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Protector Forsikring

Investor Presentation Oct 26, 2022

3719_rns_2022-10-26_2919dfd3-dbe5-4417-ac94-69148fdbf1a5.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Investor Presentation

Henrik Høye Chief Executive Officer

Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Other highlights: • Large losses at 7 % (normalized) • Interest rates increasing and credit spreads widening • Running yield at 5.5 %

4

This presentation contains alternative performance measures (APMs). APMs are described here: https://protectorforsikring.no/en/investor/documents/spreadsheets/

Claims update

  • 5 Large losses1 at 7.0 % (7.9 %)
    • Driven by 2 claims in UK & 2 in Sweden
  • Net run off gains at 3.8 % (4.9 %)
    • Mainly due to run-off gains in Norway & Sweden

• Aggregated COVID-19 effects at 0 % in Q3 21 & 22

Business unit Gross Net Gross No
Norway 65 % 68 % 73 % 74
Sweden 68 % 71 % 59 % 61
Denmark 93 % 84 % 82 % 74
UK 86 % 80 % 84 % 88
Finland 99 % 99 % 85 % 86
Dratoctor 77 1 0% 7 E E O/ TE A 0/2 72 0
Business unit YTD 22 YTD 22 YTD 22 YYTD 21 YTD 21
Gross Net Gross Net
Norway 75 % 78 % 71 % 80 %
Sweden 73 % 74 % 60 % 63 %
Denmark 90 % 87 % 101 % 81 %
UK 77 % 78 % 81 % 86 %
Finland 89 % 89 % 81 % 82 %
Protector 77.9 % - 78.6% 75.1 % 76.2 %

Large losses1 and run-off

  • Net large losses of MNOK 99,0 or 7.0 % (99,2 or 7,9%)

    • 70% of large loss volume Property, 20 % liability & 10 % Motor
  • Net run off gains at 3.8 % (4.9 %)

    • Gains Other illness & General liability
    • Losses on Workers compensation

• Some volatility in reserves & large losses must be expected

6

  • Q3 is a small volume quarter
    • Renewal rate 84% (99,4 %)
    • Churn primarily driven by some large clients in SE, DK
    • UK: Renewal rate 95%, high price increases driven by 1 client

• Current price increases accounts for increased inflation

MNOK
Business unit Q3 22 Q3 21 Growth NOK % LCY%
Norway 173 174 - 1 -1% -1%
Sweden 231 248 -17 -7% 1%
Denmark 59 61 -2 -3% 2%
UK 459 368 92 25% 29%
Finland 2 6 -4 -68% -74%
Protector 924 856 68 8% 12%
MNOK
Business unit YTD 22 YID 21. Growth NOK % LCY%
Norway 1 467 1 293 174 13% 13%
Sweden 1 689 1 545 144 9% 16%
Denmark 935 827 108 13% 16%
UK 1 519 1 327 192 14% 15%
Finland 214 173 40 23% 26%
Protector 5 823 5 165 658 13% 15%

Country-by-country key metrics

Quarterly volatility must be expected, especially by country

PROTECTOR insurance

Q3 2022

Norway Sweden Denmark UK Finland Protector
MNOK Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21
Gross premium written 173 174 231 248 ਟਰੇ e J 459 368 0 924 856
Gross premium earned 404 354 472 450 263 227 446 390 50 54 1 634 1 475
Net premium earned 366 316 414 394 235 ਹਰਦ 361 303 46 48 1 423 1 257
Gross claims ratio 65.1 % 73.1 % 68.0 % 58.9 % 93.3 % 81.5 % 85.6 % 84.0 % 99.5 % 85.0 % 77.1 % 73.4 %
Gross cost ratio 6.4 % 8.0 % 12.6 % 11.1 % 7.3 % 7.1 % 12.8 % 13.5 % 4.7 % 4.7 % 10.0 % 10.1 %
Gross combined ratio 71.5 % 81.1 % 80.6 % 70.0 % 100.5 % 88.6 % 98.4 % 97.5 % 104.2 % 89.8 % 87.1 % 83.5 %
Net claims ratio 67.8 % 74.1 % 70.6 % 61.1 % 84.1 % 74.4 % 80.1 % 88.2 % 99.4 % 85.7 % 75.5 % 73.9 %
Net cost ratio 4.4 % 6.3 % 11.9 % 8.4 % 6.7 % 5.2 % 13.9 % 15.6 % 5.2 % 3.9 % 9.4 % 8.9 %
Net combined ratio 72.2 % 80.4 % 82.5 % 69.5 % 90.8 % 79.6 % 94.0 % 103.8 % 104.6 % 89.6 % 84.9 % 82.9 %

