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Awilco LNG

Investor Presentation Aug 28, 2020

3548_rns_2020-08-28_dbaad926-9bcd-48e4-8695-b6ae49e2dddb.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q2 2020 28 August 2020

www.awilcolng.no - 1 -

Disclaimer

This presentation may include certain forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections regarding the intent, opinion, belief, various assumptions or current expectations of Awilco LNG (the "Company") and it's management with respect to, among other things, (i) goals and strategies, (ii) evaluation of the Company's markets, competition and competitive position, and (iii) anticipated future performance and trends which may be expressed or implied by financial or other information or statements contained herein.

All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address activities and events that will, should, could or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Words such as "may," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "intend," "forecast," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "propose," "potential," "continue" or the negative of these terms and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements.

These forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future, some of which are beyond our control and difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements, and no representation is made as to the accuracy of these. Among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, forecasts, estimates, predictions, influences and projections are: changes in LNG transportation market trends; changes in the supply and demand for LNG; changes in trading patterns; changes in applicable maintenance and regulatory standards; changes in applicable regulations and laws; technological developments affecting gas and LNG demand; political events affecting production and consumption of LNG; changes in the financial stability of clients of the Company; the Company's ability to secure employment for available vessels and newbuildings on order; increases in the Company's cost base; failure by yards to comply with delivery schedules; changes to vessels' useful lives and residual values; the Company's ability to obtain financing of the newbuildings and lastly unpredictable or unknown factors with material adverse effects on forward-looking statements.

Neither the receipt of this presentation by any person, nor any information contained herein, constitutes, or shall be relied upon as constituting, any advice relating to the future performance of the Company. Each person should make their own independent assessment of the merits of the Company and its business and should consult their own professional advisors. The information and opinions contained in this presentation relate only as of the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice. Neither the Board of Directors of the Company or the Company and it's management make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of this presentation or of the information contained herein and none of such parties shall have any liability for the information contained in, or any omissions from, this presentation, nor for any of the written, electronic or oral communications transmitted to the recipient in the course of the recipient's own investigation and evaluation of the Company or its business. Unless legally required, the Company assumes no responsibility or obligation to update publicly or review any of the forward-looking statements contained herein, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Company overview

Awilco LNG is a fully integrated pure play LNG transportation provider, owning and operating LNG vessels. The Company currently owns two 2013-built 156,000 cbm TFDE membrane LNG vessels, WilForce and WilPride. Awilco LNG is listed on Oslo Axess under the ticker code ALNG.

1. Highlights

    1. Financials Q2
    1. Market update
    1. Summary

2 nd quarter highlights

Q2 2020 Q1 2020
Net freight income MUSD 4.1 MUSD 12.9
EBITDA MUSD 1.4 MUSD 9.9
Net profit MUSD (5.3) MUSD 2.7
  • TCE* USD 22,800 pd (USD 70,800 pd in Q1 2020, USD 31,100 pd in Q2 2019)
  • Utilisation of 99 % vs 100 % in Q1 2020
  • MUSD 10.0 minimum cash financial covenant in sale/leasebacks temporarily reduced to MUSD 2.0
  • No Covid-19 cases have been reported in the Company and both vessels are fully operational

*TCE: net freight income including loss of hire insurance divided by the number of calendar days less off-hire days not covered by loss of hire insurance

  1. Highlights 2. Financials Q2 3. Market update

  2. Summary

Q2 2020 income statement

USD million Q2'20 Q1'20 2019
Freight income 5.1 14.0 37.1
Voyage
related
expenses
(0.9) (1.1) (3.4)
Net freight
income
4.1 12.9 33.7
Other
income
- - 11.6
Operating expenses (2.1) (2.2) (16.4)
Administration
expenses
(0.6) (0.8) (3.7)
EBITDA 1.4 9.9 25.2
Depreciation (3.1) (3.1) (13.1)
Net finance (3.6) (4.1) (20.4)
Profit/(loss) before
tax
(5.3) 2.7 (8.3)
Tax - - -
Profit/(loss) (5.3) 2.7 (8.3)

Q2 2020 financial position

USD million 30.06.20 31.03.20 31.12.19
Vessels
(right-of-use
assets)
344.2 347.3 350.0
Other fixed assets 0.4 - -
Total non-current
assets
344.5 347.3 350.0
Trade receivables 0.4 1.7 0.1
Other
short
term assets
3.2 4.8 3.7
Cash and cash equivalents 14.8 21.9 23.5
Total current
assets
18.5 28.5 27.3
Total assets 363.1 375.8 377.4
Total equity 104.7 110.0 107.3
Long-term
interest
bearing
debt
234.0 238.3 -
Other
non-current
liabilities
0.4 0.4 0.4
Non-current
liabilities
234.4 238.6 0.4
Short-term interest
bearing
debt
18.9 18.8 260.2
Other
current
liabilities
5.1 8.4 9.5
Total current
liabilities
23.9 27.1 269.6
Total equity
and liabilities
363.1 375.8 377.4

