Investor Presentation • Feb 10, 2022
Investor Presentation
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10 February 2022
21 Dec Merger announced Early March Merger plan published
Mar/Apr Shareholder meetings
30 June Closing
1) Nemesia is an investment company wholly owned by a Lundin family trust
SAFETY FIRST
Total recordable injury frequency (TRIF) PRODUCTION VOLUME
1.9 209.4 \$9.2 85% 4.8kg
thousand barrels of oil equivalents per day PRODUCTION COST
per boe produced PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY
Aker BP operated assets, gross
EMISSIONS INTENSITY
CO2 emissions per boe
Strong progress in 2021
Ivar Aasen to receive power from shore in 2022
Three PDOs submitted in 2021
Subsea tieback to Skarv FPSO
First oil in Q4 2021
Logos represents acquisitions, mergers and asset transactions by Aker BP in Norway in the respective year (M&A: mergers & acquisitions) *Lundin transaction pending approval from both companies' shareholders and relevant authorities
Fully transform core end-to-end processes
Field development
Well construction & intervention
Subsurface interpretation & modelling
Production optimisation and energy efficiency
Maintenance
kg CO2/boe, equity share
in gross operated emissions through electrification, energy efficiency and portfolio
in gross emissions with all assets electrified
Resources of 1.8 billion boe1)
Break-even for projects targeted for FID by 2022
1) 2P reserves + 2C resources
2) Break-even oil price using 10% discount rate 14
~600 mmboe resources (gross)
USD ~10 bn capex (gross, real)
~\$30/bbl break-even
2027 first oil
Aker BP interest
NOA: 87.7% Fulla: 47.7% Krafla: 50%
200 mmboe resources (gross)
USD 4-5 bn capex (gross, real)
\$25-30/bbl break-even
Valhall: 90% King Lear: 77.8%
production growth to 2028
full-cycle break even on all projects1)
~80% of investments covered by
temporary tax scheme
An active explorer in an attractive basin
Maximize value of existing infrastructure
80 %
Explore for new hub potential 20 %
Smart integration of data and technology
Targeting ~250 mmboe net unrisked
| Licences | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL685 | Laushornet | Aker BP | 40% | 17 - 147 |
|
| PL873 | Grefsenkollen & Øst Frigg |
Aker BP | 40% | 17 - 40 |
Drilling |
| PL1085 | Overly | Aker BP | 55% | 38 - 92 |
|
| PL261 | Storjo East |
Aker BP | 70% | 16 - 45 |
|
| PL941 | Newt | Aker BP | 80% | 13 - 33 |
|
| PL941 | BarlindåsenCW | Aker BP | 80% | 18 - 86 |
|
| PL867 | Gjegnalunden | Aker BP | 80% | 3 - 124 |
|
| PL1141 | Styggehøe | Aker BP | 70% | 10 - 41 |
|
| PL554 | Angulata | Equinor | 30% | 8 - 64 |
|
| PL782S | Busta (Lamba) |
CoP | 20% | 8 - 114 |
|
| PL1064 | Staurheia/Peder | CoP | 20% | 23 - 76 |
|
| PL265 | P-Graben (Sverdrup) | Equinor | 20% | 5 - 19 |
|
| PL943 | Uer | Equinor | 10% | 7 - 93 |
Fourth quarter and full year 2021
Liquids: 167.3 mboepd Gas: 39.7 mboepd
CFFO: USD 4.3 billion FCF: USD 2.6 billion
Liquids: 78.8 USD/boe Gas: 169.5 USD/boe
Net debt: USD 1.7 billion2) Leverage ratio: 0.33x3)
Opex: 9.2 USD/boe1) Capex: USD 1.4 billion
2021: 1.3537 per share 2022: 1.9 per share
2) Including lease debt of USD 0.1 billion
3) Net interest-bearing debt divided by 2021 EBITDAX, excluding IFRS 16 Leasing
USD billion
• Both in operations and project development
• Higher drilling efficiency and phasing
Q4-2021 Liquids \$78.8 Natural gas \$169.5 2021 Liquids \$69.2 Natural gas \$88.5
mmbbl
Some volumes linked to oil price
Fourth quarter 2021
| USD million | Q4 2021 | Q3 2021 | Change | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 1 849 | 1 563 | +18% | 1 |
| Production costs | 202 | 209 | ||
| Other operating expenses | 6 | 7 | ||
| EBITDAX | 1 641 | 1 347 | +22% | |
| Exploration expenses | 83 | 97 | -15% | 2 |
| EBITDA | 1 559 | 1 250 | +25% | |
| Depreciation | 219 | 247 | 3 | |
| Impairments | 79 | 154 | 4 | |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 1 260 | 849 | +48% | |
| Net financial items | (43) | (47) | ||
| Profit/loss before taxes | 1 218 | 802 | +52% | |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
