Investor Presentation • May 10, 2022
Investor Presentation
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Oslo 10 May 2022
View from the Headquarter and processing facilities on Glyvrar, Faroe Islands
| HIGHLIGHTS | |
|---|---|
| Operation | Highest harvested volumes ever in a Q1 in the Faroe Islands: 17,459 tgw in Q1 2022 (14,025 tgw in Q1 2021) Low harvested volumes in Scotland: 3,973 tgw in Q1 2022 (7,002 tgw in Q1 2021) Feed sales of 26,192 tonnes in Q1 2022 (23,717 tonnes in Q1 2021) Market balance: Strong markets and tight supply outlook Raw material purchase of 77,971 tonnes in Q1 2022 (48,547 tonnes in Q1 2021) |
| Revenues and Operational EBIT |
Highest revenues ever in a quarter: DKK 1,639 million in Q1 2022 (DKK 1,176 million in Q1 2021), increased prices and strong demand Strong operational EBIT** of DKK 418 million in Q1 2022 (DKK 224 million in Q1 2021) |
| Cash Flow | Cash flow from operations of DKK 151 million in Q1 2022 (DKK 137 million in Q1 2021) |
| Segments | Positive operational EBIT in Farming FO and FOF. Negative in VAP and Farming SCT |
| Dividends | Dividend of DKK 5.14 per share for 2021 |
*) Including internal sales of 25,023 tonnes in Q1 2022 (23,213 tonnes in Q1 2021)
**) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
14.10 36.03 18.56 -5.65 -1.44 Q1 2021 Q1 2022 OPERATIONAL EBIT/Kg (NOK) Farming Faroe Islands Farming Scotland VAP
| SUMMARY OF THE QUARTER | HIGHER OPERATIONAL EBIT DRIVEN MAINLY BY FARMING FAROE ISLANDS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 Q1 2022 |
(DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 |
| Operating revenue | 1,639 | 1,176 | |
| OPERATIONAL EBIT/Kg (NOK) | Operational EBITDA | 554 | 354 |
| Farming Faroe Islands | Operational EBIT | 418 | 224 |
| 14.10 36.03 |
Profit for the period | 405 | 408 |
| Farming Scotland | Operational EBITDA margin | 33.8% | 30.1% |
| -17.67 -1.44 |
Operational EBIT margin | 25.5% | 19.0% |
| VAP | |||
| 18.56 -5.65 |
Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO) (NOK) | 36.03 | 14.10 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO and VAP) (NOK) | 33.79 | 21.48 | |
| EBITDA margin | Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) | -5.65 | 18.56 |
| Fishmeal, -oil and Feed | Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming SCT) (NOK) | -17.67 | -1.44 |
| 19.6% 15.0% |
EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and Feed) | 19.6% | 15.0% |
Group Operational EBIT DKK 418 million in Q1 2022, compared to DKK 224 million in Q1 2021 SUMMARY OF Q1 2022
SEGMENT INFORMATION FINANCIALS & ESG MARKETS & OUTLOOK APPENDIX
Continued increase in Q2 2022
SUMMARY OF Q1 2022
SALES
FINANCIALS & ESG
MARKETS & OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] | Q1 22 | Q1 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North: 57% | FO - North Region |
10,046 | 11,422 |
| 2,458 | |||
| FO - West Region |
5,333 | ||
| West: 31% South: 12% |
FO - South Region |
2,080 | 145 |
| 3,973 | FO – Total |
17,459 | 14,025 |
| SCT - Total |
3,973 | 7,002 |
Operational EBIT (mDKK) FO: SCT: Operational EBIT margin FO: SCT: Operating revenue (mDKK) FO: SCT: 143 229% 471 22% 39% 645 86% 1,199 -7 -53 -2% -22% 322 -27% 235 -620% Q1 2021 Q1 2022
