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Volue ASA

Investor Presentation Feb 12, 2021

3783_rns_2021-02-12_f74effce-da8d-4146-ac58-a482f8f702ac.pdf

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Fourth-quarter 2020 financial results

12 February 2021

Disclaimer

This presentation has been produced by Volue AS (the "Company" or "Volue") exclusively for information purposes. This presentation is confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, or disclosed by any recipient, to any other person. To the best of the knowledge of the Company and its board of directors, the information contained in this presentation is in all material respect in accordance with the facts as of the date hereof, and contains no material omissions likely to affect its import.

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and its subsidiaries and/or the industry in which the Company operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. Neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries or any such person's officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company assumes no obligation, except as required by law, to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to any actual results.

An investment in the Company involves risk, and several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the Company's business, segments, development, growth management, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors.

Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation.

The information in this presentation speaks as of the date hereof. The Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this presentation. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries or any such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document. By attending or receiving this presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company's business.

The contents of this presentation shall not be construed as legal, business or tax advice, and the furnishing of this presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Prospective investors should consult its own legal, business or tax advisor as to legal, business or tax advice.

This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only, and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any investment activity.

This presentation is subject to Norwegian law and any dispute arising in respect of this presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo district court as legal venue.

Q4 Highlights

Financial results

Revenues

NOK 240 million 17 % growth from Q4 2019*

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK 54 million

23 % margin, improved from Q4 2019

Recurring revenues

NOK 170 million

17 % growth from Q4 2019

Cash balance

NOK 411 million**

Improved from operational activities

Operations and sales

  • Listed on Euronext Growth, gross proceeds of NOK 500 million raised in private placement
  • Acquired leading algorithmic trading provider Likron GmbH
  • Purchased minority shares in subsidiaries of Volue AS
  • Sales closed above target for the period
  • Reiterating solid market outlook for 2021
  • Limited operational impact by COVID-19 pandemic

Subsequent events

  • Launched Volue as one brand in January
  • On-track for OSE listing in H1 2021
  • Additional contract win in the US with the Insight portfolio

*The 2019 figures have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and is based on continuity and not the proforma figures, which was reported in the Q3 report.

** Cash balance, ex restricted cash

Volue – Realising the future of energy

https://vimeo.com/455734115?ref=em-v-share

Volue in brief: A leading supplier of software and technology solutions for the energy, power grid and infrastructure markets

Brief overview of Volue

Volue in numbers

  • 2,000 customers in 44 countries
  • 50 years in green-tech
  • One of the largest software companies in Norway
  • NOK 892m in revenues (2020)
  • 22% adjusted EBITDA margin (2020)
  • More than 30 offices in 9 countries
  • A strong team of 600 engaged employees

Key target markets

Energy production and trading

Water and wastewater

Construction

Industrial IoT

Volue in brief: A leading supplier of software and technology solutions for the energy, power grid and infrastructure markets

What Volue offers

Software suite built on deep domain knowledge for the entire clean energy valuechain

Market-leading access to data required to optimise operations and trading in the complex future energy markets

Strong and trusted relationship with > 2,000 customers in the Nordics and Europe

Volue is active in three segments

Help customers master the energy transition by enabling end-to-end optimisation of the green energy value-chain

2020 sales
(% of total)
NOK 454m (51%)
Recurring revenue share
(2020)
66%
Degree of EU Taxonomy
alignment
HIGH

Enable power distributors to support electrification of society by unlocking flexibility and digital management of the power grid

2020 sales
(% of total)
NOK 236m (26%)
Recurring revenue share
(2020)
60%
Degree of EU Taxonomy
alignment
HIGH

Energy Power Grid Infrastructure

Deliver flexible capabilities for digital water management and help automate processes and machines for the construction industry

2020
sales
(% of total)
NOK 202m (23%)
Recurring revenue share
(2020)
63%
Degree of EU Taxonomy
alignment
HIGH

