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Gjensidige Forsikring ASA

Investor Presentation Jan 25, 2023

3606_rns_2023-01-25_656fdd0f-6bc6-4133-b1fb-2d2307a32f8d.pdf

Investor Presentation

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25 January 2023

Loss ratio Cost ratio

Solid full year underwriting result, financial result reflects high market volatility

  • Pre-tax profit NOK 5,824m
  • Underwriting result NOK 5,856m
    • o 8.3% premium growth
    • o Strong combined ratio
      • Robust operations and effective pricing measures
      • Good cost control
      • Strong performance in Norway, progress in Sweden and the Baltics
  • Financial result minus NOK 651m, return minus 1.1%
  • Return on equity 19.3% .

Delivered on all financial targets for 2022

Metric Delivered 2022 Target
Combined ratio 81.4% <85%
Cost ratio 13.7% <14%
Solvency ratio (PIM) 179% 150-200%
ROE after tax 19.3% >19%
Dividends NOK 8.25 Dividend Policy

Key sustainability achievements in 2022

Key initiatives

Safer society:

  • Launched first taxonomy aligned product commercial building insurance
  • Implemented initiatives with MOT and UE with primary focus on mental health among the young

Sustainable claims handling:

  • · Promoted reuse of equivalent motor spare parts through adjustments in supplier agreements and new scoring system
  • · Collaborations with partners to promote reuse of motor repair and building materials

Responsible investments:

  • · Developed model for monitoring progress on efforts to reach net-zero goal
  • Launched new pension profiles with strong sustainability focus in Pension

Other initiatives:

· Signed the Science Based Targets Initiative (SBTi)

Recognitions

  • · AA rating from MSCI
  • Top rankings:
    • · IPSOS' reputation survey (Norway)
    • · Norwegian Business School's sustainability survey (non-life Norway)
    • PWC's Climate Index (Norway)
    • · EPSI's survey (sustainability, Nordics)

Key sustainability goals

  • 80% premiums from sustainable products covered by EU taxonomy by 2025
  • 35% reduction in CO2e from claims handling processes by 2025
  • Net 0 emission in investment portfolio by 2050

Solid quarterly UW-result

NOK m Q4 2022 Q4 2021 FY 2022 FY 2021
Private 748 727 3,056 2,953
Commercial 439 507 2,742 2,238
Denmark 183 260 824 1,025
Sweden 1 d (3) 108 97
Baltics (26) (38) (87) (78)
Corporate Centre (190) (104) (788) (517)
Underwriting result 1,174 1,347 5,856 5,718
Pension 73 59 217 214
Financial result from
the investment
portfolio 560 1,497 (651) 3,063
Other items (113) (53) 402 (196)
Profit/(loss) before
tax expenses
1,694 2,850 5,824 8,799

Comments on the quarter

  • Continued high premium growth
  • Higher loss ratio, large losses and run-off gains
  • Cost ratio continued to improve
  • Investment returns reflected market conditions
    • o Q4'21 included appreciation of NOK 1.2 billion in the value of Oslo Areal's property assets

Strong operations

  • High claims inflation will continue to be met with necessary pricing measures
  • · Solid performance in Norway
    • o Maintained superior market position
    • o Effective pricing measures
  • Moving forward on new core IT system in Denmark
  • Continued good progress in Sweden
  • Encouraging results from transformation programme in the Baltics

Staying ahead of claims inflation

Maintaining high retention in Norway

9.2 per cent premium growth - 8.4 per cent adjusted for currency effects

Premium development

Key drivers - premium development

  • Private +6.5%, mainly price driven
  • Commercial +10.5%, price and volume driven
  • · Denmark +13.0%
    • o Positive 8.8% in local currency, volume and price driven
  • · Sweden +1.5%
    • o Positive 5.3% in local currency, volume and price driven
  • Baltics +9.5%
    • o Positive 5.4% in local currency, mainly price driven

7

Record high profit for Pension

Profit and return

Assets under management

NOK bn

■Paid up policy ■Unit linked │■Other

Current bonds Bonds at amortised cost Other bonds (US/EUR IG, Sovereigns, EMD) High Yield bonds Convertible bonds Current equities PE funds Properties Other (incl. hedge funds and commodities)

Investment grade Investment grade (internal rating) Non-investment grade Non-investment grade (internal rating) Unrated

Proposed regular dividend NOK 8.25 per share

Strong track record of generating attractive shareholder returns

... supported by a strong capital position

Dividend policy

Gjensidige targets high and stable nominal dividends to its shareholders, and a pay-out ratio over time of at least 80 per cent of profit after tax. When determining the size of the dividend, the expected future capital need will be taken into account.

