

In April 2020 KA successfully opened a new plant in Wuxi, China, for ICS production.

The general customer activity to award new businesses was very low in Q2 as

purchasing activities from our customers were put on hold as the purchasing departments shifted priorities. Hence, we were only awarded contracts reflecting MEUR 3 in expected lifetime revenues in the Interior segment. This award relates to the supply of actuation cables to a major premium French and a major Chinese car maker.

Q2 2019 Q2 2020

Powertrain and Chassis (P&C)

Operations have been heavily impacted by the plant shutdowns through April 2020 in Europe and North America. The production restart and supply chain activities in May were well-controlled. Many customers strive to refill their inventories depleted by shut-down this year due to the COVID-19.

In Q2, the passenger car business unit of P&C was the hardest hit business unit by the corona virus related closures outside of China due to its higher concentration of Italian and French OEMs than our other segments.

Operations New Business Wins

Annualized revenues

The general customer activity to award new businesses was very low in Q2 as purchasing activities from our customers were put on hold as the purchasing departments shifted priorities.

P&C suffered from significant decline (80%) in new orders in the passenger car market. New orders on the truck market were slightly higher than in Q2 2019.

The New Business Wins included a shift by wire project to a Chinese customer with expected annualized revenues of MEUR 4.5 or MEUR 17.7 in expected lifetime revenues.

Specialty Products

103 57 -47 -45.2%

The Specialty Products segment consists of three business units; Couplings (COU), Fluid Transfer Systems (FTS) and Off-Highway (OFH).

The revenue declines in this segment were driven by the automotive business operations, as well as non-automotive business. The OFH business was harder hit by the lockdowns in April and May but recovered faster in June.

Q2 2019 Q2 2020

Revenues Adj. EBIT

Adj. EBIT is in line with the reduced sales level. Variable and fixed costs were reduced in order to reflect the reduced revenues in Q2 2020 according to the rules and regulations in the countries where we operate.

Included in the adj. EBIT figures are costs for inventory write down of MEUR 5.2.

Q2 2019 Q2 2020

Operations have been heavily impacted by the plant shutdowns through April 2020 in Europe and North America. The production restart and supply chain activities in May were well-controlled. Many customers strive to refill their inventories depleted by shutdown this year due to the COVID-19.

Annualized revenues

1

Operations New Business Wins

The general customer activity to award new businesses was very low in Q2 as purchasing activities from our customers were put on hold as the purchasing departments shifted priorities. In spite of this, Specialty Products sustained solid booking figures primarily due to program sourcing activities that had taken place over the last couple of quarters.

The main new business win is a Couplings project to a premium European OEM. This program account for around MEUR 12.5 in annualized revenues, or MEUR 86 in expected lifetime revenues.

Financial Update Norbert Loers

Q2 2020 - Revenue and adjusted EBIT development

* Variances excluding FX translation effects

Q2 2020 – Net Income development

Adj. EBIT

Significant lower Adj. EBIT levels driven by lower volumes caused by the outbreak of COVID-19

Impairment losses

COVID-19 has been identified as a triggering event, resulting in an impairment of a portion of assets in the amount of MEUR 82.7 (thereof MEUR 58.8 allocated to the Goodwill)

Interest

The interest expenses remained at the same level as in Q2 2019 (MEUR 5.2 in Q2 2020 vs. MEUR 5.1 in Q2 2019)

Other financial items

Other financial expense were MEUR -1,5 compared to MEUR -0,2 in Q2 2019 and unrealized FX effects (gain of MEUR 0.1 in Q2 2020 vs. a loss of MEUR 0.5 in Q2 2019).

Taxes

Tax income in Q2 2020 was impacted by the permanent differences in relation to the impairment of Goodwill at MEUR 12.9 and the valuation allowances on deferred tax assets at MEUR 10.5.

Q2 2020 - Liquidity development

Q2 2020 Total Cash Flow*

Operating cash flow MEUR 4.9

Change in net working capital amounted to MEUR 4.6 compared to a change of MEUR (4.3) in Q2 2019.

Investment cash flow MEUR -8.2

– Investments in tangible assets: MEUR -8.1

Cash flow from financing** MEUR 56.8

  • Net proceeds from the equity increase: MEUR 63.0
  • Other interest & financial items: MEUR -1.8
  • IFRS 16 interest payments: MEUR -1.3
  • Repayment of IFRS 16 lease liabilities MEUR -3.1

*Total Cash Flow = Cash flow from operating activities ± cash flow from investments ± cash flow from financing excluding net draw and/or repayment of RCF

** Excludes changes in amount drawn from the RCF

Net financial items - Breakdown

The currency effects in Q2 2020 are made up of:

  • realized currency loss of MEUR 0.5.
  • unrealized currency loss of MEUR 0.6.

Other financial items

This position mainly includes the finance costs incurred in relation to the securitization process in Q2 2020.

Interest

The main elements were the IFRS16 interest cost of MEUR 1.3 and accrued interest expense for the bond and RCF of MEUR 3.7.

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020

Financial ratios

-12.3

*Adjusted gearing ration and Adjusted ROCE exclude impairment effects in the denominator but include the impairment effects in the nominator. **Capital employed and Equity ratio have been calculated considering the impairment charge

Summary and Conclusion

Summary & Conclusion

  • Q2 2020 was heavily impacted by the Corona Virus pandemic effects on revenues, earnings and cash flows. Ultimately, due to the softened market outlook, this also caused the non-cash impairment charge.
  • We applied strict cost controls on all "managed" cost and cash categories and implemented labor actions for more than ⅔ of our work force in the form of short-time labor, furloughs and headcount reductions.
  • These measures together with favorable cash effects from working capital allowed us to limit the "cash burn" in Q2 to MEUR -14.
  • The successful capital raise through the combination of a private placement and the subsequent offering in combination with the increase in RCF utilization allowed us to secure a level of liquidity reserves that should be sufficient at least through the end of 2021.
  • We are very humble and grateful to our shareholders and banks (Danske Bank and JPMorgan) for the support in these activities.

Business Outlook

  • Since June, we see a steady and continuing recovery of our order book. The reopening started in Europe and was followed by North America. The following ramp ups followed a steeper slope in North America than in Europe. China continues to perform strongly.
  • Consequently, we revise our revenue outlook for FY 2020 to MEUR 914.
  • We estimate that we will deliver a negative adj. EBIT for FY 2020 of around MEUR 20-23.
  • This is an improvement of around MEUR 12-15 from the June 26 update and indicates a slight positive adjusted EBIT performance for the second half of 2020.
  • From a cash flow standpoint, we estimate that we will have a cash burn (excluding the capital raise and the increased RCF funding) of around MEUR -65 for FY 2020 with the second half of 2020 amounting to a free cash flow around -40-45 in the second half of FY 2020 mostly driven by the increase in working capital.
  • This is an improvement of around MEUR 10-15 from the June 26 update.
  • We estimate to have usable liquidity reserves around MEUR 95 at the end of 2020, including proceeds from the subsequent offering.
  • This revised usable liquidity reserve figure excludes any liquidity effects from our factoring program under negotiation which we expect to amount to up to MEUR 60.
  • The usable liquidity reserve of MEUR 95 assumes a possible RCF utilization of 80%.

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