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Arendals Fossekompani

Investor Presentation Nov 12, 2021

3539_rns_2021-11-12_8d568528-2e4a-4141-9c37-c1abbebb45dd.pdf

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Arendals Fossekompani Q3 update, 12 November 2021

Disclaimer

This Presentation includes and is based on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from the projected results. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions and the economic conditions of the regions and industries that compose major markets for the businesses of Arendals Fossekompani ASA and its subsidiaries and affiliates (the "AFK Group"). These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for the businesses of the AFK Group, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although the AFK Group believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. The AFK Group is making no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither the AFK Group nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from the use of the Presentation.

Highlig hts

Q3 2021 UPDATE

3

Q3 2021

Development Q3 YoY

  • •Revenues increased to 1,302 MNOK from 759 MNOK in Q3 2020, a record 72% growth
  • •EBIT increased to 120 MNOK, up from 62 MNOK in Q3 2020
    • •Including 28 MNOK related to sale of apartments at Bryggebyen
  • •Volue had a total top line growth of 14.4%, and confirmed progress of the SaaS transformation, with a 72% increase from Q3 last year
  • •Tekna increased its production capacity with 25% and had a powder revenue growth of 10% from Q3, 2020, as most popular powder specifications sold out
  • •Both NSSL and EFD continued its strong performance
  • •Electricity prices was about 15 times higher than in Q3 2020, lifting power revenue from 6 MNOK to 68 MNOK
  • •Sale of Cogen Energia closed, resulting in a 98% reduction in AFK Group CO2 emissions

After end of the quarter

•Dividend NOK 0.85 per share for the quarter

AFK portfolio

Developing positions in:

Battery as a service, including storage optimalization and trading

Induction charging and power electronics – Core position in industrial electrification expanded

Standardisation of energy conversion and/or transport for offshore wind

Q3 2021 UPDATE 4

Digitalization

Electrification & materials

Green power

Digital energy solutions

Space & satellite comms services

Data heavy business decision tools

3D powder, battery anodes & micro electronics

Power and materials technology

Solar ingots and wafers

Battery technology

Hydropower, 500 GWh production

Offshore wind energy

Green ammonia production

Megatrends:

Digitalization and big data analytics

Industry 4.0, electrification and batteries

Green energy shift, volatility and storage

AFK's portfolio with strong contribution to planet, people and prosperity

Portfolio with true ESG impact

Q3 highlights: Volue

  • 15% growth in recurring revenue from Q3, 2020
  • SaaS revenue of 55 MNOK represents an increase of 72% from Q3, 2020
  • Strong sales closing with 600 smaller and larger sales closed in the quarter
  • Consulting revenue approaching full speed again at end of quarter
  • Adjusted EBIT of 15 MNOK somewhat down from Q3, 2020, reflecting increased R&D spend and skewed consulting revenue pick up
  • Closed Procom acquisition in Germany, with 3 MEURO in revenue and 60 new customers to Volue

Q3 highlights : Tekna

  • 10% increase in material revenue from Q3, 2020, but most popular powder specs sold out as 25% increase in production capacity was on stream from end of quarter
  • Overall revenue of 5.6 MCAD, was 14% down from Q3, 2020 reflecting bumpy systems deliveries. The systems revenue will continue to fluctuate from quarter to quarter.
  • Market continues to develop well, and order back -log remains strong (up 57% year on year)
  • Interesting developments in additional systems applications (the hypersonic market) and the battery storage market (Exploring further expansion of LG Chem Joint Development Agreement on a second research project )

  • World leader in induction technology used for the clean manufacture of important sustainable products such as wind turbines and electric vehicles
    • ⎻ Energy savings
    • ⎻ Less waste
    • ⎻ Sustainable process
    • ⎻ UN 2030 agenda
  • Induction is also relevant for electrification applications such as wireless charging.
  • Local presence in more than 20 countries, extensive customer base and Industry 4.0 capabilities make EFD well-positioned to continue both organic and acquisitive growth

