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Volue ASA

Investor Presentation May 5, 2023

3783_rns_2023-05-05_aa972785-7c8a-438b-971d-abd2f1a45f5a.pdf

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First Quarter 2023 Financial Results

5 May 2023

Disclaimer

This presentation has been produced by Volue ASA (the "Company" or "Volue") exclusively for information purposes. This presentation is confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, or disclosed by any recipient, to any other person. To the best of the knowledge of the Company and its board of directors, the information contained in this presentation is in all material respect in accordance with the facts as of the date hereof, and contains no material omissions likely to affect its import.

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and its subsidiaries and/or the industry in which the Company operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. Neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries or any such person's officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forwardlooking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company assumes no obligation, except as required by law, to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to any actual results.

An investment in the Company involves risk, and several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the Company's business, segments, development, growth management, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors.

Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation.

The information in this presentation speaks as of the date hereof. The Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this presentation. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries or any such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document. By attending or receiving this presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company's business.

The contents of this presentation shall not be construed as legal, business or tax advice, and the furnishing of this presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Prospective investors should consult its own legal, business or tax advisor as to legal, business or tax advice.

This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only, and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any investment activity.

This presentation is subject to Norwegian law and any dispute arising in respect of this presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo district court as legal venue.

CEO CFO

Trond Straume Arnstein Kjesbu

Volue in brief

One of the largest software companies in Norway

Robust, flexible and scalable Volue platform

120 TRILLION WEATHER DATA

data points collected from sensors annually

MARKET INSIGHT

650 BILLION API calls to 150K price curves annually

37 MILLION

TRADING

algo trades every year based on >45B automated calculations

ENERGY

480 TWH

energy generation planned and optimised annually

Working across three major industry segments

Help customers master the energy transition by enabling end-to-end optimisation of the green energy value chain

Q1
revenues (% of total)
NOK 209m (62%)
Recurring revenues share (Q1) 63%
EU Taxonomy eligibility HIGH

Enable power distributors to support electrification of society by unlocking flexibility and digital management of the power grid

Q1
revenues (% of total)
NOK 209m (62%) Q1 revenues (% of total) NOK 76m (23%) Q1 revenues (% of total) NOK 54m (16%)
Recurring revenues share (Q1) 63% Recurring revenues share (Q1) 58% Recurring revenues share (Q1) 86%
SaaS revenues (Q1) 27 % SaaS revenues (Q1) 9% SaaS revenues (Q1) 46%
EU Taxonomy eligibility HIGH EU Taxonomy eligibility HIGH EU Taxonomy eligibility MEDIUM

Energy Power Grid Infrastructure

Deliver flexible capabilities for digital water management and help automate processes and machines for the construction industry

Q1 revenues (% of total) NOK 54m (16%)
Recurring revenues share (Q1) 86%
EU Taxonomy eligibility MEDIUM

Highlights for the Quarter

Recurring revenues

NOK 223 mill

Operating revenues

NOK 339 mill

21% growth from Q1 2022 19% growth from Q1 2022

SaaS revenues

NOK 88 mill

34% growth from Q1 2022

Adjusted EBITDA

NOK 55 mill

16% margin, on par with Q1 2022

Q1 Highlights: Strong growth in ARR

Performance, sales and operations

  • The group enters 2023 with strong momentum in revenue growth
  • Strongest ARR growth since listing
  • Energy segment with 22% growth and improved profitability
  • Breakthrough in Japan with 11 customers to date
  • Record quarterly revenues for Power Grid segment with 20% growth
  • Profitability in line with expectations

Adjusted EBITDA and other alternative performance measures (APMs) are defined as part of the APM section in this presentation on page 33. 9

2030

The energy system facing tectonic shift towards 2030

Europe in 2020

109 large power producers controlling 70% of production (718GW)

8 600 producers in total*

Growth in capacity coming from the large players

Flexible power plants

Capacity being built over 120 year

Advanced solutions and high complexity

Europe's response to energy security is 400GW of new solar and wind to be added

15 000 producers in total*

Majority of new capacity comes from new and smaller entrants

260 bn € investments in Wind power*

180 bn € investments in Solar PV*

Customer lifecycle increases to include project identification and qualifying

Intermittent capacity without flexibility affecting power producers and distributors

200 million new Distributed Energy Resources (DER)*

Volue key learning: Transformation of the European energy system is increasing in pace and magnitude – the game is changed

Volues response: Software for integrated value-chain

Volue's strategic focus 2030

Become the number one software and software-integrated service provider to the European energy system by 2030

Volue's foundation is a battle-proven portfolio for incumbent power producers. Adopting to the tectonic shift faced by the European energy system, Volue is laser-focused on development efforts targeting the energy market of tomorrow. The efforts are all encompassing and yielding valuable proof-points already.

