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Vår Energi ASA

Investor Presentation Oct 25, 2022

3780_rns_2022-10-25_97e714c8-80df-426f-a9c4-60260b6e3ac0.pdf

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Third quarter 2022

Results presentation | 25 October 2022

Disclaimer

The Materials speak only as of their date, and the views expressed are subject to change based on a number of factors, including, without limitation, macroeconomic and equity market conditions, investor attitude and demand, the business prospects of the Group and other specific issues. The Materials and the conclusions contained herein are necessarily based on economic, market and other conditions, as in effect on, and the information available to the Company as of, their date. The Materials do not purport to contain all information required to evaluate the Company, the Group and/or their respective financial position. The Materials should be reviewed together with the Company's Annual Report 2021. The Materials contain certain financial information, including financial figures for and as of 30 September, 2022 that is preliminary and unaudited, and that has been rounded according to established commercial standards. Further, certain financial data included in the Materials consists of financial measures which may not be defined under IFRS or Norwegian GAAP. These financial measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies, nor should they be construed as an alternative to other financial measures determined in accordance with IFRS or Norwegian GAAP.

The Company strongly suggests that each Recipient seeks its own independent advice in relation to any financial, legal, tax, accounting or other specialist advice; no such advice is given by the Materials. Nothing herein shall be taken as constituting the giving of investment advice and the Materials are not intended to provide, and must not be taken as, the exclusive basis of any investment decision or other valuation and should not be considered as a recommendation by the Company (or any of its affiliates) that any Recipient enters into any transaction. The Materials comprise a general summary of certain matters in connection with the Group. The Materials do not purport to contain all the information that any Recipient may require to make a decision with regards to any transaction. Any decision as to whether to enter into any transaction should be taken solely by the relevant Recipient. Before entering into such transaction, each Recipient should take steps to ensure that it fully understands such transaction and has made an independent assessment of the appropriateness of such transaction in the light of its own objectives and circumstances, including the possible risks and benefits of entering into such transaction.

The Materials may constitute or include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and may be identified by words such as "plans", "targets", "aims", "believes", "expects", "projects", "anticipates", "intends", "estimates", "will", "may", "continues", "should" and similar expressions. Any statement, estimate or projections included in the Materials (or upon which any of the conclusion contained herein are based) with respect to anticipated future performance (including, without limitation, any statement, estimate or projection with respect to the condition (financial or otherwise), prospects, business strategy, plans or objectives of the Group and/or any of its affiliates) reflect, at the time made, the Company's beliefs, intentions and current targets /aims and may prove not to be correct. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. The Company does not intend or assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements since they are based solely on the circumstances at the date of publication.

To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in the Materials come from official or third-party sources. Third-party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, none of the Company, its affiliates or any of its or their respective representatives has independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in the Materials come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company in the markets in which it has knowledge and experience. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change and correction without notice. Accordingly, reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in the Materials.

The Materials are not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation of such jurisdiction or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of any such jurisdiction. The Company's securities have not been registered and the Company does not intend to register any securities referred to herein under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 (as amended) or the laws of any state of the United States. This document is also not for publication, release or distribution in any other jurisdiction where to do so would constitute a violation of the relevant laws of such jurisdiction nor should it be taken or transmitted into such jurisdiction and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions.

Today's Vår Energi presenters

Torger Rød CEO

Stefano Pujatti CFO

Ida Marie Fjellheim

Head of Investor Relations

Security situation

  • Safety and security of our employees always the first priority
  • Heightened security level after Nord Stream leakages
  • Close collaboration with the Norwegian authorities and within the industry
  • Increased awareness and attention on all facilities
  • Main focus on safe and secure operations to maintain reliable supply of oil and gas to Europe

Third quarter 2022 highlights

Maintaining safe and reliable supply of oil and gas

  • Production increased from Q2 on less turnaround and maintenance activity
  • Continued material gas production
  • Full-year 2022 production guidance revised to 220-225 kboepd

Strong cash generation from operations

  • Average realised price of 139 USD/boe in the quarter
  • CFFO stable at a high level and in line with Q2
  • Capex guidance for 2022 confirmed
  • Dividend guidance of USD 300 million for Q4

Improved financial position

  • USD 5 099 million in available liquidity at end-Q3
  • Leverage ratio reduced to 0.2x from 0.4x at end-Q2 2022

