Investor Presentation • Nov 12, 2020
Investor Presentation
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Rolf Barmen (CEO) Ole Johan Langenes (Acting CFO)
12th November
Rolf Barmen (CEO)
Strong growth - both financially and in number of customers
Basic EPS (reported) K13NIBD (cash)
NOK 0.38
| 1 # of deliveries (end of period) |
Δ in # of deliveries (QoQ) |
|---|---|
| 865 545 | 240 635 |
| Increase of 40 % YoY |
Of which org. growth 5 859 |
| 2 Volume sold |
Gross revenue |
| 2 392 GWh | NOK 589m |
| Increase of 4 % YoY |
Decrease of -47 % YoY |
| 3 Net revenue (adj.) 2 |
3 EBIT (adj.) K6 |
| NOK 284m |
NOK 79m |
| Increase of 10 % YoY 9 |
Increase of 25 % YoY K7 |
(NOK 266m)
Increase of 17 % YoY K19NIBD/LTM EBITDA: -0.33
Sources: Company information
3) Adj. Net revenue and EBIT are reported figures adjusted for any estimate deviations on sales and distribution of electricity related to previous reporting periods, special items, unrealised gains and losses on financial derivatives and depreciations from acquisitions
Rolf Barmen (CEO)
2019 2020
3) The Norwegian Water and Energy Directorate's supplier change statistics. The regulator also states that the 2019 figures are not comparable with previous years, as numbers from 2018 and earlier have been overreported
1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period
# of electricity deliveries1 ('000)
1) Number of electricity deliveries at the end of the period
Key highlights in Q3 2020 # of electricity deliveries1 ('000)
Sources: Company information
1) Number of mobile subscribers at the end of the period
Key highlights in Q3 2020 # of Mobile subscribers1 ('000)
Ole Johan Langenes (Acting CFO)
Sources: Company information
1) New Growth Initiatives figures are excluded from the calculations, as high volumes with very low margins distorts the analysis
• EBIT improvement of 16 NOKm with the Consumer segment as the main driver for the increase
7 pp margin expansion driven by net revenue growth
Increase in adj. net revenue is driven by volume growth
• Adj. net revenue and adj. EBIT decrease driven by reduced margins within Mobile. Increased call activity and increased prices from Telenor driving COGS
Sources: Company information
Sources: Company information
1) NWC includes the following items from current assets: Inventories, intangible assets, trade receivables, derivative financial instruments and other current assets (that is, all current assets in the balance sheet except cash and cash equivalents); and the following items from current liabilities; trade payables, current income tax liabilities, derivative financial instruments, social security and other taxes and other current liabilities excl. 46 NOKm in shortterm interest bearing debt
Sources: Company information
1) OpFCF defined as EBITDA adj. less CAPEX excl. M&A and payments to obtain contract assets
2) Non-cash NWC relates to items included in "change in NWC" that are not affecting net cash position. Other includes interest, tax, change in long-term receivables, proceeds from non-current receivables, proceeds from other long-term liabilities, share based payment expense, change in post-employment liabilities, payment of lease liability and adjustments made on EBITDA.
