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Aker BP

Investor Presentation Oct 26, 2022

3528_rns_2022-10-26_033cbbea-be8c-45c3-9e44-c1ffb17b9672.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Third quarter 2022

26 October 2022

Third quarter 2022

Today's speakers

Karl Johnny Hersvik CEO

David Tønne CFO

Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.

These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.

These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.

Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.

Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

The E&P company of the future

Created by combining two leading independents

World-class assets with high efficiency and low cost

  • Low emissions and clear pathway to net zero
  • Driving transformation through digital and alliances
  • Profitable growth from unique resource base
  • Financial strength & growing dividends

Highlights

Third quarter 2022

Excellent operational performance

  • Higher production efficiency
  • Improved safety and lower CO 2 intensity
  • Organisational integration completed 1 Oct

Progressing the growth portfolio

  • Johan Sverdrup phase 2 on track for first oil in Q4
  • Preparing for investment decisions on PDO portfolio
  • New discoveries in the Skarv area

Strong financial results

  • Record-high FCF of USD 1.9 billion
  • Deleveraging continues net debt USD 2.2 billion
  • Quarterly dividend USD 0.525 per share

Photo from the installation of gas lift pipeline at Kobra East Gekko in July 2022

Safety – priority number one

Injury frequency (TRIF) 1)

1) Total recordable injuries per million exp. hours, rolling 12 months average

Production review

Oil and gas production

mboepd

Production efficiency Capacity utilisation

162

90% 87% 88% 80% 96% Q3-21 Q4-21 Q1-22 Q2-22 Q3-22

6

Reducing the maintenance backlog

An example of how Aker BP works to improve production efficiency

Maintenance hours overdue 1)

  • Systematic improvement work targeting maintenance backlog
  • Reduced backlog reduces risk of unplanned downtime
  • Reduction by over 40% in total maintenance hours overdue since first quarter 2021

1) Includes all Aker BP operated assets, excluding Edvard Grieg.

A leader in low-emissions oil and gas production

CO2 emissions intensity further reduced

Kg CO2 per boe produced

Emission intensity 12m avg.

Plan to reach net zero across operations by 2030 1)

Johan Sverdrup Phase 2

First oil expected in December

Q4 2022 755 <\$2 <1 kg 31.6

First oil Production

Phase 2 mboepd in total USD/boe1) CO2/boe Percent

Industry-leading low production cost

Industry-leading low carbon emissions

Aker BP working interest

1) Full field production cost/boe with normalised power cost Photo © Equinor

9

Project portfolio progressing according to plan

Alvheim

  • Frosk on track for first oil in H1 2023
  • Kobra East Gekko in execution first oil 2024
  • Trell & Trine PDO submitted first oil 2025

Skarv

  • PDO for Skarv Satellites in December
  • Laying foundations for next wave of tie-backs with new discoveries and farm-ins

Edvard Grieg & Ivar Aasen

  • Hanz in execution first oil 2024
  • PDO for Utsira High Projects in December (Lille Prinsen, Rolvsnes and Solveig)

Valhall PWP / Fenris

  • Renamed from Valhall NCP / King Lear
  • PDO in December
  • First oil 2027

NOAKA

  • PDO in December
  • Operatorship for Krafla to be transferred to Aker BP following PDO submission

Wisting

The operator Equinor is preparing for final investment decision and PDO in December

PDO projects

Process towards final investment decisions

Technical work completed

  • All FEEDs finalised in Q3
  • Readiness reviews ongoing

Economic evaluations ongoing

  • Price risk on input factors
  • Assess impact of proposed tax change

Final investment decisions in December

  • Project economics and risks
  • Supply chain capacity
  • Corporate priorities

Status and plan for Aker BP-operated PDO projects

2022 exploration program

Discoveries adding growth opportunities

Preliminary estimates of YTD discoveries1)

2 4 38 19 3 66 Øst Frigg Overly Storjo East Newt Ophelia Total mmboe (Aker BP net share)

Remaining exploration program 2022

Licences Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Pre-drill
P90-P10
Status
PL261 Storjo East Aker BP 70% 14
-
46
30-80 mmboe
PL782S Busta
(Lamba)
CoP 20% 8
-
114
Dry
PL1104 Poseidon Equinor 40% 50
-
300
Dry
PL941 Newt Aker BP 80% 13
-
33
11-36 mmboe
PL941 Barlindåsen Aker BP 80% 18
-
86
Dry
PL929 Ophelia Neptune 10% 10
-
40
16-39 mmboe
PL943 Uer Equinor 10% 7
-
93
Dry
PL867 Gjegnalunden Aker BP 80% 3
-
124
Q4
PL1141 Styggehøe Aker BP 70% 10
-
41
Q4
PL554 Angulata Equinor 30% 8
-
64
Q4
PL265 P-Graben (Sverdrup) Equinor 20% 5
-
19
Q4
PL229G Lupa Vår 50% 24
-
143
Q4

