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Protector Forsikring

Investor Presentation Jul 10, 2023

3719_rns_2023-07-10_61da1bfe-c0a0-4a01-b6e3-30d656eb1806.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

Investor Presentation

Henrik Høye Chief Executive Officer

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Claims update

  • Result driven by strong property results and offset by weak motor
    • Same as for Q1
  • Large losses1 at 4.7% (2.7%)
    • 6 claims, equally driven by UK, Norway and Sweden
  • Run-off gains at 2.9% (gain of 3.0%)
    • Run-off gains in UK, Norway, Finland and Sweden, loss in Denmark

5

• 2.0% loss linked to large claims from 2022

CONSTITUTION
Business unit 027231 Q2 23 Q2 22 02 22
Gross Net Gross Net
Norway 82 % 84 % 72 % 75 %
Sweden 82 % 86 % 65 % 68 %
Denmark 82 % 89 % 81 % 78 %
UK 41 % 55 % 72 % 77 %
Finland 48 % 49 % 85 % 84 %
Protector 65.7 % - 72.6% 71.8 % - 74 %
Loss ratios
Business unit H1 23 H1 23 H1 22 H122
Gross Net Gross Net
Norway 82 % 85 % 78 % 81 %
Sweden 83 % 87 % 74 % - 75 %
Denmark 100 % 94 % 86 % 88 %
UK 62 % 59 % 69 % 78 %
Finland 65 % 65 % 76 % 76 %
Protector 77.4 % 772 % - 75.6 % - 79.4%

Large losses1 and run-off Q2: Large losses of MNOK 111.7 or 4.7%, run-off gains at 2.9%

  • Large loss of MNOK 111.7 or 4.7% (44.4 or 2.7%)
    • Only property claims
    • Including Protector's share of a natural peril event which occurred in Norway during the quarter of around 34 MNOK

• Primarily driven by run-off gains on motor and property

• Some volatility in reserves & large losses must be expected

6

NGAAP IFRS17

  • Q2 growth of 71%

    • Renewal rate 106%, supported by price increases to counter claims inflation
    • UK accounts for 74% of new sales, Sweden 17%
    • Very low churn in the UK
  • Old news: April 1st is the largest inception date in the UK

    • MGBP 72 growth in Public Sector and Housing Associations
    • High property share driven by market conditions
    • Growth volatility should be expected
Business unit Q2 23 Q2 22 Growth NOK % LCY%
Norway 373 338 34 10 % 10 %
Sweden 625 515 109 / 21 % 12 %
Denmark 125 63 62 98 % 42 %
UK 1 925 863 1 061 123 % 103 %
Finland 10 8 35 % -59 %
Protector 3 057 1 788 T 1, 269 71% 56 %
Business unit H1 23 H1 22 Growth NOK % LCY%
Norway 1 539 1 294 246 19 % 19 %
Sweden 1 816 1 459 357 24 % 19 %
Denmark 1 105 875 230 26 % 11 %
UK 2 294 1 059 1 235 117 % 99 %
Finland 246 212 34 16 % 2%
Protector 7 001 4 899 2 102 43 % 34 %

Country-by-country key metrics

Quarterly volatility must be expected, especially by country

PROTECTOR insurance

Q2 23

Norway Sweden Denmark UK Finland Protector
MNOK Q2 23 Q2 22 Q2 23 Q2 22 Q2 23 Q2 22 Q2 23 Q2 22 Q2 23 Q2 22 Q2 23 Q2 22
Gross premium written 373 338 625 515 125 ર્દિક 1 925 863 10 00 3 057 1 788
Insurance revenues 457 389 606 499 337 258 924 450 64 ਪਤ 2 387 1 639
Insurance service result 50 74 105 14 40 293 29 25 384 249
Loss ratio, gross 82.1 % 72.4 % 81.7 % 64.8 % 82.1 % 81.0 % 41.0 % 72.4 % 48.3 % 85.2 % 65.2 % 71.8 %
Net reinsurance ratio 1.6 % 2.9 % 3.9 % 2.8 % 6.4 % -2.9 % 13.6 % 4.8 % 0.9 % -1.3 % 7.5 % 2.3 %
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 83.6 % 75.2 % 85.5 % 67.6 % 88.5 % 78.1 % 54.6 % 77.2 % 49.2 % 83.9 % 72.6 % 74.1 %
Cost ratio 5.5 % 5.7 % 14.2 % 11.4 % 7.2 % 6.4 % 13.7 % 16.4 % 12.0 % 14.4 % 11.3 % 10.7 %
Combined ratio 89.1 % 81.0 % 99.8 % 79.0 % 95.7 % 84.5 % 68.3 % 93.6 % 61.2 % 98.3 % 83.9 % 84.8 %

