Management Reports • Feb 7, 2024
Management Reports
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FEBRUARY 7TH, 2024 LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM
As used in this presentation, the term "Equinor" and such terms as "the company," "the corporation," "our," "we," "us" and "its" may refer to Equinor ASA, one or more of its consolidated subsidiaries, or to all of them taken as a whole. These terms are used for convenience only and are not intended as a precise description of any of the separate companies.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning, inter alia, Equinor's business, financial condition, future prospects and results of operations that are based on current estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Equinor operates and the current expectations and assumptions of Equinor's management. Forward-looking statements include all statements other than statements of historical facts, including, among others, statements regarding future financial or operational performance, value creation, returns, distributions, and execution or performance of projects, management objectives and targets, our expectations as to the achievement of certain targets (including those related to our climate ambitions) and expectations, projections or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including strategies, plans (including our energy transition plan), ambitions or outlook. In some cases, we use words such as "aim", "ambitions", "continue", "anticipate", "likely", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "goals", "indicative", "intend", "may", "milestones", "objectives", "outlook", "plan", "strategy", "probably", "guidance", "project", "risks", "schedule", "seek", "should", "target", "will" or similar statements or variations of such words and other similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such terms.
Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Rather, they are based on current views and assumptions and are, by their nature, subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside Equinor's control and are difficult to predict, that may cause actual results or developments to differ materially from any future results or developments expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by forward-looking statements include, among others: levels of industry product supply, demand and pricing, in particular in light of significant oil, natural gas and electricity price volatility; unfavorable macroeconomic conditions and inflationary pressures; exchange rate fluctuations; levels and calculations of reserves and material differences from reserves estimates; regulatory stability; access to oil, gas, low carbon and/or renewable energy resources, acreage and opportunities; the effects of climate change and changes in stakeholder sentiment and regulatory requirements regarding climate change; changes in market demand and supply for oil, gas, renewables and low carbon solutions; inability to meet strategic objectives; the development and use of new technology; social and/or political instability, including as a result of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the conflict in the Middle East; failure to prevent or manage digital and cyber disruptions to our information and operational technology systems and those of third parties on which we rely; operational problems, including cost inflation in capital and operational expenditures; unsuccessful drilling; availability of adequate infrastructure at commercially viable prices; the actions of field partners and other third-parties; reputational damage; the actions of competitors; the actions of the Norwegian state as majority shareholder and exercise of ownership by the Norwegian state; changes or uncertainty in or non-compliance with anti-corruption and bribery laws, anti-money laundering laws, competition and antitrust laws or other laws and governmental regulations, conditions or requirements and inability to obtain favorable government/third party approvals to activities and transactions; adverse changes in tax regimes; the political and economic policies of Norway and other
oil/energy-producing countries; regulations on hydraulic fracturing and low-carbon value chains; liquidity, interest rate, equity and credit risks; risk of losses relating to trading and commercial supply activities; an inability to attract and retain personnel; ineffectiveness of crisis management systems; inadequate insurance coverage; health, safety and environmental risks; physical security risks to personnel, assets, infrastructure and operations from hostile or malicious acts; failure to meet our ethical, human rights and social standards; non-compliance with, international trade sanctions and other factors discussed under "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2022, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Readers should also consult any further disclosures we may make in documents we file with or furnish to the SEC.
All oral and written forward-looking statements made on or after the date of this presentation and attributable to Equinor are expressly qualified in their entirety by the above factors. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Equinor speak only as of the date they are made. Except as required by applicable law, we do not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The achievement of our climate ambitions depends, in part, on broader societal shifts in consumer demands and technological advancements, each of which are beyond our control. Should society's demands and technological innovation not shift in parallel with our pursuit of our energy transition plan, our ability to meet our climate ambitions will be impaired. The calculation of the Equinor's net carbon intensity presented herein includes an estimate of emissions from the use of sold products (GHG protocol category 11) as a means to more accurately evaluate the emission lifecycle of what we produce to respond to the energy transition and potential business opportunities arising from shifting consumer demands. Including these emissions in the calculations should in no way be construed as an acceptance by Equinor of responsibility for the emissions caused by such use.
This presentation also contains financial information which is not presented in accordance with International Financial reporting Standards (IFRS). Please refer to our filings with the SEC for disclosures and reconciliations to the most directly comparable IFRS measures of non-IFRS financial measures contained herein. This presentation may contain certain forward-looking non-IFRS measures such as organic capex, CFFO after taxes paid, net debt ratio and ROACE. We are unable to provide a reconciliation of these forward-looking non-IFRS measures as they are not reconcilable to their most directly comparable IFRS measures without unreasonable efforts because the amounts excluded from the relevant IFRS measures used to determine these forward-looking non-IFRS measures cannot be predicted with reasonable certainty.
We use certain terms, such as "resource" and "resources", in this presentation that the SEC's rules prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. Readers are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-15200, (available at Equinor's website www.equinor.com and www.sec.gov).
These materials shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, nor shall there be any offer, solicitation or sale of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to the registration or qualification under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
Capital Markets Update 2024


Anders Opedal PRESIDENT AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER


2023 PERFORMANCE
Serious incident frequency (SIF) Serious incidents and near-misses per million hours worked. 12-month average.

