Investor Presentation • Feb 3, 2023
Investor Presentation
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CEO, Terje Pilskog & CFO, Mikkel Tørud
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec ASA or any company within the Scatec Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Alternative performance measures (APM) used in this presentation are described and presented in the fourth quarter 2022 report for the group.
NOK 2.6 billion total prop. EBITDA (-5% YoY)
NOK 2.5 billion equity investment (25% of 2027 target)
4.6 GW in operation and under construction (+38% YoY)
1) EBITDA and other alternative performance measures (APMs) are defined and reconciled as a part of the APM section of the fourth quarter 2022 report on pages 36-39.
548 510 263 188 236 281 600 0 200 400 800 1,000 1,100 979 1,047 GWh Q4'21 Q4'22 -6% Hydro, Philippines Hydro, Laos and Uganda Solar & wind
8
Focus on larger projects – average project in pipeline of ~300 MW
+500 people on site
Drainage, foundations, levelling and road works
+500 people on site
Groundworks, piling and tracker installation ramped up
10
*Remaining contract value based on currency rates per the end of the fourth quarter 2022.
- releasing capital from value accretive transaction to finance further growth
Advance Green Hydrogen Optimise Portfolio
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
| NOK million | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | Q4'22 | Q4'21 | FY'22 | FY'21 |
| Power Production | 1,262 | 1,073 | 4,521 | 3,890 |
| Services | 85 | 66 | 312 | 260 |
| Development & Construction | 627 | 18 | 1,069 | 137 |
| Corporate | 20 | 11 | 56 | 42 |
| Total | 1,995 | 1,169 | 5,957 | 4,329 |
| EBITDA | ||||
| Power Production | 821 | 763 | 2,835 | 2,949 |
| Services | 16 | 11 | 74 | 75 |
| Development & Construction | -20 | -57 | -221 | -223 |
| Corporate | -30 | -35 | -138 | -114 |
| Total | 786 | 683 | 2,550 | 2,686 |
| EBIT | ||||
| Power Production | 515 | 511 | 917 | 1,977 |
| Services | 14 | 10 | 68 | 70 |
| Development & Construction | -22 | -79 | -358 | -301 |
| Corporate | -40 | -42 | -167 | -140 |
| Total | 469 | 399 | 460 | 1,606 |
14
Revenues from Power Production from 2021 has been adjusted due to change in accounting policy, disclosed in note 10 in Q4'22 report
| Q4'22 | Q4'21 | FY'22 | FY'21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 773 | 762 | 3,002 | 3,038 |
| Net income/(loss) from JVs and associated companies |
220 | 276 | 749 | 765 |
| Operating expenses | -304 | -263 | -1,196 | -900 |
| EBITDA | 689 | 775 | 2,555 | 2,903 |
| Depreciation & Amortisation | -231 | -236 | -1,832 | -891 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 458 | 539 | 723 | 2,012 |
| Net financial expenses | -875 | -301 | -1,818 | -1,253 |
| Profit before income tax | -417 | 238 | -1,095 | 759 |
| Profit/(loss) for the period | -433 | 136 | -1,228 | 456 |
| Profit/(loss) to Scatec | -359 | 146 | -1,334 | 388 |
| Profit/(loss) to non-controlling interests | -74 | -11 | 106 | 68 |
| (NOK billion) |
Consolidated | Project level |
Group level* |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| Debt | -23.7 | -14.3 | -8.0 | -22.3 |
| Net debt | -19.6 | -12.1 | -6.2 | -18.4 |
16 (*) Defined as 'recourse group' in the corporate bond and loan agreements, where restricted cash is excluded.
• Total liquidity available of NOK 3.6 billion (including undrawn credit facilities)
Movement of cash in 'recourse group' as defined in the corporate bond and loan agreements.
| Power Production1) | Q4'22 | Q1'23E | FY2023E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Production - GWh |
979 | 800-900 | 3,500 – 3,900 |
| EBITDA - NOK million |
821 | 2,700 – 3,000 |
19
1) Proportionate production volume based on production from plants in operations at the end of Q4'22. EBITDA based on currency rates at end of Q4'22.
