Investor Presentation • Jul 13, 2023
Investor Presentation
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13 July 2023 Aker BP ASA
This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.
These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.
These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.
Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.
Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
Second quarter 2023
1,000 barrels oil equivalent per day (mboepd)
A giant field with excellent reservoir properties
Daily oil production since start-up of Johan Sverdrup
Capacity utilisation (operated assets)
Injury frequency (TRIF)
TRIF: Total recordable injuries per million exp. hours, rolling 12 months average
Aker BP emission intensity, kg CO2e/boe
Kg CO2 /boe equity share (2022)1
Lifting Aker BP's production by 250-300 mboepd in 2028
mboepd
\$35-40/bbl
Project portfolio break-even oil price1
~25%
Project portfolio IRR at \$65/bbl oil price
1-2 years
Project portfolio payback at \$65/bbl oil price
770 mmboe net oil and gas volume at net capex after tax of around USD 3 billion
| Asset area | Field development | Aker BP ownership |
Gross/net volume | Net capex estimate | PDO submission | Production start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvheim | Frosk | 80.0% | 10/8 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2023 |
| Kobra East & Gekko |
80.0% | 50/40 mmboe | USD 0.9bn | 2021 | 2023/24 | |
| Tyrving | 61.3% | 25/15 mmboe | USD 0.4bn | 2022 | 2025 | |
| Hanz | 35.0% | 20/7 mmboe | USD 0.2bn | 2021 | 2024 | |
| Edvard Grieg & Ivar Aasen |
Symra | 50.0% | USD 1.3bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Solveig Phase II | 65.0% | 87/49 mmboe | 2026 | |||
| Alve North |
68.1% | 119/51 mmboe | USD 1.0bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Skarv | Idun North |
23.8% | 2027 | |||
| Ørn | 30.0% | 2027 | ||||
| Valhall PWP |
90.0% | 230/187 mmboe | USD 5.5bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | |
| Valhall | Fenris | 77.8% | 2027 | |||
| Hugin | 87.7% | USD 10.7bn | Dec-22 | 2027 | ||
| Yggdrasil | Munin | 50.0% | 650/413 mmboe | 2027 | ||
| Fulla | 47.7% | 2027 |
Øst Frigg will be an integrated part of ongoing project development
Norway's longest ever exploration well of nearly 8 200 meters
| Licence | Prospect | Operator | Aker BP share |
Pre-drill mmboe |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL867 | Gjegnalunden | Aker BP | 80% | 3-9 mmboe | |
| PL1141 | Styggehøe | Aker BP | 70% | Dry | |
| PL554 | Angulata | Equinor | 30% | Dry | |
| PL919 | Ve | Aker BP | 80% | 3-5 mmboe | |
| PL873/442 | Øst Frigg Beta/Epsilon | Aker BP | 48%/88% | 53-90 mmboe | |
| PL1148 | Carmen | Wellesley | 10% | Discovery | |
| PL1005 | Rondeslottet1 | Aker BP | 40% | Drilling | |
| PL 984 | Norma | DNO | 10% | 31 - 122 |
Q3 |
| PL442 | Frigg Gamma Delta/Ypsilon | Aker BP | 88% | 9 - 22 |
Q3 |
| PL035 | Krafla Mid Statfjord | Aker BP | 50% | 7 - 45 |
Q3 |
| PL929 | Ofelia appraisal | Neptune | 10% | 16 - 39 |
Q3 |
| PL211CS | Adriana appraisal (Dvalin N) | Wintershall Dea | 15% | 29 - 66 |
Q4 |
| PL956 | Ringhornet Ty | Vår Energi | 20% | 7 - 27 |
Q4 |
| PL261 | Storjo West | Aker BP | 70% | 4 - 32 |
Q4 |
| PL1170 | Ferdinand | Aker BP | 35% | 31 - 65 |
Q4 |
| PL272 | Surtsey2 | Aker BP | 50% | 2 - 16 |
Q4 |
| PL869 | Rumpetroll South2 |
Aker BP | 80% | 10 - 45 |
Q4 |
| PL917 | Magellan/Hubert | Vår Energi | 40% | 16 - 54 |
Q4 |
| PL 932 | Kaldafjell | Aker BP | 40% | 19 - 145 |
Moved to 2024 |
1) Appraisal of the Ellida discovery from 2003 2) Moved from 2024 exploration program
▪ Cost control and project execution
▪ Optimisation of capital structure
Volume sold mboepd
Liquids Natural gas
Total income USD million
Liquids Natural gas Other
USD million
| Q1 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before impairment | Impairments | Actual | Actual | |
| Total income | 3 291 | 3 291 | 3 310 | |
| Production costs | 247 | 247 | 263 | |
