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Golden Ocean Group

Investor Presentation Feb 18, 2021

6243_rns_2021-02-18_d92e81a4-5afe-45e7-b306-31ab01c4bd4b.pdf

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RESULTS Q4 - 2020

February 18, 2021

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

Matters discussed in this earnings report may constitute forward-looking statements. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides safe harbor protections for forward-looking statements, which include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The Company desires to take advantage of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is including this cautionary statement in connection with this safe harbor legislation. Words such as "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "intend," "plan," "targets," "projects," "likely," "will," "would," "could," "seeks," "potential," "continue," "contemplate," "possible," "might," "forecasts," "may," "should" and similar expressions or phrases may identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this report are based upon various assumptions. many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond the Company's control, the Company cannot assure you that it will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date hereof, and the Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of developments occurring after the date of this communication.

In addition to these important factors and matters discussed elsewhere herein, important factors that, in the Company's view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements include, among other things, the strength of world economies, fluctuations in currencies and interest rates, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand in the dry bulk market, the length and severity of the COVID-19 outbreak, the impact of public health threats and outbreaks of other highly communicable diseases, changes in the Company's operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the market for the Company's vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, the impact of the expected discontinuance of LIBOR after 2021 on interest rates of the Company's debt that reference LIBOR, changes in governmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities, potential liability from pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents, political events or acts by terrorists, and other important factors described from time to time in the reports filed by the Company with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company's most recently filed Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2019.

COMPANY UPDATE

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2020 was \$59.3 million, compared with \$76.7 million in the third quarter of 2020
  • The Company reports net income of \$25.4 million and earnings per share of \$0.18 for the fourth quarter of 2020, compared with net loss of \$39.1 million and earnings per share of \$0.27 for the third quarter of 2020
  • Signed the Neptune Declaration of Seafarer Wellbeing and Crew Change
  • Entered into an agreement in December 2020 to sell Golden Shea (2007), a Panamax vessel for \$9.6 million to an unrelated third party
  • Entered into an agreement in January 2021 to sell Golden Saguenay (2008), a Panamax vessel, for \$8.4 million to an unrelated third party
  • In February 2021, entered into a Heads of Agreement to acquire 18 modern dry bulk vessels for a total consideration of \$752 million
  • Reported TCE rates for Capesize and Panamax/Ultramax vessels of \$18,214 per day and \$12,586 per day, respectively, in the fourth quarter of 2020
  • Estimated TCE rates for the first quarter of 2021 calculated on a load-to-discharge basis and inclusive of charter coverage are:
    • approximately \$18,820 per day contracted for 60% of the available days for Capesize vessels
    • approximately \$13,120 per day contracted for 77% of the available days for Panamax vessels

We expect the spot TCEs for the full first quarter of 2021 to be lower than the TCEs currently contracted, due to the impact of ballast days at the end of the first quarter of 2021 as well as current weaker rates.

4

4

PROFIT & LOSS

(in thousands of \$) Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Quarterly
Variance
Operating
revenues and other operating income / expenses
168,001 186,892 (18,891)
Voyage expenses (42,904) (43,935) 1,031
Net revenues 125,097 142,957 (17,860)
Ship operating expenses (47,632) (43,444) (4,188)
Administrative expenses (4,024) (3,103) (921)
Charter
hire expenses
(17,130) (20,443) 3,313
Depreciation (27,592) (27,631) 39
Impairment
loss on vessels
(721) - (721)
Net operating expenses (97,099) (94,621) (2,478)
Net operating income (loss) 27,998 48,336 (20,338)
Net financial
expenses
(9,352) (9,805) 453
Derivatives and other
financial income (loss)
6,735 570 6,165
Net income before taxation (loss) 25,381 39,101 (13,720)
Income Tax
expense
11 40 (29)
Net income (loss) 25,370 39,061 (13,691)
Earnings (loss) per share: basic and diluted \$0.18 \$0.27 (\$0.09)
Adjusted EBITDA 59,328 76,742 (17,414)
TCE per day 15,893 17,912 (2,019)

