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Elmera Group ASA

Investor Presentation Aug 20, 2020

3591_rns_2020-08-20_a2f2906c-2453-4612-9268-e474a90048f2.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q2 2020 PRESENTATION

Rolf Barmen (CEO) Ole Johan Langenes (Acting CFO)

20th August

Q2 2020 HIGHLIGHTS

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Highlights second quarter 2020

Another strong quarter

  • Strong financial performance with a 15% YoY increase in net revenue and 26% YoY growth in EBIT adj.
    • Tailwind from favourable price development throughout Q1 and historically low prices in Q2
  • Solid organic growth across all segments
  • Successful acquisition of Innlandskraft, Norway's 3rd largest retailer in July – closing expected in September
  • Positive revision of Group outlook for 2020
Key Highlights
1
# of deliveries (end of period)
Δ in # of deliveries (QoQ)
624 910 3 562
Increase of
3 %
YoY
Of which org. growth:
3562
2
Volume sold
Gross revenue
2 798 GWh NOK
671m
Increase of
4 %
YoY
Decrease of
-53 %
YoY
3
Net revenue (adj.)
2
K6
3
EBIT (adj.)
NOK
314m
NOK
124m
Increase of
15 %
YoY
9
K7
Increase of
26 %
YoY
Basic EPS (reported) K13NIBD (cash)
NOK
0.98
(NOK 583m)
Increase of
35 %
YoY
K19NIBD/LTM EBITDA:
-0.74

Sources: Company information

  • 1) Number of deliveries excl. Extended Alliance deliveries. Number of deliveries incl. Extended Alliance deliveries: 671,025
  • 2) Not including Alliance volume. Volume turnover for alliance partners Q2 2020: 865 GWh

3) Adj. Net revenue and EBIT are reported figures adjusted for any estimate deviations on sales and distribution of electricity related to previous reporting periods, special items, unrealised gains and losses on financial derivatives and depreciations from acquisitions

BUSINESS REVIEW

Rolf Barmen (CEO)

Fjordkraft acquires Innlandskraft and strengthens its position as the leading electricity supplier in Norway

Key info and strategic rationale

  • Innlandskraft comprises two brands, Gudbrandsdal Energi and Eidsiva Marked, ~240k electricity deliveries and is the third largest electricity retailer in Norway
  • The transaction increases Fjordkraft's presence in the Eastern part of Norway, with offices in Hamar, Vinstra and Kongsvinger
  • Strong loyalty and customer satisfaction, highly skilled employees and the organic growth potential makes the acquisition a good strategic fit for Fjordkraft
  • Significant potential for both cost synergies and increased sale of value-added services and cross sales, as well as financial synergies related to net working capital and purchase of electricity
  • The purchase price is based on an EV of NOK 1,410 million on a cash and debt free basis and assuming an agreed normalised level of working capital
  • The purchase price shall be paid 50/50 cash and in consideration shares in Fjordkraft, at an agreed price per share of NOK 74.50 (VWAP last 15 days prior to signing)
  • Closing of the Transaction is expected to take place during September 2020

Financial key figures

  • The underlying EBIT estimate for 2020 (ex. COVID-19 effects) for Innlandskraft is NOK 105m. Estimated net revenue for 2020 is NOK 290m
  • Net working capital is estimated to be reduced by NOK ~100m from the agreed normalised level
  • Cost synergies are estimated to a minimum of NOK 30m with full effect from Q3 2021
  • In addition, Fjordkraft expects a positive effect on the Group's total cost of goods sold of minimum NOK 10m

Market development

Key highlights in Q2 2020

  • Continued and historically low elspot prices throughout the quarter mainly driven by hydrology
  • Varied temperatures in the quarter, with a record warm June – 2nd warmest since 19001
    • Apr: +1.2°C above normal (-2.1°C colder than 2019)
    • May: -1.1°C below normal (-0.8°C colder than 2019)
    • Jun: +3.2°C above normal (+2.7°C warmer than 2019)
  • The regulator recently adjusted the market churn figures for 2019, now showing a 24% annual churn in the consumer segment and 13% in the business segment3

Weekly elspot prices (NOK/kWh)2

2019 2020

Sources:

1) Temperature figures from met.no's monthly reports

2) Weekly system prices in NOK from Nordpool

3) The Norwegian Water and Energy Directorate's supplier change statistics. The regulator also states that the 2019 figures are not comparable with previous years, as numbers from 2018 and earlier have been overreported

