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Bakkafrost P/f

Quarterly Report Aug 22, 2023

7331_rns_2023-08-22_0c9b53f6-35a0-4d6f-a930-f821d703323d.pdf

Quarterly Report

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SUMMARY OF Q2 2023

MARKETS & SALES

FINANCIALS

SEGMENT INFORMATION

OUTLOOK

APPENDIX

Nes Eysturoy, Faroe Islands

HIGHLIGHTS Q2-23 (Q2-22)

HIGHLIGHTS Q2-23 (Q2-22)
Revenues and
Operational EBIT

Revenue of DKK 1,670 million (DKK 1,684 million)

Operational EBIT* of DKK 353 million (DKK 587 million)
Operation
Harvest in the Faroe Islands: 8,658 tgw
(13,101 tgw)

Harvest in Scotland:
7,343 tgw
(6,646 tgw)

Feed sales: 30,231 tonnes (31,243 tonnes)

Sourcing of marine raw material: 147,785 tonnes (97,610 tonnes)
Cash Flow
Cash flow from operations
of DKK 376 million (DKK 542 million)
Segments
Positive operational EBIT from the segments except VAP DKK -26 million (DKK -108 million)
Dividends
Dividend of DKK 10.00 per share for 2022 was paid out on 22 May 2023
) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
*) Including internal sales of 29,630 tonnes (30,231 tonnes)

SUMMARY OF Q2 2023

MARKETS & SALES

FINANCIALS SEGMENT INFORMATION OUTLOOK

APPENDIX

Kolbeinagjógv, Faroe Island

q/q:

Average spot prices increased y/y and q/q in Q2 2023 (NOK/KG) y/y: 108.50 (Q2 2023) 107.46 (Q2 2022) 1.0% 1.03

HIGHER PRICES Y/Y AND Q/Q

YoY price dropped 15% in EUR due to weak NOK

(Q1 2023)

104.83

3.67

(Q2 2023)

108.50

Decreasing prices so far in Q3 2023

Increasing divergence in prices for small vs. large sized fish

SALMON MARKETS, SOLD QUANTITY

EU/UK/US consumption below supply growth

Indication of modest price sensitivity

Increased export from Chile to Russia

Partly replacing trade through Belarus

Strong growth in Greater China

  • Driving demand for large-sized fish
  • Supplied evenly by Norway and Chile

Japan and ASEAN

  • Higher airfreight cost
  • Limited supply from Canada (East Coast)

Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted weight)

HEALTHY LIVING
Salmon markets, sold
Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted weight)
quantity (head on
Estimated volumes Q1 comparison Estimated volumes FY comparison
Markets Q2 2023 Q2 2022 Volume % FY 2022 FY 2021 Volume %
EU+UK 241 246 -5 -2% 1,140 1,158 -18 -2%
USA 140 143 -3 -2% 586 572 14 2%
Russia 11 7 5 69% 49 86 -37 -43%
Japan 10 11 -2 -13% 55 66 -11 -16%
Greater China 32 20 12 57% 103 105 -2 -2%
ASEAN 15 19 -3 -17% 84 81 3 4%
Latin America 44 44 1 1% 179 184 -5 -3%
Ukraine 4 3 1 41% 19 33 -14 -43%
Other markets 67 70 -3 -4% 328 315 13 4%

Comments:

Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile)

Source: Kontali

1% INCREASE IN GLOBAL HARVESTED AND SOLD QUANTITY

Stable supply to the market

Europe - Norway/UK growth neutralised by other countries Faroes – Building biomass for coming quarters Chile – Good productivity

-

-

2% growth in American harvest

  • North American drop was driven by Discovery Island exit

Limited inventory movements in the quarter

HEALTHY LIVING
1% INCREASE IN GLOBAL HARVESTED AND SOLD QUANTITY
Stable supply to the market Supply Development
SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT
Q2 2023
Q2 2023
Q2 2022 Q2 2022 Change %
Change %
Norway 283 274 3.1 %
Europe -
Norway/UK growth neutralised by other
UK 42 41 4.7 %
countries Faroes
Iceland
16
0
18
5
-13.7 %
-93.1 %
Ireland 4 7 -40.5 %

Norway -
Increasing volumes during the quarter
Total Europe 345 345 0.1 %

Scotland –
Recovery from large biological driven drop in 2022

Faroes –
Building biomass for coming quarters
Chile 163 153 6.8 %
Canada
USA
28
4
33
5
-15.1 %
-22.6 %