One positive revision on the Group's organic outlook for 2020
| Group Targeting an EBIT margin of 36-38% |
Targeting high-single digit net revenue growth on an organic basis | Revised in Q2: Expecting above double digit net revenue growth in 2020 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ambition to act as a consolidator in a fragmented market | Revised in Q3: Expecting a slightly higher margin than targeted for 2020 |
||||||
| Consumer | Growth | Targeting mid-single digit net revenue growth on an organic basis |
Revised in Q2: Expecting above double digit net revenue growth in 2020 |
|||||
| EBIT margin |
Targeting a sustainable level of 32-34% on an organic basis |
Revised in Q2: Expecting a higher margin than targeted for 2020 |
||||||
| Growth | Targeting double digit net revenue growth in 2020, followed by a sustainable mid-single digit annual growth in 2021 and 2022 |
Revised in Q1: Expecting mid-single digit growth in 2020 due to Covid-19 |
||||||
| Business | EBIT margin |
Targeting a sustainable level of 52-54% on an organic basis |
||||||
| New growth |
| Targeting a stable nominal EBIT from 2019 to 2020. Positive development in both Alliance and Mobile, while new spin offs negatively affect the segment EBIT in 2020 with in the area of -10 NOKm. |
Revised in Q2: Total segment EBIT in 2020 expected in the area of negative NOK 30-40m |
|||||
| initiatives | | NGI targeted to comprise up towards 5% of group EBIT in 2022 | ||||||
| Cap.ex. | | Targeted to be in the area of NOK 50m annually on an organic basis | Revised in Q2: Expected in the area of NOK 65-70m |
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| Tax rate | | Prevailing corporate tax rate for Norway – 22% for 2020 |
||||||
| Leverage | Moderate leverage with variations intra-year due to seasonality in net working capital Current balance sheet enabling substantial capacity to finance acquisitions |
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| Dividend | |
Target pay-out ratio of at least 80% of net income, adjusted for certain cash and non-cash items2 Attractive and increasing dividend |
1) All targets are based on adjusted figures, further described under alternative performance measures in the quarterly report 2)Adjusted EBIT + net finance – estimated tax – amortisation of acquisition debt
• Innlandskraft's contribution to the Group's EBIT adjusted in Q4 is expected to be in the area of NOK 25-30m
| Q4 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 129 | 83 | 56 | 39 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
• From 2021 to 2030, the quarterly depreciation is ¼ of the annual depreciation from the table above
| NOK in thousands | Note | 02 2020 | 03 2020 | 03 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 Full Year 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing operations | |||||||
| Revenue | 2,9 | 671 380 | 588991 | 1 101 634 | 2570627 | 5076019 | 7122528 |
| Direct cost of sales | 2 | (340967) | (304540) | (842 307) | (1474361) | (4155137) | (5827394) |
| Revenue less direct cost of sales | 330 413 | 284 451 | 259 327 | 1 096 266 | 920 882 | 1 295 134 | |
| Personnel expenses | 2 | (54648) | (78494) | (74557) | (211737) | (186 893) | (236106) |
| Other operating expenses | Ž | (97758) | (97001) | (84 887) | (319353) | (275312) | (379 973) |
| Depreciation right-of-use assets | (3133) | (3111) | (2422) | (9344) | (6848) | (10404) | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | 2,5,6 | (45360) | (47877) | (46551) | (138884) | (135189) | (190528) |
| Total operating expenses | (200 899) | (226 483) | (208418) | (679318) | (604 242) | (817011) | |
| Other gains and losses, net | 7 | 2568 | (1365) | (8427) | 3110 | (8511) | 4615 |
| Operating profit | 132 082 | 56 604 | 42 482 | 420 057 | 308 128 | 482738 | |
| Income/(loss) from investments in associates | |||||||
| and joint ventures | 13 | (198) | (915) | (1266) | |||
| Interest income | 4067 | 3170 | 4444 | 13617 | 14879 | 20 07 1 | |