CASH FLOW – Q4 2020

BALANCE SHEET

(in thousands of \$) Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Quarterly
Variance
ASSETS
Short term
Cash and cash equivalents (incl.
restricted cash)
175,102 130,826 44,276
Other current assets 109,427 120,696 (11,269)
Long term
Vessels
and equipment, net (incl. Held for Sale)
2,277,190 2,300,566 (23,376)
Leases, right of use of
assets
136,219 141,609 (5,390)
Other long term assets 23,129 23,796 (667)
Total assets 2,721,067 2,717,493 3,574
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Short term
Current portion of long
-term debt
87,831 83,158 4,673
Current portion of finance lease
obligations
23,475 23,117 358
Current portion of operating leases obligations 16,783 14,852 1,931
Other current liabilities 113,586 107,149 6,437
Long term
Long
-term debt
957,652 981,762 (24,110)
Non
-current portion of finance lease obligations
127,730 133,679 (5,949)
Non
-current portion of operating lease obligations
25,254 30,691 (5,437)
Equity 1,368,756 1,343,085 25,671
Total liabilities and equity 2,721,067 2,717,493 3,574

MARKET REVIEW & OUTLOOK

Q4 MARKET DEVELOPMENTS

The strong rebound in rates at the end of the second quarter led by resumption in demand from China continued into the third quarter

WEEKLY DRY BULK SHIPPING RATES – LAST 12 MONTHS

DEMAND TO REBOUND STRONGLY IN 2021

Rebound in global GDP growth for 2021 led by strong growth in China and India – the two largest importers of dry bulk commodities

EMERGING ECONOMIES

ADVANCED ECONOMIES GLOBAL ECONOMY

Global recovery backed by unprecedented global stimulus expected to be led by China and India and to boost demand for dry bulk transportation (primarily iron ore and coal).

SOURCE: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2021

DRY BULK NET GROWTH NEAR TO THE GROUND

Based on the current orderbook, as well as scrapping estimates¹ and ordering assumptions, estimated dry bulk net fleet growth is 1.6% and 1.6% in 2021 and 2022, respectively

ESTIMATED NET FLEET GROWTH OF ~1.6% in 2021 AND 2022 – the lowest in 30 years

FURTHER IMPROVEMENT IN UTILIZATION

Further increase in utilization going forward, based on slippage, as well as slow-steaming and scrapping potential of older vessels

SUPPLY/DEMAND MARKET BALANCE

Demand growth Supply growth Net Utilization

STRONG CASH FLOW POTENTIAL

Accretive acquisition strengthens dividend potential

PRO-FORMA ANNUALIZED CASH FLOW SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS¹

Cash flow Cash yield

SOURCE: CLARKSONS

1) CASH FLOW GENERATION CALCULATED BASED ON CASH BREAK EVEN RATES SUBTRACTED FROM X-AXIS TCE RATES; RATES NOT ADJUSTED FOR NEWCASTLEMAX AND KAMSARMAX PREMIUMS OF 130% AND 123%, RESPECTIVELY, TO BENCHMARKS OR TAKING INTO ACCOUNT SCRUBBER PREMIUMS

2) HISTORICAL FIGURED FOR SCRUBBER-FITTED CAPESIZE BULKER

INDUSTRY LOW CASH BREAK-EVEN

Achieved through well timed acquisitions, economies of scale and access to competitive financing

POST TRANSACTION CASH BREAK EVEN CAPESIZE 1YR TC RATES (USD/DAY)

ACQUISITION OF 18 MODERN VESSELS WITH SCRUBBERS

TRANSACTION HIGHLIGHTS

Significantly increasing exposure to booming commodity market at turning point in the cycle

Unique time to acquire
quality assets

Acquisition of 10x 2019-21 built Newcastlemaxes
and 8x 2020-21 built Kamsarmaxes
for USD 752 million en
bloc

Purchase at low point in cycle with attractive financing attached

Increase operational leverage in segment with most upside on continued market strengthening

All acquisition vessels are scrubber fitted and
four vessels with Ice-Class
Fundamentals in place for
prolonged market upturn

Commodity super cycle
will continue to drive dry bulk demand

Lowest fleet growth last 30 years
and lowest orderbook last 20 years

Non-reversible, structural change limit financing options effectively ending speculative ordering

