Investor Presentation • Jan 31, 2024
Investor Presentation
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This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
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Investor Presentation
Henrik Høye Chief Executive Officer
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative/Open
Bold
Committed
| FY highlights | ||
|---|---|---|
| Combined Ratio | Combined Ratio | • Full IFRS accounting implemented |
| Gross premiums written Gross premiums |
Gross premiums written | • Long-Term Issuer Credit rating of BBB+ affirmed, and outlook revised to positive from stable. |
| LCY GWP growth | LCY GWP growth | • We proceed with France. A branch application will be submitted shortly Q4 highlights |
| Total investment return | Total investment return | • Successful placement of a new Solvency II compliant Tier 2 bond issue of |
| Profit for the period Profit for the period |
Profit for the period | NOK 650 million • January 1st 2024 growth in GWP at 16 % in LCY |
| Solvency Capital Ratio | Solvency Capital Ratio | • The Board has decided to distribute a special dividend of NOK 412.2 million, corresponding to NOK 5.00 per share. |
| Earnings per share Earnings per share |
Earnings per share | • The payment will take place 14 February 2024 |
| Amounts in NOKm, Earnings per share NOK |
This presentation contains restated figures as defined within IFRS from 2021 onwards. IFRS-figures are not audited.
Disciplined Underwriting and risk management
5
| NOKm, Gross written premiums | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | FY 23 | FY 22 | Growth | $$ NOK $%$ | $$ LCY $%$ | |||
| Norway | 1941 | 1610 | 331 | 21% | 21% | |||
| Sweden | 2486 | 2073 | 413 | 20% | 14% | |||
| Denmark | 1407 | 1077 | 330 | 31% | 16% | |||
| UK | 4 3 2 1 | 2 1 1 6 | 2 2 0 5 | 104% | 84% | |||
| Finland | 268 | 222 | 46 | 21% | 7% | |||
| Protector | 10 4 23 | 7098 | 3 3 2 5 | 47% | 37% |
| Business unit | $\overline{\textsf{Q4}}$ 23 $^\circ$ | Q4 22 | Growth | $$ NOK $\%$ | $$ LCY $%$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 213 | 144 | 69 | 48% | 48% |
| Sweden | 453 | 383 | 69 | 18% | 9% |
| Denmark | 235 | 143 | 92 | 65% | 51% |
| UK | 1 1 3 2 | 597 | 535 | 90% | 68% |
| Finland | 27 | 8 | 19 | 229% | 264% |
| Protector | 2 0 6 0 | 1 2 7 5 | 785 | 62% | 48% |
2 Large losses defined as absolute net losses > NOK 10m 3 Accumulated inflation pr. Country/segment/product in terms of total GWP – currency adjusted
| Business unit | FY 23 | FY 23 | FY 22 | FY 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |
| Norway | 89% | 90% | 82% | 82% |
| Sweden | 74% | 79% | 72% | 75% |
| Denmark | 79% | 79% | 90% | 86% |
| UK | 70% | 70% | 68% | 74% |
| Finland | 72% | 73% | 75% | 76% |
| Protector | 76.5% | 77.7% | 76.2% | 78.3% |
| Loss ratios | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | Q4 23 | Q4 23 | Q4 22 | $\overline{\textsf{Q4}}$ 22 |
| Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |
| Norway | 92% | 91% | 106% | 97% |
| Sweden | 69% | 73% | 71% | 78% |
| Denmark | 52% | 63% | 98% | 85% |
| UK | 77% | 75% | 54% | 64% |
| Finland | 76% | 77% | 55% | 57% |
| Protector | 74.2% | 75.7% | 77.7% | 78.4% |
Key focus leading to a competitive position supporting profitable growth
| NGAAP | IFRS17 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| o cs | ||||
| of comm. |
1st place in the o an Ins anc o s' Assoc at on s v y 1st place in the Norwegian Söderberg & Partners Quality Price 1st place in the Danish Willis Quality Index
Increased by 15.7%
Q4 cost ratio at 10.7% (12.3%), 6.0% exclusive of commissions
| Norway | ||
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | ||
| 391 (338) | Denmark | |
| UK | ||
| $- \cdot$ $\cdot$ |
| Business unit | Q4 23 Cost % |
Q4 23 Comm%* |
Q4 22 Cost % |