| FARMING – STRONG PERFORMANCE IN FAROES – |
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE | WEAKENED IN SCOTLAND | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | Q1 2022 | Farming FO (DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 |
| Operational EBIT (mDKK) | Operating revenue | 1,199 | 645 | |
| 143 229% FO: |
471 | Operational EBIT | 471 | 143 |
| SCT: -7 -620% |
-53 | Operational EBIT margin | 39% | 22% |
| Farming SCT (DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 | ||
| Operational EBIT margin | ||||
| FO: 22% |
39% | Operating revenue Operational EBIT |
235 -53 |
322 -7 |
| SCT: -2% |
-22% | Operational EBIT margin | -22% | -2% |
| Sea water temperatures at 5m depth in Scotland | ||||
| Operating revenue (mDKK) |
| Farming SCT (DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 |
|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 235 | 322 |
| Operational EBIT | -53 | -7 |
| Operational EBIT margin | $-22\%$ | $-2%$ |
Volumes (tonnes) Revenue (mDKK) Operational EBIT (mDKK) Operational EBIT/kg (NOK) % of harvest volume for VAP 5,576 24% 6,936 305 37% 418 75 -29 18.56 -5.65 38% 38%
| VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS (VAP) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | Q1 2022 | (DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 |
| 418 | 305 | |||
| Operating revenue | ||||
| 5,576 24% |
6,936 | Operational EBIT | -29 | 75 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -7% | 25% | ||
| Farming FO transferred to VAP (tgw) | 6,677 | 5,265 |
EBITDA (mDKK) EBITDA margin (%) 48 79% 86 15% 20%
| FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED (FOF) | HIGHER EBITDA AND HIGHER SALES OF FEED AND FISHMEAL | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | Q1 2022 | (DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 |
| Operating revenue | 442 | 322 | ||
| EBITDA | 86 | 48 | ||
| 79% | 86 | EBITDA margin | 20% | 15% |
| 48 EBITDA margin (%) |
Feed sold (tonnes)* | 26,192 | 23,717 |
Fishmeal price and fish oil price increased in Q1 2022, compared to the same quarter last year.
Fishmeal and fish oil price index in DKK (Q1 2015 = 100)
Source: Holtermann
SUMMARY OF Q1 2022
SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
MARKETS &OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
Árnafjørður, A63 Faroe Islands
| (DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenue | 1,639 | 1,176 | |
| Operational EBITDA | 554 | 354 | |
| Operational EBIT | 418 | 224 | |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | 177 | 285 | |
| Onerous contracts | -31 | 0 | |
| Income from associates | 3 | 1 | |
| Revenue tax | -58 | -20 | |
| EBIT | 510 | 489 | |
| Net Financial items | -18 | 4 | |
| 177 | EBT | 492 | 493 |
| Taxes | -87 | -86 | |
| Profit for the period | 405 | 408 | |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 33.8% | 30.1% | |
| Operational EBIT margin | 25.5% | 19.0% | |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming Faroe Islands and VAP) (NOK) | 33.79 | 21.48 | |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming Scotland) (NOK) | -17.67 | -1.44 | |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) | 19.6% | 15.0% |
Operational EBIT* (mDKK)
Adjusted EPS** (DKK)
