Investor Presentation • Jan 22, 2021
Investor Presentation
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22 January 2021
Gjensidige Forsikring Group $\overline{2}$
| Metric | Target |
|---|---|
| Combined ratio | $86 - 89\%$ 1) |
| Cost ratio | < 15% |
| Solvency margin (PIM) | 150-200% |
| ROE after tax | $>20\%2$ |
| UW result outside Norway | NOK 750m $(in 2022)^{3}$ |
| Dividends | Nominal high and stable (and >80% over time) |
Gjensidige targets high and stable nominal dividends to its shareholders, and a payout ratio over time of at least 80 per cent of profit after tax. When determining the size of the dividend, the expected future capital need will be taken into account.
Over time, Gjensidige will also payout excess capital.
•
| Safe society | Implemented research-based climate insights in tariffs Damage prevention Product innovation Councelling and self-help psychological service offerings Established project to support mental health challenges Increased employee engagement |
|---|---|
| Reduced $CO2$ intensity |
Climate neutral in 2020 Increased digital interaction with customers |
| Responsible investments |
Signatory to UN PRI New Policy for Responsible Investments Established carbon intensity reporting for equity and property investments |
Focus in 2021: Prepare for responding to the EU taxonomy
Retain strong & unique position in Norway Exceed customer expectation, strengthen customer relationships
Continued strong position in Denmark Stringent profitability control, further development of business processes
Digital transformation in Sweden Rationalisation, simplification and digitalisation of the customer journey
Profitable growth in the Baltics Rationalisation, simplification and digitalisation of the customer journey ╬
£
$\blacksquare$
| NOK m | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private | 704 | 550 | 2757 | 2025 |
| Commercial | 477 | 428 | 2097 | 1730 |
| Denmark | 225 | 99 | 800 | 599 |
| Sweden | 3 | 18 | 76 | 76 |
| Baltics | 5 | 19 | 68 | 61 |
| Corporate Centre/costs related to owner | (66) | (90) | (331) | (318) |
| Corporate Centre/reinsurance | (187) | (105) | (391) | (137) |
| Underwriting result | 1 1 6 2 | 920 | 5076 | 4036 |
| Pension | 56 | 61 | 167 | 197 |
| Financial result from the investment portfolio | 1 1 5 2 | 832 | 1 3 4 2 | 2 3 0 6 |
| Amortisation and impairment losses of excess value | (43) | (63) | (182) | (256) |
| Other items | (13) | (21) | (60) | 1471 |
| Profit/(loss) before tax expenses | 2 3 1 4 | 1729 | 6 3 4 2 | 7 7 5 4 |
•
•
$14$
Investment return per asset class
Figures as at 31.12.20201 Internal rating - rating by Gjensidige. 96% of this portfolio rated as Investment grade.
| Metric | Status Q4 2020 | Target 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Customer satisfaction (CSI) | 79 | > 78, Group |
| Customer retention | 90% | > 90%, Norway |
| 79% | > 85%, outside Norway | |
| Sales effectiveness | $+10%$ | + 10%, Group |
| Automated tariffs | 52% | 100%, Group |
| Digital claims reporting | 80% | 80%, Norway |
| Claims straight-through processing |
17% | 64%, Norway |
| Claims cost | NOK 483 million | Reduce by NOK 500 million, Group |
| $CO2$ -intensity | Annual reporting | Reduce year by year, Group |
| Metric | Target |
|---|---|
| Combined ratio | 86-89%1) |
| Cost ratio | 15% |
| Solvency margin (PIM) | 150-200% |
| ROE after tax | $>20\%2$ |
| UW result outside Norway | NOK 750m $(in 2022)^{3})$ |
| Dividends | Nominal high and stable $(and > 80\% over time)$ |
| Date | Location | Participants | Event | Arranged by |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 January | Oslo | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad CFO ostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård IRO Kjetil Gill Østvold |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
Pareto |
| 25 January | London | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
ABGSC |
| 28 January | Frankfurt | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
Nordea |
| 29 January | Copenhagen | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
Danske Bank |
| 8 February | Paris | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
Carnegie |
| $16 - 17$ February |
Toronto, Montreal, Boston and New York |
CFO ostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
DNB |
| 16 March | London | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Conference (tel. meetings) |
Morgan Stanley |
Gjensidige Forsikring Group 20
| Claims, NOK million | Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | Q4 20 | FY 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate Centre, gross | (222) | (38) | (24) | (20) | (305) |
| Corporate Centre, net of reinsurance | (60) | (72) | (31) | (22) | (184) |
| Private | 39 | 69 | 49 | 83 | 240 |
| Commercial | 30 | 25 | 17 | 47 | 119 |
| Denmark | (12) | 108 | $\overline{7}$ | 22 | 124 |
| Sweden | (2) | (11) | (5) | (4) | (23) |
| Baltics | (1) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 20 |
| Total impact on claims, net of reinsurance |
(6) | 132 | 41 | 129 | 296 |
Run-off % of earned premium
1) Reported UW result for Q1 2016 was NOK 1,251m. Adjusted for a non-recurring income of NOK 477m related to the pension plans, the UW result was NOK 774m.
