Quarterly Report • Nov 11, 2021
Quarterly Report
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
Oslo, 11 November 2021
2
Operational update
Financial update Market
Outlook and summary
| 887 | |
|---|---|
| Operating revenues NOK million |
|
| 774 | |
| Operating revenues (NGAAP) NOK million |
EBITDA** margin (NGAAP) Per cent
Adjusted EBITDA* margin Per cent
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. ** EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market Outlook and summary
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
Units sold are sales contracts entered into with customers pursuant to the Norwegian Housing Construction Act. In accordance with the IFRS, they are recognised as income on delivery.
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
*Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales. **Columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales.
Units sold are sales contracts entered into with customers pursuant to the Norwegian Housing Construction Act. In accordance with the IFRS, they are recognised as income on delivery.
Units
Note: Number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
· Expected completions for the full year 2021: 867 units
Note: Sales value and number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. * Includes: Oslo, Lørenskog, Follo, Tønsberg, Asker.
Highlights
Operational update
Financial update Market Outlook and summary
* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs.
Operating revenues (IFRS)
** EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.
* EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. The difference compared to reported EBITDA is due to interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in JVs.
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP). Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
NOK million
Note: Amounts < NOK -75m < NOK 75m are excluded from the cash flow overview.
187
Dividends paid to equity holders of Selvaag Bolig ASA
Cash and cash equivalents at 30 September 2021
NOK million
Total Q2 2021 net interest-bearing debt NOK 2 421 million
NOK million
* Margin added to 3m NIBOR.
** Repurchase agreements portfolio B.
*** + 2.00% fee at property repurchase.
* Repurchase agreements portfolio B.
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA.
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA).
Q1 2020 Net income excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market Outlook and summary
Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: SA – Econ Nye Boliger, Forecasted housing need: Prognosesenteret. Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90.
Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition. Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing.
* Estimates based on actual start and time of construction.
** Uncertainty due to project lead-time. Expected to increase as new projects are construction started through 2022.
Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: SA – Econ Nye Boliger, Forecasted housing need: Prognosesenteret. Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90.
Note: Housing demand calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition. Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing.
* Includes municipalities previously included in Akershus county.
** Estimates based on actual start and time of construction.
21 *** Uncertainty due to project lead-time. Expected to increase as new projects are construction started through 2022.
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger.
* Adjusted for temporary withdrawals or cancellations during the period.
* Adjusted for temporary withdrawals or cancellations during the period.
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger.
| 11 | 931 |
|---|---|
| dheim | Stavanger & Sandnes |
| 000 | 225 000 |
| .5 | 4.1 |
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger, Statistics Norway.
* Includes municipalities previously included in Akershus county.
| 615 | |
|---|---|
Source: SA - ECON Nye Boliger, Statistics Norway.
* Includes municipalities previously included in Akershus county.
** Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Includes municipalities previously included in Akershus county.
Trondheim
Stavanger area**
Average price per sqm at 31.10 = NOK 52 050
YTD increase of 8.9% = NOK 3 315 per sqm*** • Average price per sqm at 31.10 = NOK 38 932
Source: Eiendom Norge.
28 *** Based on average price per sqm per 31 December 2020.
YTD increase of 2.4% = NOK 1 950 per sqm***
· Expected sales start: Q1 2022
· ~ 2 000 units total
Source: www.barkarby.se
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market Outlook and summary
Next event: 4 th quarter 2021 15 February 2022
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA.
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA).
Q1 2020 Net income excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m Q1 2020 Net income including Other gains of NOK 1 029m
* Includes EPS of NOK 11.02 and DPS of NOK 22 from UP transaction.
* Excluding earnings and dividend from UP transaction.
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 60 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent.
| 2.00 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Source: Oslo Børs.
* All numbers in brackets from previous quarter.
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en.
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB* | 7 504 973 | 8.0% |
| PARETO INVEST AS | 3 290 989 | 3.5% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 3 117 700 | 3.3% |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London* | 1 943 435 | 2.1% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp* | 1 353 030 | 1.4% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB* | 900 000 | 1.0% |
| MUSTAD INDUSTRIER AS | 870 000 | 0.9% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB* | 778 922 | 0.8% |
| Landkreditt Utbytte | 700 000 | 0.7% |
| SANDEN AS | 670 000 | 0.7% |
| BANAN II AS | 600 000 | 0.6% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA SPAR | 597 383 | 0.6% |
| SPARHANS AS | 550 000 | 0.6% |
| Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.* | 540 443 | 0.6% |
| J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A.* | 523 659 | 0.6% |
| Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.* | 519 230 | 0.6% |
| SELVAAG BOLIG ASA | 467 169 | 0.5% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET EIKA NORGE | 437 374 | 0.5% |
| Euroclear Bank S.A./N.V.* | 429 959 | 0.5% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 75 974 353 | 81.0% |
| Other shareholders | 17 791 335 | 19.0% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
Trondheim 486 units
8 529 units
Land bank exposure
Trondheim 486 units
Geographical spread
Greater-Oslo 8 529 units
Stavanger 736 units
Bergen 671 units
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 30 June 2021. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~5 900 residential units.
