AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Belships

Investor Presentation Nov 9, 2023

3553_rns_2023-11-09_507762ce-865c-4ed9-ac1c-1da02e606d4a.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

COMPANY PRESENTATION | Q3 2023 NOVEMBER 2023

Highlights – Q3 2023

SOLID RESULTS IN CHALLENGING MARKETS, FURTHER GROWTH IN THE PIPELINE

  • EBITDA of USD 33.0m
  • Net result of USD 15.3m
  • Declared dividend of NOK 0.45 per share
  • TCE of USD 17 905 gross per day for owned fleet 78 per cent outperformance of market
  • Added 2x Ultramax newbuildings with delivery 2026-27, zero cash invested
  • Prepaid USD 13.2m of bank debt two debt free vessels in the fleet
  • 87 per cent of ship days in Q4 2023 are fixed at USD 17 800 gross per day
  • 42 per cent of ship days in the next four quarters are fixed at USD 17 800 gross per day
  • Cash breakeven for 2024 is expected to remain unchanged at USD 10 900 per day
  • The newest Supra/Ultramax fleet with 38 ships including eight newbuildings

Earnings summary

Average
TCE
EBITDA
USD 17 905/day USD 33.0m
Net result Dividend
USD 15.3m NOK 0.45 per share
Financial position
Assets Equity and liabilities
Cash and cash equivalents Book value
equity
USD 138.9m USD 298.1m
Book value
ships
Lease liabilities
USD 723.3m USD 449.9m
Net working
capital
Bank debt
USD -8.9m USD 115.5m

Our business – Dry Bulk Shipowning and Operating

Total Return last 5 Years: Share Price including Dividends

Fleet doubled, twice

Acquired 33x new vessels lower prices

Divestments

Sold all old/non-Eco vessels at higher prices

Higher leverage

Fixed interest rates at bottom of market

Added value

Expanded Lighthouse Navigation, sold Technical

Risk Management

Chartered out most of the fleet

30x Vessels on the water today......

  • Lease durations until 2027-2034
  • Average cost of debt 5.2 per cent

......and 8x Newbuildings coming in 2024-2027

64 000 dwt Ultramax Bulk Carriers Delivery

Q4 2024

Q4 2025

Q4 2025 – Q1 2026

Q1 2026

H2 2026

H2 2026 (new)

H1 2027

Q2-Q3 2027 (new)

  • Japanese-built 64 000 dwt Ultramax represents the highest quality and efficiency availabletoday
  • Japanese lease financing with fixed costs
  • 100% leverage No cash invested
  • Cost of capital 6.5 per cent fixed rate all in
  • 7 years duration with optional period up to 10 years
  • Purchase options during the charter, all in USD
  • No obligation to acquire any of the vessels
  • A levered bet on a historically low order book

No cash invested, zero impact on dividend capacity during construction

Lighthouse Navigation – Dry Bulk Operating

Ultramax – Superior Risk/Reward

Average earnings per day last 7 years

Historically Low Orderbook – Newbuilding prices increasing

Lowest fleet growth in decades – Ageing fleet

ORDERBOOK/SUPPLY: The order book for Supra/Ultramax bulk carriers is about 7-8 per cent of the sailing fleet. In 2024 there will still be about the same % supply growth as this year, as about 160 vessels are scheduled to deliver. In 2025-26, however, we are heading towards the lowest rate of supply growth, in decades.

NUMBERS: There are about 4 100 ships on the water today in the 45 – 65 000 dwt bracket. Only 1/3 of these are Ultramax vessels. The rest – are smaller, older and/or non-economical.

Even if newbuilding supply doubled it would take a decade to modernise the existing fleet – let alone be sufficient to scale the adaptation of new fuels like ammonia/methanol.

Reduced amount of newbuildings coupled with very little scrapping/recycling has led to a consistantly ageing fleet (see graph left below).

NEWBUILDING PRICES: Ordering activity remains low, cost inflation and high demand from other shipping segments has reduced the available shipbuilding capacity. A Japanese Ultramax newbuilding would today cost about USD 38 (up from USD USD 37m in Q2) with available delivery from 2027 onwards.

SECONDHAND VESSEL VALUES: Secondhand values turned up in September and October but are still lower than at the start of the year. Modern vessels are clearly higher in demand than older, less economical ships.

Vessel Efficiency (Utilisation) is Back to Normal

Average fleet congestion and voyage duration

THE SUPPLY SIDE: The number of new ships being delivered (the orderbook) minus the number of ships being sent for recycling represents the net fleet growth in any given quarter. However, the supply side (number of available ships) is further determined by an increase or decrease in vessel utilisation, comprising of voyage distance, waiting time in port and vessel sailing speed.

CONGESTION : Port congestion, as measured by the average waiting time in port for ships to discharge, reduced marginally during the third quarter. The increase in 2020/21 was primarily driven by global bottlenecks in supply chains, and now appear to have receded to normal pre-Covid levels.