Segment development - Consumer

Key highlights in Q2 2020

  • Increase of 2,060 deliveries in Q2 2020
  • Volume growth of 12% YoY, mainly driven by increase in avg. volume per delivery
    • Avg. volume per delivery is increasing 10% YoY 2,852 kWh in Q2 2020 vs. 2,600 kWh in Q2 2019
  • New functionality in the Fjordkraft app, now supporting monitoring and control of i.a. Dimplex electric heaters and Netatmo weather stations

# of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

Segment development - Business

  • Increase of 1,502 deliveries in Q2 2020
  • Volume decrease 5% YoY driven by decrease in avg. consumption per delivery from fewer tender customers and Covid-19
    • Avg. volume per delivery decreasing -10% YoY 15,616 kWh in Q2 2020 vs. 17,279 kWh in Q2 2019

Key highlights in Q2 2020 # of electricity deliveries1 ('000)

1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period

New Growth Initiatives

  • The strong growth continues within Mobile

    • Growth of 7,671 subscribers in Q2 2020
  • 1% YoY Alliance volume increase

  • Extended Alliance growth of 9,288 deliveries with the implementation of new partners in the quarter

Key highlights in Q2 2020 # of Mobile subscribers1 ('000)

Volume Alliance (GWh)

Sources: Company information

1) Number of mobile subscribers at the end of the period

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Ole Johan Langenes (Acting CFO)

Strong net revenue growth

  • Adj. net revenue growth driven ~75/25 by margin improvement and volume growth
    • Tailwind from favourable price development throughout Q1 and historically low prices in Q2
  • Last twelve months adj. net revenue improvement driven by margin improvement1 YoY

Sources: Company information

1) New Growth Initiatives figures are excluded from the calculations, as high volumes with very low margins distorts the analysis

Continued increase in EBIT adj.

• EBIT improvement of 26 NOKm with the Consumer segment as the main driver for the increase

  • The increase in OPEX primarily driven by sales and marketing cost, administrative costs and variable costs
  • Adj. EBIT margin increasing 4 pp YoY.
  • Adj. EBIT margin LTM is increasing 2 pp YoY and 1 pp quarter over quarter

Sources: Company information

Segment overview

• 7 pp margin expansion driven by net revenue growth

  • Increase in adj. net revenue is driven by improved margins
  • Stable EBIT margin YoY

• Adj. net revenue and adj. EBIT decrease driven by reduced margins within Mobile. Increased call activity driving COGS

Sources: Company information

NWC development

Net working capital1 (NOKm)

  • Net working capital (NWC) is decreasing by 277 NOKm from last quarter, driven by decreasing prices and lower volumes
    • Volume decrease 33% from last quarter2
    • Elspot prices decrease 61%3 from Q1 2020 to Q2 2020
  • Reduction of 182 NOKm from last year, driven by 82% lower prices3. Volume increase 4% YoY
    • Continuous improvements in the invoicing process is also contributing positively to the development

Sources: Company information

  • 1) NWC includes the following items from current assets: Inventories, intangible assets, trade receivables, derivative financial instruments and other current assets (that is, all current assets in the balance sheet except cash and cash equivalents); and the following items from current liabilities; trade payables, current income tax liabilities, derivative financial instruments, social security and other taxes and other current liabilities excl. 55.6 NOKm in short-term interest bearing debt
  • 2) Volume sold in the Consumer and Business segments
  • 3) Average of daily system prices in NOK

Strong underlying cash generation

Change in net cash Q-o-Q (NOKm)

Sources: Company information

1) OpFCF defined as EBITDA adj. less CAPEX excl. M&A and payments to obtain contract assets

2) Non-cash NWC relates to items included in "change in NWC" that are not affecting net cash position. Other includes interest, tax, change in long-term receivables, proceeds from non-current receivables, proceeds from other long-term liabilities, share based payment expense, change in post-employment liabilities, payment of lease liability and adjustments made on EBITDA.

Outlook for 2020-20221

A revised outlook including the Innlandskraft acquisition will be announced at Q3 reporting, after closing of the transaction

Group

Targeting high-single digit net revenue growth on an organic basis
Targeting an EBIT margin of 36-38%
Ambition to act as a consolidator in a fragmented market
Revised in Q2: Expecting above double digit
net revenue growth in 2020
Growth
Targeting mid-single digit net revenue growth on an organic basis
Revised in Q2: Expecting above double digit
net revenue growth in 2020
Consumer EBIT
margin

Targeting a sustainable level of 32-34% on an organic basis
Revised in Q2: Expecting a higher margin than
targeted for 2020
Growth
Targeting double digit net revenue growth in 2020, followed by a sustainable
mid-single digit annual growth in 2021 and 2022
Revised in Q1: Expecting mid-single digit
growth in 2020 due to Covid-19
Business EBIT
margin