*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
**) Earnings per share adjusted for fair value of biomass, onerous contracts provisions and tax and these.
| (DKK million) | Q1 22 | End 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4,507 | 4,496 | ||
| Intangible assets | 4,943 | 4,889 | |
| 4,943 | Property, plant and equipment | 279 | 302 |
| Right of use assets | 154 | 149 | |
| Financial assets Long-term receivables |
0 | 8 | |
| Deferred tax assets | 134 | 215 | |
| Biological assets | 2,637 | 2,448 | |
| Inventory | 794 | 709 | |
| Financial derivatives | 0 | 0 | |
| Receivables | 872 | 824 | |
| Other receivables | 73 | 78 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 445 | 509 | |
| Total Assets | 14,837 | 14,628 | |
| Equity | 9,451 | 9,348 | |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 1,598 | 1,590 | |
| Long-term interest-bearing debt | 2,637 | 2,635 | |
| Long-term leasing debt | 233 | 246 | |
| 64% | Financial derivatives | 9 | 8 |
| Short-term leasing debt | 77 | 88 | |
| Accounts and other payables | 833 | 714 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 14,837 | 14,628 |
| 794 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 872 | |||
| Long-term leasing debt | 233 | 246 | |
| 64% | Financial derivatives | 9 | 8 |
| Short-term leasing debt | 77 | 88 | |
| Accounts and other payables | 833 | 714 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 14,837 | 14,628 |
| (DKK million) | Q1 22 | Q1 21 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 151 | 137 |
| Cash flow from investments | -175 | -268 |
| Cash flow from financing | -40 | 37 |
| Net change in cash | -64 | -93 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 445 | 374 |
This is our 5 th annual sustainability report
SUMMARY OF Q1 2022
SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
MARKETS & OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
Faroe Islands
| HARVESTED AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN 7% drop in global quarterly supply |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT | Q1 2022 | Q1 2021 | Change % | |
| Norway | 305 | 319 | -4.3 % | |
| UK | 33 | 43 | -22.3 % | |
| 6% drop in European harvest |
Faroes | 21 | 20 | 2.7 % |
| Iceland | 11 | 11 | -6.3 % | |
| High downgrading and licence constraints in Norway |
Ireland Total Europe |
3 373 |
3 397 |
-13.2 % -6.0 % |
| UK and Iceland impacted by biological challenges |
||||
| Chile | 161 | 182 | -11.2 % | |
| Canada | 27 | 29 | -6.5 % | |
| USA | 4 | 3 | 25.8 % | |
| 10% drop in American harvest |
Total Americas | 192 | 214 | -10.1 % |
| Other | 26 | 24 | 11.8 % | |
| 635 | -6.7 % | |||
| Low incoming biomass and reduced harvest weights |
||||
| in Chile Minor changes to absolute harvest in North America |
Total (Harvested quantity) Inventory movements |
592 -8 |
-6 | 27.3 % |
Source: Kontali
Artificially high level in 2021 due to Covid-19
2021 strongly impacted by Covid-19
| Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted - HOG) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated volumes | Q1 comparison | Estimated volumes | FY comparison | |||||
| Markets | Q1 2022E | Q1 2021E | Volume | % | FY 2021E | FY 2020 | Volume | % |
| EU+UK USA |
247,500 141,800 |
271,100 139,800 |
-23,600 2,000 |
-9% 1% |
1,155,600 570,100 |
1,071,100 504,700 |
84,500 65,400 |
8% 13% |
| Russia | 14,000 | 24,000 | -10,000 | -42% | 86,000 | 79,200 | 6,800 | 9% |
| Japan | 14,800 | 16,600 | -1,800 | -11% | 64,700 | 64,000 | 700 | 1% |
| Greater China | 24,500 | 21,900 | 2,600 | 12% | 105,000 | 101,700 | 3,300 | 3% |
| ASEAN | 19,900 | 21,700 | -1,800 | -8% | 80,800 | 73,100 | 7,700 | 11% |
| Latin America | 41,200 | 50,700 | -9,500 | -19% | 184,100 | 168,700 | 15,400 | 9% |