| Other operating expenses | 13 | 13 | 16 | |
| EBITDAX | 3 031 | 3 031 | 3 031 | |
| Exploration expenses | 27 | 27 | 98 | |
| EBITDA | 3 004 | 3 004 | 2 933 | |
| Depreciation | 645 | 645 | 599 | |
| Impairments | 102 | 102 | 373 | |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 2 359 | (102) | 2 257 | 1 961 |
| Net financial items | (50) | (50) | (137) | |
| Profit/loss before taxes | 2 309 | (102) | 2 207 | 1 824 |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
1 826 | (15) | 1 811 | 1 637 |
| Net profit / loss | 483 | (86) | 397 | 187 |
| EPS (USD) | 0.76 | (0.14) | 0.63 | 0.30 |
| Effective tax rate | 79 % | 15 % | 82 % | 90 % |
477 mboepd (450) Oil and gas sales
\$75 per boe (81) Net realised price
\$5.6 per boe (7.2)
Production cost
82% (90%)
Effective tax rate
| Q2-23 | Q1-23 | Q4-22 | Q3-22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow before tax | 2 938 | 3 251 | 3 762 | 3 602 |
| Taxes paid | (2 817) | (1 569) | (2 995) | (1 241) |
| Cash flow – operations |
121 | 1 682 | 807 | 2 361 |
| Cash flow – investments |
(776) | (705) | (708) | (500) |
| Free cash flow | (655) | 977 | 98 | 1 861 |
| Net debt drawn/repaid | 488 | - | - | (600) |
| Dividends | (348) | (348) | (332) | (332) |
| Interest, leasing & misc. | (75) | (106) | 2 | (109) |
| Cash flow – financing |
66 | (454) | (329) | (1 041) |
| Net change in cash | (589) | 523 | (231) | 820 |
| Cash at end of period | 2 689 | 3 280 | 2 756 | 3 042 |
\$-0.7bn (1.0) Free Cash Flow (FCF)
\$-1.04(1.55)
FCF per share
\$0.55 (0.55)
Dividend per share
USD million
| Assets | 30.06.23 | 31.03.23 | 30.06.22 restated |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP&E | 16 218 | 16 220 | 16 620 |
| Goodwill | 13 554 | 13 636 | 14 246 |
| Other non-current assets |
3 248 | 3 122 | 3 181 |
| Cash and equivalent | 2 689 | 3 280 | 2 154 |
| Other current assets | 1 603 | 1 671 | 1 581 |
| Total Assets |
37 312 | 37 928 | 37 781 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 12 316 | 12 267 | 11 919 | ||
| Financial debt | 5 766 | 5 304 | 5 834 | ||
| Deferred taxes | 9 725 | 9 502 | 9 333 | ||
| Other long-term liabilities | 4 674 | 4 681 | 4 896 | ||
| Tax payable | 3 351 | 4 758 | 4 253 | ||
| Other current liabilities | 1 480 | 1 416 | 1 545 | ||
| Total Equity and liabilities |
37 312 | 37 928 | 37 781 |
\$6.1bn (\$6.7)
Total available liquidity
Equity ratio
Leverage ratio1
1) Net interest-bearing debt divided by twelve months rolling EBITDAX, excluding any impacts from IFRS 16
Excl. leases, USD billion
3.7
0.54
Liquidity available2
USD billion
0.21 0.21
2.5
Leverage ratio
1
2.2
1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents
2.0
0.16
| Previous guidance |
Actual H1 -23 |
New guidance |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Production | 430 | 467 | 445 |
| mboped | -460 | -470 | |
| Opex | 7.0 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| USD/boe | -8.0 | -7.0 | |
| Capex | 3.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| USD billion | -3.5 | -3.5 | |
| Exploration | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| USD billion | -0.5 | -0.5 | |
| Abandonment | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| USD billion | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Operate safely and efficiently |
Decarbonise our business |
Deliver high return projects on quality, time and cost |
Establish the next wave of profitable growth options |
Return maximum value to our shareholders and our society |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96% production efficiency | Equity GHG intensity of 2.6 kg CO e/boe 2 |
Project execution on track |
Oil discovery in the Yggdrasil area |
Bond transactions to optimise capital structure |
|
| Record-low unit cost of USD 5.6/boe |
A global leader in low CO 2 emissions |
Important milestones passed |
Prolific exploration program |
Quarterly dividend of USD 0.55 per share |
|
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