| Interest expense lease liability | (410) | (390) | (401) | (1 228) | (772) | (1677) | |
| Interest expense | (1052) | (937) | (1633) | (3646) | (4860) | (6956) | |
| Other financial items, net | (2677) | (2005) | (1057) | (4442) | (2560) | (3737) | |
| Net financial income/(cost) | (270) | (1077) | 1 3 5 3 | 3035 | 6687 | 7701 | |
| Profit/ (loss) before tax | 131812 | 55 5 27 | 43835 | 423 092 | 314816 | 490 440 | |
| Income tax (expense) income | З | (29211) | (15366) | (9904) | (96660) | (70325) | (120269) |
| Profit/ (loss) for the period | 102 601 | 40 161 | 33 9 32 | 326 432 | 244 490 | 370 171 | |
| Basic earnings per share (in NOK)* | 4 | 0,98 | 0,38 | 0,32 | 3.11 | 2,34 | 3,54 |
| Diluted earnings per share (in NOK)* | 4 | 0,97 | 0.38 | 0,32 | 3,08 | 2,32 | 3,51 |
| NOK in thousands | 02 2020 | 03 20 20 | 03 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 Full year 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue adjusted | 648761 | 588 991 | 1 101 634 | 2 548 008 | 5 021 050 | 7 066 432 |
| Corporate 1) | 20904 | 20 904 | 54 969 | 56096 | ||
| Special items 2) | 1716 | 1716 | ||||
| Revenue | 671 380 | 588 991 | 1 101 634 | 2 570 627 | 5076019 | 7122528 |
| Direct cost of sales adjusted | (334738) | (304540) | (842307) | (1468132) | (4 109 533) | (5782711) |
| Corporate 1) | (6230) | (6230) | (45603) | (44681) | ||
| Direct cost of sales | (340967) | (304540) | (842307) | (1474361) | (4155137) | (5 827 394) |
| Revenue less direct cost of sales adjusted | 314023 | 284 451 | 259 327 | 1079876 | 911 517 | 1 283 7 21 |
| Corporate 1) | 14674 | 14674 | 9366 | 11414 | ||
| Special items 2) | 1716 | 1716 | ||||
| Revenue less direct cost of sales | 330 413 | 284 451 | 259 327 | 1096 266 | 920 882 | 1 295 134 |
| Total operating expenses adjusted | (189856) | (205687) | (196359) | (639302) | (568173) | (792668) |
| Special items 2) | (2927) | (12873) | (287) | (15800) | (2284) | 21 218 |
| Depreciation of acquisitions 3) | (8116) | (7924) | (11774) | (24216) | (33785) | (45560) |
| Total operating expenses | (200 899) | (226 483) | (208418) | (679318) | (604242) | (817011) |
| Other gains and losses 4) | 2568 | (1365) | (8427) | 3110 | (8511) | 4615 |
| Operating profit | 132 082 | 56 604 | 42 482 | 420 057 | 308 128 | 482738 |
| Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures | (198) | (915) | (1266) | |||
| Interest income | 4067 | 3170 | 4444 | 13617 | 14879 | 20071 |
| Interest expense lease liability | (410) | (390) | (401) | (1 228) | (772) | (1677) |
| Interest expense | (1052) | (937) | (1633) | (3646) | (4860) | (6956) |
| Other financial items, net | (2677) | (2005) | (1057) | (4442) | (2560) | (3737) |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 131812 | 55 5 27 | 43835 | 423 092 | 314816 | 490 440 |
| NOK in thousands | 02 2020 | 03 2020 | 03 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 Full year 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special items incurred specific to: | ||||||
| - acquisition related costs and implementation costs | (2927) | (12873) | (287) | (15800) | (2284) | (3145) |
| - income related to compensatory damages | 1716 | 1716 | ||||
| - change in pension plan | $\sim$ | 28969 | ||||
| - Impairment charge | (4606) | |||||
| Special items | (1 210) | (12873) | (287) | (14083) | (2 284) | 21 218 |
| NOK in thousands | 02 2020 | 03 20 20 | 03 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 Full year 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TrønderEnergi Marked acquisition | (5 180) | (5180) | (8188) | (15539) | (2455) | (32753) |
| Oppdal Everk Kraftomsetning acquisition | 787) | (787) | (1085) | (2361) | (3256) | (4342) |
| Vesterålskraft Strøm acquisition | (565) | (565) | (758) | (1696) | (758) | (1 516) |
| Other customer acquisitions | 1 584) | (1392) | (1743) | (4621) | (5206) | (6 949) |
| Depreciation of acquisitions | (8116) | (7924) | (11774) | (24216) | (33785) | (45, 560) |
