Investor Presentation • Aug 10, 2023
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer


Operational update
Financial update
Market
Summary



* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. ** EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.

| Operating model |
• Risk-minimizing sales model Minimum presale of 60% before construction start - Fixed construction cost secured for all units under construction - Temporary adjustment to operating model, adapting to market uncertainty • Additional contractual reservation: Construction start subject to construction cost - |
|---|---|
| Construction costs |
Construction costs trending downwards, further decrease expected • Positive sales development for Langhus- and Solberg projects where contractual reservations have been made - regarding sustainable construction costs Outlook to sign construction contracts at lower cost in H2 - |
| Land bank | Acquired land plots in H1'23, including attractive site for first City concept in Stockholm • Sandsli, Bergen ~600 units - Tangen, Drammen ~250 units - - Stockholm ~175 units |

Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. Units sold are sales contracts entered into with customers pursuant to the Norwegian Housing Construction Act. In accordance with the IFRS, they are recognised as income on delivery.

Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.
*Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales. **Columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales.
Units sold are sales contracts entered into with customers pursuant to the Norwegian Housing Construction Act. In accordance with the IFRS, they are recognised as income on delivery.

Units
Note: Number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.

· Expected completions for the full year 2023: 744
· 83% of 2023 completions sold by Q2 2023

Note: Sales value and number of units are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. * Includes: Oslo, Lørenskog, Follo, Tønsberg, Asker.


Highlights
Operational update
Financial update
Market
Summary






* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs.
Operating revenues (IFRS)


* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.
** EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. The difference compared to reported EBITDA is due to interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in JVs.



* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs.


* EBITDA is profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.
** EBITDA adjusted is excluding financial expenses included in project costs. The difference compared to reported EBITDA is due to interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in JVs.

* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP). Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
NOK million
Note: Items of less than NOK 60 million are excluded from the cash flow overview.
-187


Dividends paid to equity holders of Selvaag Bolig ASA Cash and cash equivalents at 30 June 2023

NOK million

| Loan facility | Drawn at 30.6.23 (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin* |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Construction loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
1 750 | 1.65% - 2.40% |
| 2 | Debt to Urban Property** | 487 | 3.75%*** |
| 3 | Land loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions |
200 | 1.50% - 2.95% |
| 4 | NOK 300 million revolving credit facility from DNB maturing in 2025 |
0 | 2.50% - 3.00% |
| 5 | NOK 150 million working capital facility from DNB with annual renewal |
0 | 2.10% |


NOK million
* Margin added to 3m NIBOR.
** Repurchase agreements portfolio B and seller credits. *** + 2.00% fee at property repurchase.

* Including EPS of NOK 11.01 and DPS of NOK 22 from UP transaction ** Excluding EPS of NOK 11.01 and DPS of NOK 22 from UP transaction
· The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 60 per cent of net annual profit
· Dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital
· Dividend of NOK 1.00 per share in H1 2023
· Average payout ratio of 68%** since listing
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA.
** Based on equity at the start of the period (attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA).
Q1 2020 Net income excluding Other gains of NOK 1 029m

Highlights Operational update Financial update Market
Summary

Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: Hawii Analyse, Forecasted housing need next 5 years: Prognosesenteret. Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90.
Note: Housing need calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition. Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing.
* Estimates based on actual sales, future sales starts, and historical data.
** Uncertainty due to project lead-time.

Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: Hawii Analyse, Forecasted housing need next 5 years: Prognosesenteret. Note: Housing need calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition. Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing.
* Akershus county = Viken county ex. Buskerud and Østfold.
** Estimates based on actual sales, future sales starts, and historical data.
*** Uncertainty due to project lead-time.

Source: Hawii analyse. * Including withdrawls

Source: Hawii analyse.
* Including withdrawals
** includes Stavanger, Sandnes, Sola, Randaberg.
Source: Hawii analyse

29 *** Population at YE 2022.
30
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Statistics Norway.
Incudes projects with 2 units or more
* Akershus county = Viken ex. counties Buskerud and Østfold.
** Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
*** Population at YE 2022.


Source: Eiendom Norge.
* Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
* Nominal price change.
** Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.