YTD 2022

Norway Sweden Denmark UK Finland Protector
MNOK YTD 22 YTD 21 YTD 22 YID 21 YTD 22 YID 21 YTD 22 YTD 21 YTD 22 YID 21 YTD 22 YELD 24
Gross premium written 1 467 1 293 1 689 1 545 ਰੇਤੇ ਦੇ 827 1 519 1 327 214 173 5 823 5 165
Gross premium earned 1 173 1 047 1 429 1 307 764 ୧୧୦ 1 256 1 076 164 198 4 786 4 278
Net premium earned 1 065 932 1 286 1 133 684 562 1 003 847 150 177 4 187 3 652
l Gross claims ratio 75.5 % 71.2 % 72.6 % 59.8 % 90.2 % 101.0 % 77.2 % 80.7 % 89.4 % 81.3 % 77.9 % 75.1 %
Gross cost ratio 6.2 % 7.3 % 12.0 % 12.1 % 6.9 % 8.1 % 12.9 % 14.7 % 4.4 % 5.3 % 9.8 % 10.7 %
Gross combined ratio 81.7 % 78.4 % 84.7 % 71.9 % 97.1 % 109.1 % 90.2 % 95.4 % 93.8 % 86.6 % 87.7 % 85.8 %
Net claims ratio 77.9 % 79.9 % 74.1 % 63.1 % 86.7 % 80.6 % 78.1 % 85.5 % 89.1 % 82.3 % 78.6 % 76.2 %
Net cost ratio 5.0 % 6.8 % 11.2 % 10.0 % 6.6 % 5.9 % 14.1 % 15.8 % 4.1 % 4.2 % 9.3 % 9.6 %
Net combined ratio 82.9 % 86.7 % 85.3 % 73.1 % 93.3 % 86.6 % 92.2 % 101.4 % 93.1 % 86.5 % 87.9 % 85.9 %

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Investment performance Return at 0.2 % in Q3 and -1.1 % YTD

  • Q3 return on investment portfolio 0.2%, or MNOK 231
    • Equity portfolio 0.8%, or MNOK 18
    • Bond portfolio 0.0%, or MNOK 5
    • Put options MNOK 1
  • YTD return on investment portfolio -1.1%, or MNOK -1621
    • Equity portfolio -3.7%, or MNOK -89
    • Bond portfolio -0.6%, or MNOK -74
    • Put options MNOK -3
  • DNB Markets Nordic HY index return +1.4% in Q3
  • B3 down sale 04.10.2022
    • Below 20% ownership; booked at market value
    • Technical gain of MNOK 92 booked in Q3

Investment portfolio statistics

Bond portfolio yield at 5.5 %, before cost of risk – duration increased

s
e
uiti
q
E
Portfolio
size
2
343
2
118
2
262
Share of total3 16.3% 14.6% 15.5%
Estimated
intrinsic value discount
40% 30% 36%
No. of companies 31 22 30

1 Includes bank deposits

2Avg. linear rating based on official rating (>55%) and 'Protector rating' (<45%)

3 Includes put options and currency swap contracts

  • Bond portfolio yielding 5.5 %, before cost of risk
    • Avg. reference rate up 1.3 %-points from Q2
      • Positive sloping interest rate curve
    • Bond portfolio's average rating at A-
      • HY portfolio totalling BNOK 4.1 vs BNOK 3.7 in Q2
      • Some more appetite for bonds at higher spread levels
      • Increased cost of risk expected
    • Avg. spread +40bps from Q2
    • Credit duration increased by 0.3 years from Q2
  • Equity share at 16.3%, up from 15.5% in Q2