Targeting a sustainable level of 52-54% on an organic basis
New
growth
Targeting a stable nominal EBIT from 2019 to 2020. Positive development in both
Alliance and Mobile, while new spin offs negatively affect the segment EBIT in 2020
with in the area of -10 NOKm.
Revised in Q2: Total segment EBIT in 2020
expected in the area of negative NOK 30-40m
initiatives NGI targeted to comprise up towards 5% of group EBIT in 2022
Cap.ex. Targeted to be in the area of NOK 50m annually on an organic basis Revised in Q2: Expected in the area of NOK
65-70m
Tax rate
Prevailing corporate tax rate for Norway –
22% for 2020
Leverage
Moderate leverage with variations intra-year due to seasonality in net working capital
Current balance sheet enabling substantial capacity to finance acquisitions
Dividend
Target pay-out ratio of at least 80% of net income, adjusted for certain cash and non-cash items2
Attractive and increasing dividend

1) All targets are based on adjusted figures, further described under alternative performance measures in the quarterly report 2)Adjusted EBIT + net finance – estimated tax – amortisation of acquisition debt

Appendix

18

PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT

NOK in thousands Note Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2019 Full Year 2019
Continuing operations
Revenue 2,9 1 310 256 671 380 1 428 751 1981 637 3 974 385 7 122 528
Direct cost of sales 2 (828 855) (340 967) (1 145 557) (1 169 822) (3 312 830) (5 827 394)
Revenue less direct cost of sales 481 402 330 413 283 194 811 815 661 255 1 295 134
Personnel expenses 2 (78 596) (54 648) (47 910) (133 243) (112 335) (236 106)
Other operating expenses 2 (124 593) (97 758) (92 517) (222 352) (190 426) (379 973)
Depreciation right-of-use assets (3 100) (3 133) (2213) (6 233) (4 426) (10 404)
Depreciation and amortisation 2,5,6 (45 647) (45 360) (45 758) (91 008) (88 638) (190 528)
Total operating expenses (251 936) (200 899) (188 398) (452 835) (395 824) (817 011)
Other gains and losses, net 7 1 906 2 568 (92) 4474 (84) 4615
Operating profit 231 371 132 082 94 705 363 453 265 647 482 738
Income/loss from investments in associates
and joint ventures 12 (153) (198) (351)
Interest income 6 381 4067 5 553 10 448 10435 20 071
Interest expense lease liability (429) (410) (179) (838) (371) (1 677)
Interest expense (1 658) (1 052) (1 650) (2710) (3.228) (6 956)
Other financial items, net 240 (2677) (416) (2 437) (1 503) (3 737)
Net financial income/(cost) 4 382 (270) 3 307 4 112 5 333 7 701
Profit/ (loss) before tax 235 754 131 812 98 012 367 565 270 980 490 440
Income tax (expense)/ income 3 (52 084) (29 211) (21 879) (81 294) (60 422) (120 269)
Profit/ (loss) for the period 183 670 102 601 76 133 286 271 210 558 370 171
Basic earnings per share (in NOK)* 4 1,76 0,98 0,73 2,74 2,01 3,54
Diluted earnings per share (in NOK)* 4 1,74 0,97 0,72 2,71 2,00 3,51

ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation

NOK in thousands Q1 2020 02 2020 02 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2019 Full year 2019
Revenue adjusted 1 310 256 648 761 1 373 782 1 959 017 3 919 416 7 066 432
Corporate 1) 20 904 54 969 20 904 54 969 56 096
Special items 2) 1716 1716
Revenue 1 310 256 671 380 1 428 751 1 981 637 3 974 385 7 122 528
Direct cost of sales adjusted (858 852) (334 738) (1 099 954) (1 163 592) (3 267 227) (5 782 711)
Corporate 1) (6 230) (45 603) (6 230) (45 603) (44681)
Direct cost of sales (828 852) (340 967) (1 145 557) (1 169 822) (3 312 830) (5 827 394)
Revenue less direct cost of sales adjusted 481 402 314 023 273 828 795 425 652 189 1 283 721
Corporate 1) 14674 ਰੇ ਤੇਲਵ 14674 ਰ ਤੇ ਤੇ ਇ 11 414
Special items 2) 1716 1716
Revenue less direct cost of sales 481 402 330 413 283 194 811 815 661 255 1 295 134
Total operating expenses adjusted (243 760) (189 856) (175 392) (433 615) (371 815) (792 668)
Special items 2) (2 927) (1 997) (2 927) (1 997) 21 218
Depreciation of acquisitions 3) (8 177) (8116) (11 009) (16 293) (22 01 1) (45 560)
Total operating expenses (251 936) (200 899) (188 398) (452 835) (395 824) (817 011)
Other gains and losses 4) 1 906 2 568 (as) 4474 (84) 4615
Operating profit 231 371 132 082 94 705 363 453 265 647 482 738
Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures (153) (198) (351)
Interest income 6 381 4 067 5 553 10 448 10 435 20 071
Interest expense lease liability (429) (410) (179) (838) (371) (1 677)
Interest expense (1 658) (1 052) (1 650) (2710) (3 228) (6 956)
Other financial items, net 240 (2677) (416) (2 437) (1 503) (3737)
Profit/(loss) before tax 235 754 131 812 98 012 367 565 270 980 490 440