Key developments

On track to list on OSE in H1 2021

1 Listing on Euronext Growth was important milestone to accelerate structural and organic

growth

Attracting a broader investor market base is important for Volue over time. The company has the right metrics for being listed on OSE

2

3

Company prepares for OSE listing in H1 2021

Key developments in Q4

Intraday trading transformation

  • Significant contract wins full digitalisation of intraday trading process
  • Partnership programme with customers from Nordics and continental Europe
  • Promising development in the US market with Insight portfolio
  • Increasing market actitivies

Sales transformation

  • Reinvented sales from field sales to digital channels
  • Digital infrastructure conference with record-high attendence

4

1

2

3

Completion of Likron GmbH acquisition

  • Adding a highly skilled and experienced team
  • Forming new Centre of Excellence for Power trading solutions

Likron: A pioneer in automated energy trading

About Likron

Founded in 2010

  • First Independent Software Vendor (ISV) for the European power exchange EPEX SPOT to develop an algorithmic machine for electrical power intraday trading
  • Brings deep trading expertise, state of the art IT and quantitative analysis to the short-term energy markets

Milestones

  • First EPEX SPOT ISV 2014 (Germany)
  • Nord Pool ISV 2016 (Nordics)
  • ICS / Catrina 2018 (Cross border capacity trading)
  • Trayport / Pegas 2018 (European Natural Gas)
  • HUPX 2019 (Hungary)

Core services & products

  • Cloud born SaaS offering, 65% of total revenue
  • 24/7 algo energy trading
  • Quant trading strategies
  • Portfolio optimisation

Likron in numbers

> 6 years of Algo trading ~ 45 GWh/day with algos
> 30 employees ~ 22k trades / day
> 40 TWh
traded
~20% of EPEX Trades
> 30 production accounts 2/3 market share of ISV
trading volume

Selected customers and projects

Likron – Strategic rationale for acquisition

Creating an algorithmic trading powerhouse

Acquisition further strengthens Value's offering within algorithmic power trading solutions in Europe

Volue takes active role in a muchneeded consolidation of energy technology market, with a goal of helping customers accelerate shift to renewable energy

Accelerating growth and innovation in areas relevant to the green energy transition

Transition to carbon-free energy production depends on a successful digitalisation of the entire green energy value-chain

One company, one culture, one brand, one go-to-market channel

Financial results for the fourth quarter 2020

Financial highlights

Financial highlights Comments

Financial highlights (NOKm) Q4 2020 Q4 20191 31.12.2020 31.12.20191
Revenue 240 206 892 798
Gross margin 81 % 87 % 83 % 87 %
Adjusted EBITDA2 54 32 197 134
Adjusted EBITDA margin 23 % 16 % 22 % 17 %
EBITDA 30 19 149 100
EBITDA margin 13 % 9 % 17 % 13 %
Cash balance at the end of the period3 453 233 453 280
Recurring revenue growth (%) 17 % NA 12 % NA
Recurring revenue (% of revenue) 70 % 69 % 64 % 64 %
SaaS revenue growth (%) 34 % NA 31 % NA
Saas
revenue (% of revenue)
20 % 17 % 16 % 14 %
R&D CAPEX (NOKm) 27 9 86 33
R&D CAPEX (% of revenue) 11 % 5 % 10 % 4 %

1 The 2019 figures have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and is based on continuity and not the proforma figures, which was reported in the Q3 report.

