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Gjensidige Forsikring ASA

Investor Presentation Jan 22, 2021

3606_rns_2021-01-22_7d663173-2e2c-4434-8bfc-f402e086927f.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Gjensidige
Forsikring Group

4th quarter 2020 results

22 January 2021

Highest ever fourth quarter underwriting result - excluding run-offs

  • Pre-tax profit NOK 2,314m
  • Underwriting result NOK 1,162m
  • 8.9% premium growth
  • · Strong underlying frequency loss ratio
  • Positive Covid-19 impact
  • · Good cost control
  • Financial result NOK 1,152m, return 2.0%

Gjensidige Forsikring Group $\overline{2}$

Record high full year result - excluding gain on the sale of the bank in 2019

  • Pre-tax profit NOK 6,342m $\bullet$
  • Underwriting result NOK 5,076m
  • 10.2% premium growth
  • Combined ratio 81.3
    • Effective pricing and re-underwriting measures
    • Good progress towards NOK 750m outside Norway
  • Good cost control
  • Financial result NOK 1,342m, return 2.2% $\bullet$
  • Return on equity 19.2% $\bullet$

Annual financial targets through 2022

Metric Target
Combined ratio $86 - 89\%$ 1)
Cost ratio < 15%
Solvency margin (PIM) 150-200%
ROE after tax $>20\%2$
UW result outside Norway NOK 750m
$(in 2022)^{3}$
Dividends Nominal high and stable
(and >80% over time)

Proposed regular dividend NOK 7.40 per share in addition to declared special dividend NOK 2.40 per share

Strong track record of generating attractive shareholder returns

Dividend policy

Gjensidige targets high and stable nominal dividends to its shareholders, and a payout ratio over time of at least 80 per cent of profit after tax. When determining the size of the dividend, the expected future capital need will be taken into account.

Over time, Gjensidige will also payout excess capital.

Our ESG focus areas

Key achievements through 2020

Safe society Implemented research-based climate insights in tariffs
Damage prevention
Product innovation
Councelling and self-help psychological service offerings
Established project to support mental health challenges
Increased employee engagement
Reduced
$CO2$ intensity
Climate neutral in 2020
Increased digital interaction with customers
Responsible
investments
Signatory to UN PRI
New Policy for Responsible Investments
Established carbon intensity reporting for equity and property investments

Focus in 2021: Prepare for responding to the EU taxonomy

Moving towards becoming our customers' problem solver

Our customer centric corporate strategy...

....and segment priorities

Retain strong & unique position in Norway Exceed customer expectation, strengthen customer relationships

Continued strong position in Denmark Stringent profitability control, further development of business processes

Digital transformation in Sweden Rationalisation, simplification and digitalisation of the customer journey

Profitable growth in the Baltics Rationalisation, simplification and digitalisation of the customer journey ╬

£

$\blacksquare$

Financial performance

NOK m Q4 2020 Q4 2019 FY 2020 FY 2019
Private 704 550 2757 2025
Commercial 477 428 2097 1730
Denmark 225 99 800 599
Sweden 3 18 76 76
Baltics 5 19 68 61
Corporate Centre/costs related to owner (66) (90) (331) (318)
Corporate Centre/reinsurance (187) (105) (391) (137)
Underwriting result 1 1 6 2 920 5076 4036
Pension 56 61 167 197
Financial result from the investment portfolio 1 1 5 2 832 1 3 4 2 2 3 0 6
Amortisation and impairment losses of excess value (43) (63) (182) (256)
Other items (13) (21) (60) 1471
Profit/(loss) before tax expenses 2 3 1 4 1729 6 3 4 2 7 7 5 4

Satisfactory profit for Pension operation

Profit and return

Assets under management

$14$

Investment return of 2.0 per cent, reflecting continued rebound

16% 15.1% $14%$ 12% 10% 8% $7.2%$ 6% $4.4%$ $4%$ $2.5%$ $2.1%$ 2% $0.5%$ $0%$ Fixed income (Match) come (Free) equities (Free) properties (Free) other (Free)

Investment return per asset class

Figures as at 31.12.20201 Internal rating - rating by Gjensidige. 96% of this portfolio rated as Investment grade.