~ 2 000 units total ~ 200 Pluss units ~ 800 units remaining for sale
~ 1 100 units total ~ 250 Pluss units ~ 400 units remaining for sale
~ 650 units total ~ 400 Pluss units ~ 450 units remaining for sale
~ 1 500 units total (JV) ~500 Pluss units ~ 500 units remaining for sale


Trondheim Greater-Oslo Stavanger Bergen
~ 1 150 units total ~ 500 Pluss units ~ 1000 units remaining for sale
~ 600 units total (JV) ~ 400 Pluss units ~ 500 units remaining for sale
~ 800 units total ~ 200 Pluss units
~ 150 units remaining for sale
~ 300 Pluss units total ~ 250 units remaining for sale






Barkarby Pluss Stockholm ~ 220 Pluss units



Solheimsvatnet Pluss (JV) Bergen ~ 300 Pluss units
Ballerud Greater Oslo ~ 160 units Lørenvangen
Oslo
~ 200 units
Lilleaker Oslo ~ 150 units

Fornebu (JV) Greater Oslo ~ 2 000 units ~500 Pluss units

Bjerke Oslo ~ 1 500 units ~300 Pluss units

Robust project pipeline to meet long term demand
2023 2024 2025 2026 and 2027

Potential sales start
Slakhusområdet
Stockholm
~170 Pluss units
(2027)


Nacka Stockholm ~150 Pluss units
Jessheim (JV) Greater Oslo ~ 200 Pluss units
Highlights Operational update Financial update Market
Summary



Next event: 3rd quarter 2023 9 November 2023

Sources: Historic data: Statistics Norway (SSB), Forecasted housing completions: Hawii Analyse, Forecasted housing need next 5 years: Prognosesenteret. Note: Number of persons per household in Oslo: 1.90.

Note: Housing need calculated on parameters such as number of persons per household, lag on housing development, housing demolition. Note: Completions exclusive of student- and senior housing.
* Akershus county = Viken county ex. Buskerud and Østfold.
** Estimates based on actual sales, future sales starts, and historical data.
41 *** Uncertainty due to project lead-time.
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 60 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent.

Source: Oslo Børs

* All numbers in brackets from previous quarter.

| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| PARETO INVEST NORGE AS | 4 671 772 | 5.0% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 3 266 051 | 3.5% |
| The Northern Trust Comp, London Br * | 2 186 000 | 2.3% |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., London * | 1 911 395 | 2.0% |
| SANDEN EQUITY AS | 1 600 000 | 1.7% |
| EGD CAPITAL AS | 1 204 580 | 1.3% |
| MUSTAD INDUSTRIER AS | 1 067 454 | 1.1% |
| Goldman Sachs International * | 974 443 | 1.0% |
| HAUSTA INVESTOR AS | 927 879 | 1.0% |
| The Northern Trust Comp, London Br * | 840 200 | 0.9% |
| BANAN II AS | 830 000 | 0.9% |
| Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. * | 684 331 | 0.7% |
| J.P. Morgan SE * | 646 269 | 0.7% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB * | 613 995 | 0.7% |
| GÅSØ NÆRINGSUTVIKLING AS | 530 599 | 0.6% |
| BNP Paribas * | 530 000 | 0.6% |
| Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. * | 509 989 | 0.5% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB * | 477 692 | 0.5% |
| Sverre Molvik | 387 905 | 0.4% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 74 040 641 | 79.0% |
| Other shareholders | 19 725 047 | 21.0% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en
Trondheim 267 units
Geographical spread
Greater-Oslo 8 234 units
Stavanger 664 units
Bergen 1 158 units
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio at 31 December 2022. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. The total portfolio is ~10 550 units. Of these ~5 250 are options and obligations to buy.
47
• Service offerings and good neighbourliness, make every day living easier

Source: Eiendomsverdi.

Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Akershus county = Viken county ex. Buskerud and Østfold.

Source: Eiendomsverdi.

Source: Eiendomsverdi.

Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
| Area | % chg -1M | % chg. -1M seasonal adj. |
% chg YtD | % chg -12m | % chg -5Y |
% chg -10Y | Average price/sqm (NOK) |
Average price (NOK) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oslo | 0.7% | 0.5% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 27.0% | 85.6% | 93 803 | 5 752 332 |
| Bergen | -3.1% | -2.9% | 4.2% | -3.7% | 16.9% | 36.0% | 54 955 | 3 611 980 |
| Trondheim | -2.3% | -0.4% | 2.1% | -2.3% | 17.7% | 37.4% | 55 601 | 3 938 457 |
| Stavanger-area** | -0.4% | 1.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 23.0% | 11.5% | 44 161 | 3 990 195 |
| Norway | -1.1% | 0.2% | 5.2% | -0.2% | 22.1% | 56.6% | 48 449 | 3 944 271 |
Source: Eiendom Norge.
* Nominal price change.
** Includes Stavanger, Sola, Sandnes, Randaberg.
*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures

| Lørenskog | 1 576 units |
|---|---|
| Lørenskog Stasjonsby | 613 units |
| Skårer Bolig | 325 units |
| LSV | 500 units |
| Pallplassen | 138 units |
| Lillestrøm | |
| Bjerke | 1 400 units |
| Bjerke | 1 400 units |
| Oslo South | 315 units |
| Gjertsrud Stensrud | 315 units |
| Follo/Østfold | 1 532 units |
| Langhus | 48 units |
| Ski | 90 units |
| Grenseveien | |
| Fredrikstad | 314 units 900 units |
*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures

*The numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures.