H1 23

UK
Norway
Sweden
Denmark
Finland Protector
MNOK H1 23 H1 22 H1 23 H1 22 H1 23 H1 22 H1 23 H1 22 H1 23 H1 22 H1 23 H1 22
Gross premium written 1 539 1 294 1816 1 459 1 105 875 2 294 1 059 246 212 7 001 4 899
Insurance revenues 920 784 1 185 967 e29 503 1 505 841 ਹ ਤੇ ਦ 127 4 374 3 223
Insurance service result 87 100 3) 126 (5) 24 408 57 32 11 520 318
Loss ratio, gross 82.1 % 77.6 % 82.8 % 74.1 % 99.8 % 86.0 % 62.1 % 69.4 % 64.8 % 75.8 % 77.4 % 75.6 %
Net reinsurance ratio 2.5 % 3.3 % 4.0 % 1.3 % -6.1 % 2.2 % -2.8 % 8.4 % 0.6 % -0.1 % -0.2 % 3.7 %
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 84.6 % 80.9 % 86.8 % 75.4 % 93.7 % 88.2 % 59.4 % 77.8 % 65.4 % 75.7 % 77.2 % 79.4 %
Cost ratio 5.9 % 6.3 % 13.5 % 11.6 % 7.0 % 7.0 % 13.5 % 15.4 % 11.1 % 15.8 % 10.9 % 10.8 %
Combined ratio 90.5 % 87.2 % 100.3 % 87.0 % 100.7 % 95.2 % 72.9 % 93.2 % 76.5 % 91.6 % 88.1 % 90.1 %

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Investment performance

-1.0% return in Q2 driven by rate changes and equities | 3.1% return in H1

  • MNOK -180, or -1.0% loss in Q2
    • Equities: MNOK -138, or -4.8%
    • Put options: MNOK -19
    • Bonds: MNOK -23, or -0.2%
      • Interest rate swaps: -202 MNOK
  • Strong quarter for Nordic HY bonds
    • DNB Nordic HY index return 2.4%
  • MNOK 481, or 3.1% gain in H1
    • Equities: MNOK 307, or 12.7%
    • Put options: MNOK -37
    • Bonds: MNOK 211, or 1.6%
      • Interest rate swaps: -182 MNOK
  • Steering interest rate risk from a capital perspective

Bonds Total1

-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 1.6 % Equities1 12.7 % Bonds 3.1 % Total1

H1 investment results

1 Put option included in total return and excluded in equity return

Equities1

Investment portfolio statistics

Bond portfolio yield at 6.1%, before cost of risk

  • Bond portfolio yielding 6.1%, before cost of risk
    • Avg. reference rate up 0.6%-points from Q1
    • Slightly increased risk in bonds during Q223
      • HY portfolio totalling BNOK ≈ 4.1 vs. BNOK 3.5 Q123
      • Credit duration increased to 1.9, from 1.8 Q123
      • A- average rating and stable

• Equity share at 15.5%, down from 17.4% Q1

Investment portfolio statistics1 30.06.23 30.06.22 31.03.23
e
m
o
c
n
d i
e
x
Fi
Size bond & cash eq. (MNOK)2 15 143 12 114 13 965
Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR, etc.) 4.1% 1.8% 3.5%
Avg. spread/risk premium (bps) 204 204 215
Yield3 6.1% 3.9% 5.6%
Duration3 2.6 1.1 2.3
Credit duration 1.9 1.6 1.8
Avg. rating4 A- A A
s
e
uiti
q
E
Portfolio
size5
2 777 2 262 2
944
Share of total 15.5% 15.5% 17.4%
Estimated
intrinsic value discount
29% 36% 24%
No. of companies 30 30 23

1 Bank deposits included

2Size excludes currency swaps

3Interest rate swap effect included

4Avg. linear rating based on official rating (>50%) and 'Protector rating' (<50%)

5 Size excludes currency swaps and put options

Profit and loss Q2 23 (& H1 23)

Profit of MNOK 219 (845) | EPS at NOK 2.7 (10.3)

Balance Sheet SCR ratio1 at 192%

In millions 30.06.2023 30.06.2022 31.12.2022
Financial assets 17 345 13 708 14 195
Derivatives 27 142 66
Bank deposits 46 105 198
Other assets 1 837 2 149 1 971
Discontinued
operations
517 1 102 888
Total assets 19 772 17 207 17 318
Total equity 4 045 2 815 3 761
Subordinated loan capital 1 245 1 245 1 245
Insurance contract liabilities 12 810 11 316 10 430
Derivatives 58 100 55
Other liabilities 1 284 1 081 1 305
Discontinued operations 330 649 522
Total equity and liabilities 19 772 17 207 17 318

13

*Numbers may not add up due to rounding

  • Positive technical and negative investment result
  • Own funds reduced with proposed dividend
  • Solvency capital requirement increase in line with growth

SCR ratio composition

Solvency II SCR ratio at 192%

Composition of SCR:

  • Net insurance risk 62%
  • Net market risk 29%
  • Other risks 9%

SCR composition

Eligible solvency capital:

14

• Guarantee provision and proposed dividend subtracted from own funds

Eligible own funds

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

From all of us 482 Challengers, we wish you a delightful and safe summer holiday

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