1.2 1.1
4.2 4.4
3.8
3.8
above 0.1 kg/second during the past 12 months.

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
3.0 2.7 2.5 2.8
2.3 2.4
2.7 2.8 2.5 2.4
2023

36 BN USD
Adjusted earnings
20
BN USD Cash flow from operations after tax (CFFO)
25
PERCENT Return on average capital employed Adjusted (RoACE)
High value Low carbon
6.7 KG / BOE
CO2 upstream intensity
Scope 1 CO2 emissions, Equinor operated, 100% basis
20
PERCENT
Gross capex to transition
Renewables & Low Carbon Solution share (REN & LCS)
8
G W
Renewables pipeline additions Equinor share, unrisked

OUR AMBITIONS
BN USD
Stronger cash flow
26
BN USD
after tax

gCO2e/MJ ENERGY - Net carbon intensity scope 1,2, and 3 from use of our products
1
Decarbonised energy defined as hydrogen, ammonia and gas to power with CCS, see appendix for more details
See equinor.com for more details around energy transition plan


Key projects coming on stream4

OIL AND GAS
50% cash flow growth to 2030

E&P Norway
Long term value to 2035

12-16 G W Installed capacity 2030 Equinor share
4-8
PERCENT Real base project return1 12-16
PERCENT
65
TWh Power generation 2035 Equinor share
Nominal equity return2




80 TWh renewables and decarbonised energy by 2035
65 TWh renewables power generation by 2035
50% gross capex to transition by 2030
40% reduction in net carbon intensity by 2035
See equinor.com for more details around energy transition plan

2024
Capital Markets Update, 4Q23 and full year results

Torgrim Reitan CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER


Adjusted earnings 4Q23
2.6 BN USD
Net income 4Q23
15 Capital Markets Update 2024 Open 07 February 2024
Net operating income 4Q23
19.7 BN USD Full year cash flow from operations after tax
2023

MBOE/D
Oil and gas production


Open 07 February 2024


| Realised prices | 4Q23 | 4Q22 |
|---|---|---|
| Liquids (USD/bbl) | 75.7 | 80.4 |
| European gas (USD/MMBtu) |
13.07 | 29.84 |
| N. American gas (USD/MMBtu) |
2.07 | 5.40 |
| Adjusted earnings USD million |
4Q23 | 4Q22 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-tax | Post-tax | Pre-tax | Post-tax | |
| E&P Norway | 7,571 | 1,570 | 14,594 | 3,300 |
| E&P Int | 690 | 255 | 676 | 367 |
| E&P US | 168 | 78 | 474 | 450 |
| MMP | 424 | 143 | 1,416 | 831 |
| REN | (179) | (146) | (87) | (97) |
| Group | 8,681 | 1,879 | 17,014 | 4,719 |

| Cash Flow USD million |
4Q23 | FY 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations3 | 10,890 | 48,016 |
| Total taxes paid | (8,103) | (28,276) |
| Cash flow from operations after tax4 | 2,787 | 19,741 |
| Capital distribution1 | (3,224) | (16,494) |
| Cash flow to investments5 | (2,978) | (11,858) |
| Proceeds from sale of assets | 154 | 272 |
| Net cash flow |
(3,262) | (8,340) |
Cash dividend and share buy-back executed in the market




Cash flow from operations after tax, see appendix for key assumptions and definitions

NCS portfolio providing long term production and cash flow to 2035
Includes sanctioned, non-sanctioned and IOGR projects. Price assumptions, definitions, and project list available in appendix (list not exhaustive.)
Upstream projects coming on stream within 10 years2
35 USD / BBL
Break-even Volume weighted average
2.5
YEARS Average pay-back time Based on reference case 75 USD/bbl. Volume weighted from production start
~ 30 ~
PERCENT
Based on reference case 75 USD/bbl. Volume weighted average. Real terms
~ 6
KG / BOE
<
CO2 upstream intensity
Project lifetime intensity. Scope 1 CO2 emissions, Equinor operated, 100% basis

Indicative capex allocation1 2024-2030

~45% offshore wind, ~25% onshore, ~30% LCS
Cash flow from operations, REN and LCS, net to Equinor 2. Includes 100% ownership of Empire Wind and no effects from project finance




Outlook

80 TWh renewables and decarbonised energy by 2035
65 TWh renewables power generation by 2035
50% gross capex to transition by 2030
40% reduction in net carbon intensity by 2035
See equinor.com for more details around energy transition plan

| Nora Callander IR Officer |
[email protected] | +47 98 65 66 39 |
|---|---|---|
| Ingvar Egeland IR Officer |
[email protected] | +47 99 32 2938 |
| Anne Sofie Dahle Senior Consultant |
[email protected] | +47 90 88 75 54 |
| Nate Mital IR Officer |
[email protected] | +1 469-927-5677 |
| Ieva Ozola IR Manager |
[email protected] | +1 281-730-6014 |
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