• Service offerings and good neighbourliness, make every day living easier
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
| Lilleakerveien 47 Oslo |
Årstadfältet Stockholm | Slakthus area Stockholm |
|---|---|---|
| · Western part of Oslo |
· Söderort transformation district |
· Söderort transformation district |
| · Up to 150 units |
· 120 units |
· 150 units |
Lørenskog 1 861 units Lørenskog Stasjonsby 613 units Skårer bolig 673 units LSV 300 units
1 861 units
Oslo South 315 units Gjertsrud Stensrud 315 units
Follo/Østfold 1 382 units Langhus 148 units Solberg 80 units Ski 88 units Grenseveien 340 units Fredrikstad 726 units
Lillestrøm
Bjerke 1 025 units
*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
Fee structure:
Eliminates need for equity when purchasing land, as SBO pay 50% of purchasing price at construction start and 50%
Benefits for Selvaag Bolig:
land plots
(break fee)
More efficient and predictable funding of existing and new
Increases competitiveness when making land purchases - Down-side risk for SBO limited to 48 months option premium
Selvaag Bolig sold most of its land bank to Urban Property in January 2020, entering a long-term and strategic partnership. Urban Property is a financially sound, well capitalized and predictable partner.
Residential development value chain: cooperation between Selvaag Bolig and Urban Property
Example apply a land ownership period in Urban Property of 3-4 years, and a finance cost of 4% on all capital employed in the project.
| 1 | PROJECT CALCULATIONS 2 |
PROJECT CALCULATIONS | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEFORE URBAN PROPERTY | AFTER URBAN PROPERTY | ||||
| Figures for illustration purposes only | MNOK | % | MNOK | % | |
| Sales revenue | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% | |
| Construction cost | 195.8 | 56.2% | 195.8 | 56.2% | |
| Land cost | 69.7 | 20.0% | 85.2 | 24.4% | |
| Other costs | 24.5 | 7.0% | 24.5 | 7.0% | |
| Project cost | 290.0 | 83.2% | 305.5 | 87.7% | |
| Net finance (excluding Urban Property) | 16.8 | 4.8% | 5.3 | 1.5% | |
| TOTAL REVENUE | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% | |
| TOTAL COST | 306.8 | 88.0% | 310.9 | 89.2% | |
| PROFIT | 41.7 | 12.0 % | 37.7 | 10.8% | |
| Internal rate of return (IRR) | 12.2% | 28.0% | |||
1
2
In total marginal lower project margins, but significantly increased IRR and RoE
* Assuming flat market development.
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP).
** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs.
NOK million
5 130
Total land bank Options and obligations to acquire Land bank in balance sheet
Units
1 491
* Part of SBO land bank not included in the UP transaction.
(Nov 2020)
NOK million
Sales value of sold units (net) Sales value of sold units (gross)
NOK million
Units
| 2020 |
|---|
| 2 698.0 |
| (1 967.6) |
| (256.8) |
| 135.0 |
| 608.5 |
| (9.8) |
| 045.1 1 |
| 643.8 Ί |
| 9.7 |
| 1 653.5 |
| (129.9) |
| 523.6 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | 9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 886.9 | 706.1 | 1 848.9 | 1 350.7 | 2 698.0 |
| Project expenses | (698.5) | (562.0) | (1 404.5) | (1 032.7) | (1 967.6) |
| Other operating expenses | (53.8) | (61.7) | (158.4) | (176.0) | (256.8) |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | 55.3 | 19.6 | 100.7 | 132.1 | 135.0 |
| EBITDA | 189.9 | 102.0 | 386.7 | 274.2 | 608.5 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (2.6) | (2.4) | (7.7) | (7.3) | (9.8) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | - | - | 1 028.7 | 1 045.1 |
| EBIT | 187.3 | 99.5 | 379.0 | 1 295.6 | 1 643.8 |
| Net financial expenses | (1.8) | 11.4 | (8.1) | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 185.6 | 110.9 | 370.9 | 1 306.0 | 1 653.5 |
| Income taxes | (32.2) | (8.6) | (84.4) | (26.3) | (129.9) |
| Net income | 153.4 | 102.3 | 286.5 | 1 279.6 | 1 523.6 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q3 2021 | Q2 2021 | Q3 2020 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 6.6 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 7.3 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 342.6 | 438.6 | 398.6 | 406.9 |
| Other non-current assets | 271.7 | 237.8 | 236.2 | 228.1 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 004.3 | 1 066.6 | 1 023.6 | 1 025.7 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 647.4 | 4 681.1 | 4 274.6 | 3 940.8 |
| - Land | 954.7 | 1 036.2 | 979.0 | 909.3 |
| - Land held for sale | ||||
| - Work in progress | 3 584.0 | 3 542.6 | 3 171.6 | 2 911.0 |
| - Finished goods | 108.6 | 102.3 | 123.9 | 120.5 |
| Other current receivables | 161.4 | 86.9 | 491.8 | 119.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 609.7 | 580.2 | 361.3 | 885.3 |
| Total current assets | 5 418.5 | 5 348.2 | 5 127.7 | 4 945.1 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 422.8 | 6 414.8 | 6 151.2 | 5 970.8 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA* | 2 235.5 | 2 280.6 | 2 170.8 | 2 430.0 |
| Non-controlling interests | 7.8 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.8 |