854 | 596 | ||
| Net profit / loss | 364 | 206 | +77% | |
| EPS (USD) | 1.01 | 0.57 |
Fourth quarter 2021
USD million
1) Including payments on lease debt which are classified as financing activities in the statement of cash flow
2) Net cash flow from operating activities and investment activities including payments on lease debt
3) Includes interest paid, fees related to RCF, and FX effect on cash held
2021
FCF per share
\$6.9
Dividend per share
\$1.4
Q4-2021
FCF per share
\$2.0
Dividend per share
\$0.4
29
USD million
| For fiscal year 2020 | For fiscal year 2021 | Sensitivity for fiscal year 2022 | 1) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~800 | \$100 | ||||||||||
| 2) | \$100 | ||||||||||
| ~400 2) |
\$100 | \$80 | \$100 | \$80 | |||||||
| \$80 | \$80 | ||||||||||
| 98 | 160 | \$60 | \$60 | \$60 | \$60 | ||||||
| (109) | (11) | (23) | |||||||||
| (201) | |||||||||||
| Q 3-2 0 |
Q 4-2 0 |
Q 1-2 1 |
Q 2-2 1 |
Q 3-2 1 |
Q 4-2 1 |
Q 1-2 2 |
Q 2-2 2 |
Q 3-2 2 |
Q 4-2 2 |
Q 1-2 3 |
Q 2-2 3 |
1) Estimated current tax on income for fiscal year 2022 for Aker BP at various oil price scenarios, assuming USDNOK 8.5. Gas price assumptions are linked to oil prices where \$1/bbl equals \$0.1/mmbtu. Excluding potential payments related to uncertain tax cases.
2) Share of tax payment in H1 2022 related to higher oil and gas prices in H2 2021 than anticipated when the tax instalments were decided in June 2021
| Assets | 31.12.21 | 30.09.21 | 31.12.20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 1 647 | 1 647 | 1 647 |
| Other intangible assets |
1 664 | 1 779 | 2 043 |
| Property, plant and equipment |
7 976 | 7 667 | 7 266 |
| Right-of-use asset | 94 | 105 | 133 |
| Receivables and other assets | 1 117 | 963 | 793 |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
1 971 | 1 421 | 538 |
| Total Assets |
14 470 | 13 582 | 12 420 |
| Equity and liabilities | 31.12.21 | 30.09.21 | 31.12.20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 2 342 | 2 128 | 1 987 |
| Other provisions for liabilities incl. P&A (long) |
2 659 | 2 639 | 2 650 |
| Deferred tax |
3 323 | 3 142 | 2 642 |
| Bonds and bank debt | 3 577 | 3 595 | 3 969 |
| Lease debt | 136 | 158 | 216 |
| Other current liabilities incl. P&A | 936 | 930 | 792 |
| Tax payable | 1 497 | 990 | 163 |
| Total Equity and liabilities |
14 470 | 13 582 | 12 420 |
Growing capital distribution in line with value creation Aker BP investment plan 2022-2028
1) BE: Break-even oil price using 10% discount rate
Net interest-bearing debt Excl. leases, USD billion
4.5 4.4 4.4 4.8 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.0 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21
2)
Liquidity available
USD billion
5.4
Cash and cash equivalents
500 500
BBB- (positive outlook)
Baa3 (review for upgrade)
1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing
2) Liquidity available: Undrawn bank facilities and Cash and cash equivalents
Bond maturities USD million
1 000
750
4.000 % USD
865
Investing in projects with break-even below 30 \$/bbl in a supportive fiscal regime providing >70% tax deductions in year 1
Break even oil price hurdle of USD 30 per barrel for sanctioning new projects (NPV10)
Aker BP dividends USD per share
paid quarterly
40%
dividend growth from 2021
5%
minimum annual dividend growth at oil prices above USD 40/bbl
| 2021 CMU |
2021 Actuals |
2022 Guidance |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Production (mboped) | 210-220 | 209.4 | 210-220 |
| Opex (USD/boe) | 8.5-9.0 | 9.2 | ~10 |
| Capex (USDbn) | ~1.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| E&A (USDbn) | 0.4-0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Decom (USDbn) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Hod First oil H1 2022
Johan Sverdrup First oil Q4 2022
NOAKA FID in late 2022
Valhall NCP & King Lear FID in late 2022
Skarv Satellites DG2 in Q1 2022, FID in late 2022
Trell & Trine FID in mid-2022
www.akerbp.com
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