  • Strong revenue growth in Q4 2020 on 17 % driven by European expansion
  • Strong contribution from the Energy segment with 18 % growth in Q4
  • Infrastructure area with a growth rate on 29 % growth in Q4
  • Limited impact from Covid-19 with good order intake and growth in Q4 2020
  • Growth in recurring revenues through sales closing above targets
  • Overall Growth rates significantly improved compared to 2019
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4 improved
  • Personnel + other OPEX growing lower than revenue, scale advantages will increase margin levels going forward
  • Cost related to IPO partly included in Q4 results
  • Improved EBITDA margins for all segments
  • R&D capitalisation stable around ~10-11%

2 EBITDA adjusted for non-recurring items

3 Including restricted cash

16

Step change in revenue growth and highly sticky customer base

Step change in revenue growth expected ~0 customer relations lost due to replacement

Value increases being addressed gradually to maintain customers

Accelerating shift towards SaaS and recurring revenue

Double-digit recurring revenue growth

SaaS growth: >30%

1 Recurring revenues is defined as revenue from subscriptions and maintenance over a year

2 SaaS revenue is defined as revenue from software hosted by Volue and distributed through web applications

Industry developments and strategy

Cleaner energy pressuring the infrastructure

Software spending from the power sector to reach USD 5bn by 2025 (up 60% vs. today), fuelled by the green energy shift

Growth drivers

Increased renewable capacity and shifting wholesale market dynamics, resulting in increased power market complexity

Solutions within advanced analytics, artificial intelligence and optimisation growing the most

Expected growth in power software spending, requires additional hardware, implementation and services, driving total digitalisation costs to 2x power software spending

Europe is at the forefront of power digitalisation, with 25% share of global spending

Growing share of green, non-controllable power sources increases the complexity in the European energy markets

Non-controllable power will represent more than 50% of European power capacity…

…making the process to optimise production and trading exponentially more complex

Increase in non-controllable production sources,

with production changing in seconds Real-time decision making requires new software tools Few and expensive storage or switch-off alternatives

Example from the new reality: Penalties paid in the balancing market can be extreme if failing to re-position in the intraday market

Volue enabling customer success

Software, markets insights and IoT technology covering entire value-chain

ANALYSE PLAN & OPERATE MONETISE
CAPTURE
> AGGREGATE
>
FORECAST >
OPTIMISE
>
SCHEDULE
>
TRADE
>
SETTLE
IIoT
-
Sensor data
Market data & forecasts
on capacity, fundamentals and prices: Long-
and short-term
capturing & aggregation
Hydrology
Meteorology
Environment
Forecasting
Inflow & Demand
Long & short-term production
planning
& optimisation
Multi-purpose technologies
Trading
Intraday algo trading
(power & gas)
Spot auction bidding (on the roadmap)
Ancillary service bidding & activation request
Settlement
Nordic Balance
Settlement
Position mgmt & scheduling
(power and gas)

Volue offers a comprehensive product and service portfolio, covering the entire clean energy value-chain

Significantly simplifying access and interaction for all stakeholders

Services are mainly delivered on a cloud platform, underlining fact that the SaaS transformation is well underway

Addressing the shared customer segment across Volue's business units opens significant cross-sales opportunities

Large international client base a testament to Volue's high-quality offering

Recent significant strategic contract wins

Multinational Italian electric utility company serving over 70 million customers

Q4 2019

German electric utility company serving more than 5 million costumers Q3 2020

Significant value-creation potential demonstrated for customers adopting business-critical solutions from Volue

Integrated SaaS offering covering the whole value-chain

Real-life example – Volue trading platform

Volue's successful Gemini SaaS platform illustrates the potential of the transition towards a cloud-based model

2021 - Outlook and priorities

Summary: Solid position for profitable growth and expansion

1

The shift towards green, non-controllable energy sources drives increased volatility and complexity for customers, requiring dynamic and cloud-based software solutions

Volue offers wall-to-wall SaaS solutions and has built up a customer base comprising the leading European energy companies

2

3

Ongoing SaaStransformation with solid growth in recurring revenues and an uptick in EBITDA margins

Ambitions to create a NOK 2 billion revenue company by 2025

Highly fragmented market – Volue aims to pursue consolidation

Ambitions to act as a consolidator and engage in bolt-on transactions on a recurring basis as well as pursue larger strategic options in a more opportunistic manner

