Earnings Release • Nov 8, 2022
Earnings Release
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NOVEMBER 8, 2022
This presentation contains certain "forward-looking statements". These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks, uncertainty and changes in circumstances, which may cause actual results, performance, financial condition or achievements to differ materially from anticipated results, performance, financial condition or achievements. All statements contained herein that are not clearly historical in nature are forward-looking and the words "anticipate," "believe," "expect," "estimate," "plan," and similar expressions are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have no intention and are under no obligation to update or alter (and expressly disclaim any such intention or obligation to do so) our forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by law. The forward-looking statements in this presentation include statements addressing our future financial condition and operating results. Examples of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include, among others, business, economic, competitive and regulatory risks, such as conditions affecting demand for products, particularly in the automotive industries; competition and pricing pressure; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices; natural disasters and political, economic and military instability in countries in which we operate; developments in the credit markets; future goodwill impairment; compliance with current and future environmental and other laws and regulations; and the possible effects on us of changes in tax laws, tax treaties and other legislation. More detailed information about these and other factors is set forth in the 2021 Kongsberg Automotive Annual Report and the Kongsberg Automotive Quarterly Reports.
Where we have used non-IFRS financial measures, reconciliations to the most comparable IFRS measure are provided, along with a disclosure on the usefulness of the non-IFRS measure, in this presentation.
MARKET UPDATE FINANCIAL UPDATE SHIFT GEAR UPDATE SUBSEQUENT EVENTS & OUTLOOK Q&A
Kongsberg Automotive Q3 2022 Earnings Call
Comparisons are to 2021 results restated to exclude discontinued operations
| €246.0M | €12.9M | 2.0x |
|---|---|---|
| REVENUES | ADJ. EBIT | LEVERAGE RATIO1,2 |
| Increase of 27.6% vs. Q3 2021 | Increase by MEUR 4.8 vs. Q3 2021 | Improved from 3.1x in Q3 2021 |
| €128.8M NEW BUSINESS3 |
€-1.5M FREE CASH FLOW |
€132.6M NIBD 4 |
| Decrease from MEUR 198.9 | Decrease from the positive FCF | Improved from MEUR 287.1 |
| in Q3 2021 | of €16.7m in Q3 2021 | as of 30/09/2021 |
Includes IFRS 16; excluding IFRS 16, leverage ratio is equal to 1.2x in Q3 2022 compared to 2.4x in Q3 2021 NIBD / Adjusted EBITDA (LTM) Lifetime revenue of business wins during the quarter Net Interest Bearing Debt
Segment highlights
ADJUSTED EBIT1 , MEUR ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN, %
ADJUSTED EBIT1 , MEUR ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN, %
KONGSBERG AUTOMOTIVE // 5
FINANCIAL UPDATE SHIFT GEAR UPDATE SUBSEQUENT EVENTS & OUTLOOK Q&A
| REGION | Q3-22 vs. Q3-21 | 2022 vs. 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | +24.6% | +3.8% | |
| APAC w/o China | +25.5% | +7.7% | |
| Europe | +22.4% | -0.6% | |
| North America | +25.3% | +11.7% | |
| South America | +34.8% | +7.3% | |
| Rest of World | +47.4% | +18.7% | |
| Total | +25.6% | +5.7% | |
| Total (excl. China) | +26.1% | +6.6% | |
| China | -26.9% | -45.4% | |
| APAC w/o China | +13.2% | +11.7% | |
| Europe | +20.1% | -0.2% | |
| North America | +17.0% | +7.0% | |
| South America | +8.4% | +2.4% | |
| Rest of World | +6.6% | +22.9% | |
| Total | +1.3% | -17.0% | |
| Total (excl. China) | +15.5% | +6.2% |
Source: IHS Light Vehicle Production Base (September 2022); LMC Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast (Q3 2022)
KONGSBERG AUTOMOTIVE // 8
* Change in revenue at constant currencies, and changes to vehicle production levels for selected regions and markets, from Q3 2022 to Q3 2021. The split across vehicle types does not correspond to our business unit segments – see p. 7 and 8 in the quarterly report for details.