Over time, Gjensidige will also pay out excess capital.

Strong capital position

Eligible own funds

  • Increased by operating Solvency II . earnings and result in free portfolio
  • Adjusted for proposed dividend
  • Minor reduction from acquisition of . Dansk Tandforsikring

Capital requirement

  • Increased underwriting risk due to . premium growth, change in reinsurance programme and annual update of the internal model
  • · Reduced market risk due to lower private and emerging market equity exposure

Moving ahead on operational targets

Metric Status Q4 2022 Target 2025
Customer satisfaction 78 > 78, Group
Customer retention 90% > 90%, Norway
77% > 85%, Outside Norway
Digitalisation index 11% > +10% annually, Group
Digital claims reporting 77% > 85%, Group
Automated claims
processing
59% > 70%, Norway

Strong customer retention in the three largest segments

· Private - Commercial - Denmark

Financial reporting according to fir and 17, from Q1 2020

Our strategy and priorities

Customer centric focus

Our priorities towards 2025

  • Build on our strong and unique position in Norway
  • Maintain capital discipline and attractive dividends
  • Strengthen profitability and grow outside Norway

Concluding remarks

  • · Solid results
  • Focus on growth, strong operations and capital discipline
  • Outlook remains good
    • o Expect continued strong underwriting results going forward
  • Will continue to pay out attractive dividends to shareholders
    • o Board proposal for regular dividend of NOK 8.25 per share for 2022

Annual financial targets from 2023

Appendix

Roadshows and conferences post Q4 2022 results

Date Location Participants Event Arranged by
25 and 27 January Oslo CEO Geir Holmgren
CFO
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
IRO Marius M. Fjellbo
Roadshow Gjensidige
26 January London CEO Geir Holmgren
CFO Jostein Amdal
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow DNB
7 February Oslo CEO Geir Holmgren
CFO Jostein Amdal
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow ABGSC
15 February Frankfurt CEO Geir Holmgren
CFO
Head of IR Mitra H. Negård
Roadshow Carnegie

Covid- and weather effects, Q4 2021

Q4 2021 Group Private Commercial Denmark Sweden Baltics
Q4 2021 Q4 2021 Q4 2021 Q4 2021 Q4 2021 Q4 2021
Earned premiums 7,472 2,548 2,605 1,530 425 296
Loss ratio 67.6% 58.0% 71.6% 69.3% 81.2% 83.6%
Underlying frequency loss ratio 69.1% 61.6% 70.0% 71.4% 77.7% 88.3%
Covid - large loss -
Covid - frequency 35 24 6 3 2 -
Covid total 35 24 6 3 2 -
Weather - large loss
Weather - frequency -
Weather total -
Covid effect on large loss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Covid effect on underlying
frequency loss 0.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Weather effect on large loss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weather effect on underlying frequency loss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loss ratio adjusted for weather and
covid 68.0% 59.0% 71.9% 69.5% 81.7% 83.6%
Underlying frequency loss ratio
adjusted for weather and covid
69.5% 62.5% 70.2% 71.6% 78.2% 88.3%

Loss ratio Cost ratio

Loss ratio Cost ratio

Loss ratio Cost ratio

Loss ratio Cost ratio

Large losses 4.6 percentage points - higher than expected

Large losses - reported vs. expected

ロExpected ■Reported

Large losses per segment

C = Corporate Centre. Large > NOK 10m. Veather related large losses are included Large bosses in excesso of NOK 30m per caimis charged to the Corporate Centre while up to NOX the segment in which the lage loss occurred. The Battics segment has, a retention level of EUR 0.5m. The Sweden segment has a retention level of NOK 10m.