Priorities and ambitions for 2021

Reach NOK 1 billion in run-rate sales

Exceed 20% in EBITDA margin

Accelerate growth in ARR through SaaS transformation

Structural growth – Take lead position in market consolidation

Utilise synergies in Volue group to increase operational efficiency

6

List on Oslo Stock Exchange in H1 2021

Appendix

Financial and operational information

Group P&L and KPIs

Group financial performance Comments

Key metrics (NOKm) Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2019 31.12.2020 31.12.2019
Revenue 240 209 206 892 798
COGS 45 40 26 153 107
Gross profit 195 169 179 739 691
Gross margin % 81 % 81 % 87 % 83 % 87 %
Personnel expenses (excl. capitalised
R&D)
129 93 120 437 436
Other OPEX 11 26 27 105 122
Adj EBITDA 54 50 32 197 134
Adjusted EBITDA margin % 23 % 24 % 16 % 22 % 17 %
Non-recurring items 24 11 13 48 34
EBITDA 30 40 19 149 100
EBITDA margin % 13 % 19 % 9 % 17 % 13 %
Depreciation and amortization 18 17 15 66 60
EBIT 12 23 4 83 40
EBIT margin % 5 % 11 % 2 % 9 % 5 %
Net Finance (4) (4) 1 (9) (6)
EBT 8 19 5 74 34
Tax (13) 14 4 6 9
Profit (loss) continued operations 21 5 1 67 25
Profit/loss from discontinued operations1 0 33 (20) 39 (45)
Net profit/loss 21 38 -20 106 -20
  • Strong revenue growth in Q4 2020 on 17 % driven by European expansion
  • Strong contribution from the Energy segment with 18 % growth in Q4
  • Infrastructure area with a growth rate on 29 % growth in Q4
  • Limited impact from Covid-19 with good order intake and growth in Q4 2020
  • Growth in recurring revenues through sales closing above targets
  • Overall Growth rates significantly improved compared to 2019
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4 improved
  • Personnel + other OPEX growing lower than revenue, scale advantages will increase margin levels going forward
  • Cost related to IPO partly included in Q4 results
  • Improved EBITDA margins for all segments
  • R&D capitalisation stable around ~10-11%

Balance sheet

Balance sheet

Balance sheet (NOKm) Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2019 Balance sheet (NOKm) Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2019
ASSETS LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Deferred tax asset 12 8 5 Equity 807 417 362
Other intangible assets 212 129 92 Total Equity 807 417 362
Goodwill 248 147 146
Tangible fixed assets 163 150 109 Deferred tax liabilities 37 17 5
Pension assets 15 13 19 Leasing obligations 130 105 74
Other receivables 0 0 1 Other long-term debt 9 9 8
Total non -current assets 650 449 370 Total non -
current liabilities
176 132 87
Inventory 13 16 9
Contract assets 40 52 54 Loans 24 3 64
Accounts receivable and other receivables 327 220 270 Accounts payable 205 92 114
Cash and cash equivalents 453 280 233 Tax payable 8 18 9
Financial assets held for trading 10 10 10 Other current liabilities 274 364 339
Held for sale operations 0 0 142 Obligations discontinued business 0 0 112
Total current assets 843 578 718 Total current liabilities 510 478 639
Total assets 1,493 1,027 1,088 Total liabilities and equity 1,493 1,027 1,088

Cash flow statement

39

Cash flow statement (NOKm) 31.12.2020 31.12.2019
Profit before tax from continuing operations 67 25
Depreciations 66 68
Net finance 9 6
Tax expense 6 9
Change in inventory, accounts receivable, contract assets and
accounts payable -57 -27
Change in net other current assets and other operating items 16 111
Net cash flow from operating activities 108 191
Interest received 7 8
Purchase of property, plant and intangible assets -102 -32
Purchase of other investments - -10
Acquisition of non-controlling interests -240 18
Acquisition of a subsidiary -61 0
Proceeds from the sale of shares in subsidiaries 59 1
Net cash flow from investing activities -336 -15
Payment of share capital 511 -
Dividends paid -41 -7
Change in other financing activities -20 -121
Net cash flow from financing activities 449 -128
Change in cash and cash equivalents 220 48
Cash and cash equivalents opening balance 233 185
Cash and cash equivalents closing balance 453 233

