AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Elopak ASA

Earnings Release Feb 23, 2022

3592_rns_2022-02-23_5d7bbe51-36f5-4c96-a157-a267591e4329.pdf

Earnings Release

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Q4-21 Quarterly Results

MARCH 2021 23RD FEBRUARY 2022

Disclaimer

Certain statements included in this announcement contain forward -looking information, including, without limitation, information relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of Elopak management concerning plans, objectives and strategies, such as planned expansions, investments, divestments, curtailments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, start -up costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Elopak's markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, and (i) qualified statements such as "expected", "scheduled", "targeted", "planned", "proposed", "intended" or similar.

Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward -looking statements are reasonable, these forward -looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward -looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream businesses; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Elopak's key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors. No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Elopak disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward -looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

As worldwide makers of carton-based packaging, we are committed to remaining our customers' partner and the consumers' favorite, through relentlessly developing new solutionsfor an expanding range of content.

Applying market-leading technology, skills and natural material sourcing, we always aim to provide the highest quality products that leave the world unharmed.

Elopak at a Glance

Source: Company information, management accounts. Note: 14 billion cartons sold annually includes 100% volumes from JVs. 9 manufacturing sites exclude Speyer. 2,600 employees include 100% of JVs. Revenue by end markets based on 2020A management accounts. Revenue breakdown by geographies excludes JV contributions and corporate eliminations and is based on audited financials. 1The Group applied IFRS-16 in 1-Jan-2019, therefore 2018 EBITDA is on a pre-IFRS-16 basis, while 2019 and 2020 figures reflect the application of IFRS-16. The implementation of IFRS-16 had a positive impact on reported EBITDA of EUR 16m in 2019.

TODAY'S PRESENTERS

Thomas Körmendi Chief Executive Officer - CEO

Bent Kilsund Axelsen Chief Financial Officer - CFO Thomas Haave Askeland Head of IR

Q4-21 Business Performance

CEO Thomas Körmendi

Q4 2021 Business Highlights

Continued solid financial performance while advancing strongly on growth strategy

Revenues – Elopak Group

  • ▹ Revenue growth of 12% compared to fourth quarter 2020
  • ▹ All time high revenue in 2021 at 940 mEUR, healthy growth of 3.5% YoY (4.3% on constant currency basis)
  • ▹ Strong aseptic growth during 2021, both juice and dairy
  • ▹ Main drivers for the growth in the fourth quarter are:
  • Pure Pak volume and mix in Americas
  • Continued aseptic growth in EMEA
  • Increased revenue filling machines

Business update: EMEA

Solid Q4-21 performance, especially in Aseptic segments

  • ▹ Revenue growth of 6% in fourth quarter, compared to relatively weak quarter in Q4 2020
  • ▹ Volume growth both for Roll Fed and Pure-Pak Aseptic products
  • ▹ Continued growth in filling machine sales in the fourth quarter in Europe
  • ▹ Full year revenue growth in line with mid-term targets

Business update: Americas

Quarterly revenue is up by 39% compared to Q4-20, and continued strong profitability performance

  • ▹ Significant revenue growth of 39 % compared to fourth quarter 2020
  • Attractive mix effects in carton business
  • Growth in school milk segment
  • Good performance in our caps and closures business
  • Commercial passthrough contracts increase prices, and protect margins from raw material price increases
  • ▹ Continued strong operational performance in Montreal
  • ▹ Revenue growth on constant currency 36 % in the quarter and 3 % YTD

Elopak's Profitable Growth Drivers

Awarded the highest EcoVadis rating level

We are in the Top 1% of reporting companies across all industries

New filling machine sales is a key leading indicator for Elopak's revenue growth

Key filling machine signings in Q4-21

UK's largest independent dairy processor

First fresh milk brand to launch cartons in the UK

Dutch co-filler, switching to cartons for cream products

New fillers for North American business signed

Key commentary

  • ▹ Contract signings for new filling machines is an important leading KPI for Elopak growth
  • ▹ Key features of Elopak Filling machine business;
  • Elopak offer both sale and rental solutions to customers, more rentals in aseptic segment
  • Lead time from order to commissioning is ~9-12 months. Sales revenue recognized on commissioning
  • A typical customer project includes i) sale of filling machine, ii) a long term carton & closure contract (3- 10 years) and iii) aftermarket service contract
  • Price range for Elopak filling machines 1-3 mEUR, depending on capacity and functionality

Naturepak acquisition

On track to close the transaction during H1 -22

Key commentary

  • ▹ Naturepak Beverage Packaging ("NBP"), the MENA region's leading provider of fresh liquid cartons and packaging
  • ▹ On track to close transaction in during H1 -22, competition authority approval obtained
  • ▹ Naturepak to be rebranded and incorporated under the Elopak name
  • ▹ Revenue 2020: 41 mUSD
  • ▹ Purchase price: 96 mUSD, cash and debt free consideration (8.6x 2020 EBITDA)

Q4-21 Financial Performance

CFO Bent Kilsund Axelsen

Satisfactory margins despite raw material headwind

% of sales 111 104 Q4 YTD -6% 2020 2021 33 35 Q4 YTD +6% 2020 2021 Americas

  • year, both dairy and juice segments
  • ▹ Fresh Dairy development in line with historic trend
  • ▹ Input costs remain exceptionally high for both raw materials and indirect costs
  • ▹ Margin pressure on open caps contracts
  • ▹ Operations continue to contribute positively, despite higher costs and activity levels
  • ▹ Positive contribution and margin on mix and filling machine sales in Americas

