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Fjord Defence Group ASA

Investor Presentation Feb 22, 2023

3569_rns_2023-02-22_d0c77463-d218-4364-a153-f38677c1012c.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Carbon Transition Q4 2022

22 February 2023

Disclaimer

  • The information in this presentation has been prepared by Carbon Transition ASA (the "Company"). By attending the meeting where this presentation is made, or by reading the presentation slides, you agree to be bound by the following limitations and provisions:
  • This presentation has been prepared by the Company based on information available as of the date hereof. By relying on this presentation you accept the risk that the presentation does not cover all matters relevant of an assessment of an investment in the company.
  • No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, none of the Company, any advisor or any such persons' officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this presentation. The information herein is subject to change, completion, supplements or amendments without notice.
  • The presentation is based on the economic, regulatory, market and other conditions as in effect on the date hereof, and may contain certain forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they reflect the Company's current expectations and assumptions as to future events and circumstances that may not prove accurate. It should be understood that subsequent developments may affect the information contained in this document, which neither the Company nor its advisors are under an obligation to update, revise or affirm.
  • This complete presentation is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell shares in the Company. This presentation is not a prospectus, disclosure document or offering document and does not purport to be complete. Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted as a term or condition of the Transaction. The presentation is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person.
  • This presentation has not been reviewed or approved by any regulatory authority or stock exchange. The (re)distribution of this presentation and/or any prospectus or other documentation into jurisdictions other than Norway may be restricted by law. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to acquire any securities offered by any person in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is unlawful. Neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. Persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the securities laws of any such restrictions.
  • The contents of this presentation are not to be construed as legal, business, investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult with its own legal, business, investment and tax adviser as to legal, business, investment and tax advice.
  • Any investment in the Company involves inherent risks and is suitable only for investors who understand the risks associated with this type of investment and who can afford a loss of all or part of the investment. Investors should carefully review the summary of risk factors set out in the following slides before making any investment decision.
  • The presentation and any purported liability in connection with it is subject to Norwegian law and is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of the Norwegian courts.

Quarterly highlights

  • Fair value of multi-client library USD 37.5 million
    • o Includes second write-up of Utsira survey of USD 7.0 million
    • o Total multi-client write-ups year-to-date of USD 12.6 million
  • Announced reprocessing of the Utsira survey, backed by the major operators in the area
  • USD 2.5 million Utsira late sale (net to Carbon Transition) with significant additional future revenues based on agreed trigger events
    • o Subsequent to quarter end, reported USD 0.5 million Utsira late sale
  • Non -cash USD 4.3 million write -down of investment portfolio
    • o Write -down of Britishvolt investment primary contributor
    • o Invested USD 1.7 million (NOK 15.2 million)
  • Cash earnings of USD 1.9 million for the quarter
  • Available liquid funds of USD 11.2 million*
  • Net asset value NOK 2.00 per share

* Bank deposits, trade receivable and marketable securities

Revised strategy around attractive multi -client library

Maximizing value of seismic operations

  • State of the art multi-client library, targeting near-field exploration and production optimization
    • o Utsira (Norway) survey processed 2020; reprocessing 2023/2024
    • o Gulf of Suez (Egypt) survey processed 2022
  • Asset -sale agreement with Magseis Fairfield for node deployment equipment
    • o Up to USD 12.0 million revenue share; floor payment USD 1.5 million
    • o Improving market outlook
  • Low -cost operation
  • Revised strategy
    • o Generate revenues from seismic assets
    • o Invest in listed companies and companies expected to list in near term
    • o Risk and return criteria as well as approval process by board

Seismic market observations

Significant improvement in market conditions

  • Current oil and gas prices are highly supportive for our multi-client business in Norway and Egypt
  • The re-opening of China and the restrictions on Russian exports creates a supportive backdrop for the oil and gas prices in 2023
    • o Increased focus on energy security also drives industry investment
  • Major oil companies announcing increased spending in 2023 over recent years, and the Middle East is currently seeing record investments
  • As a consequence of the above, we have recently experienced shorter sales cycles, achieved higher prices of seismic data sold and a stronger pipeline going into 2023

Multi -client portfolio Norwegian North Sea – Utsira OBN

  • Estimated fair value of USD 28.2 million, including a USD 7.0 million write up
  • Historical cost USD 82 million
  • State of the art survey; processing completed Q3 2020
  • ILX OBN survey located to the west of the Utsira high in the Norwegian North Sea
  • Covers approximately 2,000 square kilometers of highly prospective acreage with high -definition 3D seismic ocean bottom node data
  • Q4 2022 late sale to existing client of net USD 2.5 million, with future milestone payments based on success criteria (uplifts)
  • Minor oil and gas discovery in the Gjegnalunden prospect (PL867B) by AkerBP and several new wells to follow in the area during 2023