Progressing towards end-2025 production target

  • Balder X project revision
  • Remaining project portfolio progressing on plan
  • High year-end exploration activity

Key performance indicators

Q3 2022 vs. Q2 2022

Operational review

Maintained focus on implementation of safety initiatives

TRIF1 and SIF2

CO2 emission intensity for operated assets

kg CO2/boe

14 16 18

  • No serious incidents in the quarter
  • Increasing trend on TRIF related to yard activity
  • Focus on reversing the trend through implemented initiatives, shared learnings and strengthened safety culture
  • Increase in CO2 intensity reflects lower production volumes due to planned turnaround on Balder/Ringhorne
  • Joined the "Aiming for Zero Methane Emissions Initiative" headed by OGCI
  • Rated in top 14 of 100 largest companies in Norway, in the PWC 2022 climate index

1 Total recordable incident frequency per million hours worked, 12 months rolling average 2 Total serious incident frequency per million hours worked, 12 months rolling average 8

Reduced impact from turnarounds, continued material gas share

0,0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1,0

Production, production efficiency operated assets and product mix

kboepd

  • Increased production from Grane, Ekofisk and Statfjord B following completion of turnarounds in Q2
  • Turnaround on Balder/Ringhorne in Q3
  • Continued to reduce NGL recovery to increase gas sales
  • 2022 production guidance of revised to 220- 225 kboepd due to:
    • Various operational issues at partner-operated fields
    • Challenging well operations on operated fields

Operational update on operated assets

Goliat Strong operational performance

  • Q3 production of 19.2 kboepd, in line with previous quarter
  • Production efficiency of 88% in Q3

Balder/Ringhorne Successfully executed turnaround

  • Production of 12.2 kboepd, down 5 kboepd from previous quarter
  • Production efficiency of 72% in Q3 reflecting two-week turnaround completed on schedule and budget
  • 2022 production below expectations due to Ringhorne drilling and well performance and Balder flowline/riser integrity challenges

Unit production cost improved on higher production

Production cost per boe produced1

USD/boe

  • Reduction due to less turnaround and maintenance activity combined with exchange rate effects
  • Full year 2022 opex per boe guidance maintained at USD 12.5 to 13.5
  • Opex and unit cost improvement programs progressing according to plan
  • Medium term production cost target of less than 8 USD/boe

Balder X project update

  • Revised cost estimate and more robust schedule targeting first oil in Q3 2024
  • Progress impacted by supply chain disturbances and additional scope of work on Jotun FPSO
  • Faster ramp-up of production in 2024
  • Valuable project set to extend production in the Balder hub for 20+ years
  • Highly prosperous area with significant long-term development and exploration potential, including the King and Prince discoveries

Remaining project portfolio progressing according to plan

Existing production and sanctioned developments to deliver >350 kboepd by end-2025

First oil field extension First oil new field development

Johan Castberg

  • Heavy lift campaign completed
  • Subsea and marine campaign close to completion
  • Progressing according to schedule

Breidablikk

  • Drilling progressing ahead of schedule
  • Subsea and marine campaign for 2022 completed
  • Progressing according to plan

Other

Hywind Tampen progressing with 7 out of 11 floating wind turbines installed, expected start-up postponed to Q1 2023

High year-end exploration activity

License Prospect Operator Vår
Energi
share
Pre-drill
unrisked
mmboe
Pre-drill
unrisked
mmboe
VE
Timing Status
PL 057 Statfjord
Kile
Equinor 18.6% 6 1 Q1 Dry
PL 209 Ormen
Lange Deep
Equinor 10% 290 29 Q2 Dry
PL 532 Snøfonn Equinor 30% 44 13 Q2 Discovery
PL 532 Skavl Stø Equinor 30% 20 6 Q2 Discovery
PL 124 Othello
North
Equinor 10% 43 4 Q4 Planned
PL 229E Lupa Vår Energi 50% 85 43 Q4 Planned
PL 938 Calypso Neptune 20% 34 7 Q4 Planned
PL 229 Countach Vår Energi 65% 41 27 Q4 Planned
PL 554 Angulata Equinor 30% 58 17 Q4/Q1
23'
Planned