Strong momentum building with 1yr TC Capesize
rates 27% higher than average 2015-2020
Improving earnings power
and commitment to
dividends

Vessels on the water immediately able to capitalize on strong market

Attached financing enables swift execution of transaction

Strong balance sheet enabling
dividend policy
to signal commitment to return capital to shareholders

Low cash break even ensuring post acquisition cash yield of 22% at 1yr TC Capesize
rates
Cementing position
as the leading
large-size dry owner

Increasing fleet size to 96 vessels
(+23%) and pushing market cap above USD 1.3 billion
(+35%)

Reducing average fleet age from 7.4 to 6.0 years further improves fuel efficiency and lowers emissions

New digitalization initiatives and industry low opex
and SG&A

Commitment to ESG to enhance transparency and lower environmental impact
over time

ACQUISITION OF 18x VESSELS AT LOW POINT IN CYCLE

High quality fleet with favorable financing attached enabling swift execution

TARGET FLEET – 18X NEWCASTLEMAX AND KAMSARMAX SOURCES AND USES

Vessel Type Vessel name Built Dwt Yard Ice
Scrubber
Class
Performanc
e vs. index
Purchase
Price
(USDm)
1 Newcastlemax Golden Coral 2019.7 208 000 NTS
2 Newcastlemax Golden Champion 2019.9 208 000 NTS
3 Newcastlemax Golden Comfort 2020.1 208 000 NTS
4 Newcastlemax Golden Courage 2020.1 208 000 NTS 130% +
Scrubber
premium
USD
5 Newcastlemax Golden Confidence 2020.6 208 000 NTS 520m
6 Newcastlemax Golden Competence 2020.6 208 000 NTS en
bloc
7 Newcastlemax Golden Skies 2020.6 210 000 Bohai 50-53m
8 Newcastlemax Golden Spirit 2020.6 210 000 Bohai per vessel
9 Newcastlemax Golden Saint 2020.4 210 000 Bohai
10 Newcastlemax Golden Spray 2021.6 210 000 Bohai
2,080,000
11 Kamsarmax Golden Fortune 2020.1 81 600 Dalian
12 Kamsarmax Golden Forward 2020.6 81 600 Dalian 123% + USD
13 Kamsarmax Golden Friend 2020.7 81 600 Dalian Scrubber 232m
14 Kamsarmax Golden Fellow 2020.8 81 600 Dalian premium en
bloc
15 Kamsarmax Golden Frost 2020.10 81 600 Dalian
16 Kamsarmax Golden Freeze 2021.1 81 600 Dalian
+ Ice-class
premium
28-31m
per vessel
17 Kamsarmax Golden Fast 2021.4 81 600 Dalian
18 Kamsarmax Golden Furious 2021.4 81 600 Dalian
652,800
Total
2,732,800
752
Sources USDm Uses USDm
Equity private placement 338 Acquisition of 18x Vessels 752
Financing 414
Total 752 Total 752

Competitive Financing adds flexibility

  • The vessels will be purchased using cash proceeds from the equity raise and attractive financing from Affiliate of Hemen
  • Attractive terms with 2.35% margin¹, 17 year profile and 18 month tenor
  • Enables swift execution of deal and give company time to secure the most attractive commercial bank financing possible

HIGHLY ATTRACTIVE ENTRY POINT

Combination of low newbuild price and near-record discount to asset resembles trough in 2016

CAPESIZE VESSEL PRICES (USDm)

TRANSFORMATIONAL ACQUISITION

Significantly increasing size and reducing fleet age at low point in cycle

STARS ARE ALIGNED – STRONGER FOR LONGER

Fundamentals in place for prolonged market upturn

UNIQUE SITUATION WITH ALL KEY FACTORS FOR A BULL MARKET RUN PRESENT

  • Increasing commodity prices continue to push relative freight cost down
  • Strong economic growth prospects following market rebound
  • The start of a commodity super cycle

  • Substantial scrapping due to high scrap prices and aging fleet

  • Lowest fleet growth seen over last 30 years

  • Lack of financing shut down speculative ordering activity

  • Non-reversible, structural change driven by banking regulations

QUESTIONS & ANSWERS

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

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