Balanced investment portfolio

Moving ahead on operational targets

Gjensidige Forsikring Group

Metric Status Q4 2020 Target 2022
Customer satisfaction (CSI) 79 > 78, Group
Customer retention 90% > 90%, Norway
79% > 85%, outside Norway
Sales effectiveness $+10%$ + 10%, Group
Automated tariffs 52% 100%, Group
Digital claims reporting 80% 80%, Norway
Claims straight-through
processing
17% 64%, Norway
Claims cost NOK 483 million Reduce by NOK 500
million, Group
$CO2$ -intensity Annual reporting Reduce year by year,
Group

Record high customer satisfaction

Concluding remarks

  • Solid results for the fourth quarter and full year 2020
  • Encouraging outlook for results $\bullet$
  • Structural growth ambitions $\bullet$
  • Strong capital position $\bullet$

Annual financial targets through 2022

Metric Target
Combined ratio 86-89%1)
Cost ratio 15%
Solvency margin (PIM) 150-200%
ROE after tax $>20\%2$
UW result outside Norway NOK 750m
$(in 2022)^{3})$
Dividends Nominal high and stable
$(and > 80\% over time)$

Appendix

Roadshows and conferences post Q4 2020 results

Date Location Participants Event Arranged by
22 January Oslo CEO Helge Leiro Baastad
CFO ostein Amdal
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
IRO Kjetil Gill Østvold
Roadshow
(tel. meetings)
Pareto
25 January London CEO Helge Leiro Baastad
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow
(tel. meetings)
ABGSC
28 January Frankfurt CFO Jostein Amdal
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow
(tel. meetings)
Nordea
29 January Copenhagen CEO Helge Leiro Baastad
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow
(tel. meetings)
Danske
Bank
8 February Paris CEO Helge Leiro Baastad
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow
(tel. meetings)
Carnegie
$16 - 17$
February
Toronto, Montreal,
Boston and New York
CFO ostein Amdal
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow
(tel. meetings)
DNB
16 March London CEO Helge Leiro Baastad
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Conference
(tel. meetings)
Morgan
Stanley

Gjensidige Forsikring Group 20

Positive claims impact from Covid-19

Claims, NOK million Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 FY 20
Corporate Centre, gross (222) (38) (24) (20) (305)
Corporate Centre, net of reinsurance (60) (72) (31) (22) (184)
Private 39 69 49 83 240
Commercial 30 25 17 47 119
Denmark (12) 108 $\overline{7}$ 22 124
Sweden (2) (11) (5) (4) (23)
Baltics (1) 14 3 3 20
Total impact on claims, net of
reinsurance
(6) 132 41 129 296

Effect of discounting of claims provisions

Effect of discounting on CR - Q4 2020

Assumptions

  • Only claims provisions are discounted $\bullet$ . (i.e. premium provisions are undiscounted)
  • Swap rates in Norway, Sweden and Denmark $\bullet$ .
  • Euroswap rates in the Baltic countries $\bullet$

NOK m NOK m

Appendix

Large losses development

~ NOK 1.25bn in large losses expected annually

Large losses per segment - actual vs. expected

Run-off development

Expected average annual run-off gains of ~4 pp (~NOK 1bn) through 2022

Run-off % of earned premium

Appendix

Quarterly underwriting results - seasonality in Nordic general insurance

1) Reported UW result for Q1 2016 was NOK 1,251m. Adjusted for a non-recurring income of NOK 477m related to the pension plans, the UW result was NOK 774m.
2) Reported UW result for Q3 2016 was NOK 712m. Adjusted for a

Norwegian Natural Perils Pool in brief

Details regarding the pool

  • As per 01.01.2021 the premium rate is set to 0.065 per thousand of the fire insurance amount, no change from 2020
  • Natural perils damages in Norway:
  • NOK 0-1,500m covered by general insurance companies based on national market share
  • NOK 1,500m-16,000m covered by the Norwegian Natural Perils Pool's reinsurance programme
  • Maximum compensation per event is NOK 16,000m
  • No limit for the frequency of events

Objects covered

  • Fire insurance coverage for buildings and contents in Norway includes coverage for natural catastrophes
  • The pool does not cover loss of profits, motor vehicles, leisure boats, and certain other items, which are covered through ordinary insurances
  • For damages on private property that cannot be insured, e.g. roads, bridges, farmland and forests, coverage may be sought through the National Natural Perils Fund