How it works:
Eliminates need for equity when purchasing land, as SBO pay 50% of purchasing price at construction start and 50%
Benefits for Selvaag Bolig:
More efficient and predictable funding of existing and new
Increases competitiveness when making land purchases - Down-side risk for SBO limited to 48 months option premium
Selvaag Bolig sold most of its land bank to Urban Property in January 2020, entering a long-term and strategic partnership. Urban Property is a financially sound, well capitalized and predictable partner.

Cooperation between Selvaag Bolig and Urban Property
1) + 2.5% transaction fee and option price (Nibor + 375bps).
Delivery in accordance with expectations
| Acquire and refine land for development |
Project design | Contracting, marketing and pre-sales |
Construction and sales | Delivery to customers | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Project margin 20% |
· Buy (i) options on unzoned land or (ii) ready-to-build land · Opitmize project for zoning process |
· Optimize project design Net/gross-factor - - Tailor to meet market demand price/quality · Plan and prepare for construction |
· Pre-marketing · Competitive tender for construction · 60% pre-sale before construction start |
· Fixed-price contracts · Prices on remaining 40% increased gradually · Construction financed with construction loans |
· Target 100% sale at delivery |
| 15% | Project margin 18% |
||||
| 10% | |||||
| 5% | |||||
| 0% | |||||
| Land acquired with minimum 10% project margin |
Adding value through building permits and area utilisation |
Value added when achieving 60% pre-sale |
Maximising price in accordance with market |
Delivery in accordance with expectations |
|
| 1) Assuming flat market development. |
· Target 100% sale at delivery
Example apply a land ownership period in Urban Property of 3-4 years, and a finance cost of 4% on all capital employed in the project.
| PROJECT CALCULATIONS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEFORE URBAN PROPERTY | PROJECT CALCULATIONS 2 AFTER URBAN PROPERTY |
||
| Figures for illustration purposes only | MNOK | % | MNOK | % |
| Sales revenue | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% |
| Construction cost | 195.8 | 56.2% | 195.8 | 56.2% |
| Land cost | 69.7 | 20.0% | 85.2 | 24.4% |
| Other costs | 24.5 | 7.0% | 24.5 | 7.0% |
| Project cost | 290.0 | 83.2% | 305.5 | 87.7% |
| Net finance (excluding Urban Property) | 16.8 | 4.8% | 5.3 | 1.5% |
| TOTAL REVENUE | 348.5 | 100.0% | 348.5 | 100.0% |
| TOTAL COST | 306.8 | 88.0% | 310.9 | 89.2% |
| PROFIT | 41.7 | 12.0 % | 37.7 | 10.8% |
| Internal rate of return (IRR) | 12.2% | 28.0% | ||
1 Initial project margin and IRR before Urban Property when purchasing land at market value
2 Initial project margin and IRR with Urban Property as partner when purchasing land at market value (including option premium)
In total marginal lower project margins, but significantly increased IRR and RoE

* Includes project revenues only.
** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs. Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP).
NOK million



Total land bank Options and obligations to acquire Land bank in balance sheet
Units
1 218

(60 Grader Næringsmegling)
NOK million
* SBO land bank not included in the UP transaction

Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 Q1 22 Q2 22 Q3 22 Q4 22 Q1 23 Q2 23 Sales value of sold units (net) Sales value of sold units (gross)
NOK million