Q4 22 Comm%* |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 9% | 4% | 6% | 1% | |||
| Sweden | 13% | 8% | 14% | 7% | |||
| Denmark | 8% | $0\%$ | 12% | 0% | |||
| UK | 10% | 5% | 14% | 6% | |||
| Finland | 17% | $0\%$ | 30% | 0% | |||
| Protector | 10.7% | 4.7% | 12.3% | 4.0% | |||
| *Commissions to brokers and agents |
| Norway | Sweden | Denmark | UK | Finland | Protector | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOKm | FY 23 | FY 22 | FY 23 | FY 22 | FY 23 | FY 22 | FY 23 | FY 22 | FY 23 | FY 22 | FY 23 | FY 22 |
| Gross premium written | l 941 | . 610 | 2486 | 2073 | .407 | 1 077 | 4 3 2 1 | 2 1 1 6 | 268 | 222 | 10 4 23 | 7 098 |
| Insurance revenues | 1883 | 1583 | 2 4 0 0 | 942 | 1336 | 1040 | 3 5 0 4 | 1814 | 263 | 240 | 9386 | 6 6 1 9 |
| Insurance service result | 55 | 186 | 193 | 237 | 176 | 56 | 618 | 203 | 37 | 17 | 1080 | 701 |
| Loss ratio, gross | 89.2% | 81.6% | 74.4% | 72.0% | 79.3% | 90.1% | 70.4% | 68.2% | 72.3% | 75.0% | 76.5% | 76.2% |
| Net reinsurance ratio | 0.6% | 0.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% | $-3.9%$ | $0.0\%$ | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% |
| Loss ratio, net of reinsurance | 89.8% | 81.9% | 78.5% | 75.4% | 79.3% | 86.2% | 70.4% | 74.2% | 72.9% | 75.5% | 77.7% | 78.3% |
| Cost ratio | 7.3% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Combined ratio | 97.1% | 88.2% | 91.9% | 87.8% | 86.8% | 94.6% | 82.4% | 88.8% | 86.1% | 92.8% | 88.5% | 89.4% |
FY 23
| Norway | Sweden | Denmark | UK | Finland | Protector | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOKm | Q4 23 | Q4 22 | Q4 23 | Q4 22 | Q4 23 | Q4 22 | Q4 23 | Q4 22 | Q4 23 | Q4 22 | Q4 23 | Q4 22 |
| Gross premium written | 213 | 144 | 453 | 383 | 235 | 143 | 1 1 3 2 | 597 | 8. | 2060 | 1 2 7 5 | |
| Insurance revenues | 505 | 407 | 640 | 515 | 367 | 275 | 1047 | 522 | 88 | 62 | 2646 | 1781 |
| Insurance service result | (14) | 90 | 46 | 109 | 8 | 155 | 119 | b | 8 | 361 | 167 | |
| Loss ratio, gross | 91.8% | 106.0% | 68.8% | 70.9% | 51.5% | 97.8% | 76.8% | 54.4% | 76.3% | 55.0% | 74.2% | 77.7% |
| Net reinsurance ratio | $-1.1%$ | $-8.9\%$ | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.3% | $-12.7%$ | $-2.0%$ | 9.2% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Loss ratio, net of reinsurance | 90.6% | 97.1% | 72.7% | 77.6% | 62.8% | 85.1% | 74.8% | 63.6% | 76.6% | 56.6% | 75.7% | 78.4% |
| Cost ratio | 8.9% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 30.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Combined ratio | 99.5% | 103.4% | 86.0% | 91.2% | 70.4% | 97.2% | 85.2% | 77.2% | 93.2% | 86.7% | 86.4% | 90.6% |
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative/Open
Bold
Committed
Q4 investment results
| Investment portfolio statistics1 | 31.12.23 | 31.12.22 | 30.09.23 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Size bond & cash eq. (NOKm) 2 |
15 650 | 12 249 | 14 864 | |
| e | Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR, etc.) | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% |
| m o |
Avg. spread/risk premium (bps) | 273 | 179 | |
| c n d i |
Yield3 | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| e x |
Duration3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Fi | Credit duration 1.9 |
2.2 | 1.8 | |
| Avg. rating4 | A- | A- | A |
| s e uiti q E |
Portfolio size5 |
2 983 | 2 648 | 2 544 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share of total | 16.0% | 17.8% | 14.6% | |
| Estimated intrinsic value discount |
35% | 30% | 37% | |
| No. of companies | 32 | 28 | 32 |
1 Bank deposits included
2Size excludes currency swaps
3Interest rate swap effect included
4Av . n a at n as on off c a at n (> ) an ' ot cto at n ' (< )
5 Size excludes currency swaps and put options
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative/Open
Bold
Committed