Iceland –
Limited harvest due to 2022/23 biological issues
Total Americas 195 190 2.3 %
Other 24 24 1.5 %
2% growth in American harvest Total (Harvested quantity) 564 559 0.9 %

Chile –
Good productivity
Inventory movements 0 3 -97.4 %
Total (Sold Quantity) 564 563 0.3 %

North American drop was driven by Discovery Island exit

SUMMARY OF Q2 2023

MARKETS & SALES

FINANCIALS

SEGMENT INFORMATION

OUTLOOK

APPENDIX

Kolbeinagjógv, Faroe Island

GROUP PROFIT AND LOSS LOWER REVENUE AND OPERATIONAL EBIT

GROUP PROFIT AND LOSS LOWER REVENUE AND OPERATIONAL EBIT HEALTHY LIVING
Q2 2022 Q2 2023 (DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22
Revenue (mDKK) Operating revenue 1,670 3,720 1,684 3,323
1,684
-1%
1,670 Operational EBITDA* 508 1,221 724 1,278
Operational EBIT* 353 919 587 1,004
Operational EBIT (mDKK) Fair value adjustment of biological assets -432 -379 576 753
587
-40%
353 Onerous contracts 0 0 -34 -64
Fair value of biomass (mDKK) Income from associates -3 21 -4 -1
576 -432 Revenue tax -30 -68 -63 -121
EBIT -112 493 1,062 1,572
Profit after tax (mDKK) Net Financial items -41 -59 -5 -24
845 -123 EBT -153 433 1,057 1,549
Taxes 30 -89 -212 -299
Profit for the period -123 344 845 1,249

MARGINS

MARGINS
SCOTLAND IMPROVED –
FAROE ISLAND SOFTER THAN THE HISTORICALLY STRONG Q2 2022 HEALTHY LIVING
Q2 2022 Q2 2023 (DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22
YTD 22
OPERATIONAL EBIT/Kg (NOK) Operational EBITDA margin 30.4% 32.8% 43.0%
38.5%
Farming Faroe Islands
63.38
-19.62
43.76 Operational EBIT margin 21.2% 24.7% 34.8%
30.2%
Farming Scotland
8.29
6.93
15.22 Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO) (NOK) 43.76 41.76 63.38
47.53
VAP
-24.46
16.37
-8.08 Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming FO and VAP) (NOK) 39.09 40.29 52.28
41.53
EBITDA margin Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) -8.08 -2.96 -24.46
-14.24
Fishmeal, -oil and Feed
22.7%
17.2% Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming SCT) (NOK) 15.22 21.63 8.29
-1.47
EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and Feed) 17.2% 17.4% 22.7%
21.3%

OPERATIONAL EBIT* AND ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE**

*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax **) Earnings per share adjusted for fair value of biomass, onerous contracts provisions and tax and these.

BALANCE SHEET

HEALTHY LIVING
(DKK million) Q2 23 End
2022
Intangible assets 4,512 4,509
Property, plant and equipment 5,951 5,647
Right of use assets 481 439
Financial assets 239 234
Deferred tax assets 354 336
Biological assets 2,777 2,938
Inventory 1,050 1,074
Financial derivatives 0 7
Receivables 782 809
Other receivables 146 168
Cash and cash equivalents 544 720
Total Assets 16,835 16,882
Equity 10,278 10,396
Deferred tax and other taxes 1,914 1,826
Long-term interest-bearing debt 3,454 3,383
Long-term leasing debt 389 353
Short-term leasing debt 66 106
731 817
Accounts and other payables
Total Equity and Liabilities
16,835 16,882

CASH FLOW

HEALTHY LIVING
(DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22
Cash flow from operations 376 949 542 693
-272 -447
Cash flow from investments -304 -507
Cash flow from financing -99 -618 -206 -247
Net change in cash -26 -176 63 -1
Cash at the end of the period 544 544 508 508

NET INTEREST-BEARING DEBT (NIBD) NIBD DECREASED DURING Q2 2023

NIBD was increased by:

-

NIBD was decreased by:

Financing end Q2 2023

  • NIBD: DKK 2,911 million
  • Bank facilities of EUR 700 million, and an accordion of EUR 150 million.
  • Undrawn credit facilities: DKK 2,304 million