| NOK in thousands | Note | 30 June 2020 |
2020 | 30 September 30 September 31 December 2019 |
2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets: | |||||
| Non-current assets | |||||
| Right-of-use assets property, plant and equipment | 10 | 63430 | 70952 | 49218 | 65976 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 5,10 | 6205 | 8500 | 6463 | 7108 |
| Goodwill | 6,10 | 166 696 | 1127050 | 166 696 | 166 696 |
| Intangible assets | 6, 10 | 172466 | 658559 | 193813 | 178542 |
| Cost to obtain contracts | 10 | 152559 | 161 366 | 158838 | 159235 |
| Investments in associates and joint ventures | 13 | 9649 | 8734 | ||
| Other non-current financial assets | 10 | 25764 | 39060 | 23577 | 25 3 65 |
| Total non-current assets | 596 769 | 2074221 | 598 605 | 602 923 | |
| Current assets | |||||
| Intangible assets | 6,10 | 1950 | 4066 | 20810 | 23760 |
| Inventories | 10 | 801 | 1199 | 705 | 794 |
| Trade receivables | 8,10 | 455853 | 499 592 | 916230 | 1507467 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 7,10 | 229834 | 186026 | 91893 | 79274 |
| Other current assets | 10 | 36038 | 141761 | 38274 | 18466 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 10 | 749445 | 726 400 | 701123 | 775536 |
| Total current assets | 1 473 923 | 1559044 | 1769034 | 2 405 297 | |
| Total assets | 2070 691 | 3 633 266 | 2 3 6 7 6 4 0 | 3 008 220 | |
| Equity and liabilities: | |||||
| Equity | |||||
| Share capital | 31 376 | 34 2 85 | 31 349 | 31 349 | |
| Share premium | 127738 | 991614 | 125035 | 125035 | |
| Retained earnings | 794929 | 835 904 | 731 510 | 846833 | |
| Total current assets | 954 043 | 1861803 | 887 893 | 1 003 216 |
| NOK in thousands | Note | 30 June 2020 |
2020 | 30 September 30 September 31 December 2019 |
2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current liabilities | |||||
| Net employee defined benefit plan liabilities | 10 | 96 489 | 135456 | 84377 | 64062 |
| Interest-bearing long term debt | 11 | 111 200 | 408 148 | 152 900 | 139000 |
| Deferred tax liabilitites | 3,10 | 15800 | 118371 | 14930 | 27 451 |
| Lease liability - long term | 10 | 54 1 1 1 | 59766 | 38802 | 56515 |
| Other provisions for liabilities | 732 | ||||
| Total non-current liabilites | 277 600 | 721741 | 291741 | 287 027 | |
| Current liabilities | |||||
| Trade and other pavables | 8,10 | 160164 | 310132 | 472712 | 818 143 |
| Current income tax liabilities | 3,10 | 107 237 | 125378 | 98 599 | 111 656 |
| Derivative financial instruments | 7,10 | 214085 | 182859 | 93744 | 67 999 |
| Social security and other taxes | 10 | 103 669 | 73 554 | 47019 | 142 620 |
| Lease liability - short term | 10 | 12031 | 14113 | 10856 | 11428 |
| Other current liabilities | 10 | 241862 | 343 686 | 465076 | 566 129 |
| Total current liabilities | 839049 | 1049722 | 1 188 006 | 1717976 | |
| Total liabilities | 1 116 649 | 1771463 | 1 479 746 | 2005004 | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 2070 691 | 3 633 2 66 | 2 367 640 | 3 008 2 2 0 |
| Operating activities Profit/ (loss) before tax 131812 55 5 27 43835 423092 314816 Adjustments for: 82158 5,6 17525 18464 18734 53245 55 560 Depreciation 3133 3111 2422 9344 6848 10404 Depreciation right-of-use assets 27 835 85639 29413 27817 79629 108370 Amortisation of contract assets (4067) (3170) (13617) (14879) (20071) (4444) Interest income 1228 390 772 1677 410 401 Interest expense lease liability 1052 937 1633 3646 4860 Interest expense 198 915 1266 Income/loss from investments in associates and joint ventures (2879) 13820 30 (2725) Change in long-term receivables 802 811 733 2 3 9 0 2260 2994 Share based payment expense (3518) 965 6492 29 4978 (29556) Change in post-employment liabilities (26245) (38221) (34887) (87770) (88555) (117693) Payments to obtain a contract Changes in working capital (non-cash effect) 3505 1580 4195 21820 22 4 8 3 Impairment loss recognised in trade receivables (2568) 1365 (3110) 8511 Change in fair value of