Financial review

Production and sales of oil and gas

Total income

Liquids Natural gas Other

Liquids Natural gas Over/underlift

Record-high prices for natural gas

Capital spend

Capex

  • Q3 first time incl. activities acquired from Lundin
  • Spend below budget due to phasing and weak NOK
  • Ramp up in Q4 with FID on several projects

Expex

  • 6 wells drilled in the quarter
  • Spending in accordance with plan
  • 5 wells remaining in 2022

Abex

  • Limited activity in the quarter
  • Spending in accordance with plan

Production cost

Lower unit cost in Q3 due to changed production mix and higher production efficiency

Production cost USD/boe

Income statement

Third quarter 2022

USD million Q3 2022 Q2 2022 Change Comment Comments
Total income 4 866 2 026 2 840 1
Production costs 236 190 46
Other operating expenses 9 20 (11)
EBITDAX 4 621 1 816 2 805
Exploration expenses 85 67 18
EBITDA 4 536 1 749 2 787
Depreciation 522 199 323 2
Impairments 55 422 (367) 3
Operating profit (EBIT) 3 959 1 128 2 831
Net financial items (177) (62) (116) 4
Profit/loss before taxes 3 782 1 066 2 716
Tax
(+) / Tax income (-)
2 998 878 2 120
Net profit / loss 783 188 596
EPS (USD) 1.24 0.52
    1. Gas ~34% and liquids ~65% in Q3
    1. Corresponds to USD 13.8/boe (12.1 in Q2)
    1. Related to Ula, driven by changes in profiles and decrease in prices
    1. Mainly currency effects driving increase

In addition, other comprehensive income (OCI) includes a negative forex translation effect of USD 1 013 million

Cash flow

Third quarter 2022

USD million

1) Net cash flow from operating activities and investment activities

  • 2) Includes interest and fees paid, payments of lease debt, and purchase of treasury shares
  • 3) Changes in inventories, trade creditors and receivables & Changes in other balance sheet items

FCF per share \$2.9 Dividend per share \$0.53 FCF per share Dividend per share \$0.48

Q3-2022

\$2.2

Q2-2022

19

Statement of financial position

Assets 30.09.22 30.06.22
PP&E 14 865 15 988
Goodwill 13 193 14 246
Other non-current
assets
3 057 3 181
Cash and equivalent 3 042 2 154
Other current assets 2 015 1 581
Total
Assets
36 172 37 149
Equity and liabilities 30.09.22 30.06.22
Equity 11 483 12 061
Financial Debt 5 198 5 834
Other long-term liabilities 12 667 13 456
Tax payable 5 419 4 253
Other current liabilities 1 406 1 545
Total
Equity and liabilities
36 172 37 149

Comments

  • The legal entities acquired in the Lundin transaction include companies with other functional currencies than USD (mainly NOK)
  • The purchase price allocation carried out as of 30 June 2022 was allocated to the respective currencies, meaning that the statement of financial position is fixed in for example NOK and that the equivalent dollar amount will vary depending on the currency rate
  • The strengthening of USD against NOK in Q3 generally therefore resulted in decreased balance sheet items
  • 20 This accounting technicality will remain until the liquidation of ABP Norway AS (formerly Lundin Energy Norway AS), now expected to occur around year-end

Superior financial flexibility

Net interest-bearing debt

2)

Cash and cash equivalents

Investment grade credit ratings

500 1 500 750 1 000 1 750 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Bond maturities USD/EUR million USD EUR

BBB Baa2 BBB

2) Liquidity available: Undrawn bank facilities and Cash and cash equivalents

Tax guidance

Tax payments - Sensitivity for fiscal year 2022 USD million

Tax instalments for fiscal year 2022 set in June

  • Q3 and Q4-22 instalments fixed
  • Based on forecast full-year 2022 performance for combined company
  • Opportunity to adjust in Oct-22 and Jan-23

Adjustment in October 2022

  • Full-year tax estimate increased due to high prices
  • Voluntary additional payment of NOK 6 bn in October
  • Avoiding interest expenses

Sensitivity for payments in H1-23

  • Brent price assumptions given for Q4 2022
  • Gas prices assumed fixed at ~\$30/mmbtu
  • USDNOK 10.0

Proposed change to temporary tax rules

Government proposal to reduce uplift from 17.69% to 12.4% for investments made under temporary tax rules

New ordinary tax system

Temporary rules - 17.69% uplift

Proposed change - 12.4% uplift

Operational guidance for second half 2022

Aker BP 195 Lundin 181 376 410-435 410-420 H1 actual Previous H2 guidance Updated H2 guidance Production mboepd

Production cost USD/boe

Capital allocation priorities stand firm

Aker BP's financial frame – designed to drive value creation and shareholder return

Concluding remarks

Concluding remarks

  • Strong financial performance driven by high operational efficiency and high oil and gas prices
  • Projects on track production start for Johan Sverdrup phase 2 expected in December
  • Preparing for final investment decisions for major new field development projects by year-end

www.akerbp.com

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