HEALTHY LIVING

NIBD and available funding

FARMING –
LOWER VOLUMES AND AVERAGE HARVEST IN THE FAROE ISLAND BUT HIGHER
HARVEST VOLUME IN SCOTLAND HEALTHY LIVING
Q2 2022 Q2 2023 Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22
Harvested volumes (tonnes HOG) FO -
North Region
1,270 5,396 4,801 14,847
8,658 5,528 9,376 3,082 8,415
13,101
-34%
FO:
FO -
West Region
6,646
10%
SCT:
7,343 FO -
South Region
1,860 4,891 5,218 7,298
FO –
Total
8,658 19,663 13,101 30,560
Average harvest weight (kg) SCT 7,343 15,436 6,646 10,619
4.7
-9%
FO:
4.3
4.0
SCT:
15%
4.6 Total (FO & SCT) 16,001 35,099 19,747 41,179
Smolt transfer (million pcs.) Sea water temperatures at 18m depth in the Faroe Islands

Page 16

IMPROVED OPERATIONAL EBIT IN SCOTLAND

HEALTHY LIVING
Farming FO (DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22
Operating revenue 892 1,989 1,140 2,338
Operational EBIT 242 557 617 1,088
Operational EBIT margin 27% 28% 54% 47%
Farming SCT (DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22
Operating revenue 587 1,296 467 701
Operational EBIT 71 226 41 -12
Operational EBIT margin 12% 17% 9% -2%
Sea water temperatures at 5m depth in Scotland
Farming SCT (DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22
Operating revenue 587 1.296 467 701
Operational EBIT 71 226 41 -12
Operational EBIT marqin 12% 17% 9% -2%

GOOD MARGINS IN BOTH REGIONS

  • FO: Low harvest volumes (back-end loaded in 2023) Lower average harvest weight Good growth (building biomass) Low sea lice levels
  • SCT: Good biological development until June Higher harvest volumes and biomass Low sea lice levels Increased average harvest weight

Margin - EBIT per kg total harvested quantity [NOK/kg] 63,38 8,29 47,53 -1,47 43,76 15,22 41,76 21,63 -10,00 10,00 30,00 50,00 70,00 Q2 FO Q2 SCT YTD FO YTD SCT 2022 2023

BUILDING NET BIOMASS IN H1 FOR THE FIRST TIME PAST 12Y

2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012

VALUE ADDED PRODUCTS (VAP) LOWER VOLUMES AND HIGHER COST OF RAW MATERIAL

HEALTHY LIVING
(DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22
Operating revenue 395 772 417 835
Operational EBIT -26 -20 -108 -137
Operational EBIT margin -7% -3% -26% -16%
10,055 6,318 12,995
Farming FO transferred to VAP (tgw) 4,957
VAP produced (tgw) 4,999 9,752 5,944 12,880
Margin -
EBIT per kg total VAP produced [NOK/kg]
10,00
5,00

FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED (FOF)

RECORD-HIGH SOURCING LEADING TO HIGHER SALES OF FISHMEAL AND FISH OIL

(DKK million) Q2 23 YTD 23 Q2 22 YTD 22 Operating revenue 744 1,475 523 965 EBITDA 128 257 119 205 EBITDA margin 17% 17% 23% 21% Feed sold (tonnes)* 30,231 52,518 31,243 57,435 Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) 21,328 35,103 5,247 15,044

• Including internal sales, corresponding to 98% of feed volumes in Q1 2023 (Q1 2022: 96%)

21

MARKET CONDITIONS FEED RECORED-HIGH RAW MATERIAL SOURCING

Raw material sourcing

Feed raw material prices

  • Fish oil prices all-time high
  • Fishmeal stable on high level
  • Rapeseed oil decreasing
  • Vegetable proteins decreasing

Source: Holtermann

SUMMARY OF Q2 2023 MARKETS & SALES FINANCIALS SEGMENT INFORMATION

OUTLOOK

APPENDIX

EXPECTED HARVEST GROWTH OF 2% IN 2023

-

1.800

24

OUTLOOK

Global harvest

  • Marginal increase 0.3% in Q2 2023 vs Q2 2022
  • 2% global supply growth expected in 2023

Harvest: Farming

• Expected harvest of 93kt* gutted weight (Faroe Islands: 63kt and Scotland: 30kt*)

Smolt release:

• In 2023, Bakkafrost expects to release 25.6 million smolts (Faroe Islands: 16.0 and Scotland: 9.6)

* Risk to be reduced by 5–6kt (Scotland)

Contracts

• For 2023, Bakkafrost has signed contracts for around 23% of the total expected harvest volumes

