Investor Presentation • Mar 23, 2021
Investor Presentation
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23 March 2021
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec ASA or any company within the Scatec Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
The following presentation contains unaudited pro forma financial information which has been prepared solely for illustrative purposes to show how the acquisition of SN Power might have affected the financials of the group if the acquisition had occurred at an earlier date. All pro forma financials in this presentation are unaudited.
Alternative performance measures (APM) used in this presentation are described and presented in the fourth quarter report of the group for 2020.
60%
increase in global electricity demand
75%
demand covered by renewables
Fossil from 64% to 20% market share
Solar, wind, hydro & storage share of energy mix from 36% to 73%
USD 500 billion Annual renewables
investments
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Outlook 2020
8
Source: Factset as of March 19, 2021
Note: Rebased to 100; Dividends reinvested on paydate; Core peers includes Northland Power, Neoen and Voltalia;
Other renewable IPPs includes Falck Renewables, ERG, Albioma and Boralex.
Build a global leader across solar, hydro, wind and storage
Focus on new and existing high growth markets and a broader offering
Continue to adapt our business model to a changing market
GW – In operation and under construction – 100% basis
Delivery of large solar projects in India, Brazil, Tunisia, South Africa & Pakistan
Continued growth in pipeline and conversion of projects across key regions and technologies
| Develop | Build | Own | Operate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scatec's role | Lead developer | Engineering, procurement and construction management |
Scatec target equity of 50-60% |
Scatec to provide O&M and Asset Mng. services |
| Solar | ||||
| Wind | ||||
| Hydro | ||||
| Hybrid systems |
Scatec role may vary across solar, hydro and wind projects. D&C revenues on average expected to represent 55%-65% % of capex
Rating: A- (excellent) Status: Prime Prime threshold: C+
Carbon Disclosure Project
(*) In operation or under construction..
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
21 Compound annual growth rates
NOK million
| Revenues | Solar | Hydro | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Power Production | 1,708 | 1,648 | 3,356 |
| Development & Construction (D&C) | 873 | - | 873 |
| Services | 232 | 11 | 243 |
| Corporate | 33 | 7 | 40 |
| Total | 2,844 | 1,667 | 4,512 |
| EBITDA | |||
| Power Production | 1,404 | 1,302 | 2,706 |
| Development & Construction | -28 | -84 | -112 |
| Services | 82 | 6 | 88 |
| Corporate | -153 | -50 | -203 |
| Total | 1,306 | 1,173 | 2,478 |
2020 EBITDA distribution:
Year End 2020: Pro forma proportionate net debt post closing of SN Power acquisition
| NOK billion | Project level | Group level | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.6 |
| Debt | 12.1 | 7.2 | 19.2 |
| Net debt | 10.4 | 4.3 | 14.7 |
Available liquidity* NOK 4.4 billion
2020 Cash flow to equity / Group level net debt:
20%
Group debt all in interest rate
2.5%
(*) Post SNP transaction – Group level cash + USD 180 million Revolving Credit Facility (RCF).
Project level debt currency matching cash flows
Long debt tenors: 12.2 years avg. remaining
Fixed interest rate: 6.5% average interest rate 86% hedging ratio
MIGA insurance in South Africa, Egypt, Uganda
| Q1 2021 Power Production |
FY2021 Power production volume* |
FY2021 Services | FY2021 Corporate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Proportionate volume: 800-825 GWh |
Proportionate: 3,500 - 3,700 GWh |
Revenues NOK 280 million |
EBITDA NOK -110 million |
| Proportionate EBITDA: NOK 660-680 million |
Up from 3,045 GWh in 2020 |
EBITDA margin: 30-35% |
(*) Production from plants in operations.