NOK m

Large losses development

Large losses per segment - actual vs. expected

NOK m

■Expected ■Q4 2022

Run-off gains 4.4 percentage points - higher than planned

Run-off net

NOK m

□Planned ■Reported

Run-off net per segment

NOK m

Run-off % of

Run-off development

Quarterly underwriting results - seasonality in Nordic general insurance

1 Reported UW result for Q1 2016 was NOK 1,251m. Adjusted for a non-recurring income of NOK 477m related to the UW result was NOK 774m.

2) Reported UW result for Q3 2016 was NOK 712m. Adjusted for a non-recuring cost the UW result was NOK 832m.

ි Reported U.V. result for Q-2016 visel for a non-ecuring NOK 44m increase in provision for restructuring cast and NOK 23m provision for increased pay of tac the UV i essult

4) Reported UW result for Q3 2018 was NOK 573m. Adjusted for a non-recurring cost the UW result was NOK 653m.

5) Reported UW result for Q4 2018 was NOK 1,914m. Adjusted for the extra run-off gains of NOK 1.1bn the UW result was NOK 834m.

28

Norwegian Natural Perils Pool in brief

Details regarding the pool

  • As per 1.1.2023 the premium rate is set to 0.065 per thousand of the fire insurance amount, no change from 2022
  • Natural perils damages in Norway:
    • o NOK 0-1,500m covered by general insurance companies based on national market share
    • o NOK 1,500m-16,000m covered by the Norwegian Natural Perils Pool's reinsurance programme
    • o Maximum compensation per event is NOK 16,000m
  • No limit for the frequency of events

Objects covered

  • Fire insurance coverage for buildings and contents in Norway includes coverage for natural catastrophes
  • · The pool does not cover loss of profits, motor vehicles, leisure boats, and certain other items, which are covered through ordinary insurances
  • · For damages on private property that cannot be insured, e.g. roads, bridges, farmland and forests, coverage may be sought through the National Natural Perils Fund

Handling of natural perils claims

  • The customers report claims to own insurance company
  • The insurance company reports claims on to Finance Norway, which coordinates the Norwegian Natural Perils Pool
  • Share of claims is allocated to the companies based on national market share for fire insurance
  • · Through own accounts, the companies cover the allocated claims costs

Gjensidige specific

  • Gjensidige is a reinsurer for the pool, for its own market share
  • Natural perils claims are booked in the same month as the claim occurs

Reinsurance - overview valid as from 2023

  • Reinsurance is purchased for protection of the Group's capital position and is primarily a capital management tool
  • · General retention level per loss/loss occurrence is NOK 100m (for the first loss the retention is NOK 200m)
  • For weather-related events the retention level is NOK 250m
  • Maximum retention level for the group per loss/loss occurrence/event across reinsurance programmes is NOK 600m including any reinstatement premium
  • Gjensidige considers additional coverage if this is appropriate according to internal modelling and capital requirement

Practical example, natural perils claim in Norway

  • A natural perils event covered by the Norwegian Natural Perils Pool occurs and is defined by Finance Norway as a single event. The total industry claim exceeds NOK 1,500m.
  • Gjensidige's share of the NOK 1,500 claim is allocated according to share in the pool.
  • Gjensidige is in addition allocated its share of the amount exceeding NOK 1,500m, as a reinsurer for the pool.
  • Gjensidige receives claims directly, for damages not covered by the pool.
  • Gjensidige's total claims related to the natural perils event exceeds Gjensidige's retention level and hits the catastrophe reinsurance programme.
  • · In general Gjensidige's net impact for this event is NOK 250m.

