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Protector Forsikring

Investor Presentation Jan 31, 2024

3719_rns_2024-01-31_6bffbe79-aecd-4ee0-adf9-f6723dc26228.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

Investor Presentation

Henrik Høye Chief Executive Officer

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

FY highlights
Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
Full IFRS accounting implemented
Gross premiums written
Gross premiums
Gross premiums written
Long-Term Issuer Credit rating of BBB+ affirmed, and outlook revised to
positive from stable.
LCY GWP growth LCY GWP growth
We proceed with France. A branch application will be submitted shortly
Q4 highlights
Total investment return Total investment return
Successful placement of a new Solvency II compliant Tier 2 bond issue of
Profit for the period
Profit for the period
Profit for the period NOK 650 million

January 1st
2024
growth in GWP at 16 % in LCY
Solvency Capital Ratio Solvency Capital Ratio
The Board has decided to distribute a special dividend of NOK 412.2 million,
corresponding to NOK 5.00 per share.
Earnings per share
Earnings per share
Earnings per share
The payment will take place 14 February 2024
Amounts in NOKm, Earnings per share NOK

This presentation contains restated figures as defined within IFRS from 2021 onwards. IFRS-figures are not audited.

Premium growth and composition

Disciplined Underwriting and risk management

5

  • FY growth at 47% Renewal rate at 104%
  • Low churn and price increases to counter claims inflation
  • 60% of new sales originating from the UK
  • Increased new sales in the Nordics (20% increase from 22)
  • UK growing 84% in 2023
  • Market conditions resulting in high hit ratios
  • Consistent and disciplined underwriting and risk appetite
  • Q4 growth at 62% Renewal rate at 105%
  • Low churn and price increases to counter claims inflation
  • Significant new sales in UK and NO
  • January 1st 2024 growth in GWP at 16 % in LCY
  • Driven by high renewal rate in all units
NOKm, Gross written premiums
Business unit FY 23 FY 22 Growth $$ NOK $%$ $$ LCY $%$
Norway 1941 1610 331 21% 21%
Sweden 2486 2073 413 20% 14%
Denmark 1407 1077 330 31% 16%
UK 4 3 2 1 2 1 1 6 2 2 0 5 104% 84%
Finland 268 222 46 21% 7%
Protector 10 4 23 7098 3 3 2 5 47% 37%
Business unit $\overline{\textsf{Q4}}$ 23 $^\circ$ Q4 22 Growth $$ NOK $\%$ $$ LCY $%$
Norway 213 144 69 48% 48%
Sweden 453 383 69 18% 9%
Denmark 235 143 92 65% 51%
UK 1 1 3 2 597 535 90% 68%
Finland 27 8 19 229% 264%
Protector 2 0 6 0 1 2 7 5 785 62% 48%

Profitability development Underwriting discipline yields stable underlying profitability

. . . . . . Combined ratio1 NGAAP IFRS 1 Restated combined ratios as defined within IFRS from 2021 onwards. IFRS-figures are not audited. Protector inflation3 . . . . . .

  • External factors affects profitability development between quarters and even years
  • High inflation environment last couple of years
  • Interest rate fluctuations
  • Disciplined underwriting enables us to adapt in due time
  • 7

2 Large losses defined as absolute net losses > NOK 10m 3 Accumulated inflation pr. Country/segment/product in terms of total GWP – currency adjusted

Large losses and run-off

Claims update

  • FY Large losses of NOK 550.7m, or 5.9% (425.9, or 6.4%)
  • 20 large loss events across four countries.
    • 60% of large losses from the UK, 20% from Norway (primarily Extreme weather Hans 2 )
  • FY run-off losses at 0.3% (gain of 2.0%)
  • Run-off gains in the Nordics, losses in the UK
  • 1.1%-points of losses linked to large losses from previous years
  • Q4 large loss of NOK 189.7m, or 10.2% (64.5, or 3.6%)
  • 13 large loss events across four countries.
    • 60% of large losses from Storms (UK) and Extreme weather (NO) events
  • Q4 run-off gains at 0.4% (loss of 0.3%)
  • Run-off loss in the NO and FI, gains in SE, DK and the UK
  • 0.6%-points of losses linked to large losses from previous years
Business unit FY 23 FY 23 FY 22 FY 22
Gross Net Gross Net
Norway 89% 90% 82% 82%
Sweden 74% 79% 72% 75%
Denmark 79% 79% 90% 86%
UK 70% 70% 68% 74%
Finland 72% 73% 75% 76%
Protector 76.5% 77.7% 76.2% 78.3%
Loss ratios
Business unit Q4 23 Q4 23 Q4 22 $\overline{\textsf{Q4}}$ 22
Gross Net Gross Net
Norway 92% 91% 106% 97%
Sweden 69% 73% 71% 78%
Denmark 52% 63% 98% 85%
UK 77% 75% 54% 64%
Finland 76% 77% 55% 57%
Protector 74.2% 75.7% 77.7% 78.4%