Large change in bond portfolio yield Driven by rate increases and longer interest duration

Bond portfolio yield of 5,5 %

  • Increased yield driven by

    • Higher underlying reference rate
      • Floating
      • Increased interest duration
    • Higher market spreads
  • Portfolio rating in line with historic average

    • Slightly higher risk allocation YTD
    • Strong credit quality, but higher Cost of Risk expected at higher interest rates

Profit and loss Q3 22 (& YTD 22) Profit of MNOK 175 (196) | EPS at NOK 2.1 (2.5)

MNOK Q3 22 Q3 21 YTD 22 YID 21 FY 21
Gross premiums written 924 856 5 823 5 165 ਦੇ ਰੇਟ ਹ
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance 1 423 1 257 4 187 3 652 4 921
Claims incurred, net of reinsurance (1 074) (930) (3 291) (2 783) (3 810)
Sales cost (100) (89) (279) (267) (362)
Administration cost (64) (61) (188) (189) (257)
Commission from reinsurer 30 37 76 104 131
Other insurance related income/expenses (5) (4) (15) (23) (29)
Technical result 210 211 490 493 594
Other income/costs (16) (11) (44) (41) (26)
Net financial income 20 (0) (154) 658 878
Profit before tax 214 200 293 1 110 1 416
Tax (40) (68) (70) (209) (252)
Discontinued operations (0) (3) (17) 67 67
Net comprehensive income 1 (4) (10) (3) (28)
Profit for the period 175 125 196 965 1 204
Claims ratio, net of reinsurance 75.5 % 73.9 % 78.6 % 76.2 % 77.4 %
Expense ratio, net of reinsurance 9.4 % 8.9 % 9.3 % 9.6 % 9.9 %
Combined ratio, net of reinsurance 84.9 % 82.9 % 87.9 % 85.9 % 87.3 %
Gross claims ratio 77.1 % 73.4 % 77.9 % 75.1 % 77.8 %
Gross expense ratio 10.0 % 10.1 % 9.8 % 10.7 % 10.8 %
Gross combined ratio 87.1 % 83.5 % 87.7 % 85.8 % 88.5 %
Retention rate 87.1 % 85.2 % 87.5 % 85.4 % 85.6 %
Earnings per share 2.1 1.6 2.5 11.8 15.0

Balance Sheet SCR ratio at 222%

In millions 30.09.2022 30.09.2021 31.12.2021
Financial assets 14 066 13 291 13 067
Derivatives 274 64 94
Bank deposits 104 101 300
Other assets 4 549 4 421 4 338
Discontinued
operations
950 1 516 1 448
Total assets 19 943 19 394 19 246
Total equity 2 834 3 467 3 582
Subordinated loan capital 1 245 1 244 1 385
Total reserves 11 808 10 495 9 980
Derivatives 252 70 26
Other liabilities 3 246 3 246 3 440
Discontinued operations 557 871 834
Total equity and liabilities 19 943 19 394 19 246

Numbers may not add up due to rounding

  • Positive contribution from technical result and negative contribution from investment result
  • Positive effect from change in discounting rates:
    • Approx. 1%-point movement in discounting rates, correspond to a total effect of approx. MNOK 280

14

SCR OF

Solvency II SCR ratio at 222%

Composition of SCR:

  • Net insurance risk 65%
  • Net market risk 25%
  • Other risks 10%

SCR composition

Eligible solvency capital:

15

• Guarantee provision subtracted from own funds

Eligible solvency capital

Q3 YTD
· Net combined ratio 84.9 % 87.9 %
• Gross written premium MNOK 924
(+8 %)
MNOK 5 823
(+13 %)
· Investment return MNOK 23
(0.2 %)
MNOK - 162
(-1.1 %)
• Profit for the period MNOK 175 MNOK 196
• Earnings per share NOK 2.1 NOK 2.5
· Solvency Capital Ratio 222% 222%

This presentation contains alternative performance measures (APMs). APMs are described here: https://protectorforsikring.no/en/investor/documents/spreadsheets/

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

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