Investor Presentation • Oct 21, 2022
Investor Presentation
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21 October 2022
Loss ratio Cost ratio
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| NOK m | Q3 2022 | Q3 2021 YTD 2022 YTD 2021 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private | 827 | 826 | 2,308 | 2,227 |
| Commercial | 940 | 712 | 2,303 | 1,731 |
| Denmark | 224 | 299 | 641 | 765 |
| Sweden | 51 | 83 | 88 | 101 |
| Baltics | (2) | (26) | (61) | (40) |
| Corporate Centre | (131) | (90) | (598) | (413) |
| Underwriting result | 1,909 | 1,804 | 4,681 | 4,371 |
| Pension | 46 | 55 | 144 | 155 |
| Financial result from the investment portfolio |
(328) | 207 | (1,211) | 1,566 |
| Other items | (141) | (45) | 515 | (143) |
| Profit/(loss) before tax expenses |
1,486 | 2,022 | 4,130 | 5,949 |
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| Q3 2021 | Change in large losses (pp) |
Change in run off (pp) |
Change in underlying frequency loss ratio (pp) |
Q3 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paid up policy Unit linked Other
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| Metric | Status Q3 2022 | Target 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Customer satisfaction | 79 | $>$ 78, Group |
| 90% | > 90%, Norway | |
| Customer retention | 77% | > 85%, Outside Norway |
| Digitalisation index | 10% | > +10% annually, Group |
| Digital claims reporting | 77% | > 85%, Group |
| Automated claims processing |
58% | > 70%, Norway |
NOK bn
| Brand awareness and strength | Quality mark in a competitive and digitalised environment | |
|---|---|---|
| Loyal customers | Low acquisition costs and high-quality portfolio | |
| Customer dividend model | Building loyalty and preference in Norway | |
| Technology platform and analytical capabilities | Investing in technology and competency key to analysing Big Data and applying insight |
Stable and high engagement score
Build on our strong and unique position in Norway
Strengthen profitability and grow outside Norway
Maintain capital discipline and attractive dividends
Customer insights and relevance, supported by our customer dividend model
Efficient cost base, supported by our operational excellence in distribution and claims handling
Solid capitalisation, providing ample financial flexibility
| Date | Location | Participants | Event | Arranged by |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 October | Oslo | CEO Helge L. Baastad CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow | SEB |
| 24 October | London | CEO Helge L. Baastad CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow | DNB |
| 8 November | Frankfurt | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow | Carnegie |
| 10 November | Helsinki | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow | Pareto |
| 10 November | Stockholm | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Roadshow | Pareto |
| 16 November | CFO Jostein Amdal Head of IR Mitra H. Negård |
Nordic Financials Virtual Trip | Berenberg |
| Q3 2021 | Group | Private | Commercial | Denmark | Sweden | Baltics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2021 | Q3 2021 | Q3 2021 | Q3 2021 | Q3 2021 | Q3 2021 | |
| Earned premiums | 7,516 | 2,631 | 2,579 | 1,550 | 417 | 302 |
| Loss ratio | 62.4% | 55.6% | 63.6% | 67.1% | 63.1% | 79.7% |
| Underlying frequency loss ratio | 65.1% | 59.6% | 65.8% | 71.2% | 63.0% | 84.6% |
| Covid - large loss | $\sim$ | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | $\sim$ | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ | $\sim$ | $\overline{\phantom{a}}$ |
| Covid - frequency | 64 | 32 | 9 | 21 | 3 | |
| Covid total | 64 | 32 | 9 | 21 | 3 1 | |
| Covid effect on large loss | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Covid effect on underlying | ||||||
| frequency loss | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Loss ratio adjusted for | ||||||
| covid | 63.2% | 56.9% | 63.9% | 68.5% | 63.8% | 79.7% |
| Underlying frequency loss ratio | ||||||
| adjusted for covid | 65.9% | 60.8% | 66.1% | 72.5% | 63.7% | 84.6% |
Loss ratio Cost ratio
Loss ratio Cost ratio
Loss ratio Cost ratio
Loss ratio Cost ratio
Expected Reported
Q3 2021 Q3 2022
Expected Q3 2022
Run-off % of earned premium
1) Reported UW result for Q1 2016 was NOK 1,251m. Adjusted for a non-recurring income of NOK 477m related to the pension plans, the UW result was NOK 774m.
2) Reported UW result for Q3 2016 was NOK 712m. Adjusted for a non-recurring NOK 120m restructuring cost the UW result was NOK 832m.
3) Reported UW result for Q4 2016 was NOK 700m. Adjusted for a non-recurring NOK 44m increase in provision for restructuring cost and NOK 23m provision for increased pay-roll tac the UW result was NOK 767m
4) Reported UW result for Q3 2018 was NOK 573m. Adjusted for a non-recurring NOK 80m restructuring cost the UW result was NOK 653m.
5) Reported UW result for Q4 2018 was NOK 1,914m. Adjusted for the extra run-off gains of NOK 1.1bn the UW result was NOK 834m.