Handling of natural perils claims

  • The customers report claims to own insurance company
  • The insurance company reports claims on to Finance Norway, who coordinates the Norwegian Natural Perils Pool
  • Share of claims is allocated to the companies based on national market share for fire insurance
  • Through own accounts, the companies cover the allocated claims costs

Gjensidige specific

• Gjensidige is a reinsurer for the pool, for it's own market share

• Natural perils claims are booked in the same month as the claim occurs

Appendix

Reinsurance - overview valid as from 2021

  • Reinsurance is purchased for protection of
    the Group's capital position and is primarily
    a capital management tool $\bullet$
  • General retention level per claim/event is $\bullet$ around NOK 100m
  • For weather-related events the retention $\bullet$ level per claim/event is around NOK 200m
  • Maximum retention level per claim/event
    hitting more than one reinsurance
    programme is NOK 500m including any $\bullet$ reinstatement premium
  • Gjensidige considers additional coverage if
    this is appropriate considering internal
    modelling and capital requirement

Practical example, natural perils claim in Norway

Example: Natural perils event

A natural perils event covered by the Norwegian Natural Perils
Pool occurs and is defined by Finance Norway as a single
event. The total industry claims exceed NOK 1,500m

  • Gjensidige is allocated its share of the NOK 1,500m claim from the pool
  • Gjensidige is in addition allocated its share of the amount
    exceeding NOK 1,500m, as a reinsurer for the pool
  • Gjensidige receives claims directly, for damages not covered by the pool
  • Gjensidige's total claims related to the natural perils event
    exceeds Gjensidige's retention level and hits the catastrophe reinsurance programme
  • Gjensidige's net impact for this event is around NOK 200m if the event occurs

Appendix

Investment strategy supporting high and stable nominal dividends

Match portfolio

  • Duration and currency matching versus technical provisions (undiscounted)
  • Credit element for increased returns
  • Some inflation hedging

Match portfolio

  • Compounding and focused on absolute returns
  • Dynamic risk management
  • Tactical allocation
  • Active management fixed income and equities
  • Normal risk premiums basis for asset allocation and use of capital

Key characteristics

  • Limited risk appetite
  • Currency hedging vs NOK ~ 100%
  • Limit +/- 10% per currency
  • Marked-to-market recognition
  • Except bonds at amortised cost
  • Stable performance

Investment portfolio

Asset class Investments, key elements 1) Benchmark
Match portfolio
Fixed income - short duration Norwegian money market ST1X index
Bonds at amortised cost Government and corporate bonds Yield provided in quarterly reports
Current bonds Mortgage, sovereign and corporate bonds, investment grade bond funds and loan funds
containing secured debt
IBOX COR 1-3 years
QW5C index
Free portfolio
Fixed income - short duration Norwegian money market ST1X index
Other bonds IG bonds in internationally diversified funds externally managed and current bonds Global Agg Corp
LGCPTRUH index
High Yield bonds Internationally diversified funds externally managed BOAML global HY
HWIC index
Convertible bonds Internationally diversified funds externally managed BOAML global 300 conv
VG00 index / Exogen factors
Current equities Mainly internationally and domestic diversified funds externally managed MSCIAC
NDUEACWF index
PE funds Oil/oil-service/general (Norwegian and Nordic funds) OSEBX index / oil price
Property 50% of Oslo Areal IPD index Norway / Exogen factors
Other Miscellaneous

