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Norske Skog ASA

Investor Presentation Apr 27, 2023

3687_rns_2023-04-27_f41c8524-66d8-4427-9af8-3f2ff426f567.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Sustainable and innovative industry

Strategic transition on track

  • Publication paper
  • Packaging paper
  • Energy and bio products
2023-24
Ramp-up
2025-26
  • Started packaging paper production
  • Initiatives to improve cash cost position
  • Secured +85% of energy needs to end 2026
  • Ranked "Leader" with "A-" score by CDP
  • Cash NOK 2.9bn and liquidity NOK 4.7bn

First quarter in brief

Strong profitability in Q1 2023 with EBITDA of NOK 675m

EBITDA decline from Q4 2022 from lower volumes and less income from sale of excess energy Operating cash flow in the quarter of NOK 430m

Paper prices declining on back of lower input costs and soft demand

Raw materials prices declining, but energy costs, fresh fibre and chemicals remain at elevated levels Paper prices reflect lower industrial cash cost and increased competition as demand softens

Soft demand into 2023 for all grades

Weak demand for publication paper, additional capacity closures announced Containerboard demand affected by destocking and macro trends

Start-up of containerboard production at Bruck PM3

Packaging Paper segment introduced to reflect Bruck PM3 from Q1 2023 and Golbey PM1 from Q4 2023 First tonnes to be delivered to customers during Q2 2023

Bruck started production of packaging paper based on recycled fibre and steam from waste-to-energy facility Ceremony on 22 June for interested parties

Group financials

Operating cash flow Net debt

924 1 012 970 1 092 1 305 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Norwegian CO2 compensation for 2022 received in April 2023

Segment financials

Publication Paper Europe Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23
Operating rate, % 94% 90% 83% 74% 77%
Deliveries, thousand tonnes 407 407 347 300 245
Total operating income 2 968 3 469 3 129 3 551 2 864
EBITDA 439 909 483 1 131 763
EBITDA margin, % 14.8% 26.2% 15.4% 31.8% 26.6%
Publication Paper Australasia Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23
Operating rate, % 91% 98% 94% 98% 83%
Deliveries, thousand tonnes 61 63 66 63 56
Total operating income 429 470 514 508 434
EBITDA 40 49 33 33 -23
EBITDA margin, % 9.2% 10.4% 6.3% 6.5% -5.2%
Packaging Paper Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23
Operating rate, % 0%
Deliveries, thousand tonnes 0
Total operating income 24
EBITDA -38
EBITDA margin, % n.a.
Other activities Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23
Total operating income 314 133 71 61 61

EBITDA 131 -54 -8 -81 -27

Publication Paper Europe

Lower deliveries due to Golbey PM1 closure and weaker demand

Publication Paper Australasia

Lower operating rate caused by mill maintenance shut

Packaging Paper

  • Production start end Q1 2023, first customer deliveries and revenues during Q2 2023
  • Income in quarter relate to gate fees and CO2 allowances. Fixed costs of NOK 52m

Other

Negative EBITDA of NOK 27m impacted by LTI programme

Input costs declining, but remain at high levels

Prices lower due to easing costs and soft demand

Soft demand development

Million tonnes Million tonnes

Publication paper Western Europe Recycled containerboard Western Europe

  • Soft demand development for publication paper and containerboard in H2 2022
  • Weak market balance into 2023, capacity reductions required in all markets
  • Announced standard and improved newsprint closures of +1 000kt1 in 2023
  • Further newsprint closures of 400kt and SC closures of 350kt during 2024-25

9 Source: RISI, PPPC

1) Schongau PM6 (165kt), Steyermühl (300kt), Sachsen (310kt), Anjala PM3 (250kt)

Outlook

  • Raw material and energy costs expected lower, development remains uncertain
  • Paper prices influenced by lower input costs and soft demand increasing competitive pressure
  • Negative demand development expected from continued destocking and weak economic trends
  • Further capacity closures and industry consolidation required in all markets
  • Conversion projects on time and budget
  • Expect negative EBITDA from Packaging Paper segment for FY 2023 as production ramps up

Tore Hansesætre appointed as CEO from 1 June 2023

  • Tore Hansesætre started his career in Norske Skog in 2009
  • He currently holds the position Senior Vice President Strategic Projects
  • During his time, he has also held the following positions:
    • Chief Operating Officer (COO)
    • Vice President Operations
    • Manager Operation Support
    • Senior Advisor Business Performance
    • Corporate Strategy Analyst
  • Hansesætre will enter into his new role as Chief Executive Officer (CEO) on 1 June 2023

Hansesætre holds a Master's degree in Industrial Economics and Technology Management from the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU)

We create

green value

Norske Skog ASA Postal address: P.O. Box 294 Skøyen, 0213 Oslo, Norway Visitors: Sjølyst Plass 2, 0278 Oslo, Norway

Phone: +47 22 51 20 20 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]

This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with Norske Skog's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives . All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements .

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