2022 work programme Continued hub-focused exploration

Key financials

USD million Q3 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2021 YtD 2022 YtD 2021
Petroleum revenues 2 520 2 423 1 615 7 426 3 761
EBIT 1 454 1 674 824 4 846 1 762
Profit before taxes 1 161 1 214 640 4 071 1 461
Production cost (USD/boe) 13.4 14.7 11.6 13.3 11.5
Operating CF before tax 2 027 1 864 1 332 6 275 2 892
CFFO 1 503 1 535 1 350 5 239 3 629
CAPEX 599 573 729 1 794 1 875
NIBD
/ EBITDAX
0.2x 0.4x 1.0x 0.2x 1.0x
Available liquidity1 5 099 4 492 1 658 5 099 1 658

Gas representing 53% of revenues in Q3

Q3 gas price realisation and future gas sales portfolio

  • Month and day ahead weighted towards France and Germany primarily
  • Fixed price sales including 1 year gas sales agreement expiring end of September 2022 and fixed price deliveries entered January 2022

Allocation and average Gas price per portfolio

Q3 2022 gas revenues Forward-looking gas sale

  • Robust sales portfolio, access to several markets
  • Month (MA) and day ahead (DA) weighted towards France and Germany primarily
  • Executed fixed price transactions yield USD ~150/boe in Q4 22, USD ~255 in Q1 23, USD ~169 Q2/Q3 23 quarters
  • Exploring the use of financial derivatives for hedging as an added instrument to manage risk

Indicated future gas sales portfolio2

Over/Underlift adjustments impacting production cost

Production cost (sold volumes)

USDm

  • Change in over/underlift in Q3 of USD 165 million positively impacting production cost
  • Impact from allocation of liftings on fields/products and timing of liftings
  • Overlift positions valued at market product prices
  • Underlift positions valued at unit production cost per field

Continued strong cash flow generation

Significant cash build in the quarter

Cash flow development Q3 2022

892 1 499 2 316 1 535 (50) 16 Cash at end-Q2 2022 Dividends paid Cash flow from investments Cash at end-Q3 2022 CFFO before taxes and working capital CFFO after tax Working Taxes paid capital Net financing FX (288) (524) (603) (260) 892 1 499 3 600 3 600 28 5 099 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 4 492 Cash and cash equvivalents RCF

USDm USDm

Improved financial position

Net interest-bearing debt and leverage ratio1

  • Committed to maintaining an Investment Grade rating
    • Target of 1.3x NIBD/EBITDAX maintained

1 Net interest-bearing debt (NIBD) is shown at end of period, including lease commitments. EBITDAX used is a LTM figure. NIBD includes final payment to Exxon of USD ~340 million 22

Dividend guidance

Dividend distribution

USDm

  • Dividend for Q3 2022 of USD ~0.12 per share to be paid 9 November 2022
    • Paid in NOK at exchange rate of NOK/USD 10.55
  • Dividend guiding for Q4 of USD 300 million (~0.12 USD per share)
  • Dividend expectation of USD 1.075 billion full-year 2022
  • Dividend policy of 20-30% of cashflow from operations after tax from 2023 onwards

Outlook

Production
Production target in 2022 revised to 220-225 kboepd
Production cost
Targeting USD 12.5 -
USD 13.5 in 2022
Expected to improve over the medium term towards USD 8/boe
as new projects come onstream and

improvement program is progressing
Capex 2022 capex guidance of USD 2.3 –
2.6 billion excluding exploration and abandonment (exploration USD ~150

million and abandonment USD ~50 million)
Limited cash outflow on decommissioning in the next ten years
Other Final payment to ExxonMobil of ~USD 340 million due in Q4 2022 as part of the 2019 acquisition
Leverage Conservative through-the-cycle leverage target of 1.3x net debt / EBITDAX
Dividends Dividend guidance for 2022 of USD 1.075 billion (~USD 0.43 per share) under current market conditions, paid on

a quarterly basis
Q4 dividend guidance of USD 300 million (~USD 0.12 per share)

From 2023 onwards plan to distribute around 20-30% of cash flow from operations (after tax) across the cycle

Concluding remarks

Summary

  • Maintaining safe and reliable operations
  • Strong cash generation from operations
  • Improved financial position
  • Progressing towards end-2025 production target

Third quarter 2022

Results presentation | 25 October 2022

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