Artificial Intelligence - an integral part of the Volue platform

Initial investments in AI dates back to 1996. Dedicated AI Centre Of Excellence in 2016 and building competence in the field ever since

AI is used to improve analysis and predictions across the Volue portfolio of offerings

AI is a fundamantal part of Volue's current offering, contributing to the market leading position

Two selected highlights in Volue's value chain where AI plays a fundamental role in creating customer value

AI Forecast

AI is a central and cutting-edge component in delivering Volue's unparalleled price prognoses for the power market

AI detects hidden correlations between predictable factors and tradable price spreads in Volue trading software

To date AI has enabled Volue become market leader in forecasting and trading. It is a fundamental building block in capturing the growth in the energy system

Update on Japan

Market fit proving very successful, leading to accelerated growth

ABOUT VOLUE'S EFFORTS IN JAPAN

  • Markets being deregulated following Fukushima
  • Japan represents a third of Europe in terms of capacity
  • Most exciting new geography in Volue's eyes
  • Volue entry initially limited to the Insight platform
  • Following the successful entry, expansion to broaden the market offering is under consideration

TEN OUT OF ELEVEN CONTRACTS SIGNED IN 2023

Customer testimony: "Following our comprehensive benchmark, Volue is consistently outperforming its competitors"

Proof-point deal in the transforming energy system

Client description Globally dominant car manufacturer

Assets to be managed

Batteries will be utilised in the energy markets before being provided as replacement batteries for EVs.

Volue capabilities

Volue optimisation-, battery management- and algo trading software to capitalise on the German market's peaks and

redundancy Contract description

Year long PoC

Size of the project

PoC phase is of a modest 1-5MW, with the ambition of growing to 400MW in next phase

Volue showcasing the ability to leverage utility scale batteries and monetise on peaks and redundancy in energy markets

Reference case from an industry giant, in a market expected to undergo exceptional growth

Volue is focusing on software and services for a transforming energy system

Volue has initiated a strategical assessment of its ownership in Industrial IoT

NOK million Volue Group Volue
Industrial
IoT
Volue Software &
Services
SaaS 283 23% 0 0% 283 27%
ARR 765 63% 96 61% 669 63%
Non-recurring revenues 452 60 392
Operating Revenues
1
217
156 1
061
EBITDA Adj 203 17% 5 3% 198 19%

2022 Q1 2023

NOK million Volue Group Volue
Industrial IoT
Volue Software
& Services
SaaS 88 26% 0 0% 88 30%
ARR 223 66% 24 55% 199 67%
Non-recurring revenues 114 20 95
Operating Revenues 339 44 296
EBITDA Adj 55 16% 1 2% 54 18%

First Quarter 2023 Financial Results

Financial highlights

Financial highlights (NOKm) Q1 2023 Q1 2022 FY 2022 LTM
Operating revenues 339 286 1,217 1,270
Adjusted EBITDA1 55 45 203 213
Adjusted EBITDA margin 16% 16% 17% 17%
Recurring revenues growth (%) 21% 13% 15% 17%
Recurring revenues (% of revenues) 66% 65% 63% 63%
SaaS revenues growth (%) 34% 40% 28% 27%
SaaS revenues (% of revenues) 26% 23% 23% 24%
R&D CAPEX (% of revenues) 11% 11% 11% 10 %

1 EBITDA adjusted for non-recurring items.

Growth

  • Strong financial performance with good growth for our software solutions
  • 19% revenue growth from Q1 2022
  • Strong growth in SaaS revenues of 34% from Q1 2022
  • Energy Segment with 22% revenue growth
  • Power Grid with record high growth
  • Some revenue tailwinds from currency in the quarter. Revenues and costs are tightly linked in currency, so the profitability impact is neutral to slightly positive

Profitability

Adjusted EBITDA margin in Q1 2023 inline with Q1 2022

  • Onboarding of new personnel in 2022 main driver for increased cost level, that gives a flat margin development from Q1 2022
  • Inflation rates increase cost level more rapid
  • Profitability measures in Q1 allows Volue to keep current cost base while maintaining growth
  • Increased market activities gives impact for Infrastructure
  • Shift in business models gives impact on margins
  • Strategic investments in SaaS platform creates short- to mid-term EBIT impact

Capex

Increased Capex level in the quarter in line with plans

  • New product features for international growth driving capex level
  • Platform investment for further scalability

Strong growth in annual recurring revenues (ARR) Accelerating shift towards SaaS

30%

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

50%

70%

90%

110%

130%

150%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1 Recurring revenues are defined as revenues from recurring contracts including Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) 2 SaaS revenues are defined as revenues from software & services operated by Volue in the cloud