2) Reported UW result for Q3 2016 was NOK 712m. Adjusted for a
• Gjensidige is a reinsurer for the pool, for it's own market share
• Natural perils claims are booked in the same month as the claim occurs
A natural perils event covered by the Norwegian Natural Perils
Pool occurs and is defined by Finance Norway as a single
event. The total industry claims exceed NOK 1,500m
| Asset class | Investments, key elements 1) | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Match portfolio | ||
| Fixed income - short duration | Norwegian money market | ST1X index |
| Bonds at amortised cost | Government and corporate bonds | Yield provided in quarterly reports |
| Current bonds | Mortgage, sovereign and corporate bonds, investment grade bond funds and loan funds containing secured debt |
IBOX COR 1-3 years QW5C index |
| Free portfolio | ||
| Fixed income - short duration | Norwegian money market | ST1X index |
| Other bonds | IG bonds in internationally diversified funds externally managed and current bonds | Global Agg Corp LGCPTRUH index |
| High Yield bonds | Internationally diversified funds externally managed | BOAML global HY HWIC index |
| Convertible bonds | Internationally diversified funds externally managed | BOAML global 300 conv VG00 index / Exogen factors |
| Current equities | Mainly internationally and domestic diversified funds externally managed | MSCIAC NDUEACWF index |
| PE funds | Oil/oil-service/general (Norwegian and Nordic funds) | OSEBX index / oil price |
| Property | 50% of Oslo Areal | IPD index Norway / Exogen factors |
| Other | Miscellaneous |
1) See quarterly report for a more detailed description
•
•
| Split - Rating | Match portfolio | Free portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK bn | % | NOK bn | % | |
| AAA | 13.9 | 38.1 | 0.9 | 7.5 |
| AA | 3.3 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 33.7 |
| A | 6.1 | 16.7 | 2.3 | 18.5 |
| BBB | 4.6 | 12.5 | 1.9 | 15.1 |
| BB | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.2 |
| B | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| CCC or lower | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Internal rating 1) | 5.3 | 14.6 | 0.9 | 7.5 |
| Unrated | 2.4 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 12.5 |
| Fixed income portfolio | 36.4 | 100.0 | 12.3 | 100.0 |
| Split - Counterparty | Match portfolio | Free portfolio | ||
| NOK bn | % | NOK bn | % | |
| Public sector | 5.2 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 29.1 |
| Bank/financial institutior | 19.0 | 52.2 | 5.1 | 41.6 |
| Corporates | 12.2 | 33.6 | 3.6 | 29.3 |
| Total | 36.4 | 100.0 | 12.3 | 100.0 |
| (NOK bn) | Approved partial internal model (Group) |
Approved partial internal model (general insurance) |
Own partial internal model (Group) 1) |
Own partial internal model (general insurance) 1) |
Gjensidige Pensjons- forsikring |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital available | 21.0 | 19.1 | 21.1 | 19.3 | 2.1 |
| Capital requirement | 10.6 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 1.4 |
| Solvency margin | 198% | 201% | 248% | 260% | 146% |
Gjensidige Forsikring Group 41
| NOK bn | Approved partial internal model (Group) |
Own partial internal model $(Group)^{1}$ |
|---|---|---|
| Eligible own funds | 21.0 | 21.1 |
| Capital charge for non-life and health uw risk |
8.7 | 6.7 |
| Capital charge for life uw risk | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Capital charge for market risk | 6.6 | 6.2 |
| Capital charge for counterparty risk | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Diversification | (4.4) | (5.6) |
| Basic SCR | 12.7 | 10.0 |
| Operational risk | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Adjustments (loss-absorbing capacity of deferred tax) |
(3.0) | (2.4) |
| Total solvency capital requirement | 10.6 | 8.5 |
| Surplus | 10.4 | 12.6 |
| Solvency ratio | 198% | 248% |
| Т1 | T2 | Constraint | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SII | Max 20% of Tier 1 capital |
Max 50% of SCR less other T 2 capital items |
Must be satisfied at group and solo level |
Equity (NOK m)
| No | Shareholder | Stake (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gjensidigestiftelsen | 62.24 |
| $\overline{2}$ | Folketrygdfondet | 4.29 |
| 3 | Deutsche Bank | 3.58 |
| 4 | BlackRock Inc | 3.04 |
| 5 | Nordea | 1.36 |
| 6 | State Street Corporation | 1.11 |
| 7 | Svenska Handelsbanken Group | 1.08 |
| 8 | The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 1.00 |
| 9 | Danske Bank | 0.95 |
| 10 | ORIX Corporation | 0.92 |
| Total 10 largest | 79.41 |
Geographical distribution of shares2)
Gjensidige Foundation ownership policy:
1Shareholder list based on analysis performed by Orient Capital Ltd of the register of shareholders in the Norwegian Central Securities Depository (VPS) as per 31 December 2020. This analysis provides a survey of the sha
Gjensidige Forsikring Group - 50
This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Gjensidige Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your informatio not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the informat out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, th regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothin shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The infor this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reli does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other per any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regula the US Securities Act.
This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisa business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of info contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.
Gjensidige Forsikring provides alternative performance measures (APMs) in the financial reports, in addition to the financial figures prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The not defined in IFRS (International Financial Report Standards) and are not necessarily directly comparable to other companies' performance measures. The APMs are not intended to be a substitute for, or superior to, any IFR measures of performance, but have been included to provide insight into Giensidige's performance and represent important measures for how management governs the Group and its business activities. Key figures that are regul by IFRS or other legislation, as well as non-financial information, are not regarded as APMs. Gjensidige's APMs are presented in the quarterly report and presentation. All APMs are presented with comparable figures for ear The APMs have generally been used consistently over time. Definitions and calclualtions can be found at www.gjensidige.no/reporting.
Head of Investor Relations [email protected] Mobile: +47 95 79 36 31
Investor relations officer [email protected] Mobile: +47 46 86 30 04
Address: Schweigaards gate 21, PO Box 700 Sentrum, 0106 Oslo, Norway www.gjensidige.no/ir
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