SHIFT GEAR UPDATE SUBSEQUENT EVENTS & OUTLOOK Q&A
Financial update
Quarterly revenues in 2022 include significant positive translation effects. On the current currency basis, quarterly revenues are as follows:
KONGSBERG AUTOMOTIVE // 13
Financial update
CONTINUING OPERATIONS
KONGSBERG AUTOMOTIVE // 15
| Operating activities | +7.5 |
|---|---|
| Therein: NWC increase (continued only) | -8.9 |
| Investing activities | -7.0 |
| Financing activities | -18.2 |
| Therein: Payments of interests and lease liabilities |
-3.1 |
| Payment of interests on bond | -5.0 |
| Share buy-back | -9.9 |
| Currency and translation effects on cash flow |
+7.0 |
| Total | -10.7 |
| excluding share buy-back and others |
+9.2 |
| FCF | -1.5 |
CONTINUING AND DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS
CONTINUING AND DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS
CONTINUING AND DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS
Cash Unutilized Securitization facility Undrawn RCF
CONTINUING AND DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS
SUBSEQUENT EVENTS & OUTLOOK Q&A
Shift Gear update
PERFORMANCE IMPROVEMENT GEAR I
ESTIMATE FY 2022
> Total recovery of cost increases/ variances through successful claims to customers 84%
> Negotiate terms & conditions with customers and suppliers to normalize logistics and bring back manufacturing planning stability to pre-crisis efficiency levels
Q&A
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY MARKET SUMMARY GROUP FINANCIAL UPDATE SHIFT GEAR UPDATE
€104M TRANSACTION VALUE
Source: IHS Light Vehicle Production Base (September 2022); LMC Global Commercial Vehicle Forecast (Q3 2022)
GLOBAL TRUCK PRODUCTION, sales in thousand units, including China GLOBAL TRUCK PRODUCTION, sales in thousand units, excluding China
KONGSBERG AUTOMOTIVE // 26
Market source: PV; IHS Septemberforecast. CV; KGP Automotive Intelligence
| SEGMENT GROWTH RATES 2022-2026 P&C 7% - 9% 10% - CAGR |
SPP 12% |
SPP GROWTH TOWARDS EV 2022-2026 78% - 141% CAGR |
|---|---|---|
| SEGMENT/UNIT PROFITABILITY 2022-2026 ONH DRL 6% - >8% 3% - 5% ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN |
SPP 14% - 16% |
P&C GROWTH TOWARDS EV 2022-2026 19% CAGR |
KA WILL GROW MORE THAN THE MARKET TOWARDS EV WITHIN CV AND PASSENGER CARS
Note that SPP is coming from low levels.
| GLOBAL SITUATION | KA SITUATION | GUIDANCE SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED |
|---|---|---|
| We have seen a drop or stabilization for many raw material prices the last quarter, but as prices have dropped, the global inflation has led to accelerating electricity, labor, and rental costs. All having an effect on KA's profitability, to some extent. |
> Despite the challenging macro environment, we have a healthy and experience order book, increased interest for our most profitable products > The volatile ordering behavior of our customers and the related cost effects remain the biggest challenge for Q4 > Around 40% of KA's direct costs |
Despite the challenging macro > environment, we stick to our top line guidance from Q2 but lower our EBIT assumptions slightly with MEUR 3. » Revenue between MEUR 870 and 905 »Adjusted EBIT between MEUR 35 and 41 from 38 and 45 > We have based these targets on the latest automotive industry production forecasts combined with internal modelling |
are from countries which do not
experience the same inflation levels as we see in mainly EU
NOTE REGARDING GUIDANCE: A prolonged or worsening geopolitical situation could result in further lasting consequences for production, supply chains and demand which are not currently reflected in our forecasts. In addition, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and the related supply situation could give rise to further negative effects. Depending on the severity of these disruptions, this may resultin lower sales and earnings than currently expected for KA Group.
Generate flexibility
Continuing our commitment
Stay flexible with room for maneuver
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY MARKET SUMMARY GROUP FINANCIAL UPDATE SHIFT GEAR UPDATE SUBSEQUENT EVENTS & OUTLOOK
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