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Strong growth in ARR base and highly sticky customer base

Annualised recurring revenues basis1

  1. Annualised recurring revenues basis is the yearly value of recurring contracts, delivered and not delivered

  1. Churn is cancelled yearly recurring revenues divided by total revenues.

Energy Segment

Growth

  • Segment with growth of 22% from Q1 22
  • Revenue from Energy Market Operations coming down from an abnormal 2022, stabilising on new normal levels
  • Strong sales due to increased demand for forecast and analytics services
  • Increased order backlog, and solid growth in ARR base

Profitability in the quarter

  • Increased margins from product portfolio, influenced by good margins from Market Operations area
  • Large increase in capacity for further investments in new products and services has been onboarded throughout 2022

Main drivers for uplift in contribution going forward

  • Sales closing mainly from scalable SaaS product on trading and insight products, giving uplift in contribution without adding new cost
  • Few new headcounts planned to be added throughout 2023
  • Synergies on cost level through more integrated product lines that reduce OPEX level

Investments

  • CAPEX level at ~9% of revenues, mainly constituted by R&D investments
  • Significant investments into new products related to optimisation and trading solutions

Power Grid Segment

Growth

  • Growth rates picking up due to strong sales
  • Delivery capacity increased, allowing further growth
  • Solid market outlook with large pipeline
  • Major deal in Denmark on strategic product area

Profitability in the quarter

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin increased in the quarter compared with 2022
  • Investments in market expansions with new products for European markets impacts the margins in the quarter

Main drivers for uplift in contribution going forward

  • Mid-term increased contribution following sale of scalable products from our Spark program
  • Current team scaled to capture growth throughout 2023
  • Shift in business models and growth on top line on scalable SaaS products
  • Uplift in contribution from improved profitability in consulting activities

Investments

  • Increase in CAPEX level in the quarter at ~15 % of revenues
  • Ongoing investments in international expansion
  • CAPEX level expected to be on same level going forward

Infrastructure Segment

  • Growth Successful shift in business models progressing, creating uplift in ARR
  • Solid sale in 2023, giving increased order backlog, that will influence growth rate for remaining 2023
  • 100 new clients added in 2022. All SaaS and 30 new in Sweden

  • Profitability Ongoing investments in market expansions combined with shift to SaaS business models putting pressure on EBITDA margins

  • Construction with a full market entry in Sweden gives impact on margins

- Main drivers for uplift in contribution going forward Strong growth in sales closing on SaaS platform will drive uplift in margins with main investments completed

  • Current team scaled to capture growth throughout 2023 Reduced order backlog will improve time-to-cash and provide margin uplift

  • Investments and subsequent events CAPEX level at ~12% of revenues, expected at same levels in the near -term and decline over time

  • After closing of Q1, Volue has sold its position within Fire and Chimney with annual revenues of 4,8 MNOK. The transaction value is estimated to 25 MNOK.

Guidance & Priorities

Classification: Private

Update on guidance

24

Target of NOK 2 billion in revenues 2025, including M&A, reiterated

Annual long-term organic growth of 15% reiterated

Year-by-year increase of adjusted EBITDA margin, cash conversion, share of ARR and SaaS revenues

Priorities for 2023

  • Long-term growth target of 15% reiterated, whilst lower 2023 non-recurring revenues may limit growth from 2022
  • Continue to grow ARR business in line with 2022 performance
  • Focus on profitability initiatives to improve profitability and cash conversion
  • Structural growth through M&A

Appendix Financial and Operational Information

Group P&L and KPIs

Group financial performance

Key metrics (NOKm) Q1 2023 Q1 2022 LTM 2022
Operating revenues 339 286 1,270 1,217
COGS 50 43 215 208
Gross profit 289 243 1,057 1,011
Gross margin % 85 % 85 % 83% 83%
Personnel expenses (excl. capitalised
R&D) 180 151 631 602
Other OPEX 55 47 214 206
Adjusted EBITDA 55 45 213 203
Adjusted EBITDA margin % 16% 16 % 17% 17%
Non-recurring items 8 5 60 57
EBITDA 46 40 153 146
EBITDA margin % 14% 14% 12% 12%
Depreciation and amortisation 23 26 103 106
EBIT 24 14 50 40
EBIT margin % 7% 5% 4% 3%
Net financial items 1 -3 0 -4
EBT 25 10 50 36
Tax 6 4 11 9
Profit (loss) 19 6 39 27

