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Equinor

Investor Presentation Oct 29, 2020

3597_rns_2020-10-29_a9df2f6f-a88d-4e79-ad06-d400bc9d20a9.pdf

Investor Presentation

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3rd Quarter 2020 results

Lars Christian Bacher

Chief Financial Officer

Third quarter 2020

  • Solid results from operations in a low price environment
  • Positive free cash flow in the quarter
  • On track to deliver on the USD 3 billion action plan to । strengthen financial resilience
  • Continuing to create strong value from renewables
    • Capital gain of ~USD 1 billion on farm down in US renewable asset
  • Progressing the Northern Lights CCS project
  • Continuing to mature competitive projects
    • Positively impacted by the temporary changes in the Norwegian tax regime
  • Reduced future price assumptions
  • Cash dividend of 11 cents per share

Safety

Serious incident frequency (SIF) Serious incidents per million work-hours

Total recordable injury frequency (TRIF)

* Twelve months average

Financial results

  • Group realised prices down YoY; Liquids 27%, European gas 48%, and North American gas 23%
  • Unit Production Cost down >20%
  • On track to deliver cost reductions of USD ~700 million in 2020
  • Net impairments of USD 2.93 billion mainly due to lower price assumptions
  • Adjusted tax rate of 65.3%
3Q 2020
Million USD
(2,124) (2,019) 2,799 780 (509) 271
Net income Reported Adjustments Adjusted Tax on Adjusted
NOI earnings adjusted
earnings
earnings
after tax
3Q 2019
Million USD
(1,107) (469) 3,062 2,593 (1,516) 1,077

E&P Norway E&P International E&P USA MMP Other
late life fields
Lower tax rate due to
temporary changes
USD 2.081 million
Reduced opex on new and
Cash flow from operations1 of
Reduced opex and SG&A
lmpacted by maintenance
on Peregrino
of USD 381 million
Cash flow from operations1 Reduced activity, downsizing
and cost reductions
Cash flow from operations 1
of USD 276 million
Negative refinery margins
Strong trading results from
gas to Europe
- High availability on
renewable assets
Positive adjusted earnings
from NES
Net income from equity
accounted investments in
NES of USD 60 million
Million USD Pre tax After tax Pre tax After tax Pre tax After tax Pre tax After tax Pre tax After tax
3Q, 20 773 414 (104) (17) (193) (193) 262 22 43 45
30, 19 1,735 540 451 304 (16) (16) 448 261 (25) (13)
EBIDA
1.

5 | by Lars Christian Bacher, Chief Financial Officer

Equity production

  • Production growth of 9%, adjusted for portfolio changes and curtailments
  • Ramp up of new fields
  • Capturing value from flexibility in gas production

Oil and gas

  • Production in line with expectations
  • Good production based availability factor across the portfolio

Renewables GWh

6 | by Lars Christian Bacher, Chief Financial Officer

Cash flow

  • Net positive cash flow of USD 216 million in 3Q, after share buy-back
  • Cash flow impacted by low commodity prices
  • NCS tax refund of USD 160 million in 3Q -
  • Capital distribution includes dividend l payment of USD 0.3 billion and share buy-back of USD 1 billion from the Norwegian state in 3Q
  • Organic capex of USD 5.9 billion YTD י
  • Net debt ratio of 31.6% 1, up from 29.3% in 2Q
    • 1.3 percentage points due to impairments
    • 1.5 percentage points due to share buy-back

2020 YTD Cash flow Million USD

  1. Income before tax -2,859 + non-cash adjustments 13,061

    1. Dividend 2,037 + share buy backs in the market 58 + government share of buy backs 1,001
    1. Including inorganic investments
    1. Including the proceeds from divestment of Lundin shares of USD 332 million
  2. Adjusted., excluding IFRS16 impact.