VOYAGE DURATION: Durations spiked after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, as many countries found alternative sources for energy and commodities. Average voyages now at normal levels.

SAILING SPEED: Currently the average sailing speed is below theoretical maximum. If a rapid increase in rates occurs, average speeds tend to increase. The new regulations (EEXI) in 2023 and Carbon Intensity Index (CII) from 2024 are clear signs of a new emission landscape emerging. Many old/noneconomical ships have to reduce max speed in order to achieve compliance, however, this has not yet had any material impact on the market.

EU will implement its Emissions Trading System for shipping from 1 Jan 2024 and this will start to affect vessel voyage planning and attract modern/economical ships to European trades, and may cause longer voyages for the dry bulk fleet as a whole.

10 Source: Fearnleys, Clarksons Research

A Normal, but Finely Balanced Market

Current freight market - Spot and FFA

RATES – The Baltic Supramax Index (BSI-58) averaged 10 028 per day in Q3 2023 – slightly down from 10 763 in Q2. The market development was rather volatile as rates recovered from very low levels of USD 7 500 in June and then rose to above USD 14 000 in October. Ultramax vessels typically earn a premium of about 15 per cent to the standard Baltic Supramax Index (BSI-58).

In September, Belships chartered out two vessels for short periods of 3-6 months at a gross rate of just below USD 15 000 per vessel per day.

DEMAND – According to Fearnleys, preliminary estimates for Q3 2023 shipment volumes were 282 million tonnes, an all-time high again, after 275 million tonnes in the preceding quarter. The highest growth (quarter-onquarter) was seen in minor bulks (7 per cent), coal (7 per cent) and grains (4 per cent). Iron Ore (-15 per cent), breakbulk cargoes (-11 per cent) and steel products (-7 per cent) contributed negatively. Fertilizer shipments were up slightly in volume, by two per cent.

Importantly, overall volumes continue to grow and show that the demand side is stable and resilient despite the turmoil in financial markets and concerns over inflation and interest rates.

Significant de-risk: Highly Profitable Contract Coverage

Cash break-even is USD 10 900 per vessel per day

Payouts since dividend policy Q2 2021

Creating value and returning it to shareholders

Strong Downside Protection, Significant Upside

Potential free cash flow yield next four quarters

Solid free cash flow and dividend capacity even in lower markets

Free cash flow is defined as: Cash flow from operations less the aggregate of i) Debt and lease payments ii) Dry docking expenses {USD/NOK 11.1, Share price NOK 17.5, BSI forward curve next four quarters} – basis 7 Nov 23 Free cash flow yield basis Belships' current contract coverage and contribution from Lighthouse Navigation per quarter equal to average last 5 years

The Nicest House, in an Up-and-Coming Neighbourhood

The Newest Ultramax Fleet

No need for modernisation

Low Cost, Long Duration Financing

Fixed interest rates, unique optionality

Market Dynamics

Short term headwinds versus historically low supply-side

Dividend Capacity

Contract coverage and high cash position

Value

Discount to Net Asset Values and favourable risk/reward

Important Information

This presentation has been prepared by Belships ASA (the "Company") exclusively for information purposes. This presentation is confidential and may not be copied, distributed, reproduced, published or passed on, directly or indirectly, in whole or in part, or disclosed by any recipient, to any other person (whether within or outside such person's organisation or firm) or published in whole or in part, by any medium or in any form for any purpose or under any circumstances.

The information in this presentation speaks as of 8 November 2023 and the Company assumes no obligation to amend, correct or update the information in this presentation. None of the Company or any of their respective directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates, advisors or any person acting on their behalf, shall have any liability whatsoever, (whether direct or indirect, in contract, tort or otherwise) for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this presentation, or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.

The contents of this presentation shall not be construed as legal, business or tax advice, and the furnishing of this presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Prospective investors should consult its own legal, business or tax advisor as to legal, business or tax advice.

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forwardlooking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. None of the Company or subsidiaries or any such person's directors, officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments.

This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only, and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any investment activity.

This presentation is subject to Norwegian law and any dispute arising in respect of this presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo district court as legal venue.