32

- ●●●

-

-

  • ●●●●●

  • ●● o
    • o

Investment portfolio

Asset class Investments, key elements1) Benchmark
Match portfolio
Fixed income - short duration Norwegian money market BP Norwegian Government Duration 0.25 Index
NOGOVD3M
Bonds at amortised cost Government and corporate bonds Yield provided in quarterly reports
Current bonds Mortgage, sovereign and corporate bonds, investment grade
bond funds and loan funds containing secured debt
IBOX COR 1-3 years
QW5C index
Free portfolio
Fixed income - short duration Norwegian money market NBP Norwegian Government Duration 0.25 Index
NOGOVD3M
Other bonds IG bonds in internationally diversified funds externally managed
and current bonds
Global Agg Corp
LGCPTRUH index
High Yield bonds Internationally diversified funds externally managed BoAML Global HY
HYDC index
Convertible bonds Internationally diversified funds externally managed Refinitiv Global Focus hedged Convertible
UCBIFX02 Index
Current equities Mainly internationally and domestic diversified funds externally
managed
MSCIW
NDDLWI Index
PE funds Oil/ oil-service/ general (Norwegian and Nordic funds) OSEBX index
Other Miscellaneous

1) See quarterly report for a more detailed description.

Fixed income - short

Bonds at amortised cost

duration

Current bonds

- ●●

- ●●

Credit and counterparty risk

Credit exposure

  • The portfolio consists mainly of securities in rated companies with high creditworthiness (Investment grade)
  • Issuers with no official rating are mainly Norwegian savings banks, municipalities, credit institutions and power producers and distributors

Total fixed income portfolio

Split - Rating Match portfolio Free portfolio
NOK bn % NOK bn %
AAA 12.8 34.8 2.0 11.7
AA 3.0 8.0 4.5 25.7
র্ব 7.7 20.9 4.1 23.7
ввв 6.1 16.6 2.3 13.0
BB 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6
B 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.0
CCC or lower 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
Internal rating1) 3.2 8.6 3.3 18.9
Unrated 3.9 10.6 0.7 4.2
Fixed income portfolio 36.8 100.0 17.4 100.0
Split - Counterparty Match portfolio Free portfolio
NOK bn % NOK bn %
Public sector 5.4 14.7 6.5 37.4
Bank/financial institutions 19.0 51.6 8.1 46.2
Corporates 12.4 33.7 2.9 16.5
Total 36.8 100.0 17.4 100.0

Capital generation year-to-date

Capital position per operational areas

NOK bn Approved partial
internal model
(Group)
Approved partial
internal model
(general insurance)
Own partial
internal model (Group)1)
Own partial
internal model
(general insurance)1)
Gjensidige
Pensjonsforsikring
Capital available 19.7 16.9 19.9 17.2 2.0
Capital requirement 11.0 10.0 8.7 7.6 1.4
Solvency ratio 179% 169% 230% 225% 143%

Figures as at 31.12.2022. The legal perspective is the regulatory approved version of the partial internal model. Solvency margins reflect best estimate reserves. 1) Own partial internal model is not validated.

Solvency II eligible own funds

Bridging the gap between IFRS equity and Solvency II capital

39

Gjensidige continues to work for full approval of own partial internal model (PIM)

NOK bn Approved PIM (Group) 1) Own PIM (Group) 2)
Eligible own funds 19.7 19.9
Capital charge for non-life and
health UW risk
10.4 7.8
Capital charge for life UW risk 1.7 1.7
Capital charge for market risk 4.8 4.3
Capital charge for counterparty risk 0.4 0.4
Diversification (4.2) (4.2)
Basic solvency capital requirement 13.2 10.1
Operational risk 1.1 1.1
Adjustments (loss-absorbing
capacity of deferred tax)
(3.2) (2.5)
Solvency capital requirement (SCR) 11.0 8.7
Surplus 8.7 11.3
Solvency ratio 179% 230%

Main differences between approved and own PIM

  • Windstorm model: Approved PIM based on standard formula. More validation required for approval.
  • Correlation between market risk and underwriting risk: Approved PIM based on standard formula. Own PIM takes account of dependencies between underwriting risk and market risk through common exposure to interest rates, inflation rates and currency rates.
  • Prudential margin: Approved PIM includes general prudential margins for both market risk and underwriting risk.

Figures as at 31.12.2022.

1 Most of non-life and Health underwriting risk and heath insurance business is internally modelled. The stardad formula is used for other risks

2) Own partial internal model is not validated.