Outlook

Outlook 2020
Organic capex ~8.5
billion USD 1
Exploration expenditure ~11
billion USD 1
Production growth 2019-2026 ~ 3 Percent, CAGR 2
  1. Based on USD/NOK exchange rate of 9.5, compared to 11 at 1Q 2020 guiding

  2. Rebased for portfolio measures

3rd Quarter 2020 results

Lars Christian Bacher

Chief Financial Officer

Forward-looking statements

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. In some cases, we use words such as "ambition", "could", "estimate", "intend", "expect", "believe", "ikely", "may", "outlook", "plan", "strategy", "will", "guidance", "targets", "in line with", "consistent" and similar expressions to identify for ward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include all statements of historical fact, including, among others, statements regarding Equinor's plans, intentions and expectations with respect to the Covid-19 pandemic including its impacts, consequences and risks; Equinor's USD 3 billion action plan for 2020 to strengthen financial resilence; Equinor's response to the Covid-19 pandemic, including anticipated measures to protect people, operations and value creation, operating costs and assumptions; the commitment to develop as a broad energy company, future financial performance, including cash flow and liquidity, the share buy-back programme, including its suspension; accounting policies; production cuts, including their impact on the level and timing of Equinor's production; plans to Norway's petroleum tax system; market outlook and future economic projections and assumptions; including commodity price assumptions; organic capital expenditures through 2023; intention to mature its portfolio; estimates regarding exploration activity levels; ambition to keep unit of production cost in the top quartile of its peer group; scheduled maintenance activity and the effects on equity production and results of acquisitions and disposals; expected amount and timing of dividend payments; and provisions and contingent liabilities.

You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements for many reasons.

These forward-looking statements reflect current views about future events and are, by their nature, subject to significant risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, inclustry product supply, demand and pricing, in particular in light of recent significant oil price volatility triggered, among dynamic among OPEC+ members and the uncertainty regarding demand created by the Covid-19 pandemic; the impact of Covid-19; levels and calculations of reserves and material differences from reserves estimates; unsuccessful drilling; operational problems; health, safety and environmental risks; natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, and other changes to business conditions; the effects of climate change; regulations security breaches; including breaches of our

digital infrastructure (cybersecurity); ineffectiveness of crisis management systems; on the parties and competitors; the development and use of new technology, particularly in the renewable energy sector; indbilty to meet strategic objectives; the difficulties involving transportation infrastructure; political and social stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world; an inability to attract and retain personne; inadequate insurance coverage; changes or uncertainty in or non-compliance with laws and governmental regulations of the Norwegian state as majority shareholder; failure to meet our ethical and social standards; the political and economic policies of Norway and other oil producing countries; non-compliance with internations; the actions of field partners; adverse changes in tax regimes; exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations; factors relating supply and financial risk; general economic conditions; and other factors discussed elsewhere in this report. Additional information on factors that may offect Equinor's business, is containedin Equinor's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2019, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (including section 2.11 Risk factors thereof). Equinor's 2019 Annual Report and Form 20-F is available at Equinor.com. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity, performance or achievements will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assume responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of these forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and, except as required by applicable no obligation to update any of these statements after the date of this report, whether to make them ither conform to actual results or changes in our expectations or otherwise.

We use certain terms in this document, such as "resources" that the SEC's rules prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to closely consider the disclosures in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-15200. This form is available on our website or by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or logging on to www.sec.gov.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity, performance or achievements will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Unless we are required by law to update these statements, we will not necessarily update any of these statements after the date of this report, either to make them conform to actual results or changes in our expectations.

Segment results

Adjusted earnings
Pre tax, Million USD
E&P Norway E&P International E&P USA MMP Other
3Q, 20 773 (104) (193) 262 43
3Q, 19 1,735 451 (16) 448 (25)
IFRS NOI
Pre tax, Million USD
3Q, 20 431 (1,328) (1,606) 551 (67)
3Q, 19 2,558 325 (2,587) (757) (8)
Excludes E&P USA

Investor Relations in Equinor

E-mail: [email protected]
Investor Relations Europe .
Peter Hutton Senior Vice President [email protected] +44 7881 918792
Lars Valdresbråten IR Officer [email protected] +47 40 28 17 89
Erik Gonder IR Officer [email protected] +47 99 56 26 11
lda Marie Fjellheim IR Officer [email protected] +47 90 50 92 91
Marta Nevøy Bjørkestrand IR Officer [email protected] +47 95 88 78 55
Anne Sofie Dahle Senior Consultant [email protected] +47 90 88 75 54
Investor Relations USA & Canada
Helge Hove Haldorsen Vice President [email protected] +1 281 224 0140

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