| Ukraine | 5,700 | 7,900 | -2,200 | -28% | 32,700 | 23,600 | 9,100 | 39% |
| Other markets | 75,200 | 74,900 | 300 | 0% | 315,400 | 298,800 | 16,600 | 6% |
| Total all markets | 584,600 | 628,600 | -44,000 | -7.0 % | 2,594,400 | 2,384,900 | 209,500 | 8.8 % |
| Comments: | ||||||||
| EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom (England, Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland). Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) |
EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom (England, Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland). Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
For 2022, Bakkafrost has signed contracts for around 32% of the total expected harvest volumes in the Faroe Islands and Scotland Feed sales are expected to be around 130,000 tonnes in Fishmeal and fish oil volumes are expected to be on a similar level in 2022 as in 2021 Headlines from Capital Markets Day on 14-15 September
SUMMARY OF Q1 2022
SALES
SEGMENT INFORMATION
FINANCIALS & ESG
MARKETS & OUTLOOK
APPENDIX
Applecross 4 expansion, Scotland
Glyvradal expansion (2024) 0,3 => 3.8m smolt @500g Ónavík (2025) 2.4m smolt @500g
Significant increase in smolt capacity in Scotland
since the acquisition in Q4 2019
SCOTLAND SITE OVERVIEW
North: 24 sites / 44,415 tonnes consent
South: 20 sites / 30,350 tonnes consent
Acquiring the business at a reasonable value, multiple to the sector and Bakkafrost
• Marine Site development The planned investment profile is subject to necessary agreements being secured with responsible authorities
Marine Freshwater & Broodstock FOF Other Processing FSV
2026 2022 2018
2022-2026 Capex of DKK 6.2 bn builds 180,000t capacity by 2026
| Sales & volume | Total sales of salmon by markets |
Q1 2022 | Q1 2021 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | Q1 2022 | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | |
| Western Europe | 55% | 96% | 61% | 59% | 88% | 68% | 53% | 81% | 61% | 57% | 89% | 69% | ||
| Western Europe | North America | 26% | 3% | 22% | 20% | 10% | 17% | 23% | 10% | 19% | 24% | 6% | 17% | |
| 68% | 61% | Asia | 13% | 0% | 11% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 1% | 8% |
| Eastern Europe | 6% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 8% | 12% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 0% | 4% | ||
| Rest of world | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 2% | ||
| North America | Fresh salmon only | Q1 2022 | Q1 2021 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| 17% | 22% | by markets | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total | FO | SCT | Total |
| 39% | 88% | 61% | 45% | 78% | 55% | 31% | 90% | 64% | ||||||
| Western Europe | 44% | 97% | 55% | |||||||||||
| North America | 32% | 3% | 26% | 30% | 10% | 21% | 27% | 12% | 22% | 38% | 6% | 20% | ||
| Asia 7% |
11% | Asia Eastern Europe |
17% 7% |
0% 0% |
13% 6% |
16% 15% |
2% 0% |
10% 8% |
17% 11% |
10% 0% |
15% 8% |
19% 12% |
1% 0% |
9% 5% |
Contract share FO, VAP products [% of qty]
VAP on contract HOG, Spot
| DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY | AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - HOG) | |||||||
| Expected supply growth in 2022 |
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021E | 2022E | |
| 1% decrease in Global supply |
Norway | 1.078 | 1.129 | 1.198 | 1.223 | 1.378 | 1.374 |
| UK | 159 | 137 | 171 | 160 | 179 | 172 | |
| 1% decrease in supply from Europe |
Ireland | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| Iceland | 11 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 35 | 38 | |
| Faroes | 72 | 64 | 78 | 72 | 96 | 86 | |
| 1% decrease in supply from the Americas |