EFD at a glance

The right heat for a better world

EFD:
On a strong
run
NOKm
Excellent turnaround: growth and
profitability
Despite challenging global markets:

Strong execution even with global
supply chain issues
852

Markets improving, although
Europe still lagging

Offshore wind and electric vehicle
segments with strong momentum
-1,9%
EBIT(%)
Revenues

Revenue and EBIT

2019-2021 YtD Q3 Quarter by Quarter 2021

EFD:

Exploring new market applications with strong upside potential

  • EFD is now exploring opportunities to take a leading role in developing next generation systems for wireless charging, including:
    • Static or dynamic charging of heavy transportation, including trucks, busses and ferries
    • Inductive charging solutions for passenger vehicles, bikes, and other light transportation

Global inductive charging market for electric transportation

Expected 25 – 35 % annual market growth next five years

Moving to inductive charging solutions in transportation

  • Energy efficient solution
  • Save batteries and weight Move people, not batteries
  • No moving parts: Lower wear and tear
  • Super user-friendly
  • Limits risks of human error

NSSL
Stable performance
and
dividend contributor
NOKm
Backlog
and high visibility

Long term backlog provides stable
outlook

Markets developing positively as
always connected theme plays out

Provides stable dividend payments
to AFK 652

Revenue and EBIT

2019 – 2021 YTD Q3 Quarter by Quarter 2021

Electricity prices will improve further

Source: Nordpool Spot for historical prices (average of months), Volue Insight for forecasted prices. Prices are average of historical and forecasted months

… but will see moderate corrections Q3 and Q4 2022

Actual and forecasted EUR/MWh NO2, 2020-21/22

Price forecast is high, but dependent on weather conditions and european power prices

Alytic:

  • Alytic invests in data-driven companies, with a clear potential for scaling up the business through digital transformation, and with unique domain knowledge and expertise
  • Alytic has specialized in-house technology competence, spanning digital transformation, big data, modern business models, development capabilities, and more
  • Alytic's Mandate is to continue growing it's portfolio. New acquisitions are expected early next year

New acquisition and further development of portfolio

Leading knowledge-based consultancy and data provider of international data for the fish farming industry

Leading provider of services for network monitoring and analysis, mainly serving telecom carriers. The company has a broad customer base, serving companies from UK to Japan

Greenfact is green-tech leader, mainly within monitoring solutions for the GoO market. The company has strong domain competence, a strong brand, ongoing SaaS business and a large potential for growth. Alytic's ambition is to develop Greenfact into a company that provides relevant data and insight into how companies can optimize and develop their climate ambitions and risks.

New acquisition:

Portfolio:

Q3 highlights: Property

  • Revenue of 428 MNOK and EBIT MNOK 28 booked in Q3
  • 112 of 113 units sold in first construction phase.
  • 2nd construction phase sales start Q1 2022
  • Total project potential, 700 units before 2030

ARENDALS FOSSEKOMPANI© Q3 2021 UPDATE 15

Several recent major news underpinning the massive and accelerating potential for green ammonia

… and EU is drastically incentivizing zero-carbon maritime fuels

All commercial ship traffic to and from any EU port is forced to invest in carbon allowances per tonne of CO2 emitted on the voyage. Green maritime fuels will therefore become an even more competitive solution, in the very near future

… motivating major maritime players to move to green fuels

Höegh Autoliners has signed a LoI to build a series of ammonia-ready Aurora class vessels

The world's largest engine manufacturer Wartsila says all engine types will be compliant with ammonia blends within 2 years

Engine manufacturer MAN will have ammonia engines ready for installation within 3 years

Color Line have ongoing studies to assess ammonia as fuel on their passenger vessels

Samsung Heavy Industries and Wärtsilä to collaborate on ammonia fuelled engines for future newbuilds

Multinational retailers and manufacturers are requiring a rapid decarbonization of the maritime industry …

"Nine big companies including Amazon, Ikea and Unilever have signed up to a pledge to only move cargo on ships using zero-carbon fuel by 2040" – BBC Oct 19 th 2021