| Total equity | 2 243.3 | 2 288.3 | 2 178.6 | 2 437.8 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 759.2 | 1 481.8 | 1 255.6 | 1 100.3 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 308.4 | 292.8 | 151.9 | 136.5 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 2 067.5 | 1 774.6 | 1 407.5 | 1 236.8 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 179.4 | 1 519.1 | 1 616.1 | 1 368.1 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 932.6 | 832.8 | 949.1 | 928.1 |
| Total current liabilities | 2 112.0 | 2 351.9 | 2 565.1 | 2 296.2 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 422.8 | 6 414.8 | 6 151.2 | 5 970.8 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK per share 23.84
| (figures in NOK million) | Q3 2021 | Q3 2020 | 9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 174.5 | (266.8) | (328.6) | 692.8 | 1 615.7 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | 133.4 | 31.7 | 169.1 | 409.1 | 413.8 |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (278.3) | (82.3) | (116.2) | (1 919.3) | (2 322.9) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 29.5 | (317.4) | (275.7) | (817.3) | (293.4) |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period | 580.2 | 678.8 | 885.3 | 1 178.7 | 1 178.7 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 609.7 | 361.3 | 609.7 | 361.3 | 885.3 |
| Q1 20 | Q2 20 | Q3 20 | Q4 20 | Q1 21 | Q2 21 | Q3 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units sold | 164 | 142 | 178 | 199 | 248 | 173 | 125 |
| Construction starts | 1 5 |
3 1 |
196 | 254 | 134 | 142 | 148 |
| Units completed | 8 9 |
104 | 212 | 286 | 9 5 |
120 | 318 |
| Units delivered | 114 | 122 | 212 | 272 | 124 | 132 | 314 |
| Units under construction | 1 431 | 1 357 | 1 342 | 1 310 | 1 349 | 1 371 | 1 201 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 76 % | 78 % | 77 % | 74 % | 82 % | 82 % | 76 % |
| Completed unsold units | 3 7 |
2 5 |
1 9 |
1 9 |
1 7 |
1 5 |
1 6 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 6 742 | 6 327 | 6 660 | 6 413 | 6 627 | 6 749 | 6 200 |
Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
| Total |
|---|
| 774.0 |
| (603.3) (56.3) 114.3 |
| 886.9 (698.5) (53.8) |
| 55.3 189.9 |
| N/A N/A |
| Property | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | development | Other | Total |
| Operating revenues | 756.5 | 17.4 | 774.0 |
| Project expenses | (603.2) | (0.2) | (603.3) |
| Other operating expenses | (10.3) | (46.0) | (56.3) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 143.0 | (28.7) | 114.3 |
| Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting. | |||
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 869.5 | 17.4 | 886.9 |
| Project expenses | (698.3) | (0.2) | (698.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (10.3) | (43.4) | (53.8) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and | |||
| joint ventures | 55.3 | - | 55.3 |
| EBITDA | 216.1 | (26.2) | 189.9 |
| Units in production | 1 201 | N/A | N/A |
| Units delivered | 314 | N/A | N/A |
Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
| Total |
|---|
| 2512.9 |
| (1936.7) (166.0) |
| 410.2 |
| 1 848.9 (1 404.5) (158.4) |
| 100.6 |
| 386.7 |
| N/A N/A |
| Property | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (figures in NOK million) | development | Other | Total |
| Operating revenues | 2 468.3 | 44.6 | 2 512.9 |
| Project expenses | (1 936.3) | (0.4) | (1 936.7) |
| Other operating expenses | (36.6) | (129.4) | (166.0) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 495.4 | (85.2) | 410.2 |
| Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting. | |||
| IFRS EBITDA full year per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 1 804.4 | 44.6 | 1 848.9 |
| Project expenses | (1 404.2) | (0.4) | (1 404.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (36.6) | (121.8) | (158.4) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and | |||
| joint ventures | 100.6 | - | 100.6 |
| EBITDA | 464.2 | (77.6) | 386.7 |
| Units in production | 1 201 | N/A | N/A |
| Units delivered | 570 | N/A | N/A |
Source: Selvaag Bolig and Eurostat.
Source: Eiendom Norge.
* Nominal price change.
** Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
Household debt in % of net disposable income (2020) Homeownership rate (2019)
Source: OECD, Statista.
Source: Statistics Norway, Samfunnsøkonomisk Analyse.
* Estimated annual growth for the 2020-25 period.
** Number of persons per household in Norway.
Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Stavanger area includes: Randaberg, Sandnes, Sola, Stavanger.
Share of total population in Oslo and Akershus Share of total population growth in Oslo and Akershus
Source: Statistics Norway.
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)
Source: Statistics Norway.
Source: Bloomberg, UN.
* Central bank rates.
Wages & disposable income 2019 – 2024e Prices & interest rates 2019 – 2024e
Source: Monetary Policy Report 1|21, Central Bank of Norway.
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.