ADJUSTED EBIT reconciliation cont.

NOK in thousands 01 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019
Special items incurred specific to:
- acquisition related costs and implementation costs (2 927) (1 997) (2 927) (1 997) (3 145)
- income related to compensatory damages 1716 = 1716
- change in pension plan 28 ਰਵਰ
- Impairment charge (4 606)
Special items - (1 210) (1 210) (1 997) 21 218
NOK in thousands 01 2020 02 2020 02 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2019 Full year 2019
TrønderEnergi Marked acquisition (5 180) (5 180) (7 788) (10 359) (15 576) (32753)
Oppdal Everk Kraftomsetning acquisition (787) (787) (1 085) (1 574) (2 171) (4 342)
Vesterålskraft Strøm acquisition (565) (565) (1 131) (1 516)
Other customer acquisitions (1 645) (1 584) (2 136) (3 229) (4 264) (6 949)
Depreciation of acquisitions (8 177) (8 116) (16 293) (22 011) (45 560)

BALANCE SHEET

NOK in thousands Note 31 March
2020
30 June
2020
30 June
2019
31 December
2019
Assets:
Non-current assets
Right-of-use assets property, plant and equipment 62 255 63 430 26835 65 976
Property, plant and equipment 5 6 656 6 205 4 685 7 108
Goodwill 1666696 166 696 155 849 1666696
Intangible assets 166816 172 466 190 531 178 542
Cost to obtain contracts 154 149 152 559 151 768 159 235
Investments in associates and joint ventures 12 9847 ਰ 649
Other non-current financial assets 39510 25 764 22629 25 365
Total non-current assets 605 a29 596 769 552 298 602 923
Current assets
Intangible assets 4 730 1 950 19311 23 760
Inventories 452 801 1 217 794
Trade receivables 8 867 893 455 853 1 074 816 1 507 467
Derivative financial instruments 7 350 901 229 834 115 362 79274
Other current assets 113 324 36 038 36 907 18466
Cash and cash equivalents 691 735 749 445 514649 775 536
Total current assets 2 029 035 1 473 923 1 762 262 2 405 297
Total assets 2 634 964 2 070 691 2 314 560 3 008 220
Equity and liabilities:
Equity
Share capital 31 372 31 376 31 349 31 349
Share premium 127 353 127 738 125 035 125 035
Retained earnings 1 005 256 794 929 696 845 846 833
Total current assets 1 163 980 954 043 853 228 1 003 216

BALANCE SHEET

NOK in thousands Note 31 March
2020
30 June
2020
30 June
2019
31 December
2019
Non-current liabilities
Net employee defined benefit plan liabilities 100 008 ae 489 77 793 64 062
Interest-bearing long term debt 10 125 100 111 200 166800 139 000
Deferred tax liabilitites 3 17 667 15800 17 116 27 451
Lease liability - long term 52 848 54 111 18 323 56 515
Other provisions for liabilities 732
Total non-current liabilites 295 623 277 600 280 763 287 027
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 8 388 040 160 164 563 751 818143
Current income tax liabilities 3 76 160 107 237 84 450 111656
Derivative financial instruments 7 337 719 214085 107 249 67 999
Social security and other taxes 105 678 103 669 40812 142 620
Lease liability - short term 11 951 12031 8715 11 428
Other current liabilities 255 812 241862 375 592 566 129
Total current liabilities 1 175 360 839 049 1 180 568 1717976
Total liabilities 1 470 983 1166649 1 461 332 2 005 004
Total equity and liabilities 2 634 964 2 070 691 2 314 560 3 008 220