Consolidated Statement of Income and Financial Position

Q3 Q3 YTD Q3 YTD Q3
USD 1 000 2023 2022 2023 2022 2022
Gross freight revenue
Note
125 020 210 459 418 357 720 177 926 494
Voyage expenses -35 249 -59 381 -102 915 -151 895 -204 769
Net freight revenue
2
89 771 151 078 315 442 568 282 721 725
Management fees 85 -345 1 241 3 470 4 228
Operating income
2
89 857 150 733 316 683 571 752 725 953
Share of result from j/v and assoc. comp. 1 007 6 299 5 816 25 122 30 963
T/C hire expenses -36 215 -84 036 -144 078 -369 256 -450 524
Ship operating expenses -15 714 -12 785 -44 810 -39 845 -55 571
Operating expenses management companies -4 583 -2 633 -12 596 -16 970 -22 209
General and administrative expenses -1 371 -1 218 -4 211 -5 469 -7 068
Operating expenses -56 876 -94 373 -199 879 -406 418 -504 409
EBITDA 32 981 56 360 116 804 165 334 221 544
Depreciation and amortisation
3
-10 640 -10 753 -33 242 -28 068 -38 992
Gain on sale of ships
3
316 9 966 316 22 274 22 274
Other gains/(-losses) -326 -1 695 431 2 874 1 342
Operating result (EBIT) 22 331 53 878 84 310 162 414 206 168
Interest income 868 302 1 839 400 958
Interest expenses -8 375 -7 293 -25 398 -18 009 -26 106
Other financial items 1 022 556 840 -4 878 -1 877
Currency gains/(-losses) -512 2 653 -1 202 2 784 -2 183
Net financial items -6 998 -3 782 -23 922 -19 703 -29 208
Result before taxes 15 333 50 096 60 388 142 711 176 960
Taxes -32 -251 -304 -2 115 -2 041
Net result from continuing operations 15 301 49 845 60 083 140 596 174 919
Result from discontinuing operation
5
0 -79 8 806 264 141
Net result for the period 15 301 49 766 68 889 140 860 175 060
Hereof majority interests 15 047 46 670 62 503 120 423 146 886
Hereof non-controlling interests 254 3 096 6 386 20 437 28 174
Earnings per share for continuing operations 0,06 0,20 0,24 0,56 0,69
Diluted earnings per share for continuing operations 0,06 0,19 0,24 0,55 0,68
Earnings per share 0,06 0,20 0,27 0,56 0,69
Diluted earnings per share 0,06 0,19 0,27 0,55 0,68

Consolidated statement of income Consolidated statement of financial position

30 Sep 30 Sep 31 Dec
USD 1 000 2023 2022 2022
NON-CURRENT ASSETS Note
Ships 3 723 305 724 314 747 042
Prepayment of ships 0 13 500 6 900
Property, Plant, and Equipment 972 3 806 3 702
Investments in j/v and assoc. companies 9 006 25 057 29 483
Other non-current assets 1 082 104 1 076
Total non-current assets 734 365 766 781 788 203
CURRENT ASSETS
Bunker inventory 9 938 15 288 14 675
Current receivables 45 044 75 893 57 544
Cash and cash equivalents 138 934 116 302 139 871
Total current assets 193 915 207 483 212 090
Total assets 928 281 974 264 1 000 293
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Equity
Paid-in capital 141 416 157 839 158 359
Retained earnings 127 149 91 739 98 864
Non-controlling interests 29 577 32 371 40 112
Total equity 298 142 281 949 297 335
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
Long-term interest bearing debt 4 537 889 516 613 555 202
Other non-current liabilities 828 1 633 1 729
Total non-current liabilities 538 717 518 246 556 931
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Current portion of interest bearing debt 4 27 512 69 133 50 053
Other current liabilities 63 909 104 936 95 974
Total current liabilities 91 422 174 069 146 027
Total equity and liabilities 928 281 974 264 1 000 293

Appendix: Uniform and Modern Fleet of 38 Bulk Carriers

Vessel Built DWT Yard Vessel Built DWT Yard
NEWBUILD 8 (new) 2027 64 000 Japan BELFUJI 2020 63 000 Imabari
NEWBUILD 7 2027 64 000 Japan BELNIKE 2020 63 000 Imabari
NEWBUILD 6 (new) 2026 64 000 Japan BELTANGO 2020 64 000 Mitsui
NEWBUILD 5 2026 64 000 Japan BELFORTE 2019 64 000 Mitsui
NEWBUILD 4 2026 64 000 Japan BELRAY 2019 61 000 Shin Kurushima
NEWBUILD 3 2025 64 000 Japan BELNIPPON 2018 63 000 Imabari
NEWBUILD 2 2025 64 000 Japan BELAFONTE 2017 63 000 Imabari
NEWBUILD 1 2024 64 000 Japan BELHAVEN 2017 63 000 Imabari
BELMONDO 2023 64 000 Imabari BELTIGER 2017 63 000 New Times
BELYAMATO 2022 64 000 Imabari BELISLAND 2016 61 000 Imabari
BELTOKYO 2021 64 000 Imabari BELINDA 2016 63 000 Hantong
BELFORCE 2021 61 000 Dacks BELMONT 2016 63 000 Hantong
BELKNIGHT 2021 61 000 Dacks BELATLANTIC 2016 63 000 Hantong
BELTRADER 2021 61 000 Dacks BELLIGHT 2016 63 000 New Times
BELGUARDIAN 2021 61 000 Dacks BELFRIEND 2016 58 000 Tsuneishi
BELMAR 2021 64 000 Imabari BELTIDE 2016 58 000 Tsuneishi
BELFAST 2021 64 000 Imabari BELFOREST 2015 61 000 Imabari
BELAJA 2020 61 000 Shin Kurushima BELHAWK 2015 61 000 Imabari
BELMOIRA 2020 61 000 Shin Kurushima BELSOUTH 2015 63 000 Hantong

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.