Investor Presentation • Feb 9, 2022
Investor Presentation
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Ulrica Fearn Chief Financial Officer

2 | Capital markets update 2022

9
Oil and gas production
mboe/d
0
0
0



4Q 2021
Million USD
FY 2021



1
品
| E&P Norway - Record earnings and cash flow - Highest production since 2012 - Optimised gas production Stable underlying unit costs |
E&P International Strong earnings and cash flow Continued portfolio optimisation More focused exploration activity |
E&P USA Record earnings and cash flow - Reduced underlying unit cost - Increased offshore production |
MMP Loss on gas sales partially offsetting previous gains Strong results from Danske Commodities |
REN Earnings from assets in operation USD 52 million Capturing synergies from operations Financial close of Dogger Bank C contributing to cash flow |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million USD | Pre tax | After tax | Pre tax | After tax | Pre tax | After tax | Pre tax | After tax | Pre tax | After tax |
| 4Q '21 | 14,813 | 3,498 | 688 | 508 | 587 | 574 | (1,007) | (96) | (38) | (30) |
| FY '21 | 29,099 | 7,283 | 2,025 | 1,355 | 1,297 | 1,281 | 1,386 | 379 | (136) | (112) |


Income before tax USD 31.6 billion + non-cash items USD 10.4 billion
Cash flow 2021
Million USD
6 | Capital markets update 2022

STATE THE
SWL GT
GA05XMM70UR005 UR005
GA05XMM UR002-UR002
14% Return on capital employed (RoACE) 2022-30
Based on 65 USD per bbl, see appendix for key assumptions
~ 25 pn USD Free cash flow 2022-26
Based on 65 USD per bbl, before capital distribution

■ Net carbon intensity for energy provided (Scope 1, 2 & 3) ━ Illustrated ambition for the path to net zero by 2050
Competitive capital distribution
20 cents quarterly cash dividend per share
Up to
5 bn USD share buy- back programme for 2022
20 cents extraordinary quarterly cash dividend per share for four quarters


Cutting emissions and building resilience
50% Group-wide emission reduction by 2030
Net scope 1 & 2, 100% operated, 2015 base year. Aim to realise 90% by absolute reductions
< 30USD/bbl Oil & gas cash flow neutral 2022-26
Average
40 pm USD Free cash flow oil & gas 2022-26
Based on 65 USD/bbl
Reliable gas supplier from the NCS
40 всм NCS average annual gas production 2022-26
Equity
< 2 USD/mmbtu Gas supply cost to Europe from the NCS
Real
Open

| Sanctioned 2022-23 |
2024-25 | Non-sanctioned 2 2022-25 |
2026-30 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exploration & Production Norway | |||||||
| - Johan Sverdrup Phase 2 - Njord Future |
- Johan Castberg - Breidablikk - Ormen Lange Phase 3 |
- Troll Phase 3 Future -Cape Vulture |
- Krafla - Wisting - Ringvei Vest -Fram Area |
||||
| Exploration & Production International | |||||||
| - Peregrino Phase 2 - Vito - North Komsolmoskoye 1 - Azeri Central East (ACE) Break-even (USD/bbl) |
-Bacalhau Phase 1 | - Angara Oil - Lisovskogo - North Komsolmoskoye 2 |
- BM-C-33 - Rosebank - Bacalhau Phase 2 -Bay du Nord - North Platte |
||||
| 60 40 |
|||||||
| 20 | |||||||
| 0 1000 |
2000 3000 |
5000 | 6000 7000 |
||||
| 0 1. List is not exhaustive 2 Indicative start-un dates |
4000 | Volumes (mmboe) |

Volume weighted average
Based on 65 USD/bbl. Volume weighted average. Real terms

Based on 65 USD/bbl. Volume weighted, from production start. Including IOR.
<2 USD/boe Unit production cost
Real


~ 23 pn USD Gross capex renewables 2021-26
~ 12 pm USD Net capex renewables 2021-26
~ 19 Years Average years of secured offtake

