Investor Presentation • Sep 21, 2023
Investor Presentation
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PARETO CONFERENCE September 2023
Q4 2024 Q4 2025
Q4 2025
1H 2026
2H 2026
1H 2027
RATES – The spot rate for an Ultramax today is about USD 16 000 and is up 60% over the last month.
Freight Forward Agreements (FFA) currently indicate a market In Q4 of about USD 16 700 – up 40%
VALUES – Secondhand vessel values are down 15% since May – now the maket is about to turn up, and we expect all vessel values to be marked up in October.
DEMAND – Volumes have been good all year, however vessel efficiency has been running high with low port congestion and slightly shorter voyages.
This is now changing; more waiting time in ports, and droughts in Panama Canal, is causing longer voyages. While everyone has been waiting for Chinese demand, rest-of-world has picked up.
Current volumes indicate volume growth of 4.4%
Now, Chinese economic stimulus coming into play with rate cuts and easing of credit.
Basically all commodity shipments are up, except iron ore – and Chinese ore inventories are low.
SUPPLY – The order book for Supra/Ultramax bulk carriers is about 7 per cent, which means about 2 % growth p.a. next few years, and the lowest rate of supply growth in 30 years.
No need for modernisation
Fixed interest rates, with unique optionality
From headwinds to rebound – lowest orderbook in 30 years
Profitable contract coverage and high cash position
Discount to NAV and outsized dividend yield
This presentation has been prepared by Belships ASA (the "Company") exclusively for information purposes. This presentation is confidential and may not be copied, distributed, reproduced, published or passed on, directly or indirectly, in whole or in part, or disclosed by any recipient, to any other person (whether within or outside such person's organisation or firm) or published in whole or in part, by any medium or in any form for any purpose or under any circumstances.
The information in this presentation speaks as of 18 August 2023 and the Company assumes no obligation to amend, correct or update the information in this presentation. None of the Company or any of their respective directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates, advisors or any person acting on their behalf, shall have any liability whatsoever, (whether direct or indirect, in contract, tort or otherwise) for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this presentation, or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.
The contents of this presentation shall not be construed as legal, business or tax advice, and the furnishing of this presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Prospective investors should consult its own legal, business or tax advisor as to legal, business or tax advice.
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forwardlooking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. None of the Company or subsidiaries or any such person's directors, officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments.
This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only, and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any investment activity.
This presentation is subject to Norwegian law and any dispute arising in respect of this presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo district court as legal venue.
| Q2 | Q2 | YTD Q2 | YTD Q2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD 1 000 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Gross freight revenue Note |
145 473 | 251 431 | 293 337 | 509 718 | 926 494 |
| Voyage expenses | -30 898 | -61 712 | -67 666 | -92 514 | -204 769 |
| Net freight revenue 2 |
114 575 | 189 719 | 225 671 | 417 204 | 721 725 |
| Management fees | 624 | 3 113 | 1 155 | 3 815 | 4 228 |
| Operating income 2 |
115 199 | 192 832 | 226 826 | 421 019 | 725 953 |
| Share of result from j/v and assoc. comp. | 1 379 | 6 483 | 4 809 | 18 823 | 30 963 |
| T/C hire expenses | -56 132 | -128 402 | -107 863 | -285 220 | -450 524 |
| Ship operating expenses | -14 761 | -13 698 | -29 096 | -27 060 | -55 571 |
| Operating expenses management companies | -3 731 | -6 823 | -8 013 | -14 337 | -22 209 |
| General and administrative expenses | -1 500 | -1 650 | -2 840 | -4 251 | -7 068 |
| Operating expenses | -74 745 | -144 090 | -143 003 | -312 045 | -504 409 |
| EBITDA | 40 454 | 48 742 | 83 823 | 108 974 | 221 544 |
| Depreciation and amortisation 3 |
-11 331 | -9 089 | -22 602 | -17 315 | -38 992 |
| Gain on sale of ships 3 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 12 308 | 22 274 |