| Development & | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK MILLION | Power Production | Construction | Services | Corporate | Total | ||
| Revenues and other income | 3,356 | 873 | 243.4 | 40 | 4,512 | ||
| Cost of sales | -100 | -764 | - | - | -864 | ||
| Gross profit | 3,256 | 109 | 243 | 40 | 3,649 | ||
| Personnel | -96 | -117 | -78 | -97 | -388 | ||
| Other operating expenses | -453 | -104 | -77 | -146 | -780 | ||
| EBITDA | 2,706 | -112 | 88 | -203 | 2,478 | ||
| D&A | -812 | -26 | -3 | -20 | -861 | ||
| EBIT | 1,894 | -138 | 84 | -223 | 1,618 | ||
| Cash flow to equity | 1,067 | -78 | 69 | -190 | 867 | ||
| Cash flow to Equity % of EBITDA | 39 % | 70 % | 79 % | 94 % | 35 % |
Note: The pro forma figures include financials for SN Power as if the acquisition by Scatec occurred before January 1st 2020
| Power Production | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | Philippines | Laos | Uganda | Solar assets | Other | Total |
| Power Production - GWh |
576 | 473 | 394 | 1,602 | n.a. | 3,045 |
| Revenues and other income | 1,053 | 242 | 337 | 1,703 | 21 | 3,356 |
| Cost of sales | -89 | -11 | 0 | - | - | -100 |
| Gross profit | 964 | 231 | 337 | 1,703 | 22 | 3,256 |
| Personnel | -27 | -7 | -3 | -2 | -57 | -96 |
| Other operating expenses | -115 | -16 | -15 | -253 | -54 | -453 |
| EBITDA | 822 | 208 | 319 | 1,449 | -90 | 2,706 |
| D&A | -126 | -58 | -60 | -564 | -3 | -812 |
| EBIT | 696 | 149 | 258 | 885 | -93 | 1,894 |
| Cash flow to equity | 400 | 59 | 216 | 460 | -68 | 1,067 |
| Cash flow to EQ % of EBITDA | 49% | 28% | 68% | 32% | n.a. | 39% |
| Net debt end 2020 | 2,151 | 306 | 786 | 7,141 | 10,383 |
Note: The pro forma figures include financials for SN Power as if the acquisition by Scatec occurred before January 1st 2020
| Power Production | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK million | Philippines | Laos | Uganda | Solar assets | Other | Total |
| Power Production - GWh |
671 | 454 | 414 | 926 | n.a. | 2,465 |
| Revenues and other income | 1,191 | 217 | 315 | 1,162 | 21 | 2,906 |
| Cost of sales | -258 | -14 | - | - | - | -272 |
| Gross profit | 933 | 203 | 315 | 1,162 | 21 | 2,634 |
| Personnel | -28 | -7 | -2 | - | -48 | -86 |
| Other operating expenses | -90 | -18 | -16 | -164 | -26 | -314 |
| EBITDA | 815 | 178 | 297 | 999 | -60 | 2,229 |
| D&A | -116 | -55 | -50 | -376 | -36 | -633 |
| EBIT | 699 | 123 | 247 | 624 | -97 | 1,596 |
| Cash flow to Equity | 422 | 58 | 166 | 380 | -47 | 979 |
| Cash flow to Equity % of EBITDA | 52% | 33% | 56% | 38% | n.a. | 44% |
Note: The pro forma figures include financials for SN Power as if the acquisition by Scatec occurred before January 1st 2019
2020 pro forma Power Production quarterly results
| Power Production (NOK million) | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solar | ||||||
| Revenues | 391 | 458 | 457 | 402 | 1,708 | |
| EBITDA | 331 | 374 | 379 | 320 | 1,404 | |
| Hydro | ||||||
| Revenues | 329 | 389 | 419 | 512 | 1,648 | |
| EBITDA | 242 | 307 | 340 | 413 | 1,302 | |
| Total | ||||||
| Revenues | 720 | 847 | 876 | 914 | 3,356 | |
| EBITDA | 573 | 681 | 719 | 733 | 2,706 | |
| % of yearly total |
21% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 100% |
Note: Solar & Hydro will be reported jointly in the Power Production segment going forward
2020 pro forma proportionate financials
| NOK million | Power Production |
Development & Construction |
Services | Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 3,356 | 873 | 243 | 40 | 4,513 |
| EBITDA | 2,706 | -112 | 88 | -203 | 2,478 |
| Debt repayments | -731 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -731 |
| Interest expenses | -783 | 1 | 1 | -56 | -837 |
| Tax | -126 | 33 | -19 | 69 | -43 |
| Cash flow to equity | 1,067 | -78 | 69 | -190 | 867 |
| NOK million | Consolidated | Proportionate Project Level | Group level* | Total Proportionate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 7,788 | 1,065 | 5,949 | 7,014 |
| Interest bearing liabilities | -13,011 | -8,205 | -748 | -8,953 |
| Net debt | -5,223 | -7,141 | 5,201 | -1,939 |
| NOK million | Consolidated | Proportionate Project Level | Group level* | Total Proportionate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 491 | 614 | 491 | 1,105 |
| Interest bearing liabilities | - | -3,856 | - | -3,856 |
| Net debt | 491 | -3,242 | 491 | -2,751 |
| NOK million | Consolidated | Proportionate Project Level | Group level* | Total Proportionate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acquisition financing debt | -6,415 | - | -6,415 | -6,415 |
| Cash settlement | -3,558 | - | -3,558 | -3,558 |
| NOK million | Consolidated | Proportionate Project Level | Group level* | Total Proportionate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 4,721 | 1,679 | 2,882 | 4,561 |
| Interest bearing liabilities | -19,426 | -12,061 | -7,163 | -19,224 |
| Net debt | -14,704 | -10,382 | -4,281 | -14,663 |
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