CASH FLOW

NOK in thousands Note Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2019 Full year 2019
Operating activities
Profit/ (loss) before tax 235 754 131 812 98012 367 565 270 980 490 440
Adjustments for
Depreciation 5,6 17 257 17 525 18769 34782 36826 82 158
Depreciation right-of-use assets 3 100 3133 2213 6233 4426 10 404
Amortisation of contract assets 28 391 27 835 26 989 56 226 51812 108 370
Interest income (6381) (4 057) (5 553) (10448) (10435) (20 071)
Interest expense lease liability 429 410 179 838 371 1677
Interest expense 1 658 1 052 1 650 2710 3 228 e dee
Income/loss from investments in associates
and joint ventures 153 198 351
Change in long-term receivables (13.820) 13820 (30a) (2754) (2879)
Share based payment expense 111 802 ਦਿੰਦਰ 1 579 1 527 2 994
Change in post-employment liabilities 2 582 (3518) (7 864) (936) (1 514) (29 256)
Payments to obtain a contract (23 304) (26 245) (28 198) (49 550) (23 668) (117693)
Changes in working capital (non-cash effect)
Impairment loss recognised in trade receivables 16736 3 505 5722 20 240 18288 23 502
Change in fair value of derivative financial instruments (1 906) (2 568) az (4474) 84 (4615)
Changes in working capital
Inventories 342 (349) (aee) (7) (684) (262)
Trade receivables 8 622 838 408 535 889 dat 1 031 373 913 223 489 360
Purchase of el-certificates б (245712) (1 732) (245712) (242 596) (242 596)
Non-cash effect from cancelling el-certificates 5 263 782 (187) 11 273 263 594 246 569 246 269
Purchase of guarantees of origination 5 (1 397) (176) (14) (1 573) (6 209) (12975)
Non-cash effect from disposal of guarantees of origination 5 2 357 3143 2961 5 501 16 520 18837
Other current assets (94 858) 77 286 76821 (17572) (4 165) 20715
Trade and other payables 8 (430 103) (227 876) (501 280) (657 979) (536 435) (297 054)
Other current liabilities (347 136) (15 526) (33701) (362 662) (215 288) 72774
Cash generated from operations 31 536 408 542 555 728 440 079 490 104 847 054
Interest paid (2 209) (1 898) (1717) (4 107) (3 305) (8627)
Interest received 6381 4 067 ਦੇ ਦੇਤੇਤ 10448 10435 20 071
Income tax paid 3 (90 024) (90 024) (73.906) (93793)
Net cash from operating activities (54 316) 410711 ਟਰ ਦਿੱਤ 356 395 423 331 764 704

CASH FLOW

NOK in thousands Note Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2019 Full year 2019
Investing activities
Purchase of property, plant and equipment 5 (973) (1 086) (3791)
Purchase of intangible assets 5 (15 079) (22724) (11 503) (37803) (26 860) (47 589)
Sale of intangible assets 5 10 000 10 000
Net cash outflow on aquisition of subsidiares (22 066)
Net cash outflow on aquisition of shares in associates 12 (10 000) (10000)
Net (outflow)/proceeds from non-current receivables (325) (74) 636 (ਤਰਕ) 214 (5 396)
Net (outflow)/proceeds from other long-term liabilities (74) (805)
Net cash used in investing activities (15 404) (22 798) (11 840) (38 201) (27 805) (76648)
Financing activities
Proceeds from issuance of shares 4 2 341 389 2731
Dividends paid 4 (313717) (229 892) (313717) (229 892) (229 892)
Formation expenses (10) (10)
Proceeds from interest-bearing long term debt
Instalments long term debt (13.900) (13.900) (13.900) (27 800) (27 800) (55 600)
Payment of lease liability (2 522) (2 966) (2 310) (5 488) (4 594) (8 438)
Net cash used in financing activities (14 081) (330 204) (246 102) (344 284) (262 286) (293 930)
Net change in cash and cash equivalents (83 801) 57 710 301 621 (26 091) 133 240 394 126
Cash and cash equivalents at start of period 775 536 691 735 213027 775 536 381 409 381 409
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 691 735 749 445 514649 749 445 514649 775 536

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts but forward-looking statements with respect to Fjordkraft's expectations and plans, strategy, management's objectives, future performance, costs, revenue, earnings and other trend information. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Fjordkraft.

All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to Fjordkraft on the date hereof. All written or oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Fjordkraft, any Fjordkraft employees or representatives acting on Fjordkraft's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Fjordkraft undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the date hereof.

For more information: Fjordkraft's Investor Relations Morten A. W. Opdal +47 970 62 526 [email protected]

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