Equivalent to 6-10% nominal returns. Excluding effects from farm downs and project financing
In operation and accessed pipeline 1
| In operation | Sanctioned | Non-sanctioned | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheringham Shoal | 2077-25 | Contract awarded | |
| Dudgeon | Hywind Tampen | Empire Wind 1 | |
| Hywind Scotland | 2024-26 | Empire Wind 2 | |
| Apodi | Dogger Bank A | Beacon Wind 1 | |
| Arkona Guañizuil IIA |
Dogger Bank B Dogger Bank C |
MFW Bałtyk II & III | |
| Planning | |||
| Beacon Wind 2 | |||
| MFW Bałtyk | |||
| Sheringham Shoal and |
12-16%
secured offtake contracts
Nominal equity return
US and UK development projects with
Dudgeon Extension
Firefly
Donghae 1
Renewables installed capacity2 GW - Equinor share

Open


Capitalising on strong markets



CFFO1 and capex2
Bn USD, average per year

An extraordinary quarterly cash dividend of 20 cents per share for 4Q 2021 to 3Q 2022, subject to AGM approval and authorisation
Including government share to be redeemed 2. Excluding IFRS 16
20 cents/share 4Q 2021 cash dividend
The Board will propose to the AGM a cash dividend of 20 cents per share 20 cents/share
Extraordinary cash dividend for 4Q 2021-3Q 2022
The Board will propose to the AGM an extraordinary cash dividend for 4Q 2021 and authority to declare extraordinary cash dividend for 2Q 2022 and 3Q 2022
5 on USD 2022 annual share buy-back
Including the government share, subject to all tranches executed
10 pm USD 2022 total capital distribution
Including the government share, subject to all tranches executed

| Outlook | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 ~~1(0 | BILLION usd |
|||
| Capex 2 | 2024-25 | ~12 | BILLION USD |
|
| Production growth 6 | 2021-22 | Sin | PERCENT |
Before capital distribution
09 February 2022

Supplementary information



Reserves replacement ratio (RRR)
Proved reserves (SEC)
7.5 Years R/P
Proved reserves (SEC) divided by entitlement production
61% RRR Three year average
Proved reserves (SEC)
20 Years R/P
Total recoverable resources divided by equity production
~ 50% Liquid share of total resources ~71% OECD share of total resources


Prices used in the presentation material are denoted in real 2021 terms, unless otherwise stated
| Scenario: "80 USD/bbl" | 2022 | 2023 | Thereafter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent blend | 80 | 80 | 80 |
| European gas price | 30 | 18 | 12 |
| Henry Hub | 5,5 | 5,5 | 5,5 |
| NOK/USD | இ | ி | இ |
| Scenario: "65 USD/bbl" | 2022 | 2023 / | Thereafter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent blend | 65 | 65 | 65 |
| European gas price | 22 | 12 | 7 |
| Henry Hub | 3,5 | 3,5 | 3,5 |
| NOK/USD | の | ி | ರಿ |
| Scenario: "50 USD/bbl" | 2022 | 2023 | Thereafter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent blend | 50 | 50 | 50 |
| European gas price | 15 | 00 | 5 |
| Henry Hub | 2,5 | 2,5 | 2,5 |
| NOK/USD | ு | ത | ல |
Open