40

Solvency II sensitivities for the approved partial internal model

Subordinated debt capacity

Gjensidige Forsikring Group

Principles for capacity

12 Constraint
SII Max 20% of Tier 1
capital
Max 50% of SCR
less other T2
capital items
Must be satisfied
at group and solo
level

Capacity and utilisation

  • Tier 1 remaining capacity is NOK 1.7-2.2bn
    • o Utilised Tier 1 debt capacity: NOK 1.2bn
  • · Tier 2 remaining capacity is 0.2bn
    • o Utilised sub debt: NOK 2.3bn
    • o Utilised natural perils fund: NOK 3.0bn

Annualised return on equity 19.3 per cent

Equity (NOK m)

Annualised return on equity (%)

Market leader in Norway

Market share - Private

Market shares Denmark

Growth opportunities outside Norway

Market shares Sweden

Market shares Baltics

rand ■ Gjensidige ■Lansforsäkringar ■ Gjensidige Vienna
■Trygg Hansa ■PZU Ergo
Folksam ■ Other ■ Other
  • ●●

Others

Gjensidige Pensjonsforsikring - Paid up policies a small part of liabilities

Share of paid up policies 1)


AUM defined contribution and paid up policies

Bonds at amortised cost Property exposure Fixed income - short duration Other financial investments Equity funds

Bonds at amortised cost Property exposure Fixed income - short duration Other financial investments Equity funds

Appendix

NOK bn

Gjensidige Pensjonsforsikring

- Well positioned for long-term growth in the Norwegian defined contribution pension market

Annual contribution (DC) and premium (DB) 1)

Ownership

10 largest shareholders 1)

No Shareholder Stake (%)
1 Gjensidigestiftelsen 62.24
2 Folketrygdfondet 3.76
3 BlackRock Inc 3.23
4 Deutsche Bank 3.06
5 Scotia Bank 1.37
6 The Vanguard Group, Inc 1.16
7 Nordea 1.02
8 Danske Bank 1.00
9 State Street Corporation 0.99
10 Storebrand Investments 0.91
Total 10 largest 78.73

Geographical distribution of shares 2)

Gjensidigestiftelsen's ownership policy:

  • Long term target holding: >60%
  • Can accept reduced ownership ratio in case of acquisitions and capital issues when in accordance with Gjensidige's overall strategy

Disclaimer

The peer sion and the have been properity and is the see exportion of Corporation in the Corporation is being por video you stay of you information and be epocures etaramithed for he compress on published in who entry proces follow to compy with the striction nay or shalles and the information in the information in the information in th general information at the of withing and are the subject to change without notice. The Company assumes on correct any of the informationse tout herein

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The pearlation describition in profit and partification of any of it an intribution of any of the basities of any of the casino contribution in proclines and other on the cas contact or ormither has been the reposes of assees of the information contaction in the presention on the reservation in the reservation in the reservation is spiect over inc competition of the content of the presently withd Mi. the Corpory relies on itsmain obtained to research and the more easest and or variation is neleo give to oncellent to Comments of the sources and the course, completers of the course, consecurity of increason faires of the nimaline of the the presentator. In and the consertained may and the any listing and the any liating any lablines of the may not this may world in and this may used this promotion of this ma contacts of the neation with the presential me not been and villat te egited on the US Secries And 1933 parented the US Securites of J. and emerican do tried States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

The pearcion should for the basis of any insective research insection in sessible of any issement one received in recigition and apralability business and finances and fronta cancion of suches not the seulities hy costines in the contex of a proposes of fing of search of the basis of financis contrastial in arrange of more to primation and sparts eelion to such and and the Corpory, referre innese policical subscribing mate by the Compay, sub and mater research reports work on the compress and other mater reserved memb pages.

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Investor Relations

Mitra Hagen Negård Head of Investor Relations

[email protected] Mobile: (+47) 957 93 631

Marius Michelsen Fjellbo Investor Relations Officer

[email protected] Mobile: (+47) 995 67 593

Address

Schweigaards gate 21, PO Box 700 Sentrum, 0106 Oslo, Norway gjensidige.no/ir

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