Untis sold net Gross-net
Units
| 1H 2022 | 2022 |
|---|---|
| 1.322.2 | 2,896.4 |
| (1,057.2) | (2,313.7) |
| (103.5) | (236.3) |
| 96.2 | 85.7 |
| 257.6 | 432.1 |
| (4.8) | (9.7) |
| 252.8 | 422.4 |
| (1.7) | 2.7 |
| 251.2 | 425.1 |
| (36.8) | (86.3) |
| 214.4 | 338.9 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q2 2023 | Q2 2022 | 1H 2023 | 1H 2022 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 836.9 | 965.9 | 1,571.1 | 1,322.2 | 2,896.4 |
| Project expenses | (708.6) | (804.1) | (1,288.5) | (1,057.2) | (2,313.7) |
| Other operating expenses | (55.2) | (57.2) | (113.1) | (103.5) | (236.3) |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | (7.2) | 101.2 | (15.9) | 96.2 | 85.7 |
| EBITDA | 66.0 | 205.8 | 153.7 | 257.6 | 432.1 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (2.3) | (2.5) | (4.5) | (4.8) | (9.7) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | 63.7 | 203.4 | 149.1 | 252.8 | 422.4 |
| Net financial expenses | 6.0 | 0.5 | 6.6 | (1.7) | 2.7 |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 69.7 | 203.9 | 155.7 | 251.2 | 425.1 |
| Income taxes | (18.2) | (27.1) | (39.0) | (36.8) | (86.3) |
| Net income | 51.6 | 176.8 | 116.8 | 214.4 | 338.9 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q2 2023 | Q1 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 9.9 | 9.6 | 8.2 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 219.0 | 231.5 | 234.7 |
| Other non-current assets | 500.1 | 435.1 | 345.3 |
| Total non-current assets | 1,112.4 | 1,059.5 | 971.6 |
| Inventories (property) | 3,878.1 | 4,161.4 | 4,273.2 |
| - Land | 687.3 | 725.6 | 719.3 |
| - Land held for sale | |||
| - Work in progress | 2,960.1 | 3,287.9 | 3,384.2 |
| - Finished goods | 230.8 | 147.9 | 169.7 |
| Other current receivables | 338.5 | 115.1 | 92.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 391.8 | 410.8 | 612.7 |
| Total current assets | 4,608.4 | 4,687.3 | 4,978.0 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 5,720.7 | 5,746.8 | 5,949.6 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA* | 2,272.0 | 2,408.1 | 2,338.1 |
| Non-controlling interests | 7.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 |
| Total equity | 2,279.8 | 2,415.9 | 2,345.9 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 695.6 | 1,194.2 | 1,400.4 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 448.2 | 439.5 | 404.2 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 1,143.9 | 1,633.7 | 1,804.6 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 1,741.5 | 1,145.0 | 1,085.4 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 555.5 | 552.2 | 713.7 |
| Total current liabilities | 2,297.0 | 1,697.2 | 1,799.1 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 5,720.7 | 5,746.8 | 5,949.6 |

| (figures in NOK million) | 1H 2023 | 1H 2022 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 137.9 | (11.0) | 63.4 | |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (57.4) | 131.2 | 239.8 | |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (301.3) | 61.9 | (218.0) | |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (220.9) | 182.1 | 85.2 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period | 612.7 | 527.4 | 527.4 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 391.8 | 709.5 | 612.7 |
| Q2 22 | Q3 22 | Q4 22 | Q1 23 | Q2 23 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units sold | 120 | 83 | 44 | 116 | 79 |
| Construction starts | 190 | 68 | 146 | 5 | 83 |
| Units completed | 210 | 142 | 160 | 161 | 162 |
| Units delivered | 217 | 144 | 147 | 150 | 155 |
| Units under construction | 1,342 | 1,268 | 1,253 | 1,097 | 1,018 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 75 % | 73 % | 67 % | 69 % | 68 % |
| Completed unsold units | 13 | 19 | 31 | 37 | 43 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 6,807 | 6,225 | 6,408 | 5,641 | 5,458 |
Note: EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation, gains (losses) and profit from associated companies.
| Total |
|---|
| 541.6 |
| (430.3) (57.3) 54.0 |
| 836.9 (708.6) (55.2) |
| (7.2) |
| 66.0 |
| N/A N/A |
| (figures in NOK million) | Property | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| development | |||
| Operating revenues | 525.2 | 16.4 | 541.6 |
| Project expenses | (429.9) | (0.4) | (430.3) |
| Other operating expenses | (10.2) | (47.1) | (57.3) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 85.2 | (31.1) | 54.0 |
| Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting. | |||
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 820.5 | 16.4 | 836.9 |
| Project expenses | (708.1) | (0.4) | (708.6) |
| Other operating expenses | (10.2) | (45.0) | (55.2) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies | |||
| and joint ventures | (7.2) | - | (7.2) |
| Other gain (loss), net | - | ||
| EBITDA | 95.0 | (29.0) | 66.0 |
| Units in production | 1,018 | N/A | N/A |
| Units delivered | 155 | N/A | N/A |

Source: Selvaag Bolig and Eurostat.

Household debt in % of net disposable income (2021) Homeownership rate (2020)
Source: OECD, Statista.

Source: Eiendomsverdi.
* Stavanger area includes: Randaberg, Sandnes, Sola, Stavanger.

Share of total population in Oslo and Akershus Share of total population growth in Oslo and Akershus
Source: Statistics Norway.
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)

Source: Bloomberg, IMF, UN





*Central bank policy rates **Market implied policy rates
76

Source: Monetary Policy Report 2|23, Central Bank of Norway.



Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.