Multi -client portfolio Norwegian North Sea – Axxis/CGG reprocessing

  • In December we announced the Axxis/CGG reprocessing of the Utsira survey, a project funded by the major operators in the area
  • Reprocessing has demonstrated significant improvements in subsurface imaging
  • Preliminary results shown at the NCS Exploration Strategy conference in Stavanger in November of last year and highlights the substantial improvements in image quality
  • Reprocessed data will improve sales of the Utsira data, as well as adding an additional product for sale to existing clients
    • o Must acquire underlying data before acquisition of reprocessed product
  • The reprocessing project will generate quarterly cashflow for the company during project execution and lates sales after production stage is completed

Multi-client portfolio Egypt – Gulf of Suez

  • Estimated fair value USD 9.3 million
  • Processing completed Q3 2022; state of the art node and streamer data for subsalt analysis
  • Inaugural late sale USD 1.6 million in Q3 2022
  • There are currently two wells scheduled to be completed in the first part of 2023 that will be drilled based on the library data
  • Schlumberger actively marketing the data to Egyptian clients
  • Egyptian market is experiencing major benefits from high oil and gas prices, and the government is supportive of investments in the sector

Net asset value

Summary NAV per share review

USD
millions
NOK per
share
Multi-client library
Financial assets
37.5
3.0
1.57
0.13
Legacy business 40.5 1.70
Investments 6.8 0.29
Net current liabilities 0.3 0.01
Net asset value 47.7 2.00

Observations

  • Legacy business represents largest share of NAV
    • o Multi-client investments
    • o Node equipment earn-out agreement
  • Investment portfolio; focusing more broadly
    • o Non-cash write-down USD 4.3 million from previous quarter
    • o Britishvolt is primary contributor

Comprehensive income

USD millions

Comprehensive income Q4 2022
Revenue 2.5
Changes in fair value of investments (4.3)
Cost of sale (0.0)
Selling, general & administrative expenses (0.6)
Amortization of multi-client (1.4)
Write-up multi-client (reversal of impairment) 7.0
Operating profit (loss) 3.2
Net financial income 0.3
Income tax (expense) 1.4
Profit (loss) for the period 4.8

Observations

  • Utsira late sales of USD 2.5 million
  • Non-cash reduction in value of investments of USD 4.3 million
  • SG&A includes approximately USD 150 thousand nonrecurring
  • Utsira amortization of USD 0.7 million and Gulf of Suez amortization of USD 0.7 million
  • Write-up Utsira reprocessing USD 7.0 million
  • Net financial income of USD 0.3 million
  • Income tax reversal of USD 1.4 million
  • Cash earnings of USD 1.9 million

Financial position

USD millions

ASSETS 31.12.2022
Multi-client library 37.5
Investments 6.8
Financial assets 3.0
Other current assets 3.2
Cash and cash equivalents 2.2
Total assets 52.7
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 31.12.2022
Equity 47.7
Taxes payables 2.3
Accounts payable 0.0
Other current liabilities 2.8
Total equity and liabilities 52.7

Observations

  • Utsira at USD 28.2 million (incl. write-up Utsira reprocessing), Gulf of Suez at USD 9.3 million
  • NPV node equipment earnout financial assets of USD 3.0 million
  • Other current assets from multi-client late sales
  • Taxes payable represents corporate taxes Egypt
  • Other current liabilities
    • o Egypt taxes of USD 2.1 million
  • Total Egyptian tax exposure down from Q3 2022 of USD 6.1 million to USD 4.4 million

Ratio analysis

  • Equity ratio 90.3%
  • Net asset value per share of NOK 2.00
  • Available liquid funds of USD 11.2 million*

* Bank deposits, trade receivable and marketable securities

Cash flow

USD millions

Cash flow Q4 2022
Profit (loss) before tax 3.5
Taxes paid (0.0)
Changes in fair value for investments 4.3
Amortization and write-up (reversal of impairment) (5.6)
Interest expense 0.0
Other working capital changes (1.5)
Cash flow from operating activities 0.6
Cash flow from investing activities 0.0
Cash flow from financial activities 0.0
Net change in cash 0.6
Cash and cash equivalents per December 2.2

Observations

  • Write-up of Utsira reprocessing USD 7.0 million
  • Amortization of Utsira and Gulf of Suez USD 1.4 million in the quarter

Outlook

  • Expect oil and gas prices to remain at historically high levels for foreseeable future
  • Improved profitability in energy sector expected to result in increased capital investment by oil majors and independents
  • Historical underinvestment in exploration and development is driving need for investment
    • o For 2023, capital investment by the oil companies is significantly increased
  • Expect multi-client library to benefit from this market dynamic
  • Market volatility is expected to remain high, and this poses a risk for the investment portfolio
    • o Prudent to take a cautious approach to making additional investments
    • o Will continue to evaluate new investment opportunities in line with our broader strategic focus
    • o Risk profile and investment decisions evaluated with the board

Investing in a sustainable future .

Askekroken 11 0277 Oslo Norway

carbn.no Copyright © 2021 Carbon Transition

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