Fishmeal, Oil and Feed

  • Feed sales are expected to be around 130,000 tonnes in 2023
  • Fishmeal and fish oil volumes are expected to be record-high in 2023

Headlines from CMD on 6 June 2023

CAPEX: 6,3bn DKK (2024-2028)

  • 2028: 165,000kt harvest volume / 200,000kt capacity
  • FO: Sustainable growth (site optimisation & new technology) Cost-efficient (repurposed) broodstock facilities. Hatchery capacity of 24m smolt @500g
  • SCT: Build hatchery capacity of 15m smolt @500g New processing facility Improved cost-efficiency in vessel operation

PERFORMANCE

BEST PRACTICES & WELL-INVESTED VALUE CHAIN DRIVES PERFORMANCE

HEALTHY LIVING

LARGE HIGH-QUALITY SMOLT ARE THE KEY TO GROWTH AND IMPROVEMENT

LARGE SMOLT STRATEGY DELIVERING LARGE HEALTHY SMOLT

HEALTHY LIVING

8m smolt at 500g 32,300m³ capacity

29,300m³ capacity

165,000 TONNES HARVEST IN 2028, FAROE ISLANDS AND SCOTLAND COMBINED

MARKETS & SALES

MARKETS & SALES HEALTHY LIVING
SALES TO NORTH AMERICA INCREASED - SALES TO WESTERN EUROPE AND ASIA DECREASED
Sales & volume Total sales of salmon
by markets
Q2 2023 Q2 2022 YTD 2023 YTD 2022
Q2 2023 Western Europe FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
Q2 2022 58%
61%
59%
52%
86%
62%
25%
28%
6%
21%
65%
59%
62%
18%
26%
22%
53%
89%
62%
27%
6%
22%
14%
12%
13%
16%
4%
13%
Western Europe North America
Asia
24%
26%
16%
10%
13%
18%
6%
15%
62% 59% Eastern Europe 1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
4%
1%
3%
Rest of world 1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
North America
Fresh salmon only by
markets
Q2 2023 Q2 2022 YTD 2023 YTD 2022
21% 25% FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
HEALTHY LIVING
Total sales of salmon
Western Europe
58%
61%
59%
52%
86%
62%
65%
59%
62%
53%
89%
62%
North America
24%
26%
25%
28%
6%
21%
18%
26%
22%
27%
6%
22%
Asia
16%
10%
13%
18%
6%
15%
14%
12%
13%
16%
4%
13%
Eastern Europe
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
4%
1%
3%
Rest of world
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Fresh salmon only by
Q2 2023
Q2 2022
YTD 2023
YTD 2022
markets
FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
FO
SCT
Total
Western Europe
40%
61%
53%
39%
86%
57%
51%
59%
56%
42%
90%
56%
North America
27%
27%
27%
35%
7%
24%
21%
26%
24%
33%
6%
25%
Asia
32%
11%
19%
25%
6%
18%
25%
12%
17%
21%
4%
16%
Eastern Europe
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
2%
2%
4%
0%
3%
Rest of world
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Contract share FO, VAP products [% of qty]
100%
52% 80% 43%

VAP on contract HOG, Spot

-

-

HEALTHY LIVING
DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY
AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN
Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted -
Expected
supply
growth
in
2023
HOG)

2%
increase
in
Global
supply*
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E
Norway
UK
1,129
137
1,198
171
1,226
160
1,383
179
1,359
145
1,384
156

2%
increase
in
supply*
from
Europe
Ireland 13 14 14 14 17 15
Iceland 12 22 27 35 42 39

1%
increase
in
supply*
from
the
Americas
Faroes 64 78 72 96 89 91
Total Europe 1,355 1,484 1,499 1,707 1,651 1,684
*
Including
expected
inventory
movements
Chile 598 601 657 638 649 668
Canada 131 124 123 128 118 107
USA
Total Americas
17
747
19
744
18
798
17
783
18
785
17
792
Others 65 71 91 109 106 111
Total (Sold Quantity) 2,167 2,299 2,387 2,600 2,542 2,587
Supply growth -
Global
6% 6% 4% 9% -2% 2%
Supply growth -
Europe
1% 10% 1% 14% -3% 2%
Supply growth -
Americas
18% 0% 7% -2% 0% 1%
Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG)
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E
EU+UK 949 1,017 1,073 1,158 1,140 1,139
USA
Japan
438 471 506 572 586 595
Comments:
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes.
54 53
78
64
79
66
86
55
49
50
56
Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali Russia 89
Others 637 678 664 718 712 746
Total (Sold Quantity) 2,167 2,299 2,387 2,599 2,542 2,587
Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG)
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E
EU+UK 949 1,017 1.073 1.158 1.140 1.139
USA 438 471 506 572 586 595
Japan 54 53 64 દિવ 55 50
Russia 89 78 79 86 49 56
Others 637 678 664 718 712 746
Total (Sold Quantity) 2,167 2,299 2,387 2,599 2,542 2,587