Cost and quality leadership

Key focus leading to a competitive position supporting profitable growth

Cost ratio and commissions to brokers and agents (%)

NGAAP IFRS17
o cs
of
comm.
  • UK growth main driver for cost ratio improvement
  • Commissions to brokers and agents an increasingly larger share of cost
  • Growth from the UK and SE
  • Cost excluding commissions from 8.0% in 2021 to 6.4% in 2023
  • We invest in competence and quality, efficiency will come

Broker satisfaction index(1)

Other merits in 2023

1st place in the o an Ins anc o s' Assoc at on s v y 1st place in the Norwegian Söderberg & Partners Quality Price 1st place in the Danish Willis Quality Index

Cost update

  • FY cost ratio at 10.8% (11.1%), 6.4% exclusive of commissions to brokers and agents
  • 4.4% (3.9%) in commissions
  • FY operational working FTEs on average 391 (338)
  • Increased by 15.7%

  • Q4 cost ratio at 10.7% (12.3%), 6.0% exclusive of commissions

  • 4.7% (4.0%) in commissions
  • Q4 operational working FTEs on average 421 (355)
  • Increased by 18.6%
  • Recruitment activity at a high level entering 2024
Norway
Sweden
391 (338) Denmark
UK
$- \cdot$ $\cdot$
Business unit Q4 23
Cost %
Q4 23
Comm%*
Q4 22
Cost %
Q4 22
Comm%*
Norway 9% 4% 6% 1%
Sweden 13% 8% 14% 7%
Denmark 8% $0\%$ 12% 0%
UK 10% 5% 14% 6%
Finland 17% $0\%$ 30% 0%
Protector 10.7% 4.7% 12.3% 4.0%
*Commissions to brokers and agents

Country-by-country key metrics

Quarterly volatility must be expected, especially by country

Norway Sweden Denmark UK Finland Protector
NOKm FY 23 FY 22 FY 23 FY 22 FY 23 FY 22 FY 23 FY 22 FY 23 FY 22 FY 23 FY 22
Gross premium written l 941 . 610 2486 2073 .407 1 077 4 3 2 1 2 1 1 6 268 222 10 4 23 7 098
Insurance revenues 1883 1583 2 4 0 0 942 1336 1040 3 5 0 4 1814 263 240 9386 6 6 1 9
Insurance service result 55 186 193 237 176 56 618 203 37 17 1080 701
Loss ratio, gross 89.2% 81.6% 74.4% 72.0% 79.3% 90.1% 70.4% 68.2% 72.3% 75.0% 76.5% 76.2%
Net reinsurance ratio 0.6% 0.3% 4.1% 3.4% 0.0% $-3.9%$ $0.0\%$ 6.0% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 2.1%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 89.8% 81.9% 78.5% 75.4% 79.3% 86.2% 70.4% 74.2% 72.9% 75.5% 77.7% 78.3%
Cost ratio 7.3% 6.3% 13.4% 12.4% 7.5% 8.4% 11.9% 14.6% 13.2% 17.2% 10.8% 11.1%
Combined ratio 97.1% 88.2% 91.9% 87.8% 86.8% 94.6% 82.4% 88.8% 86.1% 92.8% 88.5% 89.4%

