Investor Presentation • Apr 22, 2021
Investor Presentation
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1st quarter 2021 results
22 April, 2021
■ UW-result ■ Financial result ■ Other
High customer retention in Norway
| NOK m | Q1 2021 | Q1 2020 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private | 569 | 520 | 2,757 | 2,025 |
| Commercial | 440 | 494 | 2,097 | 1,730 |
| Denmark | 216 | 176 | 800 | 599 |
| Sweden | 21 | 76 | 76 | |
| Baltics | (10) | 5 | 68 | 61 |
| Corporate Centre/costs related to owner | (92) | (105) | (331) | (318) |
| Corporate Centre/reinsurance | (86) | (53) | (391) | (137) |
| Underwriting result | 1,040 | 1,058 | 5,076 | 4,036 |
| Pension | 45 | 36 | 167 | 197 |
| Financial result from the investment portfolio | 556 | (1, 519) | 1,342 | 2,306 |
| Amortisation and impairment losses of excess value | (30) | (52) | (182) | (256) |
| Other items | (14) | (19) | (60) | 1,471 |
| Profit/(loss) before tax expenses | 1,597 | (497) | 6,342 | 7,754 |
Loss ratio (%)
Figures as at 31.3.2021 1Internal rating - rating by Gjensidige. 96% of this portfolio rated as Investment grade.
Investment grade
Investment grade (internal rating)1)
| Restricted Tier 1 | Subordinated Tier 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Maturity | Perpetual | 30 years |
| Amount | NOK 1,200 million | NOK 1,200 million |
| Rate | 3M NIBOR + 2.25% p.a. | 3M NIBOR + 1.10% p.a. |
<sup>1) Operating SII earnings comprise SII underwriting result and SII financial result of the match portfolio after tax 2) 80% payout ratio according to dividend policy for the accounting year
| Metric | Status Q1 2021 | Target 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Customer satisfaction (CSI) |
79 | > 78, Group |
| 90% | > 90%, Norway | |
| Customer retention | 79% | > 85%, outside Norway |
| Sales effectiveness | $+16%$ | + 10%, Group |
| Automated tariffs | 53% | 100%, Group |
| Digital claims reporting | 79% | 80%, Norway |
| Claims straight-through processing |
17% | 64%, Norway |
| Claims cost | NOK 559 million | Reduce by NOK 500 million, Group |
| Metric | Target |
|---|---|
| Combined ratio | $86 - 89%1$ |
| Cost ratio | 15% |
| Solvency margin (PIM) | 150-200% |
| ROE after tax | $>20\%2$ |
| UW result outside Norway | NOK 750m (in 2022) 3) |
| Dividends | Nominal high and stable $(and > 80\% over time)$ |
| Date | Location | Participants | Event | Arranged by |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 April | Oslo | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad CFO ostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård IRO Kjetil Gill Østvold |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
ABGSC |
| 26 April | London | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
BofA |
| 6 May | Zürich/Geneva | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
Nordea |
| 12 May | London | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Conference (tel. meetings) |
KBW |
| 25 May | Amsterdam | Head of IR Mitra H. Negård IRO Kjetil Gill Østvold |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
Barclays |
| 26 May | London | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Conference (tel. meetings) |
Autonomous |
| 27 May | London | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård IRO Kjetil Gill Østvold |
Conference (tel. meetings) |
Citi |
| 27 May | Stockholm | CEO Helge Leiro Baastad Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow (tel. meetings) |
Carnegie |
| Claims, NOK million | Q1 21 | Q1 20 | FY 20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate Centre, gross | $\overline{O}$ | (222) | (305) |
| Corporate Centre, net of reinsurance | $\overline{0}$ | (60) | (184) |
| Private | 77 | 39 | 240 |
| Commercial | 14 | 30 | 119 |
| Denmark | 34 | (12) | 124 |
| Sweden | $\overline{2}$ | (2) | (23) |
| Baltics | 3 | (1) | 20 |
| Total impact on claims, net of reinsurance | 130 | (6) | 296 |
Private
Commercial
NOKm
CC = Corporate Centre. Large losses: Losses > NOK 10m. Weather related large losses are included. Large losses in excess of NOK 30m are charged to the Corporate Centre while up to NOK 30m per claim is charged
to the segmen
Gjensidige Forsikring Group 22
Run-off % of earned premium
1) Reported UW result for Q1 2016 was NOK 1,251m. Adjusted for a non-recurring income of NOK 477m related to the pension plans, the UW result was NOK 774m.