| NOKm | FY 23 | FY 22 | Q4 23 | Q4 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance revenue | 9386 | 6619 | 2646 | 1781 |
| Insurance claims expenses | (7182) | (5045) | (1963) | (1384) |
| Insurance operating expenses | (1011) | (734) | (282) | (218) |
| Insurance service result before reinsurance contracts held | 1 1 9 3 | 840 | 401 | 179 |
| Reinsurance premium | (584) | (826) | (142) | (228) |
| Amounts recovered from reinsurance | 471 | 687 | 102 | 216 |
| Net result from reinsurance contracts held | (113) | (139) | (40) | (12) |
| Insurance service result | 1080 | 701 | 361 | 167 |
| Net income from investments | 1 3 2 8 | 477 | 860 | 631 |
| Net insurance finance income or expenses | (384) | 607 | (356) | (85) |
| Other income/costs | (91) | (74) | (26) | (23) |
| Profit before tax | 1933 | 1711 | 840 | 690 |
| Tax | (439) | (341) | (182) | (90) |
| Discontinued operations | 15 | 10 | 18 | 13 |
| Profit for the period | 1509 | 1 3 7 9 | 676 | 613 |
| Large losses, net of reinsurance | (550.7) | (425.9) | (268.7) | (64.5) |
| Run-off gains/losses, net of reinsurance | (25.5) | 133.7 | 10.6 | (5.2) |
| Change in risk adjustment, net of reinsurance | (136.9) | (79.6) | (42.7) | (27.5) |
| Discounting effect, net of reinsurance | 390.9 | 154.5 | 116.9 | 76.7 |
| Loss ratio | 76.5% | 76.2% | 74.2% | 77.7% |
| Net reinsurance ratio | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Loss ratio, net of reinsurance | 77.7% | 78.3% | 75.7% | 78.4% |
| Cost ratio | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Combined ratio | 88.5% | 89.4% | 86.4% | 90.6% |
| Earnings per share | 18.3 | 16.7 | 8.2 | 7.4 |
| In NOKm | 31.12.2023 | 31.12.2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Financial assets | 18 042 | 14 195 |
| Derivatives | 265 | 66 |
| Bank deposits | 324 | 198 |
| Other assets | 1 589 | 1 469 |
| Discontinued operations |
655 | 888 |
| Total assets | 20 874 | 16 816 |
| Total equity | 4 529 | 3 761 |
| Subordinated loan capital | 1 892 | 1 245 |
| Insurance contract liabilities | 12 559 | 10 042 |
| Derivatives | 241 | 55 |
| Other liabilities | 1 396 | 1 191 |
| Discontinued operations | 258 | 522 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 20 874 | 16 816 |
*Numbers may not add up due to rounding
• Guarantee provision and proposed dividend subtracted from own funds
Eligible own funds composition and development1
1 Development since last quarter end highlighted in lighter colours per bar
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative/Open
Bold
Committed
1 See next slide
23
ov to a s 'Pink' f s . . m t o t opportunities, very low risk, no near-term allocation opportunities and have good future visibility
* Increase in upper level:
| FY highlights | ||
|---|---|---|
| Combined Ratio | Combined Ratio | • Full IFRS accounting implemented • Long-Term Issuer Credit rating of BBB+ affirmed, and outlook revised to positive from stable. • We proceed with France. A branch application will be submitted shortly Q4 highlights • Successful placement of a new Solvency II compliant Tier 2 bond issue of NOK 650 million • January 1st 2024 growth in GWP at 16 % in LCY • The Board has decided to distribute a special dividend of NOK 412.2 million, corresponding to NOK 5.00 per share. • The payment will take place 14 February 2024 |
| Gross premiums written Gross premiums |
Gross premiums written | |
| LCY GWP growth | LCY GWP growth | |
| Total investment return | Total investment return | |
| Profit for the period Profit for the period |
Profit for the period | |
| Solvency Capital Ratio | Solvency Capital Ratio | |
| Earnings per share Earnings per share |
Earnings per share | |
| Amounts in NOKm, Earnings per share NOK |
This presentation contains restated figures as defined within IFRS from 2021 onwards. IFRS-figures are not audited.
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