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Golden Ocean Group

Earnings Release Aug 26, 2021

6243_rns_2021-08-26_b387c450-385d-4599-935f-554caeec5639.pdf

Earnings Release

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RESULTS Q2 - 2021

August 26, 2021

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, or the PSLRA, provides safe harbor protections for forwardlooking statements in order to encourage companies to provide prospective information about their business. Forward-looking statements include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts.

The Company is taking advantage of the safe harbor provisions of the PSLRA and is including this cautionary statement in connection therewith. This document and any other written or oral statements made by the Company or on its behalf may include forward-looking statements, which reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial performance. This presentation includes assumptions, expectations, projections, intentions and beliefs about future events. These statements are intended as "forward-looking statements." The Company cautions that assumptions, expectations, projections, intentions and beliefs about future events may and often do vary from actual results and the differences can be material. When used in this document, the words "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "intend," "plan," "targets," "projects," "likely," "will," "would," "could" and similar expressions or phrases may identify forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements in this report are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company's records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond the Company's control, the Company cannot assure you that it will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. As a result, you are cautioned not to rely on any forward-looking statements.

In addition to these important factors and matters discussed elsewhere herein, important factors that, in the Company's view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements, include among other things: the Company's future operating or financial results; the Company's continued borrowing availability under its debt agreements and compliance with the covenants contained therein; the Company's ability to procure or have access to financing, the Company's liquidity and the adequacy of cash flows for the Company's operations; the Company's ability to successfully employ its existing and newbuilding dry bulk vessels and replace its operating leases on favorable terms, or at all; changes in the Company's operating expenses and voyage costs, including bunker prices, fuel prices (including increases costs for low sulfur fuel), dry docking, crewing and insurance costs; the Company's ability to fund future capital expenditures and investments in the construction, acquisition and refurbishment of the Company's vessels (including the amount and nature thereof and the timing of completion thereof, the delivery and commencement of operations dates, expected downtime and lost revenue); planned, pending or recent acquisitions, business strategy and expected capital spending or operating expenses, including drydocking, surveys, upgrades and insurance costs; risks associated with vessel construction; the Company's expectations regarding the availability of vessel acquisitions and its ability to complete acquisition transactions planned; vessel breakdowns and instances of off-hire; potential differences in interest by or among certain members of the Company's board of directors, or the Board, executive officers, senior management and shareholders; potential liability from pending or future litigation; potential exposure or loss from investment in derivative instruments; general dry bulk shipping market trends, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values; changes in supply and demand in the dry bulk shipping industry, including the market for the Company's vessels and the number of newbuildings under construction; the strength of world economies; stability of Europe and the Euro; fluctuations in interest rates and foreign exchange rates; changes in seaborne and other transportation; changes in governmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities; general domestic and international political conditions; potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents or political events; and other important factors described from time to time in the reports filed by the Company with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company's most recently filed Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2020.

The Company cautions readers of this presentation not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates. Except to the extent required by applicable law or regulation, the Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this annual report or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of the Company's future performance, and actual results and future developments may vary materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.

COMPANY UPDATE

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of 2021 was \$130.5 million, compared with \$54.6 million in the first quarter of 2021
  • The Company reports net income of \$104.5 million and earnings per share of \$0.52 for the second quarter of 2021, compared with net income of \$23.6 million and earnings per share of \$0.14 for the first quarter of 2021
  • Completed the acquisitions of 15 modern dry bulk vessels and three newbuildings, all of which have been delivered to the Company
  • Signed agreement to refinance existing credit facility with Sterna Finance, securing up to \$435 million of new, long-term financing on highly attractive terms and reducing the Company's daily cash break even levels
  • Reported TCE rates for Capesize and Panamax vessels of \$29,372 per day and \$18,987 per day, respectively, in the second quarter of 2021
  • Converted time charters from floating rates to average fixed rates of \$33,250 gross until the second quarter of 2022 for three Capesize vessels (180k dwt)
  • Terminated relationship with Capesize Chartering Ltd, taking full control of the Company's commercial activities of Capesize vessels
  • Estimated TCE rates for the third quarter of 2021 calculated on a load-to-discharge basis and inclusive of charter coverage are:
  • approximately \$33,500 per day contracted for 71% of the available days for Capesize vessels(1)
  • approximately \$22,900 per day contracted for 92% of the available days for Panamax vessels(1)
  • Announces a dividend of \$0.50 per share for the second quarter of 2021

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PROFIT & LOSS

(in thousands of \$) Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Quarterly
Variance
Operating
revenues and other operating income / expenses
278,612 158,702 119,910
Voyage expenses (62,955) (39,233) (23,722)
Net revenues 215,657 119,469 96,188
Ship operating expenses (50,283) (48,617) (1,666)
Administrative expenses (4,605) (4,115) (490)
Charter
hire expenses
(33,152) (13,920) (19,232)
Depreciation (30,248) (26,798) (3,450)
Impairment
loss on vessels
- (4,187) 4,187
Net operating expenses (118,288) (97,637) (20,651)
Net operating income 97,369 21,832 75,537
Net financial
expenses
(9,586) (8,714) (872)
Derivatives and other
financial income
16,742 10,481 6,261
Net income before taxation 104,525 23,599 80,926
Income tax
expense
(30) (20) (10)
Net income 104,495 23,579 80,916
Earnings per share: basic and diluted \$0.52 \$0.14 \$0.38
Adjusted EBITDA 130,459 54,589 75,870
TCE per day 24,920 15,886 9,034