Balance sheet

Balance sheet (NOKm) Q1 2023 31.03
2022
31.12
2022
Balance sheet (NOKm) Q1 2023 31.03
2022
31.12
2022
ASSETS LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Property, plant and equipment 122 135 124 Equity 840 767 808
Intangible assets 665 551 623 Total Equity 840 767 808
Pension assets 6 8 6 Lease liabilities 74 84 77
Non-current receivables and
investments 37 37 35 Employee benefits 0 536 0
Total non-current assets 830 731 788 Other non-current liabilities 11 14 15
Deferred tax liabilities 16 15 23
Total non -
current liabilities
102 114 117
Borrowings 5 10 7
Inventory 28 24 29 Lease liabilities 21 25 19
Contract assets 68 74 54 Trade and other payables 111 72 397
Trade and other receivables 543 305 543 Current tax liabilities 34 27 24
Other current assets 0 2 0 Contract liabilities 319 269 31
Cash and cash equivalents 636 631 446 Other current liabilities 559 483 457
Total current assets 1,161 1,036 1,073 Total current liabilities 1,050 886 936
Total assets 1,991 1,767 1,861 Total liabilities and equity 1,991 1,767 1,861

Cash flow statement

Cash flow statement (NOKm) 31.03.2023 31.03.2022
Profit before tax 25 10
Depreciations 23 26
Net finance 0 3
Change in inventories 1 -4
Change in other current assets 103 147
Change in other current liabilities 160 106
Change in other provisions 1 0
Change in tax paid -7 -4
Net cash flow from operating activities 305 285
Interest received 2 1
Purchase of property, plant and intangible assets -41 -34
Cash flows related to acquisitions -85 0
Acquisition of non-controlling interests -10 0
Net cash flow from investing activities -135 -33
Movement in borrowings 3 -14
Interest paid -8 -2
Purchase of own shares 0 -1
Net cash flow from financing activities -5 -17
Net change in cash and cash equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents opening balance
165
446
234
404
Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash
equivalents 24 -7
Cash and cash equivalents closing balance 636 631

Segment overview

Energy Segment (NOKm) Q1 2023 Q1 2022 2022 LTM
Operating revenues 209 172 762 799
Adjusted EBITDA 41 30 151 158
Adjusted EBITDA margin 20% 17% 20% 20%
R&D CAPEX (% of revenues) 9% 10% 8% 11%
Power Grid Segment (NOKm) Q1 2023 Q1 2022 2022 LTM
Operating revenues 76 64 254 267
Adjusted EBITDA 11 6 19 24
Adjusted EBITDA margin 14% 10% 7% 9%
R&D CAPEX (% of revenues) 15% 9% 12% 17%
Infrastructure Segment (NOKm) Q1 2022 Q1 2022 2022 LTM
Revenues 54 50 201 205
Adjusted EBITDA 3 9 33 27
Adjusted EBITDA margin 5% 18% 16% 13%
R&D CAPEX (% of revenues) 12% 14% 15% 20%

Revenue splits within segments, Q1 2023

% of segment revenue Energy Power grid Infrastructure
Total ARR 64% 58% 86%
of which is SaaS 27% 9% 46%
License fee 3% 5% 1%
Consulting 12% 32% 12%
Energy Market Operations 12% 0% 0%
Other Revenue non-recurring 10% 5% 1%

Revenues from Energy Market

The Energy segment has experienced abnormal trading revenues from volatility in the region of 60MNOK in 2022. Trending somewhat down as expected in Q1 2023

Power Grid has a strong pipeline for growing ARR business

Infrastructure continue to display highly attractive ARR and SaaS numbers

Alternative performance measures (APMs)

Basis for preparation

This presentation provides financial highlights for the quarter for Volue. The financial information is not reported according to the requirements in IAS 34 and the figures are not audited.

Volue ASA presents alternative performance measures as a supplement to measures regulated by IFRS. The alternative performance measures are presented to provide better insight and understanding of operations, financial position and the basis for future developments.

The definitions of these measures are as follows:

Adjusted EBITDA - In order to give a better representation of underlying performance, EBITDA is adjusted with non-recurring items. Note that adjusted EBITDA does not include estimated one-off loss of revenues due to the cyber-incident.

ARR – Annual Recurring Revenues is defined as revenues from recurring contracts including software as a service.

EBITDA - Profit/loss before tax, net finance cost, depreciation, amortisation and impairment.

SaaS – Software as a service. SaaS revenues are defined as revenues from software & services operated by Volue in the cloud.

Non-recurring items - items that are not part of the ordinary business, such as external costs related to implementation of corporate backoffice cloud-based systems (e.g. ERP), M&A related costs and costs related to the share based remuneration schemes. In accordance with IFRS IC agenda decision (Configuration or Customisation Costs in a Cloud Computing Arrangement) from April 2021, these costs have not been capitalised, as they previously would have been.

EBIT - Profit/loss before tax and net finance cost.

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