Q4 23

FY 23

Norway Sweden Denmark UK Finland Protector
NOKm Q4 23 Q4 22 Q4 23 Q4 22 Q4 23 Q4 22 Q4 23 Q4 22 Q4 23 Q4 22 Q4 23 Q4 22
Gross premium written 213 144 453 383 235 143 1 1 3 2 597 8. 2060 1 2 7 5
Insurance revenues 505 407 640 515 367 275 1047 522 88 62 2646 1781
Insurance service result (14) 90 46 109 8 155 119 b 8 361 167
Loss ratio, gross 91.8% 106.0% 68.8% 70.9% 51.5% 97.8% 76.8% 54.4% 76.3% 55.0% 74.2% 77.7%
Net reinsurance ratio $-1.1%$ $-8.9\%$ 3.9% 6.7% 11.3% $-12.7%$ $-2.0%$ 9.2% 0.3% 1.6% 1.5% 0.7%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 90.6% 97.1% 72.7% 77.6% 62.8% 85.1% 74.8% 63.6% 76.6% 56.6% 75.7% 78.4%
Cost ratio 8.9% 6.3% 13.3% 13.6% 7.6% 12.0% 10.4% 13.6% 16.6% 30.1% 10.7% 12.3%
Combined ratio 99.5% 103.4% 86.0% 91.2% 70.4% 97.2% 85.2% 77.2% 93.2% 86.7% 86.4% 90.6%

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Investments AUM: NOK 18 683m at year-end | Float increasing

PROTECTOR insurance

Investment performance

7.9% return in 2023 | 5.1% return in Q4

  • NOK 1 372m, or 7.9% gain in 2023
  • Equities: NOK 325m, or 12.1%
  • Put options: NOK -60m
  • Bonds: NOK 1 107m, or 7.6%
    • Interest rate swaps: NOK 87m
  • Strong year for Nordic HY bonds
  • DNB Nordic HY index up 11.2% in 2023, and 2.8% in Q4
  • NOK 890m, or 5.1% gain in Q4
  • Equities: NOK 309m, or 11.7%
  • Put options: NOK -19m
  • Bonds: NOK 600m, or 4.0%
    • Interest rate swaps: NOK 217m

2023 investment results

Q4 investment results

Investment portfolio statistics Bond portfolio yield at 5.8%, before cost of risk

  • Bond portfolio yielding 5.8%, before cost of risk (6.0% in YE22)
  • Underlying ref rate +0.6%-points, spread -87bps from YE22
  • Slightly reduced bond risk YE23 compared to YE22
    • Y po tfo o tota n O ≈ . vs. O . Y
    • Credit duration decreased to 1.9, from 2.2 YE22
    • A- average rating, same as YE22
  • Duration stable at 2.2, down from 2.5 YE22
    • Steering interest rate risk from solvency capital perspective
  • Equity share at 16.0%, down from 17.8% YE22
  • Up from 14.6% in Q3
Investment portfolio statistics1 31.12.23 31.12.22 30.09.23
Size bond & cash eq. (NOKm)
2
15 650 12 249 14 864
e Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR, etc.) 3.9% 3.3% 4.2%
m
o
Avg. spread/risk premium (bps) 273 179
c
n
d i
Yield3 5.8% 6.0% 5.9%
e
x
Duration3 2.2 2.5 2.4
Fi Credit duration
1.9
2.2 1.8
Avg. rating4 A- A- A
s
e
uiti
q
E
Portfolio
size5
2 983 2 648 2 544
Share of total 16.0% 17.8% 14.6%
Estimated
intrinsic value discount
35% 30% 37%
No. of companies 32 28 32

1 Bank deposits included

2Size excludes currency swaps

3Interest rate swap effect included

4Av . n a at n as on off c a at n (> ) an ' ot cto at n ' (< )

5 Size excludes currency swaps and put options

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Profit and loss FY 23 (& Q4 23) Profit of NOK 1 509m (1 379) | EPS at NOK 18.3 (16.7)