| NOK billion | Q3'22 | Repayments | New debt | Change in cash |
Currency effects |
Q4'22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Project level | -12.7 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | -12.1 |
| Group level* | -5.3 | - | - | -1.3 | 0.4 | -6.2 |
| Total | -18.0 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 1.0 | -18.4 |
| NOK million | Q4'22 | Q4'21 | FY'22 | FY'21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power production (GWh) | 979 | 1,047 | 3,898 | 3,823 |
| Revenues | 1,262 | 1,073 | 4,521 | 3,890 |
| Cost of sales | -230 | -104 | -852 | -270 |
| Gross Profit | 1,032 | 968 | 3,669 | 3,620 |
| EBITDA | 821 | 763 | 2,835 | 2,949 |
| EBIT | 515 | 511 | 917 | 1,977 |
| Cash flow to Equity | 357 | 330 | 1,487 | 1,640 |
| Cash flow to Equity % of EBITDA | 43% | 43% | 52% | 56% |
Inflation protection: ~90% of Power Production EBITDA is either in USD/EUR, have partial or full inflation protection through local CPI adjustments, or is based on sales in the local power market (Philippines).
| Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q4'21 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power production (GWh) | |||||
| Solar & Wind | 510 | 542 | 513 | 2,101 | 2,001 |
| Hydro the Philippines | 281 | 339 | 235 | 855 | 729 |
| Hydro Laos and Uganda | 188 | 254 | 299 | 942 | 1,092 |
| Total | 979 | 1,135 | 1,047 | 3,898 | 3,823 |
| Revenues (NOK million) | |||||
| Solar & Wind | 535 | 530 | 509 | 2,020 | 1,971 |
| Hydro the Philippines | 591 | 615 | 416 | 1,899 | 1,310 |
| Hydro Laos and Uganda | 136 | 166 | 148 | 602 | 610 |
| Total | 1,262 | 1,311 | 1,073 | 4,521 | 3,890 |
| EBITDA (NOK million) | |||||
| Solar & Wind | 397 | 383 | 376 | 1,409 | 1,521 |
| Hydro the Philippines | 307 | 375 | 254 | 888 | 874 |
| Hydro Laos and Uganda | 117 | 149 | 132 | 539 | 554 |
| Total | 821 | 907 | 763 | 2,835 | 2,949 |
23 Revenues from Power Production from 2021 has been adjusted due to change in accounting policy, disclosed in note 10 in Q4'22 report Revenues and EBITDA for Solar & Wind include other asset ownership expenses in the Power Production segment
| Plants in operation | ||
|---|---|---|
| MW | interest | |
| Theun Hinboun, Laos | 525 | 20% |
| Magat, Philippines | 388 | 50% |
| Benban, Egypt | 380 | 51% |
| Upington, South Africa | 258 | 46% |
| Bujagali, Uganda | 255 | 28% |
| Quantum Solar Park, Malaysia | 197 | 100% |
| Apodi, Brazil | 162 | 44% |
| Progressovka, Ukraine | 148 | 100% |
| Binga, Philippines | 140 | 50% |
| Guanizuil IIA, Argentina | 117 | 50% |
| Ambuklao, Philippines | 105 | 50% |
| Kalkbult, South Africa | 75 | 45% |
| Dreunberg, South Africa | 75 | 45% |
| Agua Fria, Honduras | 60 | 40% |
| Chigirin, Ukraine | 55 | 100% |
| Boguslav, Ukraine | 54 | 100% |
| Rengy, Ukraine | 47 | 51% |
| Redsol, Malaysia | 47 | 100% |
| Jordan, Jordan | 43 | 62% |
| Linde, South Africa | 40 | 45% |
| Mocuba, Mozambique | 40 | 53% |
| Dam Nai, Vietnam | 39 | 100% |
| Los Prados, Honduras | 35 | 70% |
| Kamianka, Ukraine | 32 | 61% |
| Czech, Czech Republic | 20 | 100% |
| Maris Hydro, Philippines | 9 | 50% |
| Release | 20 | 100% |
| Asyv, Rwanda | 9 | 54% |
| Total | 3,375 | 52% |
| MW | Economic interest |
|
|---|---|---|
| 540 | 51% | |
| 531 | 33% | |
| 150 | 75% | |
| 26 | 100% | |
| 20 | 50% | |
| 47% | ||
| MW | Economic interest |
|
| 51% | ||
| 273 | 51% | |
| H 2 |
260 | 52% |
| 60 | 100% | |
| 953 | 54% | |
| Capacity 1,267 Capacity 360 |
| Capacity MW |
Economic interest |
Under construction | Capacity MW |
Economic interest |
Project pipeline | Capacity MW |
Share in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenhardt, South Africa | 540 | 51% | Solar | 5,005 | 32% | ||
| Mendubim, Brazil | 531 | 33% | Wind | 6,223 | 39% | ||
| Sukkur, Pakistan | 150 | 75% | Hydro | 2,684 | 17% | ||
| Release | 26 | 100% | Green Hydrogen | 1,500 | 10% | ||
| Philippines | 20 | 50% | Release | 300 | 2% | ||
| Total | 1,267 | 47% | Total | 15,712 | 100% |
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