Q2 2020 cash flow

USD
million
Q2'20 Q1'20 2019
Cash Flows
from Operating Activities:
Profit/(loss) before
taxes
(5.3) 2.7 (8.3)
Income taxes
paid
- - -
Interest
and borrowing
costs
expensed
3.6 4.1 20.7
Depreciation,
amortisation and
impairment
3.1 3.1 13.0
Trade receivables, inventory
and other
short
term assets
2.9 (2.8) 5.1
Accounts payable,
accrued
exp. and deferred
revenue
(3.0) (4.7) (1.4)
Net cash provided
by / (used in) operating activities
1.3 2.4 29.2
Cash Flows
from Investing
Activities:
Investment in vessels
/ sale of
vessels
Net cash provided
by / (used in) investing
activities
-
-
(0.5)
(0.5)
(1.0)
(1.0)
Cash Flows
from Financing
Activities:
Proceeds from borrowings
Repayment
of
borrowings
Interest
and borrowing
costs
paid
-
(4.7)
(3.7)
262.5
(256.3)
(9.9)
-
(7.6)
(19.6)
Net cash provided
by / (used in) financing
activities
(8.4) (3.7) (27.2)
Net changes
in cash and cash equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents
at start of
period
(7.1)
21.9
(1.6)
23.5
1.0
22.5
Cash and cash equivalents
at end of
period
14.8 21.9 23.5
  1. Highlights

  2. Financials Q2

  3. Market update

  4. Summary

Spot rates

  • Rates bottomed out in June as gas demand was impacted by Covid-19
  • ~20 % higher spot fixing activity in Q2 2020 vs 2019
  • Average headline assessed rate USD 35,000 pd in Q2 2020 vs USD 48,000 pd in Q2 2019
  • Historical average USD 75,000 pd with ~45 % volatility

Source: Fearnley LNG, Company calculations

Volumes and storage

  • Trade in H1 2020 up 6.5 % y-o-y (~12 MT)
  • Covid-19 impact of ~50 cancelled US cargoes in Q2
  • ~110 US cargoes reportedly cancelled in Q3
  • Cargo cancellations tapering off with ~10 US cargoes for October reportedly cancelled, as supported by firming gas prices

  • In spite of cargo cancellations demand unable to keep up as Covid-19 reduces energy demand

  • Summer storage-peak a first as LNG carriers were employed to alleviate supply/demand mismatch

Source: Fearnley LNG, S&P Platts

Winter Contango

  • Global gas prices bottomed out in May and more than doubled since
  • The arbitrage is open
  • JKM HH* two-month spread for Sep, Oct, Nov and Dec loadings above USD 2.0/mmbtu vs cost of USD 1.8/mmbtu
  • Same with JKM TTF for Sep and Oct loadings
  • Recent LNG supply contracting at 10 11 % of brent, down from historical 12 14 % range and improving LNG competitiveness

Source: Fearnley LNG, CME, Company calculations

* HH incl 15 % liquefaction cost assuming tolling sunk

LNG fleet and orderbook

  • Total fleet 529 vessels > 125' cbm
  • 17 vessels delivered so far in 2020 slippage expected going forward with four 2020 vessels already pushed into 2021
  • Current orderbook of 112 LNGC or 21 % of existing fleet of which 34 assumed available
  • Nine newbuild orders in 2020, all against contract, vs 27 same period in 2019, of which 13 speculative
  • ~15-20 % of the fleet is «Commercially challenged» (smaller/less efficient), of these 15 laid up, 3 recycled in 2020 (5 in 2018-2019)

Source: Fearnley LNG

Supply growth continues

  • 121 MTPA new capacity starting up 2020 2026 of which 53 MTPA in the US (44 %)
  • ~33 % of total trade in 2019 at 361 MT
  • So far limited impact of Covid-19 on start up schedule

Source: Fearnley LNG, IGU, Company presentations

  1. Highlights 2. Financials Q2

  2. Market update

  3. Summary

Summary

  • ➢ Early signs of recovery
  • ─ Gas prices up ~40 % in August
  • ─ Markets in contango and charterers preparing for winter
  • ─ Uptick in multi-month enquiries and spot shipping rates
  • ➢ Mid- and long-term demand for LNG transportation (still!) remains strong
  • ─ Natural gas is cheap, abundantly available, environmentally friendly and flexible
  • ─ Natural gas priced at less than 50 % of oil and at par with coal
  • ─ ~30 % growth in LNG supply vs 21 % fleet growth
  • ─ Demand for gas will recover and increase, driving gas prices, tonnage demand and shipping rates
  • ➢ Awilco LNG
  • ─ Fully integrated and proven track record
  • ─ Lean and cost focused organisation
  • ─ No debt maturities until 2030

A Fully Integrated Pure Play LNG Transportation Provider

www.awilcolng.no - 18 -

Jon Skule Storheill

CEO Mobile: +47 -9134 4356 E -mail: [email protected]

Øyvind Ryssdal CFO Mobile: +47 -920 14 029 E -mail: [email protected]

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