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. In some cases, we use words such as "accelerate", "ambition", "bankable", "base return", "believe", "capitalise", "capitalise", "capture value", "cash generation", "commercial discoveries", "continue", "could", "demonstrate", "discipline", "dispatchable capacity", "driving value", "energy security", "enhance", "equity return", "expect", "exposure", "flexible", "guidance", "intend", "internal rate of return", "high-grade value", "likely", "may", "net debtratio", "nominal return", "optimising", "outlook", "plan", "priorities", "project return", "project portfolio", "promises", "risk", "robust","significant","strategy","value","will","targets","quality","unleveraged return" and similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements other than statements of historical fact, including, among others, statements regarding Equinor's plans, intentions and expectations; including those connected with Equinor's climate ambitions and energy transition to develop as a broad energy company, the ambition to be a leader in the energy transition to reduce net group-wide operated emissions by 50% by 2030, its net zero and net carbon intensity ambitions, carbon efficiency, internal carbon price on investment decisions, R&D and venture capital allocations, CO2 intensity per boe, 12-16GW 2030 installed renewables capacity ambition, 12-16% nominal equity return and 4-8% real base project return; future financial performance, including cash flow and liquidity; accounting policies; the ambition to grow cash flow and returns; plans to improve return on average capital employed (ROACE) and competitive capital distribution; expectations returns from Equinor's oil and gas portfolio; break-even and pay-back time, plans to develop fields and increase gas exports; plans for renewables production capacity and investments in renewables; non-sanctioned portfolio, capacity evolution NEW, expectations regarding development of renewables projects, average NCS cash flow 2022-30, CCUS and hydrogen businesses market outlook and future economic projections and assumptions, including commodity price assumptions; organitures through 2025; estimates regarding production to keep unit of production cost in the top quartile of our peer group; scheduled maintenance activity and the effects thereof on equity production and results of acquisitions and disposals; expected amount and timing of dividend paymentation of our share buy-back programme, including expectations regarding the timing and amount to be purchased and the redemption of the Norwegian State`s shares; and provisions and contingent liabilities.
You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements for many reasons.
These forward-looking statements reflect current views about future events and are, by their nature, subject to significant risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including levels of industry product supply, demand and pricing, in light of the uncertainty regarding demand created by the Covid-19 pandemic and oil price volatility triggered, among other things, by the changing dynamic among OPEC+ members; levels and calculations of reserves and material differences from
reserves estimates; natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, climate changes to business conditions; regulatory stability and access to attractive renewable opportunities; unsuccessful drilling; operational problems, in particular in light of quarantine requirements triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic; health, safety and environmental risks; impact of the effects of climate change; regulations on hydraulic fracturing; security breaches of our digital infrastructure (cybersecurity); ineffectiveness of crisis management systems; the actions of competitors; the development and use of new technology, particularly in the renewable energy sector; indbilty to meet strategic objectives; the difficulties involving tracture; the availability of and access to low-carbon electricity supplies from shore; political and social stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world; reputational damage; exercise of ownership by the Norwegian state; and retain personnel; risks related to implementing a new corporate insurance coverage; changes or uncertainty in or non-compliance with laws and governmental regulations; the actions of the Norwegian state as majority shareholder; failure to meet our ethical and social standards; the polities of Norway and other oil producing countries; non-compliance with internations; the actions of field partners; adverse changes in tax regimes; exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations; factors relating, supply and financial risk; general economic conditions; and other factors discussed elsewhere in this report. Additional information on factors that may affect Equinor's business, is contained in Equinor's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2020, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (including section 2.12 Risk review - Risk factors thereof). Equinor's 2020 Annual Report and Form 20-F is available at Equinor's website www.equinor.com.
Prices used in this presentation material are given in real 2021 value, unless otherwise stated. Forward looking cash-flows are in nominal terms. Break-evens and NPV's are in real 2022 terms and are based on life cycle cash-flows from Final Investment Decision dates. We also confirm that we have obtained approval from independent Project Analysis (IPA), International Energy Agency (IEA), BloombergNEF and Wood Mackenzie to publish data referred to on slides in this presentation.
Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity, performance or achievements will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and, except as required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update any of these statements after the date of this report, either to make them conform to actual results or changes in our expectations.
We use certain terms in this document, such as "resources" that the SEC's rules prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to closely consider the disclosures in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. I-15200. This form is available on our website or by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or logging on to www.sec.gov.

E-mail: [email protected]
| Peter Hutton | Senior Vice President | [email protected] | +44 788 191 8792 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Valdresbråten | IR Officer | [email protected] | +47 40 28 17 89 |
| Erik Gonder | IR Officer | [email protected] | +47 99 56 26 11 |
| Amberley Doskey | IR Officer | [email protected] | +44 758 468 1246 |
| Fan Gao | IR Officer | [email protected] | +44 777 191 8026 |
| Dennis Arthur | IR Officer | [email protected] | +44 782 527 5429 |
| Anne Sofie Dahle | Senior Consultant | [email protected] | +47 90 88 75 54 |
| IR Officer | +1 469-927-5677 |
|---|---|
| Nate Mital | [email protected] |
09 February 2022
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