Investor Presentation • Aug 20, 2021
Investor Presentation
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Mega trends

equity market capitalizations during the next
15-20 years.
Q2 2021 U PDATE

20/08/21

This Presentation includes and is based on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from the projected results. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions and the economic conditions of the regions and industries that compose major markets for the businesses of Arendals Fossekompani ASA and its subsidiaries and affiliates (the "AFK Group"). These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for the businesses of the AFK Group, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although the AFK Group believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. The AFK Group is making no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither the AFK Group nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from the use of the Presentation.

01
02
From local hydropower plants to global green tech group
03
companies
Focus on quarterly dividend yield, NAV growth, and ESG score
Q2 2021 UPDATE 4

1 Based on holding period from 30 December 1999 to 30 June 2021 – Note: Peers include Aker ASA, Bonheur ASA, Ratos AB (Class B), CapMan Oyj (Class B), Kinnevik AB (Class B), Blackstone Group Inc., KKR & Co. Inc., Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B – Source: Factset, Company information, Danske Bank analysis
| Norwegian peers |
Other Nordic peers |
Other international peers |
Key indexes |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | Arendals Fossekompani |
Aker ASA |
Bonheur ASA |
Ratos AB |
CapManOyj | Kinnevik AB |
Blackstone | KKR & Co. |
Berkshire Hathaway |
MSCI World |
S&P 500 |
OSEBX |
| LTM | 225% | 95% | 5% | 116% | 47% | 141% | 78% | 94% | 56% | 38% | 41% | 41% |
| Last 5 years |
49% | 29% | 38% | 9% | 30% | 34% | 39% | 40% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 13% |
| Last 10 years |
32% | 22% | 9% | (4%) | 13% | 23% | 26% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 15% | 10% |
| Last 15 years |
26% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 19% | n.m. | n.m. | 11% | 8% | 11% | 8% |
| Last 20 years |
28% | n.m. | 13% | 10% | 6% | 16% | n.m. | n.m. | 9% | 7% | 9% | 9% |





| EBI T, MNOK |
Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 |
Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| EFD Induction |
24 | -21 | +45 |
| NSSLGlobal | 41 | 33 | +8 |
| Tekna | - 5 |
-11 | +6 |
| Volue | -11 | 24 | -35 |
| AFK Parent/Hydropower |
31 | -12 | +43 |
| Other | - 3 |
- 3 |
0 |
| AFK consolidated |
77 | 10 | +6 7 |
7
Note: Volue has recognized one-off costs related to the cyber attack of 40 MNOK, and estimates one-off loss in revenue of 25 MNOK
8

• The sale of Cogen Energia is part of AFK`s corporate strategy to exit all fossil fuel positions. With this divestment AFK Group will reduce its total CO2 emissions by 98%



Source: Nordpool Spot for historical prices (average of months), Volue Insight for forecasted prices. Prices are average of historical and forecasted months
Actual Forecast

Assuming uniform production, and AFK production of 500 GWh: When the electricity price increases with 1 Euro/ MWh, Hydro power in AFK will increase revenues with 500 000 Euro


49
47


OUR PORTOFLIO
Implementation of public handling of concern procedure in 2021
13.1 % women in board position 2020








• Disclosure report for 2020 delivered in Q2 2021
• Detailed climate risk analysis performed in Q2 2021
• Preparing for EU taxonomy disclosure in 2022


Deep learning will add 30 Trillion USD to equity market capitalizations during the next 15-20 years.
1 Source: UnpackAI


European energy production set to become more renewable and less stable, requiring more and faster optimisation to cope with market movements.

3 Source: Arkwright Consulting

Energy Storage Capacity (GW)
2Source: BloombergNEF
Mega trends
Energy storage from stationary batteries is expected to grow exponentially from 9 GW 200 to 1.1 TW in 2040. The 122-fold growth will require 662 Billion in investments. 0




• Utilizing available energy resources to build scalable production of ammonia, or even new offshore wind energy sources
• Demand for hydrogen/ammonia is expected to increase rapidly as the green transition reaches shipping and other large-scale logistics

Direct yield on AFK share
02
Growth in sum of the parts value









4


| MNOK | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | |||
| EBITDA | |||
| EBITDA % | |||
| EBIT | |||
| EBIT % | |||
| Net Financials | |||
| Profit before tax | |||
| Tax income | |||
| Net discontinued operations | |||
| Profit for the period |
| MNOK | Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 866 | 748 |
| EBITDA | 127 | 67 |
| EBITDA % |
14,7 % |
9,0 % |
| EBIT | 77 | 10 |
| EBIT % |
5,0 % |
5,0 % |
| Net Financials |
-15 | 8 |
| Profit before tax |
61 | 19 |
| Tax income |
-37 | -2 |
| Net discontinued operations |
4 | 6 |
| Profit for the period |
28 | 23 |
| Basic earnings per Share (NOK)1 |
0,52 | 0,42 |
1The number of outstanding shares has been normalized due to split (25:1) on 21.11.2020. Outstanding shares 30.06.2021 was 54 886 850
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