Energy

Key financials and KPIs Comments

Growth

  • Growth rates primarily driven SaaS-offerings and large ongoing projects 18 % growth in Q4
  • Growth through recurring revenues strong performance on SaaS offering through analytics and forecasting platform
  • Solid backlog from several major customer wins

Profitability

  • Increase in margins 2020 due to strong revenue growth
  • Turnaround in 2018 with impact on margins in 2019 further uplift in EBITDA level throughout 2020. Large increase in capacity in 2020 for further investments in new product and services

CAPEX

  • CAPEX level at ~12 % of sales, mainly constituted by R&D investments
  • Significant investments into new products related to optimisation and trading solutions
  • Investment plan established in 2018 for analytics and forecasting pure SaaS business and delivery model

Power Grid

Key financials and KPIs Comments

Growth

  • Positive development in growth rates in 2020 compared to 2019.
  • Change in strategic focus areas in 2018 gives growth rates
  • Growth in Sweden and Denmark, as well as in the Norwegian home market, with large ongoing projects

Profitability

  • EBITDA margin improved from Q4 2019
  • Negative contribution from one large project impacting development in 2018, 2019 and 2020 – no negative impact expected for 2021
  • Investments in market expansions in 2020

CAPEX

  • CAPEX at ~8 % of sales
  • Ongoing investments in flexibility products
  • CAPEX level expected to increase over the next 12 months

Infrastructure

Key financials and KPIs Comments

Growth

  • Strong growth in Q4 2020 with 29 % growth.
  • Growth rates driven by strong performance in home markets from the Construction market
  • Ongoing market expansions in Sweden gives uplift in revenue growth outside Norway
  • Construction market with solid growth rates due to increasing need for digitalisation
  • Deliveries through software and SaaS deliveries, with strong uplift in recurring revenue levels

Profitability

  • Strong margins following several years with high growth in recurring revenues, mainly through SaaS offerings
  • Profitability supported by scalable business models and easy onboarding processes
  • Investments in market expansions in 2020

CAPEX

  • CAPEX level at ~11 % of sales, expected to stay at same levels near-term
  • Ongoing investments to increase offerings on Gemini platform and additions to the current product range
  • All investments directed towards SaaS offerings

Alternative performance measures

Basis for preparation

This presentation provides financial highlights for the quarter for Volue. The financial information is not reported according to the requirements in IAS 34 and the figures are not audited.

The 2019 figures have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and is based on continuity and not the proforma figures, which was reported in the Q3 report. The difference for revenues in 2019 proforma versus continuity figures is related to sales between Scanmatic AS and Scanmatic Electro AS. All figures related Scanmatic Electro AS has been classified as discontinued operation in 2019 and 2020 figures.

Alternative performance measures

Alternative performance measures

Volue AS presents alternative performance measures as a supplement to measures regulated by IFRS. The alternative performance measures are presented to provide better insight and understanding of operations, financial position and the basis for future developments.

The definitions of these measures are as follows:

EBITDA - Profit/loss before tax, net finance cost, depreciation, amortization and impairment.

EBITDA adjusted - In order to give a better representation of underlying performance, the following adjustments are made to EBITDA:

• Special items: items that are not part of the ordinary business, such as IPO related costs

EBIT - Profit/loss before tax and net finance cost.

Net interest-bearing debt - Total interest-bearing debt, less interest-bearing receivables and cash.

Equity ratio - Total equity divided by total assets.

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