CASH FLOW – Q2 2021

1) INCLUDES RESTRICTED CASH

BALANCE SHEET

(in thousands of \$) Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Quarterly
Variance
ASSETS
Short term
Cash and cash equivalents (incl.
restricted cash)
174,817 328,546 (153,729)
Other current assets 190,345 156,415 33,930
Long term
Vessels
and equipment, net (incl. Held for Sale)
2,964,677 2,241,633 723,044
Newbuildings - 43,602 (43,602)
Leases, right of use of
assets
125,619 130,970 (5,351)
Other long term
assets
27,218 88,114 (60,896)
Total assets 3,482,676 2,989,280 493,396
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Short term
Current portion of long
-term debt
85,062 85,414 (352)
Current portion of long
-term related party debt
27,058 - 27,058
Current portion of finance lease
obligations
24,197 23,832 365
Current portion of operating lease obligations 16,173 16,677 (504)
Other current liabilities 151,759 113,103 38,656
Long term
Long
-term debt
858,307 878,620 (20,313)
Long
-term related party debt
386,542 - 386,542
Non
-current portion of finance lease obligations
115,340 121,547 (6,207)
Non
-current portion of operating lease obligations
18,400 21,684 (3,284)
Equity 1,799,838 1,728,403 71,435
Total liabilities and equity 3,482,676 2,989,280 493,396

NEW BANK AND LEASE FINANCINGS FOR 18 VESSELS

KEY TERMS – LEASE FINANCING

Lessor: Leading
Chinese
leasing company
Vessels: 8 Kamsarmax and 4 Newcastlemax
Tenor: 7 Year
Amount: Up to \$260 million
Repayment profile: 22 years age adjusted
Margin: 200 bps
Financial covenants: As per existing facilities
  • Signed agreements in August 2021 to refinance existing credit facility for the 18 newly-acquired vessels
  • Up to \$435 million of new, long-term financing
  • Expanding the Company's bank group with five new lenders, substantially increasing the funding capacity

KEY TERMS – BANK FINANCING

Banks: Leading
global shipping banks
Vessels: 6 Newcastlemax
Tenor: 5 Year
Amount: \$175 million
Repayment profile: 19 years age adjusted
Margin: 190 bps
Financial covenants: As per existing facilities
  • Further reducing the Company's cash break-even levels
  • Evidencing the Company's ability to obtain financings at highly attractive terms

MARKET REVIEW & OUTLOOK

Q2 MARKET DEVELOPMENTS

Demand growth across all dry bulk cargoes and most geographies and high fleet utilization continue to drive strength in freight rates

WEEKLY DRY BULK SHIPPING RATES – LAST 12 MONTHS

MULTIPLE YEARS OF STRONG DEMAND GROWTH

Rebound in global GDP growth led by strong growth in emerging economies, which have historically been primary drivers of dry bulk demand

DRY BULK NET FLEET GROWTH IS THE LOWEST IN 30 YEARS

Orderbook is likely to stay muted due to limited slot availability before 2024 due to increasing prices, availability of financing and new emissions regulations

ESTIMATED NET FLEET GROWTH OF ~2.7% (2021), ~1.9% (2022) AND 1.6% (2023)

DEMAND TO OUTPACE SUPPLY THROUGH 2023

Fleet utilization is forecast to increase, supporting continued strong freight rate environment

SUPPLY / DEMAND MARKET BALANCE

INDUSTRY LOW CASH BREAK-EVEN SUPPORTS CASH GENERATION

Achieved through well-timed acquisitions, economies of scale and access to competitive financing

CASH BREAK-EVEN

CAPESIZE 1YR TC RATES (USD/DAY)

STRONG CASH FLOW POTENTIAL

Significant earnings potential with 94-vessel fleet comprised almost exclusively of Capesize and Panamax vessels

ANNUALIZED FREE CASH FLOW ABOVE CBE AT DIFFERENT ACHIEVED RATES

EXITING CAPESIZE CHARTERING LTD

Earlier in the year, Golden Ocean cemented its position as the largest listed owner of Capes through the acquisition of 10 Newcastlemaxes

STARS ARE ALIGNED – STRONGER FOR LONGER

Fundamentals in place for prolonged market upturn

UNIQUE SITUATION WITH ALL KEY FACTORS FOR A BULL MARKET RUN PRESENT

Strong economic growth to continue as recovery gains speedThe relative cost of freight transportation is low due to higher commodity prices have pushed the relative cost of freight down

  • Modest net fleet growth forecast for at least the next 18 months
  • Lowest fleet growth seen over last 30 years
  • Low likelihood of significant ordering due to high newbuilding prices, limited yard capacity and tougher financing environment
  • Utilization at highest level since 2010
  • Persistent fleet inefficiencies due to the pandemic have decreased productivity and effective fleet supply
  • Inefficient allocation of coal
  • Dry bulk vessels transporting containers?

QUESTIONS & ANSWERS

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

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