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| Asset class | Investments, key elements 1) | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Match portfolio | ||
| Fixed income - short duration | Norwegian money market | BP Norwegian Government Duration 0.25 Index NOGOVD3M |
| Bonds at amortised cost | Government and corporate bonds | Yield provided in quarterly reports |
| Current bonds | Mortgage, sovereign and corporate bonds, investment grade bond funds and loan funds containing secured debt |
IBOX COR 1-3 years QW5C index |
| Free portfolio | ||
| Fixed income - short duration | Norwegian money market | NBP Norwegian Government Duration 0.25 Index NOGOVD3M |
| Other bonds | IG bonds in internationally diversified funds externally managed and current bonds |
Global Agg Corp LGCPTRUH index |
| High Yield bonds | Internationally diversified funds externally managed | BoAML Global HY HYDC index |
| Convertible bonds | Internationally diversified funds externally managed | Refinitiv Global Focus hedged Convertible UCBIFX02 Index |
| Current equities | Mainly internationally and domestic diversified funds externally managed |
MSCIW NDDLWI Index |
| PE funds | Oil/oil-service/general (Norwegian and Nordic funds) | OSEBX index |
| Other | Miscellaneous |
Fixed income - short
Bonds at amortised cost
duration
Current bonds
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| Split - Rating | Match portfolio | Free portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK bn | $\%$ | NOK bn | $\%$ | |
| AAA | 13.4 | 35.0 | 1.6 | 10.5 |
| AA | 2.7 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 25.0 |
| A | 6.9 | 18.1 | 3.3 | 22.1 |
| BBB | 6.4 | 16.8 | 2.3 | 15.6 |
| BB | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.2 |
| $\mathsf B$ | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 |
| CCC or lower | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Internal rating 1) | 3.3 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 17.6 |
| Unrated | 4.4 | 11.6 | 0.7 | 4.6 |
| Fixed income portfolio | 38.2 | 100.0 | 15.0 | 100.0 |
| Split - Counterparty | Match portfolio | Free portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOK bn | % | NOK bn | % | |
| Public sector | 5.5 | 14.4 | 4.8 | 32.0 |
| Bank/financial institutions | 18.9 | 49.5 | 7.1 | 47.6 |
| Corporates | 13.8 | 36.1 | 3.1 | 20.5 |
| Total | 38.2 | 100.0 | 15.0 | 100.0 |
| NOK bn | Approved partial internal model (Group) |
Approved partial internal model (general insurance) |
Own partial internal model (Group) 1) |
Own partial internal model (general insurance) $^{1)}$ |
Gjensidige Pensjonsforsikring |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital available | 20.3 | 17.6 | 20.4 | 17.8 | 2.3 |
| Capital requirement | 10.7 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Solvency ratio | 190% | 181% | 241% | 238% | 170% |
Figures as at 30.09.2022. GPF = Gjensidige Pensjonsforsikring AS. Deferred tax: All differences in valuation of assets and liabilities are adjusted for tax. Tax is assumed on the security provision. Miscellaneous: Main effects are related to the guarantee scheme provision. Assumed dividend of 80% of profit.
| NOK bn | Approved PIM (Group) 1) | Own PIM (Group) 2) |
|---|---|---|
| Eligible own funds | 20.3 | 20.4 |
| Capital charge for non-life and health UW risk |
9.8 | 7.5 |
| Capital charge for life UW risk | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Capital charge for market risk | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| Capital charge for counterparty risk | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Diversification | (4.2) | (4.5) |
| Basic solvency capital requirement | 12.6 | 9.7 |
| Operational risk | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Adjustments (loss-absorbing capacity of deferred tax) |
(3.0) | (2.3) |
| Solvency capital requirement (SCR) | 10.7 | 8.5 |
| Surplus | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| Solvency ratio | 190% | 241% |
| Т1 | TЭ | Constraint | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SII | Max 20% of Tier 1 capital |
Max 50% of SCR less other T2 capital items |
Must be satisfied at group and solo level |
Annualised return on equity (%)
Other
Topdanmark Alm.Brand Codan If Gjensidige Lansforsäkringar Trygg Hansa If Folksam Other Gjensidige Vienna PZU Ergo If Other
Others
Share of paid up policies 1)
Share of paid up policies - market total Share of paid up policies - GPF
Source: Finance Norway. 1) Compound annual growth rate 2010 - 2021.
Bonds at amortised cost Property exposure Fixed income - short duration Other financial investments Equity funds
Appendix
Annual contribution (DC) and premium (DB) 1)
| No | Shareholder | Stake (%) |
|---|---|---|
| $\mathbf{1}$ | Gjensidigestiftelsen | 62.24 |
| $\overline{2}$ | Folketrygdfondet | 3.71 |
| 3 | BlackRock Inc | 3.11 |
| 4 | Deutsche Bank | 3.05 |
| 5 | Nordea | 1.39 |
| 6 | Scotia Bank | 1.37 |
| 7 | The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 1.15 |
| 8 | Danske Bank | 0.93 |
| 9 | State Street Corporation | 0.87 |
| 10 | Storebrand Investments | 0.87 |
| Total 10 largest | 78.69 |
This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Gjensidige Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your informatio retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information a general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the information set out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, th financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actu achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous ass Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
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This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisa condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in an relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials ava pages.
Gjensidige Forsikring provides alternative performance measures (APMs) in the financial reports, in addition to the financial figures prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The (International Financial Report Standards) and are not necessarily directly comparable to other companies' performance measures. The APMs are not intended to be a substitute for, or superior to, any IFRS measures of perfor provide insight into Giensidige's performance and represent important measures for how management governs the Group and its business activities. Key figures that are regulated by IFRS or other legislation, as well as non-f as APMs. Gjensidige's APMs are presented in the quarterly report and presentation. All APMs are presented with comparable figures for earlier periods. The APMs have generally been used consistently over time. Definitions a www.giensidige.no/group/investor-relations/reports.
Head of Investor Relations [email protected] Mobile: (+47) 957 93 631
Investor Relations Officer [email protected] Mobile: (+47) 995 67 593
Schweigaards gate 21, PO Box 700 Sentrum, 0106 Oslo, Norway gjensidige.no/ir
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