2) Reported UW result for Q3 2016 was NOK 712m. Adjusted for a
23.4% Gjensidige's calculated market share for 2021
A natural perils event covered by the Norwegian Natural Perils Pool occurs and is defined by Finance Norway as a single event. The total industry claims exceed NOK 1,500m
| Asset class | Investments, key elements 1) | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Match portfolio | ||
| Fixed income - short duration | Norwegian money market | ST1X index |
| Bonds at amortised cost | Government and corporate bonds | Yield provided in quarterly reports |
| Current bonds | Mortgage, sovereign and corporate bonds, investment grade bond funds and loan funds containing secured debt |
IBOX COR 1-3 years QW5C index |
| Free portfolio | ||
| Fixed income - short duration | Norwegian money market | ST1X index |
| Other bonds | IG bonds in internationally diversified funds externally managed and current bonds | Global Agg Corp LGCPTRUH index |
| High Yield bonds | Internationally diversified funds externally managed | BOAML global HY HWIC index |
| Convertible bonds | Internationally diversified funds externally managed | BOAML global 300 conv VG00 index / Exogen factors |
| Current equities | Mainly internationally and domestic diversified funds externally managed | MSCIAC NDUEACWF index |
| PE funds | Oil/oil-service/general (Norwegian and Nordic funds) | OSEBX index / oil price |
| Property | 50% of Oslo Areal | IPD index Norway / Exogen factors |
| Other | Miscellaneous |
1) See quarterly report for a more detailed description
Average duration: 3.4 years $\bullet$
Fixed income short duration Bonds at amortised cost
| Split - Rating | Match portfolio | Free portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK bn | % | NOK bn | % | |
| AAA | 13.4 | 37.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 |
| AA | 3.1 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 48.5 |
| A | 6.4 | 17.6 | 2.3 | 15.5 |
| BBB | 4.9 | 13.5 | 1.9 | 13.1 |
| BB | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.6 |
| B | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
| CCC or lower | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Internal rating 1) | 4.8 | 13.2 | 0.7 | 4.9 |
| Unrated | 2.4 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 11.1 |
| Fixed income portfolio | 36.1 | 100.0 | 14.8 | 100.0 |
| Split - Counterparty | Match portfolio | Free portfolio | ||
| NOK bn | % | NOK bn | % | |
| Public sector | 4.7 | 13.0 | 2.2 | 14.8 |
| Bank/financial institutions | 18.9 | 52.5 | 9.0 | 61.0 |
| Corporates | 12.5 | 34.5 | 3.6 | 24.2 |
| Total | 36.1 | 100.0 | 14.8 | 100.0 |
| (NOK bn) | Approved partial internal model (Group) |
Approved partial internal model (general insurance) |
Own partial internal model (Group) 1) |
Own partial internal model (general insurance) 1) |
Gjensidige Pensjons- forsikring |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital available | 23.7 | 21.7 | 23.9 | 21.8 | 2.3 |
| Capital requirement | 11.0 | 9.9 | 9.1 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| Solvency margin | 215% | 218% | 263% | 274% | 150% |
Figures as at 31.3.2021. GPF = Gjensidige Pensjonsforsikring AS. Deferred tax: All differences in valuation of assets and liabilities are adjusted for tax.
Tax is assumed on the security provision. Miscellaneous: Main effe
| NOK bn | Approved partial internal model (Group) |
Own partial internal model $(Group)^1$ |
|---|---|---|
| Eligible own funds | 23.7 | 23.9 |
| Capital charge for non-life and health uw risk |
8.6 | 6.7 |
| Capital charge for life uw risk | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Capital charge for market risk | 7.2 | 6.8 |
| Capital charge for counterparty risk | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Diversification | (4.7) | (4.9) |
| Basic SCR | 13.1 | 10.5 |
| Operational risk | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Adjustments (loss-absorbing capacity of deferred tax) |
(3.0) | (2.4) |
| Total solvency capital requirement | 11.0 | 9.1 |
| Surplus | 12.7 | 14.8 |
| Solvency ratio | 215% | 263% |
Figures as at 31.3.2021. The legal perspective is the regulatory approved version of the partial internal model. Solvency margins reflect best estimate reserves. UFR-sensitivity is very limited.
| T 1 | T 2 | Constraint | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SII | Max 20% of Tier 1 capital |
Max 50% of SCR less other T2 capital items |
Must be satisfied at group and solo level |
Equity (NOK m)
Annualised return on equity (%)
Sources: Insurance Sweden, 4th quarter 2020 (Gjensidige including Vardia), The Danish Insurance Association 1st quarter 2020.
Baltics Insurance Supervisory Authorities of Latvia and Lithuania, Estonia Statistics, compe
-Share of paid up policies - market total -Share of paid up policies - GPF
Share of paid up policies 1)
Bonds at amortised cost
Annual contribution (DC) and premium (DB) 1)
| No | Shareholder | Stake (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gjensidigestiftelsen | 62.24 |
| $\overline{2}$ | Folketrygdfondet | 4.16 |
| 3 | Deutsche Bank | 3.54 |
| 4 | BlackRock Inc | 3.27 |
| 5 | Nordea | 1.45 |
| 6 | State Street Corporation | 1.07 |
| The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 1.05 | |
| 8 | Svenska Handelsbanken Group | 1.00 |
| 9 | Danske Bank | 0.95 |
| 10 | Scotia Bank | 0.87 |
| Total 10 largest | 79.60 |
Geographical distribution of shares2)
1>Shareholder list based on analysis performed by Orient Capital Ltd of the register of shareholders in the Norwegian Central Securities Depository (VPS) as per 31 March 2021. This analysis provides a survey of the share
Gjensidige Forsikring Group 48
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Gjensidige Forsikring provides alternative performance measures (APMs) in the financial reports, in addition to the financial figures prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The not defined in IFRS (International Financial Report Standards) and are not necessarily directly comparable to other companies' performance measures. The APMs are not intended to be a substitute for, or superior to, any IFR measures of performance, but have been included to provide insight into Giensidige's performance and represent important measures for how management governs the Group and its business activities. Key figures that are regul by IFRS or other legislation, as well as non-financial information, are not regarded as APMs. Gjensidige's APMs are presented in the quarterly report and presentation. All APMs are presented with comparable figures for ear The APMs have generally been used consistently over time. Definitions and calculations can be found at www.giensidige.no/group/investor-relations/reports.
Head of Investor Relations [email protected] Mobile: (+47) 957 93 631
Investor relations officer [email protected] Mobile: (+47) 468 63 004
Schweigaards gate 21, PO Box 700 Sentrum, 0106 Oslo, Norway gjensidige.no/ir
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