Total Europe | 1.336 | 1.355 | 1.484 | 1.496 | 1.703 | 1.684 |
| Chile | 490 | 598 | 601 | 657 | 638 | 644 | |
| Canada | 123 | 131 | 124 | 123 | 128 | 116 | |
| USA | 20 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 15 | |
| Total Americas | 633 | 747 | 744 | 798 | 783 | 775 | |
| Others | 68 | 65 | 71 | 91 | 109 | 112 | |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.037 | 2.167 | 2.299 | 2.385 | 2.595 | 2.572 | |
| Supply growth - Global | 2% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 9% | -1% | |
| Supply growth - Europe Supply growth - Americas |
4% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 14% | -1% | |
| -3% | 18% | 0% | 7% | -2% | -1% | ||
| Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG) | |||||||
| EU+UK | 2017 918 |
2018 949 |
2019 1.017 |
2020 1.071 |
2021E 1.156 |
2022E 1.173 |
|
| USA | 401 | 435 | 468 | 505 | 570 | 587 | |
| Japan | 57 | 54 | 53 | 64 | 65 | 68 | |
| Russia | 70 | 89 | 78 | 79 | 86 | 37 | |
| Comments: | Others | 590 | 640 | 682 | 666 | 718 | 706 |
| All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes. Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country |
Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.036 | 2.167 | 2.298 | 2.385 | 2.594 | 2.594 |
| Source: Kontali | |||||||
| Saililoil Markets (Head Oil gutteu - HOG) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021E | 2022E | |
| EU+UK | 918 | 949 | 1.017 | 1.071 | 1.156 | 1.173 |
| USA | 401 | 435 | 468 | 505 | 570 | 587 |
| Japan | 57 | 54 | 53 | 64 | 65 | 68 |
| Russia | 70 | 89 | 78 | 79 | 86 | 37 |
| Others | 590 | 640 | 682 | 666 | 718 | 706 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.036 | 2.167 | 2.298 | 2.385 | 2.594 | 2.594 |
| 6,0 5,0 4,0 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,0 | |||||||||
| 2,0 1,0 - |
|||||||||
| Q1 2020 |
Q2 2020 |
||||||||
| 14,0 12,0 10,0 |
|||||||||
| MARKET CURRENCY | Q1 2022 | Q1 2021 | Change % | 8,0 | |||||
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg) |
8.35 12.23 |
5.19 7.98 |
60.8 % 53.2 % |
6,0 4,0 |
|||||
| DKK Nasdaq Norway |
Q1 2022 62.13 |
Q1 2021 38.63 |
Change % 60.8 % |
2,0 | |||||
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (per kg) | 81.12 | 49.26 | 64.7 % | - | Q1 | Q2 |
Source: Kontali
| DEVELOPMENT PER QUARTER | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | |
| (mDKK) | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2021 | 2021 | 2021 | 2021 | 2022 |
| Revenue | 1,255 | 1,134 | 1,123 | 1,139 | 1,176 | 1,618 | 1,272 | 1,488 | 1,639 |
| Operational EBIT | 248 | 182 | 103 | 89 | 224 | 407 | 71 | 120 | 418 |
| Profit/Loss | -148 | 472 | 177 | -38 | 408 | 428 | 131 | -3 | 405 |
| Harvest FO (tgw) | 10,667 | 12,941 | 11,135 | 15,957 | 14,025 | 17,561 | 14,937 | 20,694 | 17,459 |
| Harvest SCT (tgw) | 7,268 | 7,937 | 10,476 | 9,305 | 7,002 | 10,634 | 6,914 | 5,122 | 3,973 |
| 25.10 | 15.34 | 15.24 | 12.92 | 21.48 | 26.93 | 13.59 | 20.11 | 33.79 | |
| Op. EBIT Farming FO & VAP (NOK/kg) | 26.51 | 9.79 | 12.43 | 5.66 | 14.10 | 26.52 | 12.56 | 18.29 | 36.03 |
| Op. EBIT Farming FO (NOK/kg) | -2.97 | 11.06 | 5.84 | 17.31 | 18.56 | 1.53 | 2.89 | 5.71 | -5.65 |
| Op. EBIT VAP (NOK/kg) | 5.70 | 5.36 | -3.89 | -8.41 | -1.44 | 6.75 | -16.32 | -55.95 | -17.67 |
| Op. EBIT Farming SCT (NOK/kg) Equity ratio |
66% | 69% | 68% | 66% | 68% | 67% | 67% | 64% | 64% |
* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
*** Dividend is paid out the following year
Increase in the value of the equity 99% 19% 40% 49%* 49% 46% 50% 50% 50% 0% 59% 50% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Dividend per share (DKK)***
DKK 7,719 million - whereof farmed fish accounts for 43%
BAKKAFROST / Q1 2022 PRESENTATION Page 45
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