derivative financial instruments 8427 Changes in working capital 512 (172) (262) (349) (248) (256) Inventories 168392 1081615 Trade receivables 8 408 535 19613 1050986 489 360 6 Purchase of el-certificates (245712) (242966) (242596) (370) Non-cash effect from cancelling el-certificates 6 (187) 263594 246 569 246 569 Purchase of guarantees of origination 6 (176) (1930) (854) (3503) (12975) (7063) 6 3143 1 30 3 5501 17823 18837 Non-cash effect from disposal of guarantees of origination 77 286 (2980) 5107 (20552) 20715 941 Other current assets 8 (642485) (227876) 122407 (106050) (535 572) (297054) Trade and other payables 21 056 89835 (341607) 72774 Other current liabilities (15526) (125 454) 408 542 230 005 233 262 723 367 670083 847 054 Cash generated from operations (5923) (1898) (1816) (1557) (4859) (8627) Interest paid 3170 13617 14879 4067 4444 20071 Interest received З (90024) (74194) (288) (93793) Income tax paid 587 753 410711 231 358 235 862 659 193 764704 Net cash from operating activities |
NOK in thousands | Note | Q2 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | Full year 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490 440 | ||||||||
| 6956 | ||||||||
| 23502 | ||||||||
| (4615) | ||||||||
| NOK in thousands | Note | 02 2020 | 03 20 20 | 03 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | Full year 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investing activities | |||||||
| Purchase of property, plant and equipment | 5 | (989) | (1766) | (989) | (2852) | (3791) | |
| Purchase of intangible assets | 6 | (22724) | (12452) | (8093) | (50 254) | (34953) | (47 589) |
| Sale of intangible assets | 6 | 10000 | |||||
| Net cash outflow on aguisition of subsidiares | (531655) | (22066) | (531655) | (22066) | (22 066) | ||
| Net cash outflow on aguisition of shares in associates | 13 | (10000) | |||||
| Net (outflow)/proceeds from non-current receivables | (74) | 545 | (977) | 146 | (763) | (2396) | |
| Net (outflow)/proceeds from other long-term liabilities | (74) | (805) | |||||
| Net cash used in investing activities | (22798) | (544550) | (32903) | (582751) | (60707) | (76648) | |
| Financing activities | |||||||
| Proceeds from issuance of shares | 4 | 389 | 2730 | ||||
| Dividends paid | 4 | (313717) | (313717) | (229 892) | (229 892) | ||
| Formation expenses | (10) | (10) | |||||
| Proceeds from interest-bearing long term debt | 460000 | 460000 | |||||
| Instalments long term debt | (13900) | (13900) | (13900) | (41700) | (41700) | (55600) | |
| Repayment of long term debt | (152900) | (152900) | |||||
| Payment of lease liability | (2966) | (3051) | (2586) | (8539) | (7180) | (8438) | |
| Net cash used in financing activities | (330 204) | 290 149 | (16486) | (54137) | (278 772) | (293930) | |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 57710 | (23043) | 186 473 | (49135) | 319714 | 394 126 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period | 691735 | 749445 | 514649 | 775536 | 381 409 | 381 409 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 749 445 | 726 400 | 701 123 | 726 400 | 701 123 | 775 536 |
This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts but forward-looking statements with respect to Fjordkraft's expectations and plans, strategy, management's objectives, future performance, costs, revenue, earnings and other trend information. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of Fjordkraft.
All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to Fjordkraft on the date hereof. All written or oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Fjordkraft, any Fjordkraft employees or representatives acting on Fjordkraft's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Fjordkraft undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the date hereof.
For more information: Fjordkraft's Investor Relations Morten A. W. Opdal +47 970 62 526 [email protected]
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