1) See quarterly report for a more detailed description

Contribution from the portfolios

Asset allocation as at 31.12.2020

Quarterly investment returns

Balanced geographical exposure

Match portfolio

Free portfolio, fixed-income instruments

Split - Rating Match portfolio Free portfolio
NOK bn % NOK bn %
AAA 13.9 38.1 0.9 7.5
AA 3.3 8.9 4.1 33.7
A 6.1 16.7 2.3 18.5
BBB 4.6 12.5 1.9 15.1
BB 0.1 0.3 0.4 3.2
B 0.8 2.1 0.2 1.6
CCC or lower 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5
Internal rating 1) 5.3 14.6 0.9 7.5
Unrated 2.4 6.6 1.5 12.5
Fixed income portfolio 36.4 100.0 12.3 100.0
Split - Counterparty Match portfolio Free portfolio
NOK bn % NOK bn %
Public sector 5.2 14.2 3.6 29.1
Bank/financial institutior 19.0 52.2 5.1 41.6
Corporates 12.2 33.6 3.6 29.3
Total 36.4 100.0 12.3 100.0
(NOK bn) Approved partial
internal model
(Group)
Approved partial
internal model
(general insurance)
Own partial internal
model (Group) 1)
Own partial internal
model (general
insurance) 1)
Gjensidige Pensjons-
forsikring
Capital available 21.0 19.1 21.1 19.3 2.1
Capital requirement 10.6 9.5 8.5 7.4 1.4
Solvency margin 198% 201% 248% 260% 146%

Gjensidige Forsikring Group 41

Bridging the gap between IFRS equity and Solvency II capital

NOK bn Approved partial
internal model
(Group)
Own partial
internal model
$(Group)^{1}$
Eligible own funds 21.0 21.1
Capital charge for non-life and health uw
risk
8.7 6.7
Capital charge for life uw risk 1.4 1.4
Capital charge for market risk 6.6 6.2
Capital charge for counterparty risk 0.3 0.3
Diversification (4.4) (5.6)
Basic SCR 12.7 10.0
Operational risk 0.9 0.9
Adjustments (loss-absorbing capacity of
deferred tax)
(3.0) (2.4)
Total solvency capital requirement 10.6 8.5
Surplus 10.4 12.6
Solvency ratio 198% 248%
Т1 T2 Constraint
SII Max 20% of
Tier 1 capital
Max 50% of
SCR less other
T 2 capital items
Must be satisfied at
group and solo level

Equity (NOK m)

Annualised return on equity 19.2 per cent

Annualised return on equity (%)

Market leader in Norway

Market share - Commercial

Market share - Private

Ownership

10 largest shareholders1)

No Shareholder Stake (%)
1 Gjensidigestiftelsen 62.24
$\overline{2}$ Folketrygdfondet 4.29
3 Deutsche Bank 3.58
4 BlackRock Inc 3.04
5 Nordea 1.36
6 State Street Corporation 1.11
7 Svenska Handelsbanken Group 1.08
8 The Vanguard Group, Inc. 1.00
9 Danske Bank 0.95
10 ORIX Corporation 0.92
Total 10 largest 79.41

Geographical distribution of shares2)

Gjensidige Foundation ownership policy:

  • Long term target holding: >60%
  • Can accept reduced ownership ratio in case of acquisitions $\bullet$ . and capital issues when in accordance with Gjensidige's overall strategy

1Shareholder list based on analysis performed by Orient Capital Ltd of the register of shareholders in the Norwegian Central Securities Depository (VPS) as per 31 December 2020. This analysis provides a survey of the sha

Gjensidige

Gjensidige Forsikring Group - 50

Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Gjensidige Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your informatio not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the informat out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, th regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothin shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The infor this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reli does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other per any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regula the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisa business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of info contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

Gjensidige Forsikring provides alternative performance measures (APMs) in the financial reports, in addition to the financial figures prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The not defined in IFRS (International Financial Report Standards) and are not necessarily directly comparable to other companies' performance measures. The APMs are not intended to be a substitute for, or superior to, any IFR measures of performance, but have been included to provide insight into Giensidige's performance and represent important measures for how management governs the Group and its business activities. Key figures that are regul by IFRS or other legislation, as well as non-financial information, are not regarded as APMs. Gjensidige's APMs are presented in the quarterly report and presentation. All APMs are presented with comparable figures for ear The APMs have generally been used consistently over time. Definitions and calclualtions can be found at www.gjensidige.no/reporting.

Notes

Notes

Investor Relations

Mitra Hagen Negård

Head of Investor Relations [email protected] Mobile: +47 95 79 36 31

Kjetil Gill Østvold

Investor relations officer [email protected] Mobile: +47 46 86 30 04

Address: Schweigaards gate 21, PO Box 700 Sentrum, 0106 Oslo, Norway www.gjensidige.no/ir

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