| Other gains/(-losses) | -1 073 | 1 075 | 757 | 4 569 | 1 342 |
| Operating result (EBIT) | 28 050 | 40 728 | 61 978 | 108 536 | 206 168 |
| Interest income | 559 | 95 | 971 | 98 | 958 |
| Interest expenses | -8 551 | -5 637 | -17 023 | -10 716 | -26 106 |
| Other financial items | 371 | -3 815 | -182 | -5 434 | -1 877 |
| Currency gains/(-losses) | -2 842 | 793 | -690 | 131 | -2 183 |
| Net financial items | -10 463 | -8 564 | -16 924 | -15 921 | -29 208 |
| Result before taxes | 17 587 | 32 164 | 45 054 | 92 615 | 176 960 |
| Taxes | -225 | -680 | -272 | -1 864 | -2 041 |
| Net result from continuing operations | 17 362 | 31 484 | 44 782 | 90 751 | 174 919 |
| Result from discontinuing operation 5 |
8 458 | 76 | 8 806 | 343 | 141 |
| Net result for the period | 25 820 | 31 560 | 53 588 | 91 094 | 175 060 |
| Hereof majority interests | 24 266 | 27 015 | 47 456 | 73 753 | 146 886 |
| Hereof non-controlling interests | 1 554 | 4 545 | 6 132 | 17 341 | 28 174 |
| Earnings per share for continuing operations | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.69 |
| Diluted earnings per share for continuing oper. | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.69 |
| Earnings per share | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.69 |
| Diluted earnings per share | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.69 |
| 30 Jun | 30 Jun | 31 Dec | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD 1 000 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
| NON-CURRENT ASSETS | Note | |||
| Ships | 3 | 760 412 | 677 316 | 747 042 |
| Prepayment of ships | 0 | 13 500 | 6 900 | |
| Property, Plant, and Equipment | 1 064 | 3 955 | 3 702 | |
| Investments in j/v and assoc. companies | 7 847 | 18 295 | 29 483 | |
| Other non-current assets | 1 050 | 472 | 1 076 | |
| Total non-current assets | 770 373 | 713 538 | 788 203 | |
| CURRENT ASSETS | ||||
| Assets held for sale | 3 | 0 | 18 651 | 0 |
| Bunker inventory | 9 217 | 33 607 | 14 675 | |
| Current receivables | 33 055 | 66 899 | 57 544 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 148 234 | 130 797 | 139 871 | |
| Total current assets | 190 506 | 249 954 | 212 090 | |
| Total assets | 960 879 | 963 492 | 1 000 293 | |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | ||||
| Equity | ||||
| Paid-in capital | 141 096 | 157 637 | 158 359 | |
| Retained earnings | 133 879 | 64 002 | 98 864 | |
| Non-controlling interests | 25 937 | 44 820 | 40 112 | |
| Total equity | 300 912 | 266 459 | 297 335 | |
| NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES | ||||
| Deferred tax | 0 | 4 595 | 0 | |
| Long-term interest bearing debt | 4 | 557 482 | 516 445 | 555 202 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 845 | 1 676 | 1 729 | |
| Total non-current liabilities | 558 327 | 522 716 | 556 931 | |
| CURRENT LIABILITIES | ||||
| Current portion of interest bearing debt | 4 | 45 100 | 50 839 | 50 053 |
| Other current liabilities | 56 540 | 123 478 | 95 974 | |
| Total current liabilities | 101 640 | 174 317 | 146 027 | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 960 879 | 963 492 | 1 000 293 |
| Vessel | Built | DWT | Yard | Vessel | Built | DWT | Yard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEWBUILD 6 | 2027 | 64 000 | Japan | BELNIKE | 2020 | 63 000 | Imabari |
| NEWBUILD 5 | 2026 | 64 000 | Japan | BELTANGO | 2020 | 64 000 | Mitsui |
| NEWBUILD 4 | 2026 | 64 000 | Japan | BELFORTE | 2019 | 64 000 | Mitsui |
| NEWBUILD 3 | 2025 | 64 000 | Japan | BELRAY | 2019 | 61 000 | Shin Kurushima |
| NEWBUILD 2 | 2025 | 64 000 | Japan | BELNIPPON | 2018 | 63 000 | Imabari |
| NEWBUILD 1 | 2024 | 64 000 | Japan | BELAFONTE | 2017 | 63 000 | Imabari |
| BELMONDO | 2023 | 64 000 | Imabari | BELHAVEN | 2017 | 63 000 | Imabari |
| BELYAMATO | 2022 | 64 000 | Imabari | BELTIGER | 2017 | 63 000 | New Times |
| BELTOKYO | 2021 | 64 000 | Imabari | BELISLAND | 2016 | 61 000 | Imabari |
| BELFORCE | 2021 | 61 000 | Dacks | BELINDA | 2016 | 63 000 | Hantong |
| BELKNIGHT | 2021 | 61 000 | Dacks | BELMONT | 2016 | 63 000 | Hantong |
| BELTRADER | 2021 | 61 000 | Dacks | BELATLANTIC | 2016 | 63 000 | Hantong |
| BELGUARDIAN | 2021 | 61 000 | Dacks | BELLIGHT | 2016 | 63 000 | New Times |
| BELMAR | 2021 | 64 000 | Imabari | BELFRIEND | 2016 | 58 000 | Tsuneishi |
| BELFAST | 2021 | 64 000 | Imabari | BELTIDE | 2016 | 58 000 | Tsuneishi |
| BELAJA | 2020 | 61 000 | Shin Kurushima | BELFOREST | 2015 | 61 000 | Imabari |
| BELMOIRA | 2020 | 61 000 | Shin Kurushima | BELHAWK | 2015 | 61 000 | Imabari |
| BELFUJI | 2020 | 63 000 | Imabari | BELSOUTH | 2015 | 63 000 | Hantong |
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