Adjusted EBITDA, fourth quarter 2021

EBITDA decline in fourth quarter 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to higher input costs

Key commentary

  • ▹ Positive revenue impact, reduced mix effects
  • ▹ Raw material prices remained high throughout the fourth quarter:
  • Polymer prices peaked in June/July 2021
  • Aluminum price volatility and supply issues
  • Energy prices at all time high
  • ▹ Our hedging policy is to enter financial hedges for the majority of our LDPE*** and aluminum exposure

Adjusted EBITDA 2021

Adjusted EBITDA 2021 is largely in line with 2020

Key commentary

  • ▹ Positive impact from price and mix
  • ▹ Raw material price increases started to impact margins from Q2
  • ▹ Continuous improvements in plants in EMEA and Americas
  • ▹ Growth in filling machines sales at better margins

**FX impact related to EURUSD

Financial position strengthened through IPO

Leverage Ratio for fourth quarter 2021 at 2.0x

Key commentary

  • ▹ Healthy financial position with a Leverage Ratio of 2.0x as of fourth quarter 2021
  • ▹ Expect acquisition of Naturepak to increase Leverage Ratio by 0.5x, but mid term targets remains unchanged
  • ▹ Cash flow positively impacted by low capex
  • ▹ Dividend proposal 2021:
  • 0.75 NOK/share (52% of Adj.Net Profit)

Outlook

FY 2022 Revenues above 2021 levels, in line with mid-term guiding

The sustained raw material headwind is expected to still impact margins

Some increase in operating costs expected due to inflation and normalization

post pandemic
Naturepak
acquisition expected to be accretive to margins
Mid-Term Unchanged from the IPO prospectus published in June 2021

Over the medium term, we continue to target revenue growth of 2-3% and 14-

15% EBITDA margin
Mid term targeted leverage ratio
and dividend policy confirmed after acquisition

of Naturepak

Summary

  • ▹Strong revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 12%, resulting in full-year revenue of 940mEUR
  • ▹Strategy implementation on track;
  • Americas business delivering growth
  • Aseptic volume growth in both Dairy and juice
  • MENA acquisition on track to completion
  • Positive momentum on filling machines
  • Strong operational performance, despite supply chain and logistics interruptions

Q&A

Appendix

Elopak to Target Profitable Growth and a Robust Capital Structure

Mid-term 3-5 years targets

Revenue growth 2-3% organic growth p.a.
and selectively pursue M&A opportunities
EBITDA margin 14-15%
adjusted EBITDA margin
Capex EUR ~50m p.a.
Dividend policy ~50-60% pay-out ratio
% of adjusted net profit
Capital structure ~2.0x
net debt / adjusted EBITDA
mid-term
Event Date
Q4 Financials February 23rd
Annual report 2021 April 1st
Q1 Financials May 5th
Annual General Meeting May 12th
Q2 Financials August 18th
Q3 Financials October 26th

Dividend for 2021 proposed at 0.75 NOK per share

In line with mid-term targets

Key commentary

  • ▹ Resolution: The Board recommends to AGM to approve a dividend at 0.75 NOK per share for 2021 at the General Assembly May 12th .
  • ▹ Key information
  • Dividend at EUR 20.2m*
  • Adjusted profit at EUR 39.0m
  • Dividend payout ratio 52 %

Quarterly financials – Q1-20 to Q4-21

Strong Development in Cash Conversion Driven by resilient Adj. EBITDA and delayed investments

Key commentary

  • Continued strong cash conversion due to resilient adj. EBITDA and reduced capex
  • Reduced capex due to lower investments in filling machines.
Simplified free cash flow overview FY-2020 LTM Q1-
2021
LTM Q2-
2021
LTM Q3-
2021
FY-2021
Adjusted EBITDA 122.3 125.9 123.3 125.8 121.2
Less: Capex2 50.2 43.8 34.0 37.7 38.0
Adjusted EBITDA –Capex 72.2 82.1 89.3 88.1 83.1

Note: 1 Defined as (Adjusted EBITDA – capex )/ Adjusted EBITDA , 2 Capex represents purchase of non-current assets

Strong Balance Sheet with Moderate Leverage of 2.0x Q4-2021 LTM EBITDA

Recognised net debt
overview (EURm)
Dec
2020
Q1-
2021
Q2-
2021
Q3-
2021
Dec
2021
Bank debt 214 230 175 155 170
Overdraft facilities utilised 16 13 7 27 14
Cash and cash equivalents (6) (11) (10) (16) -24
Lease liabilities (including IFRS16) 88 86 83 81 81
Net financial debt 311 318 254 247 241
LTM Adjusted EBITDA 122 126 123 126 121
Net debt / LTM Adjusted EBITDA 2.5x 2.5x 2.1x 2.0x 2.0x
Key commentary
  • Proceeds from IPO used to pay down long term bank debt
  • Dividend at EUR 10m distributed in May
  • Elopak has a long term loan facility of up to EUR 400m of which EUR 170m is currently drawn (Q4-2021) and classified as net debt
  • Other financial liabilities include mainly finance leases and overdrafts

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.