On track to secure strong partnerships and prequalify for development license

Seagust will harness the offshore wind to further develop renewable

Recently established renewable infrastructure cluster with strong partners, valuable assets and clear growth plan

  • North Ammonia was started in 2021 with the objective to develop and supply next generation green fuels to the maritime sector and heavy industries
  • The company is focusing its efforts in establishing its pilot production site and negotiating offtake agreements with partners and customers
  • Currently solid traction in developing a pipeline of production sites and commercial agreements with customers and partners
  • Bøylestad Energipark is an industrial real estate project currently under planning
  • The property is situated around one of the Agder region's strongest power sources, with enough energy available to support a range of energy intensive green industrial projects

  • AFK and associated partners are currently investigating potential building of two new hydropower plants (~55 GWh)

  • Both projects have the received the necessary concessions to operate
  • Seagust was established in 2021 to develop offshore wind projects in the North Sea
  • The company is on track to secure new strategic partnerships and prequalify for the upcoming site application process

Partnership

• JV between AFK (50%) and Grieg Edge (50%)

• JV between AFK (50%) and Ferd (50%)

• Ownership split between AFK and various municipalities around Arendal

• Ownership equally split between AFK and two local landowners

New Hydropower Projects Bøylestad Energipark

Partnership Partnership Partnership

High taxonomy eligibility estimated for AFK*

* Climate change mitigation and climate adaptation covered

EU Taxonomy eligibility in percentage of revenue for 2020

Total % not yet covered

Strong underlying results

Q3 2021 UPDATE 19

  • Strong profitability in the mature companies, whereas the growth companies continue to invest
  • In addition, contribution from hydropower increased EBIT with 53 MNOK (AFK Parent)
  • Outlook 2021: Q4 expected to be in line with Q3, but excluding property earnings.
EBIT,
MNOK
Q3
2021
Q3
2020
Difference
EFD
Induction
29* 27 +2
NSSLGlobal 45 38 +7
Tekna -22 -9 -13
Volue 10 23 -8
AFK
Parent/Hydropower
41 -12 +53
Other 20 -5 +25
AFK
consolidated
120 62 +66

*EFD Induction: A change in practice for IFRS-accounting principles related to implementation of cloud-based software solutions led to a one-time negative effect on operating profit of NOK 3 million in the quarter. This effect has been adjusted for in the table

AFK with 1,3 BNOK in cash

Q3 2021 UPDATE 20

and 2.9 BNOK in net available liquidity

Total Available Liquidity in AFK Parent 30.09.21 (MNOK)

Outlook 2022

  • As the AFK portfolio companies are positioned within attractive mega trends, AFK expects continued growth in 2022.
  • Electricity prices are expected to remain at a high level.
  • But, AFK expects no significant income from property development next year.
  • We expect continued AFK activity in the capital markets

Closing summary Q3 2021

  • Strong underlying results and balance sheet, with positive outlook and well positioned portfolio
  • Focusing on developing embedded positions within both induction charging technologies and battery service solutions. Both propelled by very strong market growth prospects
  • AFK renewable infrastructure initiatives shaping up with key building blocks coming into place. Potential for substantial capital employment for financial partners.
  • Strong EU taxonomy profile with a great planet, people and prosperity contribution from the full portfolio

Solid P&L

Q3 2021 UPDATE 24

  • •Revenue mainly up due to increased electricity prices, combined with sales of apartments in Bryggebyen, along with growth in the portfolio
  • •Large increase in tax cost reflects growth in Norwegian electricity prices
MNOK Q3
2021
Q3
2020
Revenues 1 302 759
EBITDA 180 115
EBITDA
%
13,8
%
15,2
%
EBIT 120 62
EBIT
%
9,2
%
8,2
%
Net
Financials
-15 -14
Profit
before
tax
102 48
Tax
income
-35 -17
Net
discontinued
operations
21 36
Profit
for
the
period
88 68
1
Basic earnings
per
Share (NOK)
1,60 1,23

1The number of outstanding shares has been normalized due to split (25:1) on 21.11.2020. Outstanding shares 30.09.2021 was 54 888 700

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