NOKm FY 23 FY 22 Q4 23 Q4 22
Insurance revenue 9386 6619 2646 1781
Insurance claims expenses (7182) (5045) (1963) (1384)
Insurance operating expenses (1011) (734) (282) (218)
Insurance service result before reinsurance contracts held 1 1 9 3 840 401 179
Reinsurance premium (584) (826) (142) (228)
Amounts recovered from reinsurance 471 687 102 216
Net result from reinsurance contracts held (113) (139) (40) (12)
Insurance service result 1080 701 361 167
Net income from investments 1 3 2 8 477 860 631
Net insurance finance income or expenses (384) 607 (356) (85)
Other income/costs (91) (74) (26) (23)
Profit before tax 1933 1711 840 690
Tax (439) (341) (182) (90)
Discontinued operations 15 10 18 13
Profit for the period 1509 1 3 7 9 676 613
Large losses, net of reinsurance (550.7) (425.9) (268.7) (64.5)
Run-off gains/losses, net of reinsurance (25.5) 133.7 10.6 (5.2)
Change in risk adjustment, net of reinsurance (136.9) (79.6) (42.7) (27.5)
Discounting effect, net of reinsurance 390.9 154.5 116.9 76.7
Loss ratio 76.5% 76.2% 74.2% 77.7%
Net reinsurance ratio 1.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 77.7% 78.3% 75.7% 78.4%
Cost ratio 10.8% 11.1% 10.7% 12.3%
Combined ratio 88.5% 89.4% 86.4% 90.6%
Earnings per share 18.3 16.7 8.2 7.4

Balance sheet SCR ratio1 at 195%

In NOKm 31.12.2023 31.12.2022
Financial assets 18 042 14 195
Derivatives 265 66
Bank deposits 324 198
Other assets 1 589 1 469
Discontinued
operations
655 888
Total assets 20 874 16 816
Total equity 4 529 3 761
Subordinated loan capital 1 892 1 245
Insurance contract liabilities 12 559 10 042
Derivatives 241 55
Other liabilities 1 396 1 191
Discontinued operations 258 522
Total equity and liabilities 20 874 16 816

*Numbers may not add up due to rounding

  • New NOK 650m Tier 2 subordinated debt issued
  • Positive technical and investment result
  • Special dividend of NOK 5 per share, NOK 412m in total
  • Increase in solvency capital requirement driven by growth

SCR ratio composition

Solvency II SCR ratio at 195%

Composition of SCR:

  • Net insurance risk 66%
  • Net market risk 27%
  • Other risks 7%

• Guarantee provision and proposed dividend subtracted from own funds

Eligible own funds composition and development1

SCR composition and development1

1 Development since last quarter end highlighted in lighter colours per bar

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Long term (3 years) financial targets Disciplined growth

1 See next slide

Flexible shareholder distribution policy Quarterly assessment of capital position vs. capital need

23

  • Following Q4 2023 the Board has decided to distribute a special dividend of NOK 412.2m, corresponding to NOK 5.00 per share.
  • To be paid February 14th (ex. date February 7th)

Solvency ratio zone assessment:

  • ov to a s 'Green' f s . . p of ta insurance growth, risk-taking in investment portfolio, other attractive allocation opportunities and/or market/macro turbulence.
  • ov to a s 'Pink' f s . . m t o t opportunities, very low risk, no near-term allocation opportunities and have good future visibility

  • * Increase in upper level:

  • Prolonged changes in risk profile
  • Solvency-based reinsurance agreement not renewed
  • Stricter internal stress testing
  • Near-future allocation opportunities/ turbulence
FY highlights
Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
Full IFRS accounting implemented

Long-Term Issuer Credit rating of BBB+ affirmed, and outlook revised to
positive from stable.

We proceed with France. A branch application will be submitted shortly
Q4 highlights

Successful placement of a new Solvency II compliant Tier 2 bond issue of
NOK 650 million

January 1st
2024
growth in GWP at 16 % in LCY

The Board has decided to distribute a special dividend of NOK 412.2 million,
corresponding to NOK 5.00 per share.

The payment will take place 14 February 2024
Gross premiums written
Gross premiums
Gross premiums written
LCY GWP growth LCY GWP growth
Total investment return Total investment return
Profit for the period
Profit for the period
Profit for the period
Solvency Capital Ratio Solvency Capital Ratio
Earnings per share
Earnings per share
Earnings per share
Amounts in NOKm, Earnings per share NOK

This presentation contains restated figures as defined within IFRS from 2021 onwards. IFRS-figures are not audited.

$\Delta$

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