Q2 2023 MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Reduced prices in Q2

-

12,0
10,0
8,0
6,2 6,1
EUR
6,0
4,0
2,0
5,3
-
Increasing
supply
pushed
pricing
MARKET CURRENCY
Nasdaq Norway (EUR)
down
in
Q2 2023
8.95
June
Q2 2022
10.53
Change %
-15.0 %
9,8 10,3 10,4
UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg)
DKK
10.87
Q2 2023
12.91
Q2 2022
-15.8 %
Change %
USD
Nasdaq Norway
UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (per kg)
66.67
74.38
78.37
90.33
-14.9 %
-17.7 %
-

Source: Kontali

Nasdaq less SSB price Nasdaq price

Q2 2023 – SPOT AND CONTRACT PRICING ALIGNED

Nasdaq spot price reflecting marginal pricing per week

Statistics Norway (SSB) publish average price for all whole fish sold per week

Incorporates bilateral contracts of variable duration

SSB price exceeded Nasdaq in Q2 2023

Normal spot/contract relationship in the quarter

Strengthened Fish Pool forward price for 2H 2023

Reduced supply estimates

Stable forward prices for 2024/2025

Source: Kontali

Fish pool forward price Fish pool forward price in Q1 2023 report

DEVELOPMENT PER QUARTER

1,618
1,272
1,488
1,639
1,684
1,867
1,940
2,050
1,670
Revenue
407
71
120
418
587
325
376
565
353
Operational EBIT
428
131
-3
405
845
249
-154
467
-123
Profit/Loss
17,561
14,937
20,694
17,459
13,101
16,850
19,276
11,005
8,658
Harvest FO (tgw)
10,634
6,914
5,122
3,973
6,646
8,100
5,198
8,093
7,343
Harvest SCT (tgw)
26.93
13.59
20.11
33.79
52.28
35.62
33.81
42.98
39.09
Op. EBIT Farming FO & VAP (NOK/kg)
26.52
12.56
18.29
36.03
63.38
35.60
27.56
42.14
43.76
Op. EBIT Farming FO (NOK/kg)
1.53
2.89
5.71
-5.65
-24.46
0.06
16.67
1.95
-8.08
Op. EBIT VAP (NOK/kg)
6.75
-16.32
-55.95
-17.67
8.29
-22.90
-39.96
28.23
15.22
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
(mDKK)
2021
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
2022
2023
2023

2023

2019

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2020

2021

2022

2023

36

  • The AGM, which was held 28 April 2023, decided to pay out dividend for 2022 of DKK 10.00 per share. The payment was paid out on 22 May 2023.
  • Dividend payment equals 53% of adjusted EPS

Dividend

Dividend policy

DIVIDEND

-

  • Generally, Bakkafrost shall pay a dividend to its shareholders
  • A long-term goal is that 30–50% of adjusted EPS shall be paid out as a dividend

* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions

** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares

*** Dividend is paid out the following year

-

Dividend per share (DKK)***

59%

Dividend per share in % of adj. EPS*

50% 53%

OUR PILLARS AND VALUES

IMPROVEMENTS OF LARGE-SMOLT QUALITY, FAROES (2021G VS. 2020G)

VALUE CHAIN INSIGHT FARMING CYCLES GETTING SHORTER WITH LARGE HIGH-QUALITY SMOLT

~ 6.3BN PLANNED INVESTMENTS 2024-2028

REDUCE BIOLOGICAL RISK, IMPROVE EFFICIENCY AND INCREASE ORGANIC GROWTH

-

- Cost-efficient broodstock (repurposing old hatcheries)

  • Increase feed capacity, including storage and logistics • Optimization of existing farming sites • Improved vessel capacity • Energy Transition • Harvest and processing plant • Site expansions • Vessel capacity for transport